1500 County Road 1 #95 · Dunedin, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +5.0/15.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +4.3/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$114,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to Lake Highlander Mobile Home Park, one of Dunedin’s most desirable 55+ golf-cart friendly communities! This fully furnished 1972 home offers 2 bedrooms, 1.5 baths, and a comfortable layout perfect for enjoying the Florida lifestyle. Step inside to find newer windows that bring in abundant natural light, new flooring in the spacious living room, and an inviting Florida Room complete with custom privacy blinds — the perfect space to relax with your morning coffee or entertain guests. The kitchen features stainless steel appliances, and the HVAC system has been recently maintained and is in great condition, offering peace of mind for the new owner. Outside the home, resid
Key facts
- Florida room
- Newer windows
- Scenic lake
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Furnished; Directions available
- Financial info: Total monthly fees $275; Total annual fees $3,300; Lease restrictions apply
- HOA & community: Has HOA with required association approval; Monthly HOA fee $275; Association amenities include clubhouse, laundry, pool, recreation facilities, shuffleboard court; Association fee includes pool, escrow reserves, grounds maintenance, management, private road, recreational facilities, sewer, trash, water; Community features: clubhouse, golf carts allowed, pool, sidewalks; Senior community; Cats allowed
Exterior
- Parking: Carport with 2 spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Sewer connected; Water connected
- Home design: Mobile home (double wide); One story; East facing
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Metal roof; Crawlspace foundation; Built as double wide mobile home
- Exterior features: Awning(s); Private mailbox; Sidewalk; Storage
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Linoleum
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Formal dining area; Thermostat; Window treatments; Sliding doors; Storage
- Laundry & utility: Common area laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath manufactured listed at $115k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $461 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $115k).
- Recommended offer: $113k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.1% vs local median 2.8% in Dunedin — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 86/100 on livability (#15 in FL, #411 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities D.
- Pinellas (suburban): math 51% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #31 of 73 in FL (top 42%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.7%/yr); 478 active listings in the ZIP; 27 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,676 units permitted in Pinellas County in 2024 (1,422 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($74k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $794 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pinellas County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.7% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 25 days — a 2% lower offer ($113k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.70% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.10%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.18%
- DSCR
- 1.76
- GRM
- 4.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $108,864
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1500 County Road 1 #33 | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 850 (-2%) | 2mo | $107,500 | $126 | 94 |
| 1500 County Road 1 #108 | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 826 (-4%) | 9mo | $90,000 | $109 | 83 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.69% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 8.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.32×
- Total profit
- $10,321
- Equity at exit
- $17,132
- IRR
- 17.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.40×
- Total profit
- $45,130
- Equity at exit
- $9,934
Cash invested: $32,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34698
- Rents YoY
- 2.7%
- Active inventory
- 478
- Price-to-rent
- 4.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,953 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax from tax record
- −$157 /mo · $1,882/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$275
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$410
- Net cashflow
- $461
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,725
- Closing costs
- $3,447
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 27 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1515 County Road 1 Dunedin, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 719 | $1,750 | $2.43 | 7d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 1268 Pinehurst Rd Dunedin, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,500 | $1.39 | 16d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 1454 Michigan Blvd Dunedin, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,300 | $2.30 | 4d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 1141 San Christopher Dr Apt B Dunedin, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,595 | $1.59 | 2d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 1388 Robin Hood Ln Unit 1141-B Dunedin, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,595 | $1.59 | 2d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 1196 Angle Rd Dunedin, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,675 | $2.39 | 4d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 1412 Gladys Cir Unit 1466152P Dunedin, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1097 | $3,847 | $3.51 | 3d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 1430 Heather Ridge Blvd #304 Dunedin, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 915 | $1,500 | $1.64 | 24d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 905 Patricia Ave Dunedin, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $1,800 | $3.27 | 24d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 690 Regina Rd Dunedin, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 745 | $2,195 | $2.95 | 4d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 1187 Bass Blvd Unit A Dunedin, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,850 | $2.18 | 24d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 1187 Bass Blvd Unit C Dunedin, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,850 | $2.18 | 18d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 841 Patricia Ave Dunedin, FL | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 904 | $1,950 | $2.16 | 16d | 2 | 1.15mi |
| 841 Patricia Ave #103 Dunedin, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 874 | $2,000 | $2.29 | 24d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 3055 Belcher Rd Dunedin, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,345 | $1.79 | 22d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 3052 Park Ln Unit B Dunedin, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 821 | $1,700 | $2.07 | 24d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 3071 Park Ln Unit C Dunedin, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 690 | $1,195 | $1.73 | 24d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 639 Michigan Blvd Unit 1800 Dunedin, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 616 | $1,200 | $1.95 | 24d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 612 Bass Ct Dunedin, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 698 | $2,031 | $2.91 | 1d | 6 | 1.27mi |
| 2780 Park Dr Unit D 4 Clearwater, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $1,625 | $1.81 | 24d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 580 Skinner Blvd Unit 4 Dunedin, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $2,045 | $2.73 | 24d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 2760 Belle Haven Dr Unit C Clearwater, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 682 | $1,550 | $2.27 | 16d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 2760 Belle Haven Dr Clearwater, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 682 | $1,550 | $2.27 | 4d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 525 Bay St Dunedin, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1104 | $3,500 | $3.17 | 4d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 2780 Cypress Dr Unit A Clearwater, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,749 | $1.94 | 22d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 2307 Cumberland Cir Clearwater, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 873 | $2,099 | $2.40 | 3d | 15 | 1.46mi |
| 1579 Bayshore Blvd Dunedin, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1040 | $3,500 | $3.37 | 7d | 1 | 1.50mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $275 · $3,300/yr
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $114,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $114,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $114,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $114,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $114,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $114,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $114,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $114,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-02status $114,900 Pending 12 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $114,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $114,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-20$114,900 Active
-
2025-04-29soldstatus $125,000
-
2003-05-01soldstatus $24,000
-
2001-12-01soldstatus $24,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,882 · $157/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,882 · $157/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,437
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,436
- − Property taxes
- −$1,882
- − Insurance
- −$574
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,875
- − Management
- −$1,875
- − HOA
- −$3,300
- − Depreciation
- −$3,343
- Taxable income
- $4,152
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$996
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,532/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pinellas
- NCES district ID
- 1201560
- Math proficiency
- 51% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,270
- Composite
- 43.27/100
- National rank
- #3046
- State rank
- #31 of 73 in FL
Livability — Dunedin
- Score
- 86/100
- State rank
- #15
- US rank
- #411
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Dunedin, FL
- County
- Pinellas County · 939,478 people
- City population
- 38,171
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 38,171
- Household income
- $74,078
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1390.0
Population outlook (Pinellas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,027,532 people
- By 2030
- 1,063,586 · +3.5%
- By 2040
- 1,125,020 · +9.5%
- By 2050
- 1,168,637 · +13.7%
- By 2075
- 1,265,188 · +23.1%
- By 2100
- 1,260,357 · +22.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 5% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Slovak 3% Romanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pinellas
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+5.2) · D 46.9% · R 52.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.5pp toward R · 2008: 8.3pp · 2024: -5.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.2 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+1.1 2012: D+5.6 2008: D+8.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -515.66%
- Current HPI
- 387.4694
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.69%
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+378.8% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Listed $114,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-04-29 Sold (Public Records) $125,000 Public Records
- 2003-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $24,000 Public Records
- 2001-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $24,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,882 · +25.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…