405 E 7th St · Lonoke, AR 72086

$74,000

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,118 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 52 Days on market

Built 1950 5,662 sqft lot Est $130k · 43% under

---

Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• Livability +3.2/5.0
• Schools +2.6/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Opportunity knocks! Transform this blank slate into the home of your dreams. * * * * AGENTS SEE REMARKS * * * *

Key facts

• 5,662 sq ft lot
• 2 garage spots
• Built 1950

Property features AI

Finance

• Financial info: Cash financing available

Exterior

• Parking: Garage for 2 cars
• Utilities: Public sewer; Public water; Municipal electric (Entergy)
• Home design: Frame construction; Crawl-space foundation
• Construction: Composition roof
• Exterior features: Paved road access; Corner lot; Located in a subdivision; Inside city limits

Interior

• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Other heating and cooling (see remarks)
• Interior features: Other interior features (see remarks)
• Laundry & utility: Laundry room

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $74k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $417 ($5k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $74k).
• Recommended offer: $72k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 13.1% vs local median 5.7% in Lonoke — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 63/100 on livability (#195 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A, housing A-; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
• Lonoke School District (town): math 30% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #146 of 238 in AR (top 61%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: 61 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 80% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 185 units permitted in Lonoke County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $512 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Lonoke County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($72k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $71,780 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.50% ✓
• Cap rate: 13.06%
• Cash-on-cash: 24.17%
• DSCR: 2.08
• GRM: 5.5

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $129,688
• Comps found: 12

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
405 E 7th St	0.00mi	3/1.0	1,118 (0%)	0mo	$9,000	$8	100
812 Eagle St	0.10mi	3/2.0	1,236 (+11%)	0mo	$20,000	$16	74
220 Wright St	0.24mi	2/1.0 (-1)	1,162 (+4%)	4mo	$135,000	$116	73
108 Willow Loop	0.38mi	3/1.5	1,126 (+1%)	15mo	$138,500	$123	67
110 Lynn Ln	0.24mi	3/2.0	1,237 (+11%)	1mo	$150,000	$121	66
521 E 8th St	0.15mi	3/2.0	1,220 (+9%)	10mo	$158,000	$130	66
4 Lynn Cv	0.47mi	3/1.5	1,072 (-4%)	13mo	$137,500	$128	59
420 Frank T Bunton St	0.63mi	3/1.0	1,200 (+7%)	0mo	$20,000	$17	58
311 Reynolds	0.54mi	3/1.0	1,100 (-2%)	16mo	$100,000	$91	58
2015 Dismukes St	0.60mi	3/1.0	1,208 (+8%)	6mo	$21,000	$17	54
505 W Ash St	0.65mi	2/1.0 (-1)	1,104 (-1%)	15mo	$165,000	$149	50
604 Frank T Bunton St	0.72mi	3/1.0	1,200 (+7%)	10mo	$77,000	$64	46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 17.4%
• Equity multiple: 1.70×
• Total profit: $14,576
• Equity at exit: $11,034

10-year hold

• IRR: 25.9%
• Equity multiple: 3.26×
• Total profit: $46,861
• Equity at exit: $6,398

Cash invested: $20,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Arkansas: 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 72086

• Home prices YoY: -18.4%
• Active inventory: 61
• Price-to-rent: 5.5×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,111 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$388
• Tax from tax record: −$42 /mo · $501/yr
• Insurance: −$31
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$233
• Net cashflow: $417

Break-even live

Break-even rent $583

Max offer price $74,000

Occupancy floor 57%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $18,500
• Closing costs: $2,220
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 5 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
700 Barnes St Lonoke, AR	3.0	1.5	1204	$1,350	$1.12	44d	1	0.08mi
412 E 3rd St Unit 5 Lonoke, AR	2.0	1.0	900	$800	$0.89	23d	1	0.20mi
412 E 3rd St Unit 3 Lonoke, AR	2.0	1.0	900	$800	$0.89	44d	1	0.21mi
311 E Cherry St Lonoke, AR	2.0	1.0	880	$1,080	$1.23	44d	1	0.78mi
112 E Palm St Lonoke, AR	3.0	2.0	1218	$1,350	$1.11	44d	1	0.83mi

Listing history 2 events

1. 2026-04-13
   status Under Contract
2. 2026-02-20
   listed $74,000 New Listing

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $501 · $42/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $501 · $42/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 10% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $13,337
• − Mortgage interest: −$4,145
• − Property taxes: −$501
• − Insurance: −$370
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,067
• − Management: −$1,067
• − Depreciation: −$2,153
• Taxable income: $4,034
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$968
• After-tax cash flow: $4,040/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Lonoke School District
• NCES district ID: 0509060
• Math proficiency: 30% ▼ -10.00%
• Reading proficiency: 31% ▼ -2.00%
• Median HH income: $46,440
• Composite: 26.28/100
• National rank: #7247
• State rank: #146 of 238 in AR

Livability — Lonoke

• Score: 63/100
• State rank: #195
• US rank: #15446

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A- Health & safety A User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Lonoke, AR
• Population (ZIP): 12,250

Population outlook (Lonoke County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 78,072 people
• By 2030: 80,673 · +3.3%
• By 2040: 84,977 · +8.8%
• By 2050: 87,778 · +12.4%
• By 2075: 91,398 · +17.1%
• By 2100: 87,858 · +12.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (79%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 79% Black 10% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 6%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 1% Portuguese 1% Slovak 1%
• Foreign-born: 4% · Canada
• Languages at home: 94% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lonoke

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+53.7) · D 22.2% · R 75.8% · Other 2.0%
• 2008→2024 swing: -6.2pp toward R · 2008: -47.5pp · 2024: -53.7pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+53.7 2020: R+52.8 2016: R+53.3 2012: R+50.9 2008: R+47.5

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -44.46%
• Current HPI: 197.6009
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.80%
• F500 in state: 10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Retail	1	$681B
▸Food / Agriculture	1	$53B
▸Retail / Energy	1	$22B
▸Transportation / Logistics	1	$12B
▸Energy	1	$4B

Price history

2 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-13 Pending — CARMLS
• 2026-02-20 Listed $74,000 CARMLS

Property tax history

-0.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $501 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.