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9116 Darnell Pl
C- Composite 54.19
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.1/30.0
  • DSCR +7.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +6.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$119,900

9116 Darnell Pl · Jennings, MO 63136
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,260 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 3 Days on market
Built 1956 7,936 sqft lot Est $100k · 20% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Investor-ready and dialed in for low-touch cash flow. Recent updates with flooring, paint, kitchen/bath, roof/HVAC/water heater. Essentially, the heavy lifting is done and major maintenance is years out. At $1,205/month this can be a solid rental property from day one. Solid bones, clean systems, and a tenant-friendly layout make this an easy addition for the experienced investor who'd rather collect rent than chase repairs. Drop it in the portfolio and go.

Key facts

  • 7,936 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1956

Tags

TENANT-FRIENDLY LAYOUTSOLID RENTAL PROPERTY

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other:
  • Financial info:
  • HOA & community:

Exterior

  • Parking: Has garage
  • Security:
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service (other)
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One-story
  • Construction: Other construction materials
  • Exterior features: Lot with other features

Interior

  • Kitchen: Stainless steel appliances; Electric cooktop
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on lower level)
  • Flooring:
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (on lower level)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Stainless steel appliances; Electric cooktop; Forced air heating; Central air conditioning; Full basement
  • Laundry & utility:

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $216 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
  • Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 12.2% in Jennings — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#208 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, commute A-, housing A-; Watch: crime F, amenities F, employment F.
  • Jennings (suburban): math 8% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #315 of 324 in MO (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 86% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Northview Elem. (math 3% / reading 20%, grade F, #1,022 of 1,115 statewide, top 92%, 524 students, 100% FRL); Jennings High (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #497 of 521 statewide, top 96%, 691 students, 100% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 376 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($41k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $5k of equity ($829 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (3.8% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (3.8% appreciation + 5.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $119,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.11%
Cap rate
8.45%
Cash-on-cash
7.70%
DSCR
1.34
GRM
7.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$99,540
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
8871 Boyce Pl 0.21mi 3/2.0 1,250 (-1%) 4mo $149,900 $120 82
2568 Dorwood Dr 0.08mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,336 (+6%) 4mo $105,000 $79 78
2035 Sun Valley Dr 0.17mi 3/2.0 1,170 (-7%) 4mo $68,900 $59 73
8870 Saint Cyr Dr 0.26mi 3/1.0 1,131 (-10%) 2mo $39,900 $35 69
5 Jendale Ct 0.54mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,267 (+1%) 6mo $69,995 $55 64
2410 Netherwood Dr 0.52mi 3/2.0 1,320 (+5%) 1mo $85,100 $64 63
9435 Eastchester Dr 0.70mi 3/1.0 1,195 (-5%) 2mo $55,500 $46 57
2225 Kerwin Dr 0.69mi 3/1.0 1,135 (-10%) 2mo $135,900 $120 50
8 Jendale Ct 0.52mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,127 (-11%) 4mo $125,000 $111 46
2434 Mary Ave 0.62mi 3/1.5 1,417 (+12%) 5mo $107,000 $76 44
9533 Winkler Dr 0.65mi 3/2.0 1,104 (-12%) 4mo $144,900 $131 42
9157 Victory Ave 0.69mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,127 (-11%) 5mo $129,900 $115 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.79% appreciation · 4.97% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
17.8%
Equity multiple
2.07×
Total profit
$35,957
Equity at exit
$59,325
10-year hold
IRR
19.6%
Equity multiple
4.19×
Total profit
$106,968
Equity at exit
$95,880

Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 63136

Home prices YoY
0.9%
Rents YoY
5.0%
Active inventory
376
Price-to-rent
7.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,325 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax from tax record
$152 /mo · $1,829/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$278
Net cashflow
$216

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,052
Max offer price $119,900
Occupancy floor 79%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $283 -5% $249 +0% $216 +5% $182 +10% $148
Rent -10% $111 -5% $163 +0% $216 +5% $268 +10% $320
Rate -1.0pp $276 -0.5pp $246 base $216 +0.5pp $184 +1.0pp $153

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$29,975
Closing costs
$3,597
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
8883 Saint Cyr Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 1632 $1,200 $0.74 44d 1 0.23mi
2152 Nemnich Rd Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.5 1030 $1,100 $1.07 44d 1 0.42mi
44 Jendale Ct Saint Louis, MO 2.0 2.0 1820 $1,350 $0.74 24d 1 0.49mi
7 Lamar Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 894 $1,200 $1.34 18d 1 0.53mi
9418 Pattonwood Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 2.0 982 $1,500 $1.53 24d 1 0.71mi
9744 Lanier Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1014 $1,345 $1.33 44d 1 0.76mi
8817 Shady Grove Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 1085 $1,075 $0.99 24d 1 0.77mi
9723 Portage Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1014 $1,450 $1.43 8d 1 0.78mi
8720 Akins Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 1012 $1,150 $1.14 24d 1 0.82mi
9709 Balboa Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,600 $1.60 44d 1 0.83mi
1225 Newark Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 944 $1,400 $1.48 4d 1 0.84mi
9547 Glen Owen Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 923 $985 $1.07 24d 1 0.85mi
2056 Coleridge Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 949 $1,195 $1.26 24d 1 0.87mi
9812 Balboa Dr Saint Louis, MO 4.0 2.0 1500 $1,495 $1.00 22d 1 0.90mi
2415 Shirley Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 990 $1,450 $1.46 24d 1 0.91mi
8824 Huiskamp Ave Saint Louis, MO 4.0 1.0 1548 $1,200 $0.78 24d 1 0.94mi
2321 Noll Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 975 $1,320 $1.35 24d 1 0.96mi
2427 Switzer Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1008 $1,300 $1.29 44d 1 0.97mi
2527 Switzer Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 888 $1,135 $1.28 17d 1 0.99mi
2257 Chambers Rd Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,400 $1.17 24d 1 1.00mi
2546 Main St Saint Louis, MO 4.0 1.0 984 $1,269 $1.29 44d 1 1.04mi
1926 Chambers Rd Saint Louis, MO 4.0 1.0 1095 $995 $0.91 15d 1 1.06mi
2646 Terrace Ln Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 1565 $1,275 $0.81 24d 1 1.06mi
2326 Chambers Rd Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 1056 $1,050 $0.99 24d 1 1.07mi
2022 McLaran Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 1181 $1,593 $1.35 15d 1 1.09mi
2623 Avie Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 921 $1,350 $1.47 44d 1 1.10mi
9725 Medford Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 912 $1,485 $1.63 44d 1 1.15mi
9908 Norbridge Ln Saint Louis, MO 2.0 2.0 1240 $1,650 $1.33 20d 1 1.18mi
1942 Damato Ct Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 905 $1,100 $1.22 44d 1 1.18mi
1733 Kappel Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 912 $1,250 $1.37 24d 1 1.18mi
8527 Dianthus Ln Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 976 $1,295 $1.33 44d 1 1.20mi
9750 Lorna Ln Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1032 $1,100 $1.07 44d 1 1.21mi
1550 Northwinds Estates Dr St. Louis, MO 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 877 $1,050 $1.20 44d 1 1.23mi
10078 Green Valley Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 900 $1,325 $1.47 8d 1 1.24mi
9717 Dennis Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1056 $1,323 $1.25 44d 1 1.25mi
10113 Count Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 882 $775 $0.88 44d 1 1.26mi
8502 Dianthus Ln Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 1072 $1,175 $1.10 24d 1 1.26mi
10129 Cavalier Ct Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.5 912 $1,250 $1.37 24d 1 1.29mi
9839 Medford Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 912 $1,095 $1.20 44d 1 1.30mi
9840 Medford Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 912 $1,095 $1.20 44d 1 1.30mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $119,900 Active 3 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    remarks 461-char remark
  3. 2026-06-19
    listed $119,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,829 · $152/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,829 · $152/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,899
− Mortgage interest
−$6,716
− Property taxes
−$1,829
− Insurance
−$600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,272
− Management
−$1,272
− Depreciation
−$3,488
Taxable income
$722
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$173
After-tax cash flow
$2,413/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jennings
NCES district ID
2916290
Math proficiency
8% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
20% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$30,595
Composite
11.04/100
National rank
#9739
State rank
#315 of 324 in MO

Livability — Jennings

Score
67/100
State rank
#208
US rank
#10499

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A- Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A- Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jennings, MO
County
Saint Louis County · 888,823 people
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
40,929
Household income
$41,154
Rent vs Own
53.1% rent · 46.9% own
Severe rent burden
3085.0

Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,025,227 people
By 2030
1,028,023 · +0.3%
By 2040
1,020,940 · -0.4%
By 2050
1,007,280 · -1.8%
By 2075
987,277 · -3.7%
By 2100
921,984 · -10.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (90%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 90% White 5% Two or more races 3%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada

Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis

2024 margin
Strong D (+23.4) · D 60.8% · R 37.4% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
+3.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: 23.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+16.2 2012: D+13.7 2008: D+19.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.79%
Current HPI
420.28
Rent YoY
▲ 4.97%
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+215.5% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-18 Listed $119,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-06-07 Sold (Public Records) $119,995 Public Records
  • 2020-12-31 Sold (Public Records) $38,000 Public Records
  • 1979-11-01 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+6.0%/yr

Latest (2022): $1,829 · +1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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