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712 Flamingo Dr
B Composite 70.99
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +6.2/15.0
  • Schools +5.1/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$75,000

712 Flamingo Dr · Lafayette, CO 80026
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 858 sqft · Manufactured public records · 13 Days on market
Built 1978 852 sqft lot Est $73k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Beautiful 2-bedroom 1-bath single wide home located in Arbordale Acres. Arbordale Acres features its own clubhouse with an outdoor community area. This community area offers outdoor brick ovens and a park. Living room is open to kitchen and dining room. Washer and Dryer are included and have built-in cabinets for storage. Stove is gas, and all appliances are included. Master bedroom has his and her closets and its own door to the bathroom. This mobile home also has a ramp for easy access to the home. It includes a shed in the backyard and an individual covered parking! Arbordale Acres is a very quiet community minutes away from downtown Lafayette. Schedule your showing today-contact Rhea Guadiana 303-332-7933 for more information.

Key facts

  • 3 parking spots
  • Built 1978
  • Listed 13 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Land lease in effect ($1,150 monthly; lease expires February 18, 2027)

Exterior

  • Parking: 3 parking spaces (carport for 3)
  • Utilities: Public sewer; Public water
  • Home design: Manufactured home located in a park; Single-story
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Manufactured construction
  • Exterior features: Metal roof; Located in the Arbordale Acres park; Public water

Interior

  • Kitchen: Includes dishwasher, oven, refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (both on the main level)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (on the main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Dishwasher, Oven, Refrigerator; One fireplace

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $75k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $75k).
  • Cap rate 23.2% vs local median 2.6% in Lafayette — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 85/100 on livability (#1 in CO, #566 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime C-, cost of living F.
  • Boulder Valley School District No. Re2 (urban): math 49% / reading 67% proficiency, ranked #6 of 86 in CO (top 7%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 16% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Alicia Sanchez International School (math 5% / reading 22%, grade F, #824 of 966 statewide, top 88%, 343 students, 74% FRL); Angevine Middle School (math 29% / reading 47%, grade F, #90 of 270 statewide, top 34%, 661 students, 44% FRL); Centaurus High School (math 54% / reading 74%, grade B-, #38 of 381 statewide, top 10%, 1,525 students, 32% FRL) — zoned schools average 50% FRL vs 16% district-wide (34 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 38% at this address vs 58% district-wide (-20 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Boulder Valley School District No. Re2 average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 200 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,688 units permitted in Boulder County in 2024 (1,136 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Boulder County population projected at +40% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.6% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $55k; 36% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $75,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.66%
Cap rate
23.20%
Cash-on-cash
60.38%
DSCR
3.69
GRM
3.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$72,930
Comps found
8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
277 Skylark Cir 0.20mi 2/1.0 928 (+8%) 1mo $75,000 $81 77
723 Oriole Dr 0.09mi 3/2.0 (+1) 871 (+2%) 18mo $20,000 $23 70
804 Meadowlark Cv 0.13mi 2/2.0 938 (+9%) 8mo $80,000 $85 67
304 Skylark Cir 0.17mi 3/2.0 (+1) 924 (+8%) 5mo $82,000 $89 66
709 Cardinal Dr 0.11mi 3/2.0 (+1) 960 (+12%) 1mo $104,000 $108 66
807 Flamingo Cv 0.12mi 2/1.0 980 (+14%) 11mo $48,000 $49 61
723 Quail Dr 0.12mi 3/2.0 (+1) 952 (+11%) 20mo $85,000 $89 50
11990 E South Boulder Rd #143 0.49mi 3/2.0 (+1) 980 (+14%) 3mo $45,000 $46 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.56% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
57.5%
Equity multiple
3.49×
Total profit
$52,331
Equity at exit
$11,183
10-year hold
IRR
61.9%
Equity multiple
6.76×
Total profit
$121,001
Equity at exit
$6,485

Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
38 Tenant-Leaning
State Colorado
38 Tenant-Leaning · D+4
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2023 reforms: 10-day cure, mandated notice, source-of-income protected. Courts backlogged in Denver.

ZIP-level market 80026

Rents YoY
1.6%
Active inventory
200
Price-to-rent
3.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,994 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$393
Tax est. 1.5%
$94 /mo · $1,125/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$419
Net cashflow
$1,057

Break-even live

Break-even rent $656
Max offer price $75,000
Occupancy floor 42%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,109 -5% $1,083 +0% $1,057 +5% $1,031 +10% $1,005
Rent -10% $899 -5% $978 +0% $1,057 +5% $1,135 +10% $1,214
Rate -1.0pp $1,094 -0.5pp $1,076 base $1,057 +0.5pp $1,037 +1.0pp $1,018

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,750
Closing costs
$2,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 10 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
718 Dove Dr Lafayette, CO 2.0 2.0 975 $2,204 $2.26 21d 1 0.06mi
404 S Foote Ave Unit A Lafayette, CO 2.0 1.0 950 $1,325 $1.39 21d 1 0.17mi
440 Strathmore Ln Lafayette, CO 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 906 $2,405 $2.65 14d 15 0.34mi
601 Merlin Dr Lafayette, CO 2.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 973 $1,706 $1.75 14d 9 0.38mi
235 S Boulder Rd Lafayette, CO 3.0 1.0–3.5 1320 $2,856 $2.16 14d 1 0.47mi
310 W Simpson St Unit 2 Lafayette, CO 1.0 1.0 950 $1,395 $1.47 21d 1 0.64mi
1425 Bacchus Dr Unit C13 Lafayette, CO 2.0 1.0 900 $1,750 $1.94 14d 1 1.28mi
695 S Lafayette Dr Lafayette, CO 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 900 $2,473 $2.75 14d 27 1.31mi
1400 Crete Ct Lafayette, CO 1.0 1.0 695 $1,575 $2.27 21d 1 1.31mi
2500 S Public Rd Lafayette, CO 2.0 1.0 775 $1,939 $2.50 14d 3 1.37mi

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $75,000 Active 13 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $75,000 Active 12 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $75,000 Active 11 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $75,000 Active 10 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $75,000 Active 8 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $75,000 Active 7 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $75,000 Active 5 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $75,000 Active 4 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $75,000 Active 3 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $75,000 Active 2 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $75,000 Coming Soon 3 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $75,000 Coming Soon 2 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    remarks 692-char remark
  14. 2026-06-02
    listed $75,000 Coming Soon 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 70% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,924
− Mortgage interest
−$4,201
− Property taxes
−$1,125
− Insurance
−$375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,914
− Management
−$1,914
− Depreciation
−$2,182
Taxable income
$12,213
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,931
After-tax cash flow
$9,749/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Boulder Valley School District No. Re2
NCES district ID
0802490
Math proficiency
49% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
67% ▲ 4.00%
Median HH income
$70,395
Composite
51.3/100
National rank
#1747
State rank
#6 of 86 in CO

Livability — Lafayette

Score
85/100
State rank
#1
US rank
#566

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime C- Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lafayette, CO
County
Boulder County · 271,666 people
City population
32,701
Metro
Boulder, CO
Population (ZIP)
32,701
Household income
$120,187
Rent vs Own
34.1% rent · 65.9% own
Severe rent burden
1019.0

Population outlook (Boulder County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
380,833 people
By 2030
412,028 · +8.2%
By 2040
472,764 · +24.1%
By 2050
532,029 · +39.7%
By 2075
679,723 · +78.5%
By 2100
766,278 · +101.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (74%)
Race & ethnicity
White 74% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 11% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 9% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Boulder

2024 margin
Solid D (+55.8) · D 76.5% · R 20.8% · Other 2.7%
2008→2024 swing
+9.6pp toward D · 2008: 46.1pp · 2024: 55.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+55.8 2020: D+56.6 2016: D+48.6 2012: D+41.5 2008: D+46.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -489.04%
Current HPI
280.2819
Rent YoY
▲ 1.56%
Metro
Boulder, CO
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.95%
F500 in state
14

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+971.4% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-01 Coming Soon $75,000 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-08 Listing Removed REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-30 Price Changed $79,000 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-28 Listed $89,900 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-12-14 Sold (MLS) $55,000 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-12-03 Pending REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-11-19 Listed $59,900 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2009-04-24 Sold (Public Records) $7,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+6.1%/yr

Latest (2021): $113 · +5.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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