712 Flamingo Dr · Lafayette, CO
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.7%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $939 – $1,743
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +6.2/15.0
- Schools +5.1/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$75,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Beautiful 2-bedroom 1-bath single wide home located in Arbordale Acres. Arbordale Acres features its own clubhouse with an outdoor community area. This community area offers outdoor brick ovens and a park. Living room is open to kitchen and dining room. Washer and Dryer are included and have built-in cabinets for storage. Stove is gas, and all appliances are included. Master bedroom has his and her closets and its own door to the bathroom. This mobile home also has a ramp for easy access to the home. It includes a shed in the backyard and an individual covered parking! Arbordale Acres is a very quiet community minutes away from downtown Lafayette. Schedule your showing today-contact Rhea Guadiana 303-332-7933 for more information.
Key facts
- 3 parking spots
- Built 1978
- Listed 13 days
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Land lease in effect ($1,150 monthly; lease expires February 18, 2027)
Exterior
- Parking: 3 parking spaces (carport for 3)
- Utilities: Public sewer; Public water
- Home design: Manufactured home located in a park; Single-story
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Manufactured construction
- Exterior features: Metal roof; Located in the Arbordale Acres park; Public water
Interior
- Kitchen: Includes dishwasher, oven, refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (both on the main level)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (on the main level)
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Dishwasher, Oven, Refrigerator; One fireplace
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $75k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $75k).
- Cap rate 23.2% vs local median 2.6% in Lafayette — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 85/100 on livability (#1 in CO, #566 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime C-, cost of living F.
- Boulder Valley School District No. Re2 (urban): math 49% / reading 67% proficiency, ranked #6 of 86 in CO (top 7%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 16% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Alicia Sanchez International School (math 5% / reading 22%, grade F, #824 of 966 statewide, top 88%, 343 students, 74% FRL); Angevine Middle School (math 29% / reading 47%, grade F, #90 of 270 statewide, top 34%, 661 students, 44% FRL); Centaurus High School (math 54% / reading 74%, grade B-, #38 of 381 statewide, top 10%, 1,525 students, 32% FRL) — zoned schools average 50% FRL vs 16% district-wide (34 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 38% at this address vs 58% district-wide (-20 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Boulder Valley School District No. Re2 average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 200 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,688 units permitted in Boulder County in 2024 (1,136 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Boulder County population projected at +40% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.6% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $55k; 36% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.66% ✓
- Cap rate
- 23.20%
- Cash-on-cash
- 60.38%
- DSCR
- 3.69
- GRM
- 3.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $72,930
- Comps found
- 8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 277 Skylark Cir | 0.20mi | 2/1.0 | 928 (+8%) | 1mo | $75,000 | $81 | 77 |
| 723 Oriole Dr | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 871 (+2%) | 18mo | $20,000 | $23 | 70 |
| 804 Meadowlark Cv | 0.13mi | 2/2.0 | 938 (+9%) | 8mo | $80,000 | $85 | 67 |
| 304 Skylark Cir | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 924 (+8%) | 5mo | $82,000 | $89 | 66 |
| 709 Cardinal Dr | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 960 (+12%) | 1mo | $104,000 | $108 | 66 |
| 807 Flamingo Cv | 0.12mi | 2/1.0 | 980 (+14%) | 11mo | $48,000 | $49 | 61 |
| 723 Quail Dr | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 952 (+11%) | 20mo | $85,000 | $89 | 50 |
| 11990 E South Boulder Rd #143 | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 980 (+14%) | 3mo | $45,000 | $46 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.56% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 57.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.49×
- Total profit
- $52,331
- Equity at exit
- $11,183
- IRR
- 61.9%
- Equity multiple
- 6.76×
- Total profit
- $121,001
- Equity at exit
- $6,485
Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 38 Tenant-Leaning
- State Colorado
- 38 Tenant-Leaning · D+4
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 80026
- Rents YoY
- 1.6%
- Active inventory
- 200
- Price-to-rent
- 3.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,994 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$393
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$94 /mo · $1,125/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$419
- Net cashflow
- $1,057
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,109 | -5% $1,083 | +0% $1,057 | +5% $1,031 | +10% $1,005 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $899 | -5% $978 | +0% $1,057 | +5% $1,135 | +10% $1,214 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,094 | -0.5pp $1,076 | base $1,057 | +0.5pp $1,037 | +1.0pp $1,018 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,750
- Closing costs
- $2,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 718 Dove Dr Lafayette, CO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 975 | $2,204 | $2.26 | 21d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 404 S Foote Ave Unit A Lafayette, CO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,325 | $1.39 | 21d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 440 Strathmore Ln Lafayette, CO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 906 | $2,405 | $2.65 | 14d | 15 | 0.34mi |
| 601 Merlin Dr Lafayette, CO | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 973 | $1,706 | $1.75 | 14d | 9 | 0.38mi |
| 235 S Boulder Rd Lafayette, CO | 3.0 | 1.0–3.5 | 1320 | $2,856 | $2.16 | 14d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 310 W Simpson St Unit 2 Lafayette, CO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,395 | $1.47 | 21d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 1425 Bacchus Dr Unit C13 Lafayette, CO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,750 | $1.94 | 14d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 695 S Lafayette Dr Lafayette, CO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 900 | $2,473 | $2.75 | 14d | 27 | 1.31mi |
| 1400 Crete Ct Lafayette, CO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 695 | $1,575 | $2.27 | 21d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 2500 S Public Rd Lafayette, CO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 775 | $1,939 | $2.50 | 14d | 3 | 1.37mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $75,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $75,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $75,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $75,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $75,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $75,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $75,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $75,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $75,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $75,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $75,000 Coming Soon 3 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $75,000 Coming Soon 2 DOM
-
2026-06-02remarks 692-char remark
-
2026-06-02$75,000 Coming Soon 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 70% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,924
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,201
- − Property taxes
- −$1,125
- − Insurance
- −$375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,914
- − Management
- −$1,914
- − Depreciation
- −$2,182
- Taxable income
- $12,213
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,931
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,749/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Boulder Valley School District No. Re2
- NCES district ID
- 0802490
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 67% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $70,395
- Composite
- 51.3/100
- National rank
- #1747
- State rank
- #6 of 86 in CO
Livability — Lafayette
- Score
- 85/100
- State rank
- #1
- US rank
- #566
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lafayette, CO
- County
- Boulder County · 271,666 people
- City population
- 32,701
- Metro
- Boulder, CO
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,701
- Household income
- $120,187
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1019.0
Population outlook (Boulder County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 380,833 people
- By 2030
- 412,028 · +8.2%
- By 2040
- 472,764 · +24.1%
- By 2050
- 532,029 · +39.7%
- By 2075
- 679,723 · +78.5%
- By 2100
- 766,278 · +101.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 11% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 9% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Boulder
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+55.8) · D 76.5% · R 20.8% · Other 2.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.6pp toward D · 2008: 46.1pp · 2024: 55.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+55.8 2020: D+56.6 2016: D+48.6 2012: D+41.5 2008: D+46.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -489.04%
- Current HPI
- 280.2819
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.56%
- Metro
- Boulder, CO
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.95%
- F500 in state
- 14
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $31B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Packaging | 1 | $14B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $13B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Technology | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
+971.4% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-01 Coming Soon $75,000 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-08 Listing Removed — REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-30 Price Changed $79,000 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-28 Listed $89,900 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-12-14 Sold (MLS) $55,000 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-12-03 Pending — REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-11-19 Listed $59,900 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-04-24 Sold (Public Records) $7,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.1%/yrLatest (2021): $113 · +5.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…