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30757 Hidden Pines Ln
D Composite 44.33
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.8/10.0
  • DSCR +4.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$108,999

30757 Hidden Pines Ln · Roseville, MI 48066
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 824 sqft · Condo · 22 Days on market
Built 1994 $225/mo HOA · 17% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Outstanding First-Level End Unit Condo! This cozy and charming 2-bedroom condo offers a fantastic layout with a door wall leading to a private balcony—perfect for relaxing. The home features two spacious bedrooms, one full bath, and in-unit laundry for added convenience, plus the benefit of a covered carport. Ideally located in a prime area of the complex with easy access to I-94, shopping, and dining, this end unit backs to open space, providing extra peace and privacy. Don’t miss this opportunity — Agent Owned.

Key facts

  • $225 HOA
  • Built 1994
  • Listed 22 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $109k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $38 ($451/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $109k).
  • Recommended offer: $107k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#258 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D+, employment D, crime F.
  • Roseville Community Schools (suburban): math 11% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #483 of 540 in MI (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Roseville High School (math 12% / reading 27%, grade F, #622 of 713 statewide, top 88%, 1,216 students, 70% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 269 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,321 units permitted in Macomb County in 2024 (86 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $753 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Macomb County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($107k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 9 sale attempts since 29y ago; this cycle's ask is 8285% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Recommended offer $107,364 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  2. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.18%
Cap rate
6.71%
Cash-on-cash
1.48%
DSCR
1.07
GRM
7.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.39% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-17.6%
Equity multiple
0.40×
Total profit
$-18,403
Equity at exit
$16,252
10-year hold
IRR
-17.7%
Equity multiple
0.18×
Total profit
$-25,121
Equity at exit
$9,424

Cash invested: $30,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48066

Rents YoY
0.4%
Active inventory
269
Price-to-rent
7.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,286 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$572
Tax est. 1.5%
$136 /mo · $1,635/yr
Insurance
$45
HOA
$225
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$270
Net cashflow
$38

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,238
Max offer price $108,999
Occupancy floor 92%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $113 -5% $75 +0% $38 +5% $0 +10% $-38
Rent -10% $-64 -5% $-13 +0% $38 +5% $88 +10% $139
Rate -1.0pp $92 -0.5pp $65 base $38 +0.5pp $9 +1.0pp $-19

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,250
Closing costs
$3,270
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 23 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
30761 Hidden Pines Ln Roseville, MI 2.0 1.0 877 $1,295 $1.48 0d 1 0.04mi
30583 Hidden Pines Ln Roseville, MI 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,250 $1.14 18d 1 0.07mi
17134 E Thirteen Mile Rd Roseville, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 825 $1,269 $1.54 3d 16 0.14mi
30512 Oakridge Manor Dr Roseville, MI 2.0 1.5 1002 $1,350 $1.35 26d 1 0.22mi
31577 Fraser Dr #3 Fraser, MI 2.0 1.0 950 $1,250 $1.32 45d 1 0.47mi
16951 General Ave Fraser, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,250 $1.39 7d 1 0.81mi
18391 Masonic Apt 1 Fraser, MI 2.0 1.0 720 $995 $1.38 18d 1 0.81mi
16651 Twelve Mile Rd Roseville, MI 2.0–3.0 1.5 957 $1,325 $1.38 0d 1 0.91mi
30541 Bluehill St Roseville, MI 3.0 1.5 989 $1,850 $1.87 45d 1 0.93mi
19040 E 13 Mile Rd Roseville, MI 3.0 1.0 1008 $1,550 $1.54 0d 1 0.96mi
19054 E 13 Mile Rd Roseville, MI 3.0 1.0 1066 $1,600 $1.50 0d 1 0.98mi
16577 12 Mile Rd Roseville, MI 2.0 1.0 850 $1,275 $1.50 45d 1 0.99mi
16579 12 Mile Rd Unit 16579 Roseville, MI 2.0 1.0 850 $1,275 $1.50 45d 1 0.99mi
16425 12 Mile Rd Roseville, MI 1.0 1.0 600 $950 $1.58 45d 1 1.03mi
16425 12 Mile Rd Roseville, MI 2.0 1.0 800 $1,100 $1.38 23d 1 1.03mi
16435 Twelve Mile Rd Roseville, MI 1.0 1.0 600 $950 $1.58 45d 1 1.04mi
28744 Maple St Roseville, MI 3.0 1.0 1050 $1,295 $1.23 45d 1 1.08mi
28368 Rosemont St Roseville, MI 2.0 1.0 696 $1,500 $2.16 23d 1 1.22mi
16950 Kennedy Dr E Fraser, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 755 $1,125 $1.49 16d 2 1.23mi
18600 14 Mile Rd Fraser, MI 2.0 1.0 1070 $1,195 $1.12 26d 1 1.30mi
32870 Kelly Rd Roseville, MI 1.0 1.0 800 $965 $1.21 18d 1 1.36mi
29125 Hayes Rd Warren, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,395 $1.55 1d 1 1.46mi
29157 Hayes Rd Warren, MI 1.0 1.0 720 $1,250 $1.74 45d 1 1.46mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$225 · $2,700/yr
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-04-15
    historical $1,300
  2. 2026-04-02
    price $1,300
  3. 2026-03-14
    price $1,225
  4. 2026-03-13
    listed $1,300
  5. 2026-02-05
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (536 chars)

    Outstanding First-Level End Unit Condo! This cozy and charming 2-bedroom condo offers a fantastic layout with a door wall leading to a private balcony—perfect for relaxing. The home features two spacious bedrooms, one full bath, and in-unit laundry for added convenience, plus the benefit of a covered carport. Ideally located in a prime area of the complex with easy access to I-94, shopping, and dining, this end unit backs to open space, providing extra peace and privacy. Don’t miss this opportunity — Agent Owned.

  6. 2026-02-05
    status Pending 536-char remark
    Show marketing remark (536 chars)

    Outstanding First-Level End Unit Condo! This cozy and charming 2-bedroom condo offers a fantastic layout with a door wall leading to a private balcony—perfect for relaxing. The home features two spacious bedrooms, one full bath, and in-unit laundry for added convenience, plus the benefit of a covered carport. Ideally located in a prime area of the complex with easy access to I-94, shopping, and dining, this end unit backs to open space, providing extra peace and privacy. Don’t miss this opportunity — Agent Owned.

  7. 2026-01-14
    listed $108,999 Active
    Show marketing remark (536 chars)

    Outstanding First-Level End Unit Condo! This cozy and charming 2-bedroom condo offers a fantastic layout with a door wall leading to a private balcony—perfect for relaxing. The home features two spacious bedrooms, one full bath, and in-unit laundry for added convenience, plus the benefit of a covered carport. Ideally located in a prime area of the complex with easy access to I-94, shopping, and dining, this end unit backs to open space, providing extra peace and privacy. Don’t miss this opportunity — Agent Owned.

  8. 2026-01-14
    listed $108,999 Active 536-char remark
    Show marketing remark (536 chars)

    Outstanding First-Level End Unit Condo! This cozy and charming 2-bedroom condo offers a fantastic layout with a door wall leading to a private balcony—perfect for relaxing. The home features two spacious bedrooms, one full bath, and in-unit laundry for added convenience, plus the benefit of a covered carport. Ideally located in a prime area of the complex with easy access to I-94, shopping, and dining, this end unit backs to open space, providing extra peace and privacy. Don’t miss this opportunity — Agent Owned.

  9. 2026-01-07
    historical $108,999 536-char remark
    Show marketing remark (536 chars)

    Outstanding First-Level End Unit Condo! This cozy and charming 2-bedroom condo offers a fantastic layout with a door wall leading to a private balcony—perfect for relaxing. The home features two spacious bedrooms, one full bath, and in-unit laundry for added convenience, plus the benefit of a covered carport. Ideally located in a prime area of the complex with easy access to I-94, shopping, and dining, this end unit backs to open space, providing extra peace and privacy. Don’t miss this opportunity — Agent Owned.

  10. 2025-04-08
    historical
  11. 2025-02-17
    listed $108,999 Active
  12. 2025-02-17
    listed $108,999 Active
  13. 2023-10-05
    soldstatus $97,000 Sold
  14. 2023-10-05
    soldstatus $97,000 Closed
  15. 2023-09-15
    status Pending
  16. 2023-09-15
    status Pending
  17. 2023-09-14
    listed $100,000 Active
  18. 2023-09-14
    listed $100,000 Active
  19. 2023-09-12
    historical $100,000
  20. 2023-09-12
    historical $100,000
  21. 2004-01-20
    soldstatus $85,000
  22. 2003-12-29
    historical
  23. 2003-09-30
    listed $89,900
  24. 1997-11-19
    soldstatus $63,000
  25. 1997-10-30
    historical
  26. 1997-10-21
    listed $64,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,430
− Mortgage interest
−$6,106
− Property taxes
−$1,635
− Insurance
−$545
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,234
− Management
−$1,234
− HOA
−$2,700
− Depreciation
−$3,171
Taxable loss
−$1,195
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$287
After-tax cash flow
$738/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Roseville Community Schools
NCES district ID
2630210
Math proficiency
11% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$41,590
Composite
14.98/100
National rank
#9363
State rank
#483 of 540 in MI

Livability — Roseville

Score
72/100
State rank
#258
US rank
#6400

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Roseville, MI
County
Macomb County · 638,552 people
City population
47,123
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
47,123
Household income
$62,182
Rent vs Own
34.4% rent · 65.6% own
Severe rent burden
1712.0

Population outlook (Macomb County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
925,296 people
By 2030
948,226 · +2.5%
By 2040
983,961 · +6.3%
By 2050
1,010,200 · +9.2%
By 2075
1,076,222 · +16.3%
By 2100
1,077,065 · +16.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (65%)
Race & ethnicity
White 65% Black 23% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 12% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Macomb

2024 margin
R (+13.7) · D 42.2% · R 55.9% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-22.3pp toward R · 2008: 8.6pp · 2024: -13.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+13.7 2020: R+8.1 2016: R+11.6 2012: D+4.0 2008: D+8.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -232.95%
Current HPI
217.4171
Rent YoY
▲ 0.39%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-98.0% since first listed
26 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-15 Rental Removed $1,300 TURBOTENANT
  • 2026-04-02 Price Changed $1,300 TURBOTENANT
  • 2026-03-14 Price Changed $1,225 TURBOTENANT
  • 2026-03-13 Listed for Rent $1,300 TURBOTENANT
  • 2026-02-05 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-02-05 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-01-14 Listed $108,999 REALCOMP
  • 2026-01-14 Listed $108,999 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-01-07 Coming Soon $108,999 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-04-08 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-02-17 Listed $108,999 REALCOMP
  • 2025-02-17 Listed $108,999 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-10-05 Sold (MLS) $97,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-10-05 Sold (MLS) $97,000 REALCOMP
  • 2023-09-15 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-09-15 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2023-09-14 Listed $100,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-09-14 Listed $100,000 REALCOMP
  • 2023-09-12 Coming Soon $100,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-09-12 Coming Soon $100,000 REALCOMP
  • 2004-01-20 Sold (MLS) $85,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2003-12-29 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2003-09-30 Listed $89,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 1997-11-19 Sold (MLS) $63,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 1997-10-30 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 1997-10-21 Listed $64,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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