30757 Hidden Pines Ln · Roseville, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.2/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.8/10.0
- DSCR +4.7/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$108,999
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Outstanding First-Level End Unit Condo! This cozy and charming 2-bedroom condo offers a fantastic layout with a door wall leading to a private balcony—perfect for relaxing. The home features two spacious bedrooms, one full bath, and in-unit laundry for added convenience, plus the benefit of a covered carport. Ideally located in a prime area of the complex with easy access to I-94, shopping, and dining, this end unit backs to open space, providing extra peace and privacy. Don’t miss this opportunity — Agent Owned.
Key facts
- $225 HOA
- Built 1994
- Listed 22 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $109k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $38 ($451/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $109k).
- Recommended offer: $107k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#258 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D+, employment D, crime F.
- Roseville Community Schools (suburban): math 11% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #483 of 540 in MI (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Roseville High School (math 12% / reading 27%, grade F, #622 of 713 statewide, top 88%, 1,216 students, 70% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 269 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,321 units permitted in Macomb County in 2024 (86 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $753 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Macomb County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($107k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 9 sale attempts since 29y ago; this cycle's ask is 8285% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.18% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.71%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.48%
- DSCR
- 1.07
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.39% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.40×
- Total profit
- $-18,403
- Equity at exit
- $16,252
- IRR
- -17.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.18×
- Total profit
- $-25,121
- Equity at exit
- $9,424
Cash invested: $30,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48066
- Rents YoY
- 0.4%
- Active inventory
- 269
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,286 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$572
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$136 /mo · $1,635/yr
- Insurance
- −$45
- HOA
- −$225
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$270
- Net cashflow
- $38
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $113 | -5% $75 | +0% $38 | +5% $0 | +10% $-38 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-64 | -5% $-13 | +0% $38 | +5% $88 | +10% $139 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $92 | -0.5pp $65 | base $38 | +0.5pp $9 | +1.0pp $-19 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,250
- Closing costs
- $3,270
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 23 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30761 Hidden Pines Ln Roseville, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 877 | $1,295 | $1.48 | 0d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 30583 Hidden Pines Ln Roseville, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,250 | $1.14 | 18d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 17134 E Thirteen Mile Rd Roseville, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $1,269 | $1.54 | 3d | 16 | 0.14mi |
| 30512 Oakridge Manor Dr Roseville, MI | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1002 | $1,350 | $1.35 | 26d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 31577 Fraser Dr #3 Fraser, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,250 | $1.32 | 45d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 16951 General Ave Fraser, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,250 | $1.39 | 7d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 18391 Masonic Apt 1 Fraser, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $995 | $1.38 | 18d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 16651 Twelve Mile Rd Roseville, MI | 2.0–3.0 | 1.5 | 957 | $1,325 | $1.38 | 0d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 30541 Bluehill St Roseville, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 989 | $1,850 | $1.87 | 45d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 19040 E 13 Mile Rd Roseville, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $1,550 | $1.54 | 0d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 19054 E 13 Mile Rd Roseville, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1066 | $1,600 | $1.50 | 0d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 16577 12 Mile Rd Roseville, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,275 | $1.50 | 45d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 16579 12 Mile Rd Unit 16579 Roseville, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,275 | $1.50 | 45d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 16425 12 Mile Rd Roseville, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $950 | $1.58 | 45d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 16425 12 Mile Rd Roseville, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,100 | $1.38 | 23d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 16435 Twelve Mile Rd Roseville, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $950 | $1.58 | 45d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 28744 Maple St Roseville, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,295 | $1.23 | 45d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 28368 Rosemont St Roseville, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 696 | $1,500 | $2.16 | 23d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 16950 Kennedy Dr E Fraser, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 755 | $1,125 | $1.49 | 16d | 2 | 1.23mi |
| 18600 14 Mile Rd Fraser, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1070 | $1,195 | $1.12 | 26d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 32870 Kelly Rd Roseville, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $965 | $1.21 | 18d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 29125 Hayes Rd Warren, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,395 | $1.55 | 1d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 29157 Hayes Rd Warren, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,250 | $1.74 | 45d | 1 | 1.46mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $225 · $2,700/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-04-15historical $1,300
-
2026-04-02price $1,300
-
2026-03-14price $1,225
-
2026-03-13$1,300
-
2026-02-05status Pending
Show marketing remark (536 chars)
Outstanding First-Level End Unit Condo! This cozy and charming 2-bedroom condo offers a fantastic layout with a door wall leading to a private balcony—perfect for relaxing. The home features two spacious bedrooms, one full bath, and in-unit laundry for added convenience, plus the benefit of a covered carport. Ideally located in a prime area of the complex with easy access to I-94, shopping, and dining, this end unit backs to open space, providing extra peace and privacy. Don’t miss this opportunity — Agent Owned.
-
2026-02-05status Pending 536-char remark
Show marketing remark (536 chars)
Outstanding First-Level End Unit Condo! This cozy and charming 2-bedroom condo offers a fantastic layout with a door wall leading to a private balcony—perfect for relaxing. The home features two spacious bedrooms, one full bath, and in-unit laundry for added convenience, plus the benefit of a covered carport. Ideally located in a prime area of the complex with easy access to I-94, shopping, and dining, this end unit backs to open space, providing extra peace and privacy. Don’t miss this opportunity — Agent Owned.
-
2026-01-14$108,999 Active
Show marketing remark (536 chars)
Outstanding First-Level End Unit Condo! This cozy and charming 2-bedroom condo offers a fantastic layout with a door wall leading to a private balcony—perfect for relaxing. The home features two spacious bedrooms, one full bath, and in-unit laundry for added convenience, plus the benefit of a covered carport. Ideally located in a prime area of the complex with easy access to I-94, shopping, and dining, this end unit backs to open space, providing extra peace and privacy. Don’t miss this opportunity — Agent Owned.
-
2026-01-14$108,999 Active 536-char remark
Show marketing remark (536 chars)
Outstanding First-Level End Unit Condo! This cozy and charming 2-bedroom condo offers a fantastic layout with a door wall leading to a private balcony—perfect for relaxing. The home features two spacious bedrooms, one full bath, and in-unit laundry for added convenience, plus the benefit of a covered carport. Ideally located in a prime area of the complex with easy access to I-94, shopping, and dining, this end unit backs to open space, providing extra peace and privacy. Don’t miss this opportunity — Agent Owned.
-
2026-01-07historical $108,999 536-char remark
Show marketing remark (536 chars)
Outstanding First-Level End Unit Condo! This cozy and charming 2-bedroom condo offers a fantastic layout with a door wall leading to a private balcony—perfect for relaxing. The home features two spacious bedrooms, one full bath, and in-unit laundry for added convenience, plus the benefit of a covered carport. Ideally located in a prime area of the complex with easy access to I-94, shopping, and dining, this end unit backs to open space, providing extra peace and privacy. Don’t miss this opportunity — Agent Owned.
-
2025-04-08historical
-
2025-02-17$108,999 Active
-
2025-02-17$108,999 Active
-
2023-10-05soldstatus $97,000 Sold
-
2023-10-05soldstatus $97,000 Closed
-
2023-09-15status Pending
-
2023-09-15status Pending
-
2023-09-14$100,000 Active
-
2023-09-14$100,000 Active
-
2023-09-12historical $100,000
-
2023-09-12historical $100,000
-
2004-01-20soldstatus $85,000
-
2003-12-29historical
-
2003-09-30$89,900
-
1997-11-19soldstatus $63,000
-
1997-10-30historical
-
1997-10-21$64,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,430
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,106
- − Property taxes
- −$1,635
- − Insurance
- −$545
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,234
- − Management
- −$1,234
- − HOA
- −$2,700
- − Depreciation
- −$3,171
- Taxable loss
- −$1,195
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$287
- After-tax cash flow
- $738/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Roseville Community Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2630210
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,590
- Composite
- 14.98/100
- National rank
- #9363
- State rank
- #483 of 540 in MI
Livability — Roseville
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #258
- US rank
- #6400
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Roseville, MI
- County
- Macomb County · 638,552 people
- City population
- 47,123
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 47,123
- Household income
- $62,182
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1712.0
Population outlook (Macomb County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 925,296 people
- By 2030
- 948,226 · +2.5%
- By 2040
- 983,961 · +6.3%
- By 2050
- 1,010,200 · +9.2%
- By 2075
- 1,076,222 · +16.3%
- By 2100
- 1,077,065 · +16.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Black 23% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 12% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Macomb
- 2024 margin
- R (+13.7) · D 42.2% · R 55.9% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.3pp toward R · 2008: 8.6pp · 2024: -13.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+13.7 2020: R+8.1 2016: R+11.6 2012: D+4.0 2008: D+8.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -232.95%
- Current HPI
- 217.4171
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.39%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
||
Price history
-98.0% since first listed26 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-15 Rental Removed $1,300 TURBOTENANT
- 2026-04-02 Price Changed $1,300 TURBOTENANT
- 2026-03-14 Price Changed $1,225 TURBOTENANT
- 2026-03-13 Listed for Rent $1,300 TURBOTENANT
- 2026-02-05 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-02-05 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-01-14 Listed $108,999 REALCOMP
- 2026-01-14 Listed $108,999 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-01-07 Coming Soon $108,999 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-04-08 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-02-17 Listed $108,999 REALCOMP
- 2025-02-17 Listed $108,999 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-10-05 Sold (MLS) $97,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-10-05 Sold (MLS) $97,000 REALCOMP
- 2023-09-15 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-09-15 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2023-09-14 Listed $100,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-09-14 Listed $100,000 REALCOMP
- 2023-09-12 Coming Soon $100,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-09-12 Coming Soon $100,000 REALCOMP
- 2004-01-20 Sold (MLS) $85,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2003-12-29 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2003-09-30 Listed $89,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 1997-11-19 Sold (MLS) $63,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 1997-10-30 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 1997-10-21 Listed $64,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…