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1789 W Gaulbert Ave
A- Composite 80.01
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +4.5/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0

$25,000

1789 W Gaulbert Ave · Louisville, KY 40210
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 844 sqft · SingleFamily · 94 Days on market
Built 1900 3,125 sqft lot ↓ 33% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This home is an investor special. Looking to add to your portfolio? This is it. Home is being sold AS IS.

Key facts

  • 3,125 sq ft lot
  • Built 1900
  • Listed 94 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Subdivision: MARYDALE
  • HOA & community: No association fee

Exterior

  • Utilities: Electricity connected; Natural gas available; One HVAC unit (heating) and one HVAC unit (cooling)
  • Home design: Single-family shotgun-style home; One story; Built in 1900
  • Construction: Wood frame construction; Shingle roof; Crawl space foundation
  • Exterior features: Partial fencing; Cleared lot; Lot dimensions approximately 25 x 125

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on the first floor
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms, both on the first floor
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom, located on the first floor
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: 4 total rooms; 2 closets; Basement: none; First-floor laundry
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry on the first floor

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $25k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $625 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $25k).
  • Recommended offer: $23k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 36.3% vs local median 5.0% in Louisville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#333 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety D+, crime F.
  • Jefferson County (urban): math 19% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #121 of 165 in KY (top 73%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Mcferran Preparatory Academy (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #670 of 676 statewide, top 100%, 691 students, 83% FRL); Noe Middle (math 49% / reading 62%, grade B-, #7 of 217 statewide, top 3%, 1,347 students, 46% FRL); Iroquois High (math 12% / reading 8%, grade F, #245 of 254 statewide, top 97%, 1,090 students, 74% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.1%/yr); 93 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,836 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (1,558 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($35k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($173 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Jefferson County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 94 days — a 9% lower offer ($23k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $22,750 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 94 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
4.07%
Cap rate
36.29%
Cash-on-cash
107.12%
DSCR
5.77
GRM
2.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$94,528
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1814 W Lee St 0.15mi 3/1.0 (+1) 816 (-3%) 8mo $112,500 $138 76
1777 Bernheim Ln 0.44mi 2/1.0 841 (-0%) 7mo $94,050 $112 73
2306 Standard Ave 0.40mi 2/1.0 900 (+7%) 4mo $38,000 $42 66
2519 Standard Ave 0.56mi 2/1.0 783 (-7%) 1mo $87,000 $111 61
1739 Dumesnil St 0.65mi 2/1.0 800 (-5%) 9mo $70,000 $88 53
1634 Dixdale Ave 0.45mi 2/1.0 740 (-12%) 8mo $117,500 $159 52
1639 Dixdale Ave 0.42mi 3/1.0 (+1) 746 (-12%) 5mo $128,000 $172 51
2611 Narragansett Dr 0.62mi 2/1.0 754 (-11%) 5mo $152,900 $203 49
2307 Woodland Ave 0.48mi 1/1.0 (-1) 940 (+11%) 7mo $17,000 $18 48
2112 Wilson Ave 0.50mi 3/1.0 (+1) 728 (-14%) 2mo $33,000 $45 47
2504 Standard Ave 0.50mi 2/1.0 963 (+14%) 7mo $169,000 $175 47
1545 Catalpa St 0.71mi 3/1.5 (+1) 960 (+14%) 9mo $62,500 $65 30

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
9.40×
Total profit
$58,804
Equity at exit
$22,522
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
23.17×
Total profit
$155,219
Equity at exit
$48,570

Cash invested: $7,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kentucky
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit (URLTA cities); generally landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 40210

Home prices YoY
12.1%
Rents YoY
8.1%
Active inventory
93
Price-to-rent
2.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,017 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$131
Tax from tax record
$37 /mo · $441/yr
Insurance
$10
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$213
Net cashflow
$625

Break-even live

Break-even rent $226
Max offer price $25,000
Occupancy floor 34%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $639 -5% $632 +0% $625 +5% $618 +10% $611
Rent -10% $545 -5% $585 +0% $625 +5% $665 +10% $705
Rate -1.0pp $637 -0.5pp $631 base $625 +0.5pp $618 +1.0pp $612

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$6,250
Closing costs
$750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1792 W Gaulbert Ave Louisville, KY 2.0 1.0 915 $950 $1.04 25d 1 0.05mi
1768 W Hill St Louisville, KY 2.0 1.0 675 $925 $1.37 25d 1 0.09mi
1842 Bolling Ave Louisville, KY 1.0 1.0 900 $895 $0.99 16d 1 0.16mi
1714 W Hill St Louisville, KY 3.0 1.0 1050 $1,045 $1.00 25d 1 0.24mi
1708 W Gaulbert Ave Louisville, KY 3.0 1.0 936 $975 $1.04 25d 1 0.25mi
1710 Saint Louis Ave Louisville, KY 2.0 1.0 720 $1,000 $1.39 5d 1 0.38mi
2400 Burwell Ave Louisville, KY 2.0 1.0 972 $895 $0.92 18d 1 0.41mi
1836 Algonquin Pkwy Unit 1 Louisville, KY 1.0 1.0 650 $650 $1.00 16d 1 0.42mi
1836 Algonquin Pkwy Unit 2 Louisville, KY 1.0 1.0 600 $650 $1.08 25d 1 0.42mi
1816 Gregg Ave Louisville, KY 2.0 2.0 773 $1,100 $1.42 18d 1 0.43mi
1333 S 22nd St Louisville, KY 2.0 1.0 744 $1,200 $1.61 25d 1 0.43mi
1333 S 22nd St Louisville, KY 2.0 1.0 744 $1,200 $1.61 0d 1 0.43mi
1854 W Ormsby Ave Louisville, KY 2.0 2.0 1094 $800 $0.73 18d 1 0.51mi
1606 Algonquin Pkwy Unit 22 Louisville, KY 2.0 1.0 626 $750 $1.20 25d 1 0.54mi
1305 S 17th St Louisville, KY 2.0 1.0 750 $950 $1.27 25d 1 0.62mi
2706 Wyandotte Ave Louisville, KY 2.0 1.0 756 $1,295 $1.71 5d 1 0.68mi
1349 Olive St Unit 4 Louisville, KY 1.0 1.0 550 $650 $1.18 5d 1 0.68mi
1349 Olive St Unit 3 Louisville, KY 1.0 1.0 600 $695 $1.16 5d 1 0.68mi
1349 Olive St Unit 4 Louisville, KY 1.0 1.0 600 $725 $1.21 25d 1 0.68mi
1339 S 28th St Unit 3 Louisville, KY 3.0 1.0 1125 $1,175 $1.04 22d 1 0.75mi
2614 Virginia Ave Louisville, KY 2.0 1.0 975 $925 $0.95 25d 1 0.76mi
1148 S 17th St Unit 2 Louisville, KY 3.0 1.0 1000 $895 $0.90 25d 1 0.79mi
2807 Dumesnil St Unit 101 Louisville, KY 1.0 1.0 750 $950 $1.27 25d 1 0.85mi
1927 S 28th St Louisville, KY 2.0 1.0 700 $1,200 $1.71 25d 1 0.86mi
1616 Gallagher St Louisville, KY 3.0 1.5 1056 $1,400 $1.33 25d 1 0.86mi
1439 Beech St Apt 1 Louisville, KY 3.0 1.5 1000 $820 $0.82 25d 1 0.87mi
3004 Wyandotte Ave Louisville, KY 2.0 1.0 700 $1,200 $1.71 18d 1 0.88mi
2706 Hale Ave Unit 1 Louisville, KY 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,400 $1.27 25d 1 0.89mi
2706 Hale Ave Unit 2 Louisville, KY 2.0 1.0 900 $1,250 $1.39 25d 1 0.89mi
1418 Beech St Unit 2 Louisville, KY 2.0 1.0 1000 $980 $0.98 23d 1 0.92mi
2913 Dumesnil St Apt 3 Louisville, KY 3.0 1.0 1112 $715 $0.64 0d 1 0.93mi
3005 Linwood Ave Louisville, KY 2.0 1.0 700 $1,025 $1.46 18d 1 0.99mi
1438 Lillian Ave Louisville, KY 2.0 1.0 777 $1,050 $1.35 19d 1 1.00mi
2311 Plantation Dr Louisville, KY 3.0 1.0 988 $1,200 $1.21 18d 1 1.01mi
1443 S 32nd St Unit 2 Louisville, KY 1.0 1.0 550 $780 $1.42 25d 1 1.01mi
1443 S 32nd St Unit 2 Louisville, KY 1.0 1.0 550 $780 $1.42 0d 1 1.01mi
3019 Penway Ave Louisville, KY 2.0 1.0 700 $960 $1.37 13d 1 1.02mi
1644 W Kentucky St Unit 3 Louisville, KY 3.0 1.0 900 $950 $1.06 25d 1 1.03mi
1731 Sonne Ave Louisville, KY 3.0 1.0 1010 $1,300 $1.29 18d 1 1.03mi
2708 Greenwood Ave Apt 1 Louisville, KY 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,300 $1.18 25d 1 1.06mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-06-01
    status $25,000 Pending 94 DOM
  2. 2026-05-31
    days on market $25,000 Active 94 DOM
  3. 2026-04-21
    price $30,000
  4. 2026-04-06
    price $35,000
  5. 2026-03-20
    price $40,000
  6. 2026-02-26
    listed $45,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$441 · $37/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$441 · $37/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 71% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,199
− Mortgage interest
−$1,400
− Property taxes
−$441
− Insurance
−$125
− Repairs & maintenance
−$976
− Management
−$976
− Depreciation
−$727
Taxable income
$7,554
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,813
After-tax cash flow
$5,685/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jefferson County
NCES district ID
2102990
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$47,885
Composite
23.45/100
National rank
#7884
State rank
#121 of 165 in KY

Livability — Louisville

Score
63/100
State rank
#333
US rank
#15887

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Louisville, KY
County
Jefferson County · 790,184 people
City population
769,292
Metro
Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN
Population (ZIP)
13,518
Household income
$35,347
Rent vs Own
56.0% rent · 44.0% own
Severe rent burden
815.0

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
823,112 people
By 2030
849,343 · +3.2%
By 2040
895,696 · +8.8%
By 2050
933,630 · +13.4%
By 2075
1,028,262 · +24.9%
By 2100
1,072,675 · +30.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (84%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 84% White 8% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

2024 margin
D (+16.6) · D 57.4% · R 40.9% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
+4.5pp toward D · 2008: 12.0pp · 2024: 16.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+16.6 2020: D+20.1 2016: D+13.3 2012: D+11.1 2008: D+12.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 28.45%
Current HPI
264.0146
Rent YoY
▲ 8.05%
Metro
Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.81%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-33.3% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-21 Price Changed $30,000 Metro Search MLS
  • 2026-04-06 Price Changed $35,000 Metro Search MLS
  • 2026-03-20 Price Changed $40,000 Metro Search MLS
  • 2026-02-26 Listed $45,000 Metro Search MLS

Property tax history

+4.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $441 · -1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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