666 Plymouth Dr Unit C · Leisure Village, NJ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $526 – $976
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 70.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +7.3/10.0
- DSCR +6.3/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$139,999
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to easy living in this 2 bed, 1 bath condo located in a 55+ adult community. Featuring a sunroom perfect for enjoying morning coffee or additional living space year-round. Galley style kitchen leading to open dining/living room area. Dedicated parking and guest parking nearby. The community is known for its beautifully maintained grounds and exceptional amenities, including a clubhouse, golf course and in-ground swimming pool. If you're looking to downsize and enjoy a low maintenance lifestyle, be sure to check this one out!
Key facts
- Clubhouse
- Sunroom
- Galley style kitchen
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $263 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
- Recommended offer: $136k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 5.7% in Leisure Village — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#416 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, crime B+, cost of living B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Lakewood Township School District (suburban): math 17% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #417 of 472 in NJ (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Oak Street Elem School (math 17% / reading 21%, grade F, #1,030 of 1,303 statewide, top 80%, 534 students, 97% FRL); Lakewood Middle School (math 16% / reading 30%, grade F, #376 of 431 statewide, top 88%, 995 students, 94% FRL); Lakewood High School (math 14% / reading 37%, grade F, #321 of 399 statewide, top 81%, 1,423 students, 86% FRL).
- Market conditions: 652 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 65d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 63% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 4,434 units permitted in Ocean County in 2024 (868 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($65k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $968 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Ocean County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 70% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.46% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.54%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.04%
- DSCR
- 1.36
- GRM
- 5.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $190,737
- List price
- $139,999
- Delta
- -26.60%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 653F Plymouth Dr | 0.06mi | 2/1.0 | 858 (0%) | 2mo | $196,500 | $229 | 96 |
| 651B Plymouth Dr Unit B | 0.10mi | 2/1.0 | 858 (0%) | 0mo | $185,000 | $216 | 95 |
| 103F Edinburgh Ln | 0.33mi | 2/1.0 | 858 (0%) | 1mo | $185,000 | $216 | 84 |
| 41G Cambridge Ct | 0.30mi | 2/1.0 | 841 (-2%) | 2mo | $117,500 | $140 | 81 |
| 99F Edinburgh Ln | 0.35mi | 2/1.0 | 819 (-4%) | 1mo | $110,000 | $134 | 75 |
| 679B New Castle Ct | 0.04mi | 2/1.0 | 982 (+14%) | 1mo | $175,000 | $178 | 73 |
| 91F Buckingham Dr Unit F | 0.45mi | 2/1.0 | 819 (-4%) | 1mo | $140,000 | $171 | 71 |
| 212D Huntington Dr Unit D | 0.62mi | 2/1.0 | 858 (0%) | 2mo | $168,000 | $196 | 69 |
| 62F Buckingham Dr Unit 100f | 0.50mi | 2/1.0 | 928 (+8%) | 1mo | $162,000 | $175 | 62 |
| 80C Dorchester Dr | 0.59mi | 2/1.0 | 928 (+8%) | 2mo | $140,000 | $151 | 57 |
| 280B Kingston Ct #2001 | 0.40mi | 2/1.0 | 982 (+14%) | 2mo | $180,000 | $183 | 55 |
| 220A Buckingham Ct | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 | 982 (+14%) | 1mo | $179,000 | $182 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.85×
- Total profit
- $-5,688
- Equity at exit
- $20,874
- IRR
- 6.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.45×
- Total profit
- $17,681
- Equity at exit
- $12,105
Cash invested: $39,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 46 active · 43 under contract
- Months of supply
- 6.6 mo (15%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $185,000 ($213/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 58 d
- This list price
- 13% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +4.4% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 08701
- Active inventory
- 652
- Price-to-rent
- 5.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,048 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$175 /mo · $2,100/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$388
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$430
- Net cashflow
- $263
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $359 | -5% $311 | +0% $263 | +5% $214 | +10% $166 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $101 | -5% $182 | +0% $263 | +5% $344 | +10% $424 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $333 | -0.5pp $298 | base $263 | +0.5pp $226 | +1.0pp $189 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $35,000
- Closing costs
- $4,200
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 19 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 106A Edinburgh Ln Lakewood, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 858 | $2,200 | $2.56 | 113d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 106 Edinburgh Ln Lakewood, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 858 | $1,900 | $2.21 | 24d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 47L Cambridge Ct Lakewood, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 841 | $1,795 | $2.13 | 120d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 278C Kingston Ct Lakewood, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,150 | $2.15 | 51d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 278C Kingston Ct Lakewood, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,150 | $2.15 | 84d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 219 Buckingham Ct Lakewood, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 663 | $1,900 | $2.87 | 139d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 341B Canterbury Ct Lakewood, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 982 | $2,275 | $2.32 | 117d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 308 Malvern Ct Unit C Lakewood, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 858 | $1,900 | $2.21 | 7d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 335A Canterbury Ct Lakewood, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 982 | $1,950 | $1.99 | 114d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 365F Chesterfield Ct Lakewood, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 663 | $1,500 | $2.26 | 7d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 363B Chesterfield Ct Lakewood, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 858 | $1,900 | $2.21 | 21d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 433D Picardy Ct Lakewood, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 663 | $1,550 | $2.34 | 7d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 533E Dartmoor Ct Lakewood, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 663 | $1,750 | $2.64 | 20d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 533E Dartmoor Ct Lakewood, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 663 | $1,750 | $2.64 | 65d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 523 Sophee Ln #1000 Lakewood, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 889 | $1,800 | $2.02 | 94d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 382 Dogwood Dr Brick, NJ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1014 | $3,250 | $3.21 | 0d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 841B Inverness Ct Lakewood, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 663 | $1,600 | $2.41 | 51d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 824A Balmoral Ct Unit A Toms River, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 982 | $2,200 | $2.24 | 114d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 829A Balmoral Ct Unit 1001 Lakewood, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 663 | $1,600 | $2.41 | 120d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Living area approximately 858Subdivision: Leisure Village
- HOA & community
- HOA presentMonthly association feeAssociation amenities include exercise room, community room, swimming pool, golf course, clubhouse, common areas, and landscapingHOA covers trash, common area maintenance, liability/fire, lawn maintenance, pool, and snow removal
Exterior
- Parking
- No garage spaces
- Utilities
- Public sewer
- Home design
- Condominium ownership (fee simple)Model: Greenbriar
- Exterior features
- Shingle roofAttached property (condominium)
Interior
- Kitchen
- Electric cookingStoveRefrigerator
- Bedrooms
- 2 bedrooms (both on the first level)
- Bathrooms
- 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling
- Electric baseboard heatingCentral air conditioning
- Interior features
- Outdoor lightingNo fireplaces
- Laundry & utility
- WasherDryer
HOA detail $388/mo · $4,656/yr
- Likely covers
- landscapingpool
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-09-23days on market $139,999 Active 35 DOM
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2026-09-22days on market $139,999 Active 34 DOM
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2026-09-21days on market $139,999 Active 33 DOM
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2026-09-20days on market $139,999 Active 32 DOM
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2026-09-19days on market $139,999 Active 31 DOM
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2026-09-18days on market $139,999 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-09-17days on market $139,999 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-09-16days on market $139,999 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-09-15days on market $139,999 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-09-14days on market $139,999 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-09-13days on market $139,999 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-09-12days on market $139,999 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-09-11days on market $139,999 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-09-05days on market $139,999 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-09-04days on market $139,999 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-09-02days on market $139,999 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-08-31days on market $139,999 Active 12 DOM
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2026-08-29days on market $139,999 Active 10 DOM
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2026-08-28days on market $139,999 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-08-27days on market $139,999 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-08-26days on market $139,999 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-08-25days on market $139,999 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-08-24days on market $139,999 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-08-23days on market $139,999 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-08-22days on market $139,999 Active 3 DOM
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2026-08-21days on market $139,999 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-08-20days on market $139,999 Active 1 DOM
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2026-08-18days on market $139,999 Active 61 DOM
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2026-08-17days on market $139,999 Active 60 DOM
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2026-08-16days on market $139,999 Active 59 DOM
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2026-08-15days on market $139,999 Active 58 DOM
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2026-08-14days on market $139,999 Active 57 DOM
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2026-08-13days on market $139,999 Active 56 DOM
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2026-08-12days on market $139,999 Active 55 DOM
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2026-08-11days on market $139,999 Active 54 DOM
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2026-08-10days on market $139,999 Active 53 DOM
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2026-08-09days on market $139,999 Active 52 DOM
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2026-08-08days on market $139,999 Active 51 DOM
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2026-08-06days on market $139,999 Active 49 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $139,999 Active 48 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $139,999 Active 47 DOM
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2026-08-03days on market $139,999 Active 46 DOM
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2026-07-31days on market $139,999 Active 43 DOM
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2026-07-30days on market $139,999 Active 41 DOM
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2026-07-28days on market $139,999 Active 40 DOM
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2026-07-26days on market $139,999 Active 38 DOM
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2026-07-24days on market $139,999 Active 36 DOM
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2026-07-23days on market $139,999 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $139,999 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $139,999 Active 33 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 70% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,579
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,842
- − Property taxes
- −$2,100
- − Insurance
- −$700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,966
- − Management
- −$1,966
- − HOA
- −$4,656
- − Depreciation
- −$4,073
- Taxable income
- $1,276
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$306
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,846/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This 2-bedroom, 1-bath condo in a 55+ community is in good condition with a well-maintained exterior and interior. It offers a sunroom, modern kitchen, and a low-maintenance lifestyle with community amenities. Potential for minor updates to the exterior and interior to further enhance its value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior brick and updating landscaping — Enhances curb appeal and adds value for both resale and rental. ↑
- Both Updating the kitchen appliances — Modernizes the kitchen and adds value for both resale and rental. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value for both resale and rental. ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lakewood Township School District
- NCES district ID
- 3408220
- Math proficiency
- 17% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,301
- Composite
- 19.21/100
- National rank
- #8813
- State rank
- #417 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Leisure Village
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #416
- US rank
- #14624
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Leisure Village, NJ
- County
- Ocean County · 586,991 people
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 139,149
- Household income
- $64,959
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 19% of renters
Population outlook (Ocean County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 586,991 people
- By 2030
- 581,403 · -1.0%
- By 2040
- 564,913 · -3.8%
- By 2050
- 538,149 · -8.3%
- By 2075
- 468,845 · -20.1%
- By 2100
- 350,297 · -40.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 5% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Italian 5% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 77% English-only · Spanish 9% German/W. Germanic 7% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Ocean
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+36.0) · D 31.4% · R 67.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.6pp toward R · 2008: -18.4pp · 2024: -36.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+36.0 2020: R+28.7 2016: R+34.0 2012: R+17.7 2008: R+18.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -682.83%
- Current HPI
- 465.344
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
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| Technology | 2 | $21B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
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Price history
-6.7% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-08-19 Listed $139,999 MOMLS
- 2026-07-13 Price Changed $139,999 MOMLS
- 2026-06-18 Listed $149,999 MOMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…