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2214 Fillmore St 🏷️ Likely Rental
B- Composite 69.49
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +8.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.6/5.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$80,000

2214 Fillmore St · Wichita Falls, TX 76309
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 801 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 133 Days on market
Built 1950 $100/sqft · 26% below area Est $108k · 26% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Investment opportunity or affordable starter home. This 2-bedroom Floral Heights home is currently occupied until 3/31/26. Tenant pays $715 but rent has not been increased and is due to be. Could easily rent for $850. Good condition. Corner lot. Fenced backyard. Large utility room.

Key facts

  • Fenced backyard
  • Corner lot
  • Large utility room

Tags

CORNER LOTFENCED BACKYARDLARGE UTILITY ROOM

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $80,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$108,105) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $189 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($974 rent vs $80k).
  • Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.1% vs local median 4.7% in Wichita Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#437 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D+, schools D.
  • Wichita Falls ISD (urban): math 31% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #585 of 826 in TX (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.3%/yr); 129 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 231 units permitted in Wichita County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wichita County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 133 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $70,400 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 133 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.22%
Cap rate
9.12%
Cash-on-cash
10.11%
DSCR
1.45
GRM
6.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$108,105
List price
$80,000
Delta
-26.00%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
5 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
4.6%
Equity multiple
1.19×
Total profit
$4,232
Equity at exit
$11,928
10-year hold
IRR
18.4%
Equity multiple
2.91×
Total profit
$42,708
Equity at exit
$6,917

Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 76309

Rents YoY
8.3%
Active inventory
129
Price-to-rent
6.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$974 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$420
Tax from tax record
$128 /mo · $1,532/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$204
Net cashflow
$189

Break-even live

Break-even rent $735
Max offer price $80,000
Occupancy floor 76%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$20,000
Closing costs
$2,400
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 21 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2500 Taylor St Unit 2500 Taylor A Wichita Falls, TX 2.0 1.0 910 $800 $0.88 43d 1 0.15mi
2304 Avenue K Wichita Falls, TX 3.0 2.0 1040 $1,050 $1.01 43d 1 0.21mi
2204 Tilden St Unit A Wichita Falls, TX 3.0 2.0 872 $930 $1.07 43d 1 0.27mi
2003 Buchanan St Wichita Falls, TX 3.0 2.0 1118 $1,100 $0.98 43d 1 0.28mi
2912 Avenue L Unit L Wichita Falls, TX 2.0 1.0 1104 $895 $0.81 43d 1 0.34mi
1813 Polk St Wichita Falls, TX 3.0 2.0 1090 $1,364 $1.25 43d 1 0.39mi
2812 Avenue R Unit R Wichita Falls, TX 2.0 1.0 1044 $925 $0.89 43d 1 0.43mi
1710 Fillmore St Apt C Wichita Falls, TX 1.0 1.0 648 $625 $0.96 43d 1 0.46mi
2006 Bell St Wichita Falls, TX 3.0 1.0 1120 $1,000 $0.89 43d 1 0.60mi
1515 Fillmore St Wichita Falls, TX 3.0 2.0 909 $1,225 $1.35 43d 1 0.62mi
2130 Avenue K Wichita Falls, TX 3.0 2.0 1090 $1,390 $1.28 43d 1 0.64mi
3014 Seymour Rd Wichita Falls, TX 1.0 1.0 686 $825 $1.20 43d 1 0.65mi
1901 Giddings St Wichita Falls, TX 3.0 2.0 909 $1,175 $1.29 43d 1 0.73mi
1901 Wenonah Ave Unit B Wichita Falls, TX 2.0 1.0 946 $1,000 $1.06 43d 1 0.84mi
2809 Lebanon Rd Wichita Falls, TX 2.0 1.0 600 $800 $1.33 43d 1 0.93mi
2003 Wilson Ave Unit 1/2 Wichita Falls, TX 1.0 1.0 680 $650 $0.96 43d 1 0.93mi
1301 Giddings St Wichita Falls, TX 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,150 $1.15 43d 1 0.95mi
3706 Seymour Rd Wichita Falls, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1100 $1,188 $1.08 43d 13 0.99mi
1824 Collins Ave Wichita Falls, TX 1.0 1.0 750 $795 $1.06 43d 1 1.13mi
2007 10th St Unit B Wichita Falls, TX 1.0 1.0 744 $750 $1.01 43d 1 1.21mi
504 Fillmore St Wichita Falls, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0 734 $895 $1.22 43d 6 1.35mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $80,000 Active 133 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $80,000 Active 132 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $80,000 Active 131 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $80,000 Active 130 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $80,000 Active 129 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $80,000 Active 127 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $80,000 Active 126 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $80,000 Active 124 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $80,000 Active 123 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $80,000 Active 122 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $80,000 Active 121 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $80,000 Active 118 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $80,000 Active 116 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $80,000 Active 115 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $80,000 Active 114 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $80,000 Active 113 DOM
  17. 2026-02-06
    listed $80,000 Active 283-char remark
    Show marketing remark (283 chars)

    Investment opportunity or affordable starter home. This 2-bedroom Floral Heights home is currently occupied until 3/31/26. Tenant pays $715 but rent has not been increased and is due to be. Could easily rent for $850. Good condition. Corner lot. Fenced backyard. Large utility room.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,532 · $128/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,532 · $128/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,684
− Mortgage interest
−$4,481
− Property taxes
−$1,532
− Insurance
−$400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$935
− Management
−$935
− Depreciation
−$2,327
Taxable income
$1,074
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$258
After-tax cash flow
$2,006/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Wichita Falls ISD
NCES district ID
4845780
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
33% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$41,604
Composite
27.06/100
National rank
#7051
State rank
#585 of 826 in TX

Livability — Wichita Falls

Score
69/100
State rank
#437
US rank
#8940

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Wichita Falls, TX
County
Wichita County · 95,694 people
City population
95,694
Metro
Wichita Falls, TX
Population (ZIP)
13,395
Household income
$54,159
Rent vs Own
42.7% rent · 57.3% own
Severe rent burden
469.0

Population outlook (Wichita County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
129,638 people
By 2030
128,366 · -1.0%
By 2040
124,466 · -4.0%
By 2050
120,499 · -7.0%
By 2075
113,884 · -12.2%
By 2100
101,818 · -21.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
White 58% Hispanic / Latino 29% Two or more races 12% Black 6% Asian 2% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 27%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
Languages at home
82% English-only · Spanish 15% Vietnamese 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wichita

2024 margin
Solid R (+44.0) · D 27.5% · R 71.5%
2008→2024 swing
-5.2pp toward R · 2008: -38.9pp · 2024: -44.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+44.0 2020: R+41.1 2016: R+49.7 2012: R+47.1 2008: R+38.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -88.35%
Current HPI
137.2935
Rent YoY
▲ 8.33%
Metro
Wichita Falls, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-02-06 Listed $80,000 WFAOR

Property tax history

+6.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,532 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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