4760 E Mcgraw Rd · Pahrump, NV
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $490 – $910
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +11.3/30.0
- Appreciation +6.4/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- DSCR +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.3/10.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
$270,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great split floor plan, Front Family room with Fireplace , front living room, Mbed walk-in closets, 2nd bed mirrored closets doors, Tile Floors and counters . Xtra storage , Covered patio with beautiful brick layout. Large lot with room to run. This is a must see !!! Refidgerator from garage stays. Kitchen Fridge excluded.
Key facts
- Front family room
- Split floor plan
- Separate living area
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached private garage with inside entrance; 2 garage spaces
- Utilities: Cable available; Septic available; septic tank installed; Private well water; Photovoltaics: none
- Home design: Single-family home; One story; Faces south; Resale condition
- Construction: Tile roof; Drywall construction
- Exterior features: Handicap accessible; Covered patio; Private yard; Back yard; Desert landscaping; Landscaped
Interior
- Kitchen: Breakfast bar/counter; Tile countertops; Electric range; Garbage disposal
- Bedrooms: Three possible bedrooms; Bedroom 2 (13x11); Bedroom 3 (11x11); Primary suite with walk-in closet (18x10)
- Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile; Hardwood
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; Bathroom with tub/shower combo
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features: Unfurnished; Bedroom on main level; Primary bedroom downstairs; Wood-burning fireplace in family room
- Laundry & utility: Electric dryer hookup; Laundry area in garage
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $270k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-96 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $253k (6.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $196k (27.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $196k (27.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 3.4% in Pahrump — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#30 in NV) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, schools F, crime F.
- Nye County School District (rural): math 20% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #16 of 17 in NV (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 281 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes.
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($78k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $9k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $8k appreciation (2.8% local appreciation)).
- Nye County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($262k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 14y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $50k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 27% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.73% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.86%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.53%
- DSCR
- 0.93
- GRM
- 11.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $381,517
- List price
- $270,000
- Delta
- -29.23%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4981 E Pawnee Pl | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,623 (+8%) | 11mo | $352,000 | $217 | 58 |
| 5061 E Kellogg Rd | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,624 (+8%) | 13mo | $406,000 | $250 | 56 |
| 4871 E Navajo Blvd | 0.20mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,368 (-9%) | 20mo | $235,000 | $172 | 53 |
| 4160 E Navajo Blvd | 0.62mi | 3/3.0 | 1,516 (+0%) | 19mo | $297,000 | $196 | 50 |
| 4881 E Stoneham St | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 1,686 (+12%) | 16mo | $339,900 | $202 | 40 |
| 6800 Stubblefield Dr | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,640 (+9%) | 18mo | $340,000 | $207 | 38 |
| 4330 Turner Blvd | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,698 (+12%) | 12mo | $339,000 | $200 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.78% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 5.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.31×
- Total profit
- $23,208
- Equity at exit
- $118,140
- IRR
- 8.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.26×
- Total profit
- $94,972
- Equity at exit
- $179,570
Cash invested: $75,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 71 Landlord-Friendly
- State Nevada
- 71 Landlord-Friendly · R+1
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 89061
- Home prices YoY
- 1.1%
- Active inventory
- 281
- Price-to-rent
- 11.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,962 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,416
- Tax from tax record
- −$118 /mo · $1,413/yr
- Insurance
- −$112
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$412
- Net cashflow
- $-96
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $56 | -5% $-20 | +0% $-96 | +5% $-173 | +10% $-249 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-251 | -5% $-174 | +0% $-96 | +5% $-19 | +10% $59 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $40 | -0.5pp $-28 | base $-96 | +0.5pp $-166 | +1.0pp $-238 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $67,500
- Closing costs
- $8,100
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4361 Laute Dr Unit 1 Pahrump, NV | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1856 | $925 | $0.50 | 45d | 1 | 1.03mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-12statusdays on market $270,000 Pending 48 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $270,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $270,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $270,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $270,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $270,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $270,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $270,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $270,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-05-16price $270,000 886-char remark
-
2026-04-24$320,000 Active 886-char remark
-
2026-02-10soldstatus $242,789
-
2013-02-28soldstatus $94,900 Sold 324-char remark
Show marketing remark (324 chars)
Great split floor plan, Front Family room with Fireplace , front living room, Mbed walk-in closets, 2nd bed mirrored closets doors, Tile Floors and counters . Xtra storage , Covered patio with beautiful brick layout. Large lot with room to run. This is a must see !!! Refidgerator from garage stays. Kitchen Fridge excluded.
-
2013-02-28soldstatus $94,900
Show marketing remark (324 chars)
Great split floor plan, Front Family room with Fireplace , front living room, Mbed walk-in closets, 2nd bed mirrored closets doors, Tile Floors and counters . Xtra storage , Covered patio with beautiful brick layout. Large lot with room to run. This is a must see !!! Refidgerator from garage stays. Kitchen Fridge excluded.
-
2012-10-10historical Contingent Offer 324-char remark
Show marketing remark (324 chars)
Great split floor plan, Front Family room with Fireplace , front living room, Mbed walk-in closets, 2nd bed mirrored closets doors, Tile Floors and counters . Xtra storage , Covered patio with beautiful brick layout. Large lot with room to run. This is a must see !!! Refidgerator from garage stays. Kitchen Fridge excluded.
-
2012-09-28price $94,900 324-char remark
Show marketing remark (324 chars)
Great split floor plan, Front Family room with Fireplace , front living room, Mbed walk-in closets, 2nd bed mirrored closets doors, Tile Floors and counters . Xtra storage , Covered patio with beautiful brick layout. Large lot with room to run. This is a must see !!! Refidgerator from garage stays. Kitchen Fridge excluded.
-
2012-09-20$104,900 Exclusive Right 324-char remark
Show marketing remark (324 chars)
Great split floor plan, Front Family room with Fireplace , front living room, Mbed walk-in closets, 2nd bed mirrored closets doors, Tile Floors and counters . Xtra storage , Covered patio with beautiful brick layout. Large lot with room to run. This is a must see !!! Refidgerator from garage stays. Kitchen Fridge excluded.
-
2004-04-09soldstatus $150,500
-
2002-06-14soldstatus $15,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NV · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,413 · $118/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,593 · $133/mo
- Expected delta
- +$180/yr (+$15/mo · 12.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,540
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,124
- − Property taxes
- −$1,413
- − Insurance
- −$1,350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,883
- − Management
- −$1,883
- − Depreciation
- −$7,855
- Taxable loss
- −$5,968
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,432
- After-tax cash flow
- $275/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Nye County School District
- NCES district ID
- 3200360
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,447
- Composite
- 22.43/100
- National rank
- #8110
- State rank
- #16 of 17 in NV
Livability — Pahrump
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #30
- US rank
- #9226
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Pahrump, NV
- County
- Nye County · 47,491 people
- City population
- 47,491
- Metro
- Pahrump, NV
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,141
- Household income
- $77,991
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 52.0
Population outlook (Nye County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 40,727 people
- By 2030
- 38,812 · -4.7%
- By 2040
- 33,952 · -16.6%
- By 2050
- 29,393 · -27.8%
- By 2075
- 21,122 · -48.1%
- By 2100
- 14,400 · -64.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (67%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 67% Hispanic / Latino 18% Two or more races 8% Asian 2% Black 2% Native American 2% Pacific Islander 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 15% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 5% Romanian 2% Portuguese 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Nye
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+42.2) · D 28.0% · R 70.2% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.8pp toward R · 2008: -13.4pp · 2024: -42.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+42.2 2020: R+40.4 2016: R+42.0 2012: R+24.2 2008: R+13.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.78%
- Current HPI
- 266.2633
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Pahrump, NV
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.08%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NV)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Hotels / Casinos | 3 | $36B |
|
||
Price history
+1700.0% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Pending — GLVAR
- 2026-05-16 Price Changed $270,000 GLVAR
- 2026-04-24 Listed $320,000 GLVAR
- 2026-02-10 Sold (Public Records) $242,789 Public Records
- 2013-02-28 Sold (Public Records) $94,900 Public Records
- 2013-02-28 Sold (MLS) $94,900 GLVAR
- 2012-10-10 Contingent — GLVAR
- 2012-09-28 Price Changed $94,900 GLVAR
- 2012-09-20 Listed $104,900 GLVAR
- 2004-04-09 Sold (Public Records) $150,500 Public Records
- 2002-06-14 Sold (Public Records) $15,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-0.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,413 · +13.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…