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4760 E Mcgraw Rd
D+ Composite 48.97
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +11.3/30.0
  • Appreciation +6.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • DSCR +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.3/10.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0

$270,000

4760 E Mcgraw Rd · Pahrump, NV 89061
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,510 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 48 Days on market
Built 2002 1.10 ac lot $179/sqft · 29% below area Est $382k · 29% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great split floor plan, Front Family room with Fireplace , front living room, Mbed walk-in closets, 2nd bed mirrored closets doors, Tile Floors and counters . Xtra storage , Covered patio with beautiful brick layout. Large lot with room to run. This is a must see !!! Refidgerator from garage stays. Kitchen Fridge excluded.

Key facts

  • Front family room
  • Split floor plan
  • Separate living area

Tags

SPLIT FLOOR PLANFRONT FAMILY ROOMSEPARATE LIVING AREATILE FLOORINGMIRRORED CLOSET DOORSPRIMARY SUITE

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached private garage with inside entrance; 2 garage spaces
  • Utilities: Cable available; Septic available; septic tank installed; Private well water; Photovoltaics: none
  • Home design: Single-family home; One story; Faces south; Resale condition
  • Construction: Tile roof; Drywall construction
  • Exterior features: Handicap accessible; Covered patio; Private yard; Back yard; Desert landscaping; Landscaped

Interior

  • Kitchen: Breakfast bar/counter; Tile countertops; Electric range; Garbage disposal
  • Bedrooms: Three possible bedrooms; Bedroom 2 (13x11); Bedroom 3 (11x11); Primary suite with walk-in closet (18x10)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile; Hardwood
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; Bathroom with tub/shower combo
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
  • Interior features: Unfurnished; Bedroom on main level; Primary bedroom downstairs; Wood-burning fireplace in family room
  • Laundry & utility: Electric dryer hookup; Laundry area in garage

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $270k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-96 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $253k (6.3% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $196k (27.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $196k (27.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 3.4% in Pahrump — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#30 in NV) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, schools F, crime F.
  • Nye County School District (rural): math 20% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #16 of 17 in NV (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 281 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes.
  • This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($78k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $9k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $8k appreciation (2.8% local appreciation)).
  • Nye County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($262k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 14y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $50k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $196,163 (27.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 27% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.73%
Cap rate
5.86%
Cash-on-cash
-1.53%
DSCR
0.93
GRM
11.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$381,517
List price
$270,000
Delta
-29.23%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4981 E Pawnee Pl 0.45mi 3/2.0 1,623 (+8%) 11mo $352,000 $217 58
5061 E Kellogg Rd 0.45mi 3/2.0 1,624 (+8%) 13mo $406,000 $250 56
4871 E Navajo Blvd 0.20mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,368 (-9%) 20mo $235,000 $172 53
4160 E Navajo Blvd 0.62mi 3/3.0 1,516 (+0%) 19mo $297,000 $196 50
4881 E Stoneham St 0.57mi 3/2.0 1,686 (+12%) 16mo $339,900 $202 40
6800 Stubblefield Dr 0.70mi 3/2.0 1,640 (+9%) 18mo $340,000 $207 38
4330 Turner Blvd 0.74mi 3/2.0 1,698 (+12%) 12mo $339,000 $200 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

2.78% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
5.4%
Equity multiple
1.31×
Total profit
$23,208
Equity at exit
$118,140
10-year hold
IRR
8.5%
Equity multiple
2.26×
Total profit
$94,972
Equity at exit
$179,570

Cash invested: $75,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
71 Landlord-Friendly
State Nevada
71 Landlord-Friendly · R+1
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; Clark County (Vegas) had pandemic backlogs; generally landlord-friendly but courts slow.

ZIP-level market 89061

Home prices YoY
1.1%
Active inventory
281
Price-to-rent
11.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,962 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,416
Tax from tax record
$118 /mo · $1,413/yr
Insurance
$112
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$412
Net cashflow
$-96

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,084
Max offer price $252,959
Occupancy floor 100%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $56 -5% $-20 +0% $-96 +5% $-173 +10% $-249
Rent -10% $-251 -5% $-174 +0% $-96 +5% $-19 +10% $59
Rate -1.0pp $40 -0.5pp $-28 base $-96 +0.5pp $-166 +1.0pp $-238

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$67,500
Closing costs
$8,100
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4361 Laute Dr Unit 1 Pahrump, NV 2.0 2.0 1856 $925 $0.50 45d 1 1.03mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-12
    statusdays on market $270,000 Pending 48 DOM
  2. 2026-06-09
    days on market $270,000 Active 46 DOM
  3. 2026-06-08
    days on market $270,000 Active 45 DOM
  4. 2026-06-07
    days on market $270,000 Active 44 DOM
  5. 2026-06-03
    days on market $270,000 Active 40 DOM
  6. 2026-06-02
    days on market $270,000 Active 39 DOM
  7. 2026-06-01
    days on market $270,000 Active 38 DOM
  8. 2026-05-31
    days on market $270,000 Active 37 DOM
  9. 2026-05-30
    days on market $270,000 Active 36 DOM
  10. 2026-05-16
    price $270,000 886-char remark
  11. 2026-04-24
    listed $320,000 Active 886-char remark
  12. 2026-02-10
    soldstatus $242,789
  13. 2013-02-28
    soldstatus $94,900 Sold 324-char remark
    Show marketing remark (324 chars)

    Great split floor plan, Front Family room with Fireplace , front living room, Mbed walk-in closets, 2nd bed mirrored closets doors, Tile Floors and counters . Xtra storage , Covered patio with beautiful brick layout. Large lot with room to run. This is a must see !!! Refidgerator from garage stays. Kitchen Fridge excluded.

  14. 2013-02-28
    soldstatus $94,900
    Show marketing remark (324 chars)

    Great split floor plan, Front Family room with Fireplace , front living room, Mbed walk-in closets, 2nd bed mirrored closets doors, Tile Floors and counters . Xtra storage , Covered patio with beautiful brick layout. Large lot with room to run. This is a must see !!! Refidgerator from garage stays. Kitchen Fridge excluded.

  15. 2012-10-10
    historical Contingent Offer 324-char remark
    Show marketing remark (324 chars)

    Great split floor plan, Front Family room with Fireplace , front living room, Mbed walk-in closets, 2nd bed mirrored closets doors, Tile Floors and counters . Xtra storage , Covered patio with beautiful brick layout. Large lot with room to run. This is a must see !!! Refidgerator from garage stays. Kitchen Fridge excluded.

  16. 2012-09-28
    price $94,900 324-char remark
    Show marketing remark (324 chars)

    Great split floor plan, Front Family room with Fireplace , front living room, Mbed walk-in closets, 2nd bed mirrored closets doors, Tile Floors and counters . Xtra storage , Covered patio with beautiful brick layout. Large lot with room to run. This is a must see !!! Refidgerator from garage stays. Kitchen Fridge excluded.

  17. 2012-09-20
    listed $104,900 Exclusive Right 324-char remark
    Show marketing remark (324 chars)

    Great split floor plan, Front Family room with Fireplace , front living room, Mbed walk-in closets, 2nd bed mirrored closets doors, Tile Floors and counters . Xtra storage , Covered patio with beautiful brick layout. Large lot with room to run. This is a must see !!! Refidgerator from garage stays. Kitchen Fridge excluded.

  18. 2004-04-09
    soldstatus $150,500
  19. 2002-06-14
    soldstatus $15,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NV · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,413 · $118/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,593 · $133/mo
Expected delta
+$180/yr (+$15/mo · 12.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,540
− Mortgage interest
−$15,124
− Property taxes
−$1,413
− Insurance
−$1,350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,883
− Management
−$1,883
− Depreciation
−$7,855
Taxable loss
−$5,968
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,432
After-tax cash flow
$275/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Nye County School District
NCES district ID
3200360
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
33% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$41,447
Composite
22.43/100
National rank
#8110
State rank
#16 of 17 in NV

Livability — Pahrump

Score
68/100
State rank
#30
US rank
#9226

Category grades

Amenities F Commute D- Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Pahrump, NV
County
Nye County · 47,491 people
City population
47,491
Metro
Pahrump, NV
Population (ZIP)
8,141
Household income
$77,991
Rent vs Own
10.9% rent · 89.1% own
Severe rent burden
52.0

Population outlook (Nye County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
40,727 people
By 2030
38,812 · -4.7%
By 2040
33,952 · -16.6%
By 2050
29,393 · -27.8%
By 2075
21,122 · -48.1%
By 2100
14,400 · -64.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (67%)
Race & ethnicity
White 67% Hispanic / Latino 18% Two or more races 8% Asian 2% Black 2% Native American 2% Pacific Islander 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 15% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 5% Romanian 2% Portuguese 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Nye

2024 margin
Solid R (+42.2) · D 28.0% · R 70.2% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-28.8pp toward R · 2008: -13.4pp · 2024: -42.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+42.2 2020: R+40.4 2016: R+42.0 2012: R+24.2 2008: R+13.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.78%
Current HPI
266.2633
Rent YoY
Metro
Pahrump, NV
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.08%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NV)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1700.0% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-12 Pending GLVAR
  • 2026-05-16 Price Changed $270,000 GLVAR
  • 2026-04-24 Listed $320,000 GLVAR
  • 2026-02-10 Sold (Public Records) $242,789 Public Records
  • 2013-02-28 Sold (Public Records) $94,900 Public Records
  • 2013-02-28 Sold (MLS) $94,900 GLVAR
  • 2012-10-10 Contingent GLVAR
  • 2012-09-28 Price Changed $94,900 GLVAR
  • 2012-09-20 Listed $104,900 GLVAR
  • 2004-04-09 Sold (Public Records) $150,500 Public Records
  • 2002-06-14 Sold (Public Records) $15,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-0.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,413 · +13.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…