5404 NE 121st Ave #57 · Vancouver, WA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$80,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this charming and affordable single-wide manufactured home located in a desirable 55+ community. This well-maintained 2-bedroom, 1-bath home sits on a spacious corner lot and features a large, sunny kitchen with an island—perfect for cooking, entertaining, or enjoying your morning coffee. The home comes fully equipped with all appliances, including a refrigerator, washer and dryer, and two air conditioning units to keep you comfortable year-round. Conveniently located near shopping, restaurants, and everyday amenities, this home offers both comfort and accessibility in a peaceful, community-oriented setting.
Key facts
- Large kitchen
- Sunny kitchen
- Corner lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $939 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 20.4% vs local median 2.7% in Vancouver — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#62 in WA, #1,133 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living D-.
- Evergreen School District (Clark) (urban): math 41% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #164 of 291 in WA (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 463 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 9d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,547 units permitted in Clark County in 2024 (1,361 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Clark County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.6% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 318 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 318 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.36% ✓
- Cap rate
- 20.38%
- Cash-on-cash
- 50.32%
- DSCR
- 3.24
- GRM
- 3.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $120,000
- List price
- $80,000
- Delta
- -33.33%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 8 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5101 NE 121st Ave #45 | 0.23mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 924 (+3%) | 2mo | $113,000 | $122 | 73 |
| 5404 NE 121st Ave #28 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 880 (-2%) | 20mo | $59,985 | $68 | 72 |
| 5101 NE 121st Ave #47 | 0.23mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 924 (+3%) | 19mo | $127,000 | $137 | 63 |
| 5900 NE 131st Ave | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 924 (+3%) | 2mo | $86,200 | $93 | 60 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.63% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 45.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.90×
- Total profit
- $42,490
- Equity at exit
- $11,928
- IRR
- 50.2%
- Equity multiple
- 5.33×
- Total profit
- $96,931
- Equity at exit
- $6,917
Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 98682
- Rents YoY
- 0.6%
- Active inventory
- 463
- Price-to-rent
- 3.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,889 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$420
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$100 /mo · $1,200/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$397
- Net cashflow
- $939
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $995 | -5% $967 | +0% $939 | +5% $912 | +10% $884 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $790 | -5% $865 | +0% $939 | +5% $1,014 | +10% $1,089 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $980 | -0.5pp $960 | base $939 | +0.5pp $919 | +1.0pp $897 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,000
- Closing costs
- $2,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 25 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5264 NE 121st Ave Vancouver, WA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 944 | $1,850 | $1.96 | 44d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 11328 NE 51st Cir Vancouver, WA | 2.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1086 | $1,862 | $1.71 | 8d | 8 | 0.25mi |
| 11716 NE 49th St Vancouver, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1090 | $2,250 | $2.06 | 8d | 15 | 0.25mi |
| 11412 NE 49th St Vancouver, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 810 | $1,730 | $2.14 | 3d | 6 | 0.32mi |
| 11205 NE 49th St Unit 11303D Vancouver, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 944 | $1,595 | $1.69 | 21d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 11205 NE 49th St Unit 11209B Vancouver, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1104 | $1,675 | $1.52 | 13d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 4821 NE 110th Ave Vancouver, WA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1020 | $1,595 | $1.56 | 24d | 3 | 0.49mi |
| 11114 NE 48th Cir Unit B Vancouver, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,395 | $1.99 | 44d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 11111 NE 48th Cir Unit D Vancouver, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 860 | $1,575 | $1.83 | 44d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 10809 NE 48th Cir Apt C Vancouver, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 806 | $1,395 | $1.73 | 44d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 11603 NE 71st St Vancouver, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 991 | $2,563 | $2.59 | 3d | 55 | 0.76mi |
| 6001 NE 102nd Ave Vancouver, WA | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1125 | $1,850 | $1.64 | 3d | 6 | 0.81mi |
| 4202 NE Morrow Rd #203 Vancouver, WA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 921 | $1,795 | $1.95 | 44d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 4000 NE 109th Ave Vancouver, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 780 | $1,950 | $2.50 | 3d | 2 | 0.93mi |
| 3708 NE 109th Ave Vancouver, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 899 | $2,156 | $2.40 | 3d | 30 | 1.05mi |
| 3702 NE 132nd Ave Unit 1 Vancouver, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 790 | $1,825 | $2.31 | 8d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 6603 NE 137th Ave Vancouver, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,545 | $2.06 | 44d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 7020 NE 100th Ct Vancouver, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 980 | $1,649 | $1.68 | 21d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 13608 NE 72nd St Vancouver, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 839 | $1,599 | $1.90 | 3d | 2 | 1.31mi |
| 4902 NE 94th Ave Vancouver, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 471 | $1,532 | $3.25 | 3d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 7505 NE 135th Ave Unit A Vancouver, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $1,800 | $2.14 | 8d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 7505 NE 135th Ave Unit B Vancouver, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $1,800 | $2.14 | 8d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 9013 NE 54th St Vancouver, WA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1033 | $1,405 | $1.36 | 3d | 2 | 1.39mi |
| 9009 NE 54th St Vancouver, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1175 | $2,500 | $2.13 | 3d | 7 | 1.39mi |
| 9001 NE 54th St Vancouver, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 618 | $1,660 | $2.68 | 3d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $80,000 Active 318 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $80,000 Active 315 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $80,000 Active 314 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $80,000 Active 313 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $80,000 Active 312 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $80,000 Active 310 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $80,000 Active 309 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $80,000 Active 306 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $80,000 Active 305 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $80,000 Active 304 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $80,000 Active 300 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $80,000 Active 299 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $80,000 Active 298 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $80,000 Active 297 DOM
-
2025-08-07$80,000 Active 632-char remark
Show marketing remark (632 chars)
Welcome to this charming and affordable single-wide manufactured home located in a desirable 55+ community. This well-maintained 2-bedroom, 1-bath home sits on a spacious corner lot and features a large, sunny kitchen with an island—perfect for cooking, entertaining, or enjoying your morning coffee. The home comes fully equipped with all appliances, including a refrigerator, washer and dryer, and two air conditioning units to keep you comfortable year-round. Conveniently located near shopping, restaurants, and everyday amenities, this home offers both comfort and accessibility in a peaceful, community-oriented setting.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,666
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,481
- − Property taxes
- −$1,200
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,813
- − Management
- −$1,813
- − Depreciation
- −$2,327
- Taxable income
- $10,631
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,551
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,720/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Evergreen School District (Clark)
- NCES district ID
- 5302700
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $59,418
- Composite
- 42.53/100
- National rank
- #6859
- State rank
- #164 of 291 in WA
Livability — Vancouver
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #62
- US rank
- #1133
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Vancouver, WA
- County
- Clark County · 513,189 people
- City population
- 360,195
- Metro
- Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 68,305
- Household income
- $99,918
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1618.0
Population outlook (Clark County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 529,610 people
- By 2030
- 563,242 · +6.4%
- By 2040
- 625,905 · +18.2%
- By 2050
- 681,558 · +28.7%
- By 2075
- 805,967 · +52.2%
- By 2100
- 877,450 · +65.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 69% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 13% Asian 6% Black 2% Pacific Islander 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 12%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 3% Subsaharan African 3% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, Vietnam, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 79% English-only · Spanish 8% Russian/Polish/Slavic 6% Other Asian/Pacific 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Clark
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+7.0) · D 52.1% · R 45.1% · Other 2.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.9pp no change · 2008: 6.1pp · 2024: 7.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+7.0 2020: D+5.1 2016: D+0.1 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+6.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -303.95%
- Current HPI
- 307.0529
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.63%
- Metro
- Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
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| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2025-08-07 Listed $80,000 RMLS
Property tax history
+8.9%/yrLatest (2026): $122 · +66.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…