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5404 NE 121st Ave #57
B+ Composite 78.51
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +4.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$80,000

5404 NE 121st Ave #57 · Vancouver, WA 98682
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 896 sqft · Manufactured public records · 318 Days on market
Built 1974 $89/sqft · 27% below area Est $120k · 33% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this charming and affordable single-wide manufactured home located in a desirable 55+ community. This well-maintained 2-bedroom, 1-bath home sits on a spacious corner lot and features a large, sunny kitchen with an island—perfect for cooking, entertaining, or enjoying your morning coffee. The home comes fully equipped with all appliances, including a refrigerator, washer and dryer, and two air conditioning units to keep you comfortable year-round. Conveniently located near shopping, restaurants, and everyday amenities, this home offers both comfort and accessibility in a peaceful, community-oriented setting.

Key facts

  • Large kitchen
  • Sunny kitchen
  • Corner lot

Tags

CORNER LOTLARGE KITCHENSUNNY KITCHENFULLY EQUIPPED APPLIANCESAIR CONDITIONING UNITSCONVENIENTLY LOCATED

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $80k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $939 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $80k).
  • Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 20.4% vs local median 2.7% in Vancouver — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 82/100 on livability (#62 in WA, #1,133 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living D-.
  • Evergreen School District (Clark) (urban): math 41% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #164 of 291 in WA (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 463 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 9d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,547 units permitted in Clark County in 2024 (1,361 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Clark County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.6% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 318 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $70,400 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 318 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.36%
Cap rate
20.38%
Cash-on-cash
50.32%
DSCR
3.24
GRM
3.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$120,000
List price
$80,000
Delta
-33.33%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
8 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5101 NE 121st Ave #45 0.23mi 2/2.0 (-1) 924 (+3%) 2mo $113,000 $122 73
5404 NE 121st Ave #28 0.00mi 2/2.0 (-1) 880 (-2%) 20mo $59,985 $68 72
5101 NE 121st Ave #47 0.23mi 2/1.0 (-1) 924 (+3%) 19mo $127,000 $137 63
5900 NE 131st Ave 0.64mi 3/2.0 924 (+3%) 2mo $86,200 $93 60

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.63% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
45.4%
Equity multiple
2.90×
Total profit
$42,490
Equity at exit
$11,928
10-year hold
IRR
50.2%
Equity multiple
5.33×
Total profit
$96,931
Equity at exit
$6,917

Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Washington
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Just-cause statewide (2021); Seattle layers rent control restrictions + relocation assistance; very tenant-friendly.

ZIP-level market 98682

Rents YoY
0.6%
Active inventory
463
Price-to-rent
3.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,889 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$420
Tax est. 1.5%
$100 /mo · $1,200/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$397
Net cashflow
$939

Break-even live

Break-even rent $700
Max offer price $80,000
Occupancy floor 45%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $995 -5% $967 +0% $939 +5% $912 +10% $884
Rent -10% $790 -5% $865 +0% $939 +5% $1,014 +10% $1,089
Rate -1.0pp $980 -0.5pp $960 base $939 +0.5pp $919 +1.0pp $897

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$20,000
Closing costs
$2,400
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 25 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5264 NE 121st Ave Vancouver, WA 2.0 2.0 944 $1,850 $1.96 44d 1 0.06mi
11328 NE 51st Cir Vancouver, WA 2.0–4.0 1.0–2.0 1086 $1,862 $1.71 8d 8 0.25mi
11716 NE 49th St Vancouver, WA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1090 $2,250 $2.06 8d 15 0.25mi
11412 NE 49th St Vancouver, WA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 810 $1,730 $2.14 3d 6 0.32mi
11205 NE 49th St Unit 11303D Vancouver, WA 2.0 1.0 944 $1,595 $1.69 21d 1 0.45mi
11205 NE 49th St Unit 11209B Vancouver, WA 2.0 1.0 1104 $1,675 $1.52 13d 1 0.45mi
4821 NE 110th Ave Vancouver, WA 2.0 2.0 1020 $1,595 $1.56 24d 3 0.49mi
11114 NE 48th Cir Unit B Vancouver, WA 2.0 1.0 700 $1,395 $1.99 44d 1 0.50mi
11111 NE 48th Cir Unit D Vancouver, WA 2.0 1.0 860 $1,575 $1.83 44d 1 0.51mi
10809 NE 48th Cir Apt C Vancouver, WA 2.0 1.0 806 $1,395 $1.73 44d 1 0.66mi
11603 NE 71st St Vancouver, WA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 991 $2,563 $2.59 3d 55 0.76mi
6001 NE 102nd Ave Vancouver, WA 2.0–3.0 2.0 1125 $1,850 $1.64 3d 6 0.81mi
4202 NE Morrow Rd #203 Vancouver, WA 2.0 1.5 921 $1,795 $1.95 44d 1 0.82mi
4000 NE 109th Ave Vancouver, WA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.5 780 $1,950 $2.50 3d 2 0.93mi
3708 NE 109th Ave Vancouver, WA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 899 $2,156 $2.40 3d 30 1.05mi
3702 NE 132nd Ave Unit 1 Vancouver, WA 2.0 1.0 790 $1,825 $2.31 8d 1 1.11mi
6603 NE 137th Ave Vancouver, WA 2.0 1.0 750 $1,545 $2.06 44d 1 1.12mi
7020 NE 100th Ct Vancouver, WA 2.0 1.0 980 $1,649 $1.68 21d 1 1.22mi
13608 NE 72nd St Vancouver, WA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 839 $1,599 $1.90 3d 2 1.31mi
4902 NE 94th Ave Vancouver, WA 2.0 1.0 471 $1,532 $3.25 3d 1 1.34mi
7505 NE 135th Ave Unit A Vancouver, WA 2.0 1.0 840 $1,800 $2.14 8d 1 1.37mi
7505 NE 135th Ave Unit B Vancouver, WA 2.0 1.0 840 $1,800 $2.14 8d 1 1.37mi
9013 NE 54th St Vancouver, WA 2.0 2.0 1033 $1,405 $1.36 3d 2 1.39mi
9009 NE 54th St Vancouver, WA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1175 $2,500 $2.13 3d 7 1.39mi
9001 NE 54th St Vancouver, WA 1.0–2.0 1.0 618 $1,660 $2.68 3d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $80,000 Active 318 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $80,000 Active 315 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $80,000 Active 314 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $80,000 Active 313 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $80,000 Active 312 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $80,000 Active 310 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $80,000 Active 309 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $80,000 Active 306 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $80,000 Active 305 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $80,000 Active 304 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $80,000 Active 300 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $80,000 Active 299 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $80,000 Active 298 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $80,000 Active 297 DOM
  15. 2025-08-07
    listed $80,000 Active 632-char remark
    Show marketing remark (632 chars)

    Welcome to this charming and affordable single-wide manufactured home located in a desirable 55+ community. This well-maintained 2-bedroom, 1-bath home sits on a spacious corner lot and features a large, sunny kitchen with an island—perfect for cooking, entertaining, or enjoying your morning coffee. The home comes fully equipped with all appliances, including a refrigerator, washer and dryer, and two air conditioning units to keep you comfortable year-round. Conveniently located near shopping, restaurants, and everyday amenities, this home offers both comfort and accessibility in a peaceful, community-oriented setting.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,666
− Mortgage interest
−$4,481
− Property taxes
−$1,200
− Insurance
−$400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,813
− Management
−$1,813
− Depreciation
−$2,327
Taxable income
$10,631
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,551
After-tax cash flow
$8,720/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Evergreen School District (Clark)
NCES district ID
5302700
Math proficiency
41% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$59,418
Composite
42.53/100
National rank
#6859
State rank
#164 of 291 in WA

Livability — Vancouver

Score
82/100
State rank
#62
US rank
#1133

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living D- Crime F Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Vancouver, WA
County
Clark County · 513,189 people
City population
360,195
Metro
Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA
Population (ZIP)
68,305
Household income
$99,918
Rent vs Own
29.6% rent · 70.4% own
Severe rent burden
1618.0

Population outlook (Clark County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
529,610 people
By 2030
563,242 · +6.4%
By 2040
625,905 · +18.2%
By 2050
681,558 · +28.7%
By 2075
805,967 · +52.2%
By 2100
877,450 · +65.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (69%)
Race & ethnicity
White 69% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 13% Asian 6% Black 2% Pacific Islander 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 12%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 3% Subsaharan African 3% Scotch-Irish 2%
Foreign-born
13% · Canada, Vietnam, South Korea
Languages at home
79% English-only · Spanish 8% Russian/Polish/Slavic 6% Other Asian/Pacific 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Clark

2024 margin
Lean D (+7.0) · D 52.1% · R 45.1% · Other 2.8%
2008→2024 swing
+0.9pp no change · 2008: 6.1pp · 2024: 7.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+7.0 2020: D+5.1 2016: D+0.1 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+6.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -303.95%
Current HPI
307.0529
Rent YoY
▲ 0.63%
Metro
Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.65%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2025-08-07 Listed $80,000 RMLS

Property tax history

+8.9%/yr

Latest (2026): $122 · +66.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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