1603 S Oak St · Brady, TX
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.3/30.0
- Appreciation +8.3/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.1/10.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$94,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This adorable 2-bedroom, 2-bath home sits on nearly half an acre and was built in 2018, offering modern construction that has been exceptionally well maintained. Inside, you’ll find a comfortable and functional layout perfect for everyday living. The fenced backyard provides plenty of space for pets, gardening, or simply enjoying the outdoors. Additional improvements include a carport and a storage building, adding extra convenience and functionality. With its spacious lot and well-kept home, this property is a wonderful opportunity for homeowners looking for comfort, space, and easy living.
Key facts
- Modern construction
- Storage building
- Carport
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $95k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $104 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($950 rent vs $95k).
- Recommended offer: $86k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 3.3% in Brady — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#270 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
- Brady ISD (rural): math 50% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #238 of 826 in TX (top 29%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Brady El (math 33% / reading 34%, grade F, #2,174 of 4,322 statewide, top 51%, 476 students, 74% FRL); Brady Middle (math 61% / reading 50%, grade B-, #240 of 1,662 statewide, top 15%, 180 students, 58% FRL); Brady H S (math 62% / reading 67%, grade B-, #199 of 1,632 statewide, top 14%, 300 students, 58% FRL).
- Market conditions: 105 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2 units permitted in McCulloch County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $7k of equity ($656 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (6.5% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (6.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 116 days — a 9% lower offer ($86k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 116 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.00% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.61%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.72%
- DSCR
- 1.21
- GRM
- 8.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
6.53% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 20.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.39×
- Total profit
- $37,062
- Equity at exit
- $62,851
- IRR
- 19.4%
- Equity multiple
- 4.88×
- Total profit
- $103,126
- Equity at exit
- $116,841
Cash invested: $26,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 76825
- Home prices YoY
- 4.2%
- Active inventory
- 105
- Price-to-rent
- 8.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $950 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$498
- Tax from tax record
- −$109 /mo · $1,306/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$200
- Net cashflow
- $104
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $158 | -5% $131 | +0% $104 | +5% $78 | +10% $51 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $29 | -5% $67 | +0% $104 | +5% $142 | +10% $179 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $152 | -0.5pp $129 | base $104 | +0.5pp $80 | +1.0pp $55 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,725
- Closing costs
- $2,847
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2030 Menard Hwy Unit 6 Brady, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 804 | $950 | $1.18 | 45d | 1 | 0.66mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-01days on market $94,900 Active 116 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $94,900 Active 115 DOM
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2026-03-03price $94,900 610-char remark
Show marketing remark (610 chars)
This adorable 2-bedroom, 2-bath home sits on nearly half an acre and was built in 2018, offering modern construction that has been exceptionally well maintained. Inside, you’ll find a comfortable and functional layout perfect for everyday living. The fenced backyard provides plenty of space for pets, gardening, or simply enjoying the outdoors. Additional improvements include a carport and a storage building, adding extra convenience and functionality. With its spacious lot and well-kept home, this property is a wonderful opportunity for homeowners looking for comfort, space, and easy living.
-
2026-02-05$99,000 Active 610-char remark
Show marketing remark (610 chars)
This adorable 2-bedroom, 2-bath home sits on nearly half an acre and was built in 2018, offering modern construction that has been exceptionally well maintained. Inside, you’ll find a comfortable and functional layout perfect for everyday living. The fenced backyard provides plenty of space for pets, gardening, or simply enjoying the outdoors. Additional improvements include a carport and a storage building, adding extra convenience and functionality. With its spacious lot and well-kept home, this property is a wonderful opportunity for homeowners looking for comfort, space, and easy living.
-
1992-07-29soldstatus
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1991-09-11soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,306 · $109/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,737 · $145/mo
- Expected delta
- +$430/yr (+$36/mo · 33.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,400
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,316
- − Property taxes
- −$1,306
- − Insurance
- −$474
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$912
- − Management
- −$912
- − Depreciation
- −$2,761
- Taxable loss
- −$281
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$68
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,321/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Brady ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4811110
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,179
- Composite
- 40.02/100
- National rank
- #3826
- State rank
- #238 of 826 in TX
Livability — Brady
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #270
- US rank
- #6336
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Brady, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,595
Population outlook (McCulloch County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 8,509 people
- By 2030
- 8,544 · +0.4%
- By 2040
- 8,555 · +0.5%
- By 2050
- 8,486 · -0.3%
- By 2075
- 8,089 · -4.9%
- By 2100
- 6,599 · -22.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (60%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 60% Hispanic / Latino 33% Two or more races 21%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 30%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 8% Lithuanian 3% Portuguese 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 72% English-only · Spanish 27%
Political lean MEDSL · McCulloch
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+73.4) · D 12.9% · R 86.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.4pp toward R · 2008: -51.0pp · 2024: -73.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+73.4 2020: R+70.3 2016: R+67.0 2012: R+62.9 2008: R+51.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 6.53%
- Current HPI
- 161.5061
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-4.1% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-03 Price Changed $94,900 NTREIS
- 2026-02-05 Listed $99,000 NTREIS
- 1992-07-29 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1991-09-11 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+40.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,306 · -19.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…