CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
1751 W CITRACADO Pkwy Spc 244
B+ Composite 76.36
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$275,000

1751 W CITRACADO Pkwy Spc 244 · Escondido, CA 92029
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,248 sqft · Manufactured public records · 16 Days on market
Built 1979 Est $344k · 20% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

WELCOME HOME!! INCREDIBLE BUY, on a beautiful & elevated lot, in a quiet wooded FIVE STAR SENIOR COMMUNITY. .The abundance of windows create a wonderful lite & brite atmosphere. .Plenty of storage everywhere. Kitchen is extra large for your convenience with GREAT cabinet space & breakfast bar! MBRM has a walk-in closet, plus a second closet for your convenience. THE MSTR BATH IS VERY SPACIOUS ALSO. .Also, a separate laundry room with counter top folding space & cabinets. The sp. rent is only #550.00(SUPP. ) [Supplement]: YOUR PET OR PETS WILL LOVE THE FENCED AREA ON THE PROPERTY. . YOU MUST SHOW THIS PROPERTY, AND SELL IT. .

Key facts

  • New lighting
  • New gas range
  • Upgraded flooring

Tags

UPGRADED FLOORINGNEW VANITIESNEW MIRRORSNEW FAUCETSNEW LIGHTINGNEW GAS RANGE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Manager approval required for tenancy
  • Financial info: Land lease $900 monthly (park); Rent may include pool
  • HOA & community: Senior community; On-site property management and resident manager; Clubhouse with meeting and card rooms; Gym/exercise room; Outdoor cooking area; Hiking trails; Maintenance of grounds; Recreational/multipurpose room; Pets permitted (dogs and cats; check rules); Park amenities; call for rules

Exterior

  • Parking: Covered carport; Driveway parking; Two parking spaces (including 2 carport spaces)
  • Security: Carbon monoxide detector(s); Smoke detector
  • Utilities: District/public water; Public sewer; Standard electric service; Natural gas connected; Sewer connected; Electricity connected; Water connected
  • Home design: Single-story mobile home (Kingsbrook model); Northwest facing; Turnkey condition; One entry level; Mobile home remains on site (24' x 52'); Pier jacks foundation
  • Construction: Composition/shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Covered front porch; Covered patio; In-ground community heated pool (fenced, exercise pool); Community spa (in-ground, heated); Lot is rectangular and level/flat; Close to clubhouse; Siding skirt

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas range; Range/stove hood; Garbage disposal; Formica counters; Gas water heater; Water heater unit
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on the main floor; All bedrooms on one level
  • Flooring: Vinyl flooring
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; Upgraded bath features with separate tub and walk-in shower (soaking tub)
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating with natural gas furnace; Central gas cooling
  • Interior features: Wood product walls; Built-ins; Ceiling fan; No interior steps; Carbon monoxide and smoke detectors; Resident manager
  • Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room; Washer included; Dryer included

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $275k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $275k).
  • Recommended offer: $271k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.5% vs local median 2.4% in Escondido — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#238 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment B; Watch: health & safety C-, crime D+, cost of living F.
  • Escondido Union High (suburban): math 19% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #247 of 517 in CA (top 48%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: San Pasqual High (math 22% / reading 59%, grade F, #508 of 1,170 statewide, top 44%, 1,936 students, 74% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.5%/yr); 94 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 0d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 11,759 units permitted in San Diego County in 2024 (7,244 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($125k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • San Diego County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.5% rent growth), your $77k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($271k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $42k; list at $275k implies a 555% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $270,875 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.42%
Cap rate
11.46%
Cash-on-cash
18.45%
DSCR
1.82
GRM
5.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$344,448
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1750 W Citracado Pkwy #103 0.08mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,280 (+3%) 12mo $565,000 $441 77
1751 W CITRACADO #302 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,152 (-8%) 12mo $318,000 $276 77
2400 W Valley Pkwy Spc 62 0.29mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,280 (+3%) 2mo $533,000 $416 76
1751 W Citracado Pkwy #293 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,344 (+8%) 14mo $280,000 $208 75
1751 Citracado Pkwy #272 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,344 (+8%) 15mo $300,000 $223 75
1751-248 W CITRACADO Pkwy #248 0.09mi 2/2.0 1,344 (+8%) 10mo $272,000 $202 74
1751 W CITRACADO Pkwy #282 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,360 (+9%) 15mo $305,000 $224 72
1750 W Citracado Pkwy #164 0.06mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,344 (+8%) 16mo $515,000 $383 67
2400 W Valley Pkwy #91 0.28mi 2/2.0 1,316 (+5%) 16mo $515,000 $391 64
1001 S Hale Ave #85 0.66mi 2/2.0 1,269 (+2%) 15mo $276,000 $217 54
2400 W Valley Pkwy Spc 95 0.33mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,404 (+12%) 6mo $454,000 $323 54
1301 S Hale #17 0.40mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,344 (+8%) 16mo $350,000 $260 51

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.51% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
8.5%
Equity multiple
1.33×
Total profit
$25,150
Equity at exit
$41,003
10-year hold
IRR
16.4%
Equity multiple
2.25×
Total profit
$96,285
Equity at exit
$23,777

Cash invested: $77,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92029

Rents YoY
1.5%
Active inventory
94
Price-to-rent
5.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,905 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,442
Tax est. 1.5%
$344 /mo · $4,125/yr
Insurance
$115
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$820
Net cashflow
$1,184

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,406
Max offer price $275,000
Occupancy floor 65%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,374 -5% $1,279 +0% $1,184 +5% $1,089 +10% $994
Rent -10% $876 -5% $1,030 +0% $1,184 +5% $1,338 +10% $1,493
Rate -1.0pp $1,323 -0.5pp $1,254 base $1,184 +0.5pp $1,113 +1.0pp $1,040

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$68,750
Closing costs
$8,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2022 Avenida Del Diablo Unit 1545873P Escondido, CA 2.0 2.0 807 $6,243 $7.74 11d 1 0.32mi
1725 W 9th Ave Unit 2029021 Escondido, CA 2.0 1.0 900 $2,295 $2.55 0d 1 0.89mi
1361 W 9th Ave Escondido, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 767 $3,151 $4.11 0d 14 0.90mi
910 Del Dios Rd Escondido, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 845 $2,877 $3.40 0d 29 1.03mi

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $275,000 Active 16 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $275,000 Active 13 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $275,000 Active 12 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $275,000 Active 11 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    pricedays on market $275,000 Active 10 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $289,000 Active 8 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $289,000 Active 4 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $289,000 Active 3 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    remarks 679-char remark
  10. 2026-06-07
    listed $289,000 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$46,855
− Mortgage interest
−$15,404
− Property taxes
−$4,125
− Insurance
−$1,375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,748
− Management
−$3,748
− Depreciation
−$8,000
Taxable income
$10,454
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,509
After-tax cash flow
$11,701/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Escondido Union High
NCES district ID
0612910
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$55,731
Composite
32.82/100
National rank
#5620
State rank
#247 of 517 in CA

Livability — Escondido

Score
70/100
State rank
#238
US rank
#7829

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime D+ Employment B Housing C+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Escondido, CA
County
San Diego County · 3,178,799 people
City population
177,903
Metro
San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA
Population (ZIP)
20,726
Household income
$124,726
Rent vs Own
26.8% rent · 73.2% own
Severe rent burden
621.0

Population outlook (San Diego County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
3,678,185 people
By 2030
3,856,546 · +4.8%
By 2040
4,171,407 · +13.4%
By 2050
4,421,607 · +20.2%
By 2075
4,831,599 · +31.4%
By 2100
4,832,502 · +31.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
White 59% Hispanic / Latino 24% Two or more races 12% Asian 9% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 19%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Lithuanian 3% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
16% · Canada, South Korea, China
Languages at home
78% English-only · Spanish 12% Tagalog/Filipino 3% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · San Diego

2024 margin
D (+16.8) · D 56.9% · R 40.1% · Other 2.9%
2008→2024 swing
+6.6pp toward D · 2008: 10.2pp · 2024: 16.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+16.8 2020: D+22.8 2016: D+17.8 2012: D+5.1 2008: D+10.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -462.03%
Current HPI
375.7876
Rent YoY
▲ 1.51%
Metro
San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+503.3% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-05 Listed $289,000 CRMLS
  • 2009-12-14 Sold (MLS) $42,000 CRMLS
  • 2009-10-19 Listed $47,900 CRMLS

Property tax history

-0.1%/yr

Latest (2013): $417 · +1.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…