1751 W CITRACADO Pkwy Spc 244 · Escondido, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.2/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$275,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
WELCOME HOME!! INCREDIBLE BUY, on a beautiful & elevated lot, in a quiet wooded FIVE STAR SENIOR COMMUNITY. .The abundance of windows create a wonderful lite & brite atmosphere. .Plenty of storage everywhere. Kitchen is extra large for your convenience with GREAT cabinet space & breakfast bar! MBRM has a walk-in closet, plus a second closet for your convenience. THE MSTR BATH IS VERY SPACIOUS ALSO. .Also, a separate laundry room with counter top folding space & cabinets. The sp. rent is only #550.00(SUPP. ) [Supplement]: YOUR PET OR PETS WILL LOVE THE FENCED AREA ON THE PROPERTY. . YOU MUST SHOW THIS PROPERTY, AND SELL IT. .
Key facts
- New lighting
- New gas range
- Upgraded flooring
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Manager approval required for tenancy
- Financial info: Land lease $900 monthly (park); Rent may include pool
- HOA & community: Senior community; On-site property management and resident manager; Clubhouse with meeting and card rooms; Gym/exercise room; Outdoor cooking area; Hiking trails; Maintenance of grounds; Recreational/multipurpose room; Pets permitted (dogs and cats; check rules); Park amenities; call for rules
Exterior
- Parking: Covered carport; Driveway parking; Two parking spaces (including 2 carport spaces)
- Security: Carbon monoxide detector(s); Smoke detector
- Utilities: District/public water; Public sewer; Standard electric service; Natural gas connected; Sewer connected; Electricity connected; Water connected
- Home design: Single-story mobile home (Kingsbrook model); Northwest facing; Turnkey condition; One entry level; Mobile home remains on site (24' x 52'); Pier jacks foundation
- Construction: Composition/shingle roof
- Exterior features: Covered front porch; Covered patio; In-ground community heated pool (fenced, exercise pool); Community spa (in-ground, heated); Lot is rectangular and level/flat; Close to clubhouse; Siding skirt
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas range; Range/stove hood; Garbage disposal; Formica counters; Gas water heater; Water heater unit
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on the main floor; All bedrooms on one level
- Flooring: Vinyl flooring
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; Upgraded bath features with separate tub and walk-in shower (soaking tub)
- Heating & cooling: Central heating with natural gas furnace; Central gas cooling
- Interior features: Wood product walls; Built-ins; Ceiling fan; No interior steps; Carbon monoxide and smoke detectors; Resident manager
- Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room; Washer included; Dryer included
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $275k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $275k).
- Recommended offer: $271k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.5% vs local median 2.4% in Escondido — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#238 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment B; Watch: health & safety C-, crime D+, cost of living F.
- Escondido Union High (suburban): math 19% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #247 of 517 in CA (top 48%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: San Pasqual High (math 22% / reading 59%, grade F, #508 of 1,170 statewide, top 44%, 1,936 students, 74% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.5%/yr); 94 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 0d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 11,759 units permitted in San Diego County in 2024 (7,244 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($125k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- San Diego County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.5% rent growth), your $77k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($271k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $42k; list at $275k implies a 555% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.42% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.46%
- Cash-on-cash
- 18.45%
- DSCR
- 1.82
- GRM
- 5.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $344,448
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1750 W Citracado Pkwy #103 | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,280 (+3%) | 12mo | $565,000 | $441 | 77 |
| 1751 W CITRACADO #302 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,152 (-8%) | 12mo | $318,000 | $276 | 77 |
| 2400 W Valley Pkwy Spc 62 | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,280 (+3%) | 2mo | $533,000 | $416 | 76 |
| 1751 W Citracado Pkwy #293 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,344 (+8%) | 14mo | $280,000 | $208 | 75 |
| 1751 Citracado Pkwy #272 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,344 (+8%) | 15mo | $300,000 | $223 | 75 |
| 1751-248 W CITRACADO Pkwy #248 | 0.09mi | 2/2.0 | 1,344 (+8%) | 10mo | $272,000 | $202 | 74 |
| 1751 W CITRACADO Pkwy #282 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,360 (+9%) | 15mo | $305,000 | $224 | 72 |
| 1750 W Citracado Pkwy #164 | 0.06mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,344 (+8%) | 16mo | $515,000 | $383 | 67 |
| 2400 W Valley Pkwy #91 | 0.28mi | 2/2.0 | 1,316 (+5%) | 16mo | $515,000 | $391 | 64 |
| 1001 S Hale Ave #85 | 0.66mi | 2/2.0 | 1,269 (+2%) | 15mo | $276,000 | $217 | 54 |
| 2400 W Valley Pkwy Spc 95 | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,404 (+12%) | 6mo | $454,000 | $323 | 54 |
| 1301 S Hale #17 | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,344 (+8%) | 16mo | $350,000 | $260 | 51 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.51% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 8.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.33×
- Total profit
- $25,150
- Equity at exit
- $41,003
- IRR
- 16.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.25×
- Total profit
- $96,285
- Equity at exit
- $23,777
Cash invested: $77,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92029
- Rents YoY
- 1.5%
- Active inventory
- 94
- Price-to-rent
- 5.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,905 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,442
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$344 /mo · $4,125/yr
- Insurance
- −$115
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$820
- Net cashflow
- $1,184
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,374 | -5% $1,279 | +0% $1,184 | +5% $1,089 | +10% $994 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $876 | -5% $1,030 | +0% $1,184 | +5% $1,338 | +10% $1,493 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,323 | -0.5pp $1,254 | base $1,184 | +0.5pp $1,113 | +1.0pp $1,040 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $68,750
- Closing costs
- $8,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 Avenida Del Diablo Unit 1545873P Escondido, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 807 | $6,243 | $7.74 | 11d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 1725 W 9th Ave Unit 2029021 Escondido, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $2,295 | $2.55 | 0d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 1361 W 9th Ave Escondido, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 767 | $3,151 | $4.11 | 0d | 14 | 0.90mi |
| 910 Del Dios Rd Escondido, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 845 | $2,877 | $3.40 | 0d | 29 | 1.03mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $275,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $275,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $275,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $275,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-15pricedays on market $275,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $289,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $289,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $289,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 679-char remark
-
2026-06-07$289,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $46,855
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,404
- − Property taxes
- −$4,125
- − Insurance
- −$1,375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,748
- − Management
- −$3,748
- − Depreciation
- −$8,000
- Taxable income
- $10,454
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,509
- After-tax cash flow
- $11,701/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Escondido Union High
- NCES district ID
- 0612910
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,731
- Composite
- 32.82/100
- National rank
- #5620
- State rank
- #247 of 517 in CA
Livability — Escondido
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #238
- US rank
- #7829
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Escondido, CA
- County
- San Diego County · 3,178,799 people
- City population
- 177,903
- Metro
- San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,726
- Household income
- $124,726
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 621.0
Population outlook (San Diego County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 3,678,185 people
- By 2030
- 3,856,546 · +4.8%
- By 2040
- 4,171,407 · +13.4%
- By 2050
- 4,421,607 · +20.2%
- By 2075
- 4,831,599 · +31.4%
- By 2100
- 4,832,502 · +31.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 59% Hispanic / Latino 24% Two or more races 12% Asian 9% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 19%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Lithuanian 3% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada, South Korea, China
- Languages at home
- 78% English-only · Spanish 12% Tagalog/Filipino 3% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · San Diego
- 2024 margin
- D (+16.8) · D 56.9% · R 40.1% · Other 2.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.6pp toward D · 2008: 10.2pp · 2024: 16.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+16.8 2020: D+22.8 2016: D+17.8 2012: D+5.1 2008: D+10.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -462.03%
- Current HPI
- 375.7876
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.51%
- Metro
- San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
+503.3% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Listed $289,000 CRMLS
- 2009-12-14 Sold (MLS) $42,000 CRMLS
- 2009-10-19 Listed $47,900 CRMLS
Property tax history
-0.1%/yrLatest (2013): $417 · +1.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…