20258 Crawford Ave · Olympia Fields, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.6/30.0
- ARV discount +14.7/15.0
- DSCR +7.6/10.0
- 1% rule +6.7/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$189,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
3 bedroom, 1 bath, 100X230 lot, Brick. Great opprotunity to rehab at this great deal. Near shopping, hospital, schools, and train. 2 parking spaces!! 1.5 lots!!!!
Key facts
- Generously sized lot
- Private well
- Easy access to i-80
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Fee simple ownership; Commuter train and interstate access nearby; School bus service available
- HOA & community: No master association fee required; Community amenities include lake, sidewalks, street lights, and paved streets
Exterior
- Parking: Two parking spaces; Owned parking
- Utilities: Well water; Septic tank
- Home design: Detached single-family home; One-story
- Construction: Brick construction; Asphalt roof; Built 71–80 years ago; Built before 1978
- Exterior features: Patio; Backs to trees/woods; Mature trees; Level lot; Water view; Half-acre to nearly one-acre parcel (per county records); Lot dimensions approximately 100 x 230
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on the main level
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms (all on the main level); Master bedroom on the main level
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Forced air; Heat pump
- Interior features: Seven total rooms; Den
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $189k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $355 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $189k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#253 in IL, #4,680 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, commute A; Watch: schools C-, crime D-, amenities F.
- Rich Twp Hsd 227 (suburban): math 5% / reading 12% proficiency, ranked #577 of 620 in IL (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 69 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $30k; list at $189k implies a 530% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.17% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.55%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.05%
- DSCR
- 1.36
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $224,846
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20100 Keystone Ave | 0.26mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,128 (-3%) | 10mo | $181,000 | $160 | 70 |
| 739 Violet Ln | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,180 (+2%) | 16mo | $300,000 | $254 | 50 |
| 4210 204th St | 0.33mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 989 (-15%) | 19mo | $187,500 | $190 | 39 |
| 725 Violet Ln | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,265 (+9%) | 19mo | $245,000 | $194 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.85×
- Total profit
- $-7,924
- Equity at exit
- $28,181
- IRR
- 5.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.43×
- Total profit
- $22,561
- Equity at exit
- $16,341
Cash invested: $52,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60443
- Home prices YoY
- -32.6%
- Active inventory
- 69
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,204 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$991
- Tax from tax record
- −$316 /mo · $3,793/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$463
- Net cashflow
- $355
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $462 | -5% $409 | +0% $355 | +5% $302 | +10% $248 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $181 | -5% $268 | +0% $355 | +5% $442 | +10% $529 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $450 | -0.5pp $403 | base $355 | +0.5pp $306 | +1.0pp $256 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,250
- Closing costs
- $5,670
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4302 Applewood Ln Matteson, IL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1196 | $2,175 | $1.82 | 0d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 4316 Lindenwood Dr Matteson, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,625 | $1.91 | 25d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 4962 Bennett St Matteson, IL | 2.0–3.0 | 1.5–2.5 | 1341 | $3,120 | $2.33 | 0d | 7 | 1.20mi |
| 3538 212th Pl Matteson, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1209 | $2,000 | $1.65 | 25d | 1 | 1.34mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $189,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $189,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $189,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $189,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-13$189,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,793 · $316/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,042 · $337/mo
- Expected delta
- +$249/yr (+$21/mo · 6.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,448
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,587
- − Property taxes
- −$3,793
- − Insurance
- −$945
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,116
- − Management
- −$2,116
- − Depreciation
- −$5,498
- Taxable income
- $1,393
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$334
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,928/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Rich Twp Hsd 227
- NCES district ID
- 1733420
- Math proficiency
- 5% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 12% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $56,056
- Composite
- 8.93/100
- National rank
- #9885
- State rank
- #577 of 620 in IL
Livability — Olympia Fields
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #253
- US rank
- #4680
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,606
Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,347,519 people
- By 2030
- 5,357,703 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 5,324,924 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 5,230,762 · -2.2%
- By 2075
- 4,785,735 · -10.5%
- By 2100
- 4,188,836 · -21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 72% White 18% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Cook
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -89.68%
- Current HPI
- 185.4404
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Price history
+980.0% since first listed21 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-10 Listed $189,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-01-30 Sold (MLS) $30,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-10-26 Relisted — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-10-22 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-07-10 Contingent — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-04-28 Listed $36,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-02-29 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-01-12 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-12-16 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-12-01 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-11-17 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-11-03 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-10-20 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-10-07 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-07-28 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-07-14 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-06-30 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-06-15 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-06-01 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-05-19 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1986-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $17,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.6%/yrLatest (2023): $3,793 · +12.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…