🏗️ New Construction
SKYLINE 123 Cranberry Village Estates Plan · Cranberry, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +6.4/10.0
- Condition / age +2.8/5.0
- Appreciation +2.5/10.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.0/5.0
- Manufactured-home adj. -5.9
$35,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Those looking for a cozy manufactured home will find their perfect one in Cranberry Village. Cranberry Village is a suburban, pet-friendly community with tree-lined streets and tons of amenities, including a clubhouse, basketball court, and playground. All of our energy-efficient, manufactured, 2-3 bedroom houses come in a wide variety of styles, layouts, and sizes to match your needs, in a surrounding community that's sure to feel like home. Cranberry Village is located in Cranberry Township, Pennsylvania - only 20 miles outside of Pittsburgh! This community is tucked between the rolling, green Pennsylvania hills, offering both the convenience of nearby necessities and the peace of rural surroundings at nearby Graham Park or Cranberry Park. The surrounding Cranberry Township features convenient shopping, great dining options, and everything else that metropolitan Pittsburgh area has to offer!
Key facts
- Clubhouse
- Manufactured home
- Basketball court
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $36k. Condition is rated average.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $787 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $36k).
- Recommended offer: $31k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 22.0% vs local median 3.4% in Cranberry — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Seneca Valley SD (rural): math 48% / reading 67% proficiency, ranked #73 of 539 in PA (top 14%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 12% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Haine El Sch (math 52% / reading 67%, grade B-, #377 of 1,518 statewide, top 28%, 813 students, 21% FRL); Ryan Gloyer Ms (math 32% / reading 64%, grade C-, #153 of 512 statewide, top 30%, 1,123 students, 21% FRL); Seneca Valley Hs (math 71% / reading 75%, grade B+, #35 of 437 statewide, top 8%, 2,307 students, 18% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.9%/yr); 397 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 12d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 987 units permitted in Butler County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 15% of the median local income ($124k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $417 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Butler County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 316 days — a 12% lower offer ($31k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.5% of price.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 316 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.53% ✓
- Cap rate
- 21.96%
- Cash-on-cash
- 55.97%
- DSCR
- 3.49
- GRM
- 3.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $60,267
- List price
- $35,500
- Delta
- -41.10%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 335 Laporte Ct | 0.41mi | 3/1.5 | 972 (-1%) | 7mo | $185,000 | $190 | 72 |
| 58 Ashford Dr | 0.20mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,037 (+6%) | 4mo | $290,000 | $280 | 71 |
| 310 Bellford Ct | 0.39mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 960 (-2%) | 2mo | $206,000 | $215 | 70 |
| 127 Clearbrook Dr | 0.41mi | 3/2.5 | 1,044 (+6%) | 7mo | $350,000 | $335 | 62 |
| 26 Landis Ave | 0.78mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 980 (0%) | 0mo | $35,000 | $36 | 60 |
| 601 Country Vue Ct | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 | 1,200 (+22%) | 5mo | $70,000 | $58 | 60 |
| 12 Pin Oak Ct | 0.60mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,020 (+4%) | 0mo | $295,000 | $289 | 58 |
| 114 Opal Ct | 0.78mi | 3/1.5 | 924 (-6%) | 2mo | $200,000 | $216 | 52 |
| 137 Parkwood Dr | 0.70mi | 3/1.5 | 1,040 (+6%) | 6mo | $224,900 | $216 | 50 |
| 104 Bellwood Ct | 0.82mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,040 (+6%) | 2mo | $227,500 | $219 | 48 |
| 206 Sandalwood Dr | 0.65mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,170 (+19%) | 6mo | $290,000 | $248 | 35 |
| 576 Joan St | 0.75mi | 3/1.5 | 1,224 (+25%) | 5mo | $320,000 | $261 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 50.9%
- Equity multiple
- 3.13×
- Total profit
- $35,919
- Equity at exit
- $8,986
- IRR
- 55.1%
- Equity multiple
- 5.66×
- Total profit
- $78,663
- Equity at exit
- $5,211
Cash invested: $16,875 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 6 active · 1 under contract
- Months of supply
- 18.0 mo (6%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $119,900 ($105/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 350 d
- This list price
- 17% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- -41.5% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 16066
- Rents YoY
- -1.9%
- Active inventory
- 397
- Price-to-rent
- 1.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,523 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$316
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$75 /mo · $904/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent leased land?
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$320
- Net cashflow
- $787
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $829 | -5% $808 | +0% $787 | +5% $766 | +10% $745 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $667 | -5% $727 | +0% $787 | +5% $847 | +10% $907 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $817 | -0.5pp $802 | base $787 | +0.5pp $771 | +1.0pp $756 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $15,067
- Closing costs
- $1,808
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 244 E Commons Dr Cranberry Township, PA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1116 | $1,500 | $1.34 | 25d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 315 Bellford Ct Cranberry Township, PA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1116 | $850 | $0.76 | 66d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 312 Bellford Ct Cranberry Township, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1116 | $1,850 | $1.66 | 27d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 10100 Kettlecreek Dr Cranberry Township, PA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1017 | $1,900 | $1.87 | 11d | 15 | 0.81mi |
| 90 Berkley Manor Dr Cranberry Township, PA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1048 | $2,199 | $2.10 | 11d | 20 | 0.83mi |
| 8000 Brandt Dr Cranberry Twp, PA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 943 | $2,111 | $2.24 | 11d | 24 | 1.00mi |
| 401 Collingwood Ct Cranberry Twp, PA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 950 | $1,895 | $1.99 | 11d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 102 Holly Dr Cranberry Township, PA | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1129 | $1,175 | $1.04 | 11d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 15000 Metropolitan WAY Cranberry Twp, PA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1080 | $1,550 | $1.43 | 11d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 1000 Strand Rd Cranberry Township, PA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1117 | $2,859 | $2.56 | 11d | 16 | 1.34mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $35,500 Active 316 DOM
-
2026-08-07days on market $35,500 Active 315 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $35,500 Active 314 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $35,500 Active 313 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $35,500 Active 312 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $35,500 Active 311 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $35,500 Active 308 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $35,500 Active 307 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $35,500 Active 306 DOM
-
2026-07-28days on market $35,500 Active 305 DOM
-
2026-07-26days on market $35,500 Active 303 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $35,500 Active 301 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $35,500 Active 300 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $35,500 Active 299 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $35,500 Active 298 DOM
-
2026-07-20days on market $35,500 Active 297 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $35,500 Active 295 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $35,500 Active 294 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $35,500 Active 293 DOM
-
2026-07-15days on market $35,500 Active 292 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $35,500 Active 291 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $35,500 Active 290 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $35,500 Active 289 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $35,500 Active 288 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $35,500 Active 287 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $35,500 Active 286 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $35,500 Active 284 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $35,500 Active 283 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $35,500 Active 282 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $35,500 Active 280 DOM
-
2026-07-02days on market $35,500 Active 279 DOM
-
2026-07-01days on market $35,500 Active 278 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $35,500 Active 277 DOM
-
2026-06-29days on market $35,500 Active 276 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $35,500 Active 275 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $35,500 Active 274 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $35,500 Active 273 DOM
-
2026-06-25days on market $35,500 Active 271 DOM
-
2026-06-22days on market $35,500 Active 269 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $35,500 Active 268 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $35,500 Active 265 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $35,500 Active 264 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $35,500 Active 263 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $35,500 Active 262 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $35,500 Active 260 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $35,500 Active 259 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $35,500 Active 256 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $35,500 Active 255 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $35,500 Active 254 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $35,500 Active 251 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,281
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,376
- − Property taxes
- −$904
- − Insurance
- −$301
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,463
- − Management
- −$1,463
- − Depreciation
- −$1,753
- Taxable income
- $9,022
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,165
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,279/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 4 photos
This manufactured home requires cosmetic updates to kitchen cabinets, fixtures, and exterior siding to improve its curb appeal and functionality.
Repairs flagged
- Moderate Kitchen cabinets — Worn condition
- Moderate Bathtub and fixtures — Dated appearance
- Moderate Exterior siding — Weathered condition
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal ↑
- Rental Replace carpet in bedrooms — New carpet improves comfort and appeal ↑
- Both Update kitchen countertops — Modern countertops increase functionality and aesthetic ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Seneca Valley SD
- NCES district ID
- 4222440
- Math proficiency
- 48% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 67% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $80,381
- Composite
- 51.84/100
- National rank
- #1666
- State rank
- #73 of 539 in PA
Livability — Cranberry
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- County
- Butler County · 190,777 people
- Metro
- Pittsburgh, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,873
- Household income
- $124,189
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 7% of renters
Population outlook (Butler County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 190,777 people
- By 2030
- 191,476 · +0.4%
- By 2040
- 189,474 · -0.7%
- By 2050
- 182,050 · -4.6%
- By 2075
- 159,526 · -16.4%
- By 2100
- 129,028 · -32.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Asian 4% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 10% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Butler
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+32.2) · D 33.5% · R 65.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.8pp toward R · 2008: -27.4pp · 2024: -32.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+32.2 2020: R+32.5 2016: R+37.5 2012: R+34.9 2008: R+27.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -154.35%
- Current HPI
- 276.4597
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.93%
- Metro
- Pittsburgh, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2025-09-27 Listed $35,500 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…