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SKYLINE 123 Cranberry Village Estates Plan 🏗️ New Construction
B- Composite 67.75
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +6.4/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.8/5.0
  • Appreciation +2.5/10.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.0/5.0
  • Manufactured-home adj. -5.9

$35,500

SKYLINE 123 Cranberry Village Estates Plan · Cranberry, PA 16066
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 980 sqft · Manufactured · 316 Days on market
Manufactured home Average condition

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Those looking for a cozy manufactured home will find their perfect one in Cranberry Village. Cranberry Village is a suburban, pet-friendly community with tree-lined streets and tons of amenities, including a clubhouse, basketball court, and playground. All of our energy-efficient, manufactured, 2-3 bedroom houses come in a wide variety of styles, layouts, and sizes to match your needs, in a surrounding community that's sure to feel like home. Cranberry Village is located in Cranberry Township, Pennsylvania - only 20 miles outside of Pittsburgh! This community is tucked between the rolling, green Pennsylvania hills, offering both the convenience of nearby necessities and the peace of rural surroundings at nearby Graham Park or Cranberry Park. The surrounding Cranberry Township features convenient shopping, great dining options, and everything else that metropolitan Pittsburgh area has to offer!

Key facts

  • Clubhouse
  • Manufactured home
  • Basketball court

Tags

MANUFACTURED HOMEPET-FRIENDLY COMMUNITYCLUBHOUSEBASKETBALL COURTPLAYGROUNDENERGY-EFFICIENT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. The $35,500 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $60,267.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $36k. Condition is rated average.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $787 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $36k).
  • Recommended offer: $31k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 22.0% vs local median 3.4% in Cranberry — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Seneca Valley SD (rural): math 48% / reading 67% proficiency, ranked #73 of 539 in PA (top 14%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 12% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Haine El Sch (math 52% / reading 67%, grade B-, #377 of 1,518 statewide, top 28%, 813 students, 21% FRL); Ryan Gloyer Ms (math 32% / reading 64%, grade C-, #153 of 512 statewide, top 30%, 1,123 students, 21% FRL); Seneca Valley Hs (math 71% / reading 75%, grade B+, #35 of 437 statewide, top 8%, 2,307 students, 18% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.9%/yr); 397 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 12d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 987 units permitted in Butler County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 15% of the median local income ($124k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $417 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Butler County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 316 days — a 12% lower offer ($31k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.5% of price.
Recommended offer $31,240 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 316 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.53%
Cap rate
21.96%
Cash-on-cash
55.97%
DSCR
3.49
GRM
3.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$60,267
List price
$35,500
Delta
-41.10%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
2 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
335 Laporte Ct 0.41mi 3/1.5 972 (-1%) 7mo $185,000 $190 72
58 Ashford Dr 0.20mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,037 (+6%) 4mo $290,000 $280 71
310 Bellford Ct 0.39mi 2/1.5 (-1) 960 (-2%) 2mo $206,000 $215 70
127 Clearbrook Dr 0.41mi 3/2.5 1,044 (+6%) 7mo $350,000 $335 62
26 Landis Ave 0.78mi 2/2.0 (-1) 980 (0%) 0mo $35,000 $36 60
601 Country Vue Ct 0.23mi 3/2.0 1,200 (+22%) 5mo $70,000 $58 60
12 Pin Oak Ct 0.60mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,020 (+4%) 0mo $295,000 $289 58
114 Opal Ct 0.78mi 3/1.5 924 (-6%) 2mo $200,000 $216 52
137 Parkwood Dr 0.70mi 3/1.5 1,040 (+6%) 6mo $224,900 $216 50
104 Bellwood Ct 0.82mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,040 (+6%) 2mo $227,500 $219 48
206 Sandalwood Dr 0.65mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,170 (+19%) 6mo $290,000 $248 35
576 Joan St 0.75mi 3/1.5 1,224 (+25%) 5mo $320,000 $261 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
50.9%
Equity multiple
3.13×
Total profit
$35,919
Equity at exit
$8,986
10-year hold
IRR
55.1%
Equity multiple
5.66×
Total profit
$78,663
Equity at exit
$5,211

Cash invested: $16,875 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.
Buyer's market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
6 active · 1 under contract
Months of supply
18.0 mo (6%/mo absorbed)
Median asking
$119,900 ($105/sqft)
Median days on market
350 d
This list price
17% of active listings are priced below it
ARV vs active asking
-41.5% vs current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 16066

Rents YoY
-1.9%
Active inventory
397
Price-to-rent
1.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,523 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$316
Tax est. 1.5%
$75 /mo · $904/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Lot rent leased land?
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$320
Net cashflow
$787

Break-even live

Break-even rent $527
Max offer price $60,267
Occupancy floor 43%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $829 -5% $808 +0% $787 +5% $766 +10% $745
Rent -10% $667 -5% $727 +0% $787 +5% $847 +10% $907
Rate -1.0pp $817 -0.5pp $802 base $787 +0.5pp $771 +1.0pp $756

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$15,067
Closing costs
$1,808
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 10 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
244 E Commons Dr Cranberry Township, PA 2.0 1.5 1116 $1,500 $1.34 25d 1 0.34mi
315 Bellford Ct Cranberry Township, PA 2.0 1.5 1116 $850 $0.76 66d 1 0.35mi
312 Bellford Ct Cranberry Township, PA 3.0 1.5 1116 $1,850 $1.66 27d 1 0.39mi
10100 Kettlecreek Dr Cranberry Township, PA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1017 $1,900 $1.87 11d 15 0.81mi
90 Berkley Manor Dr Cranberry Township, PA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1048 $2,199 $2.10 11d 20 0.83mi
8000 Brandt Dr Cranberry Twp, PA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 943 $2,111 $2.24 11d 24 1.00mi
401 Collingwood Ct Cranberry Twp, PA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 950 $1,895 $1.99 11d 1 1.06mi
102 Holly Dr Cranberry Township, PA 3.0 1.0–2.0 1129 $1,175 $1.04 11d 1 1.22mi
15000 Metropolitan WAY Cranberry Twp, PA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1080 $1,550 $1.43 11d 1 1.23mi
1000 Strand Rd Cranberry Township, PA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1117 $2,859 $2.56 11d 16 1.34mi

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-08-08
    days on market $35,500 Active 316 DOM
  2. 2026-08-07
    days on market $35,500 Active 315 DOM
  3. 2026-08-06
    days on market $35,500 Active 314 DOM
  4. 2026-08-05
    days on market $35,500 Active 313 DOM
  5. 2026-08-04
    days on market $35,500 Active 312 DOM
  6. 2026-08-03
    days on market $35,500 Active 311 DOM
  7. 2026-07-31
    days on market $35,500 Active 308 DOM
  8. 2026-07-30
    days on market $35,500 Active 307 DOM
  9. 2026-07-30
    days on market $35,500 Active 306 DOM
  10. 2026-07-28
    days on market $35,500 Active 305 DOM
  11. 2026-07-26
    days on market $35,500 Active 303 DOM
  12. 2026-07-24
    days on market $35,500 Active 301 DOM
  13. 2026-07-23
    days on market $35,500 Active 300 DOM
  14. 2026-07-22
    days on market $35,500 Active 299 DOM
  15. 2026-07-21
    days on market $35,500 Active 298 DOM
  16. 2026-07-20
    days on market $35,500 Active 297 DOM
  17. 2026-07-18
    days on market $35,500 Active 295 DOM
  18. 2026-07-18
    days on market $35,500 Active 294 DOM
  19. 2026-07-16
    days on market $35,500 Active 293 DOM
  20. 2026-07-15
    days on market $35,500 Active 292 DOM
  21. 2026-07-14
    days on market $35,500 Active 291 DOM
  22. 2026-07-13
    days on market $35,500 Active 290 DOM
  23. 2026-07-13
    days on market $35,500 Active 289 DOM
  24. 2026-07-11
    days on market $35,500 Active 288 DOM
  25. 2026-07-10
    days on market $35,500 Active 287 DOM
  26. 2026-07-09
    days on market $35,500 Active 286 DOM
  27. 2026-07-07
    days on market $35,500 Active 284 DOM
  28. 2026-07-06
    days on market $35,500 Active 283 DOM
  29. 2026-07-05
    days on market $35,500 Active 282 DOM
  30. 2026-07-03
    days on market $35,500 Active 280 DOM
  31. 2026-07-02
    days on market $35,500 Active 279 DOM
  32. 2026-07-01
    days on market $35,500 Active 278 DOM
  33. 2026-06-30
    days on market $35,500 Active 277 DOM
  34. 2026-06-29
    days on market $35,500 Active 276 DOM
  35. 2026-06-28
    days on market $35,500 Active 275 DOM
  36. 2026-06-27
    days on market $35,500 Active 274 DOM
  37. 2026-06-27
    days on market $35,500 Active 273 DOM
  38. 2026-06-25
    days on market $35,500 Active 271 DOM
  39. 2026-06-22
    days on market $35,500 Active 269 DOM
  40. 2026-06-21
    days on market $35,500 Active 268 DOM
  41. 2026-06-18
    days on market $35,500 Active 265 DOM
  42. 2026-06-17
    days on market $35,500 Active 264 DOM
  43. 2026-06-16
    days on market $35,500 Active 263 DOM
  44. 2026-06-15
    days on market $35,500 Active 262 DOM
  45. 2026-06-13
    days on market $35,500 Active 260 DOM
  46. 2026-06-13
    days on market $35,500 Active 259 DOM
  47. 2026-06-09
    days on market $35,500 Active 256 DOM
  48. 2026-06-08
    days on market $35,500 Active 255 DOM
  49. 2026-06-07
    days on market $35,500 Active 254 DOM
  50. 2026-06-05
    days on market $35,500 Active 251 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,281
− Mortgage interest
−$3,376
− Property taxes
−$904
− Insurance
−$301
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,463
− Management
−$1,463
− Depreciation
−$1,753
Taxable income
$9,022
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,165
After-tax cash flow
$7,279/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 4 photos

Average 55/100 Cosmetic rehab Est. rehab $4,900–$14,700 screening

This manufactured home requires cosmetic updates to kitchen cabinets, fixtures, and exterior siding to improve its curb appeal and functionality.

Repairs flagged

  • Moderate Kitchen cabinets — Worn condition
  • Moderate Bathtub and fixtures — Dated appearance
  • Moderate Exterior siding — Weathered condition

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal
  • Rental Replace carpet in bedrooms — New carpet improves comfort and appeal
  • Both Update kitchen countertops — Modern countertops increase functionality and aesthetic

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

C Composite school gradezoned avg 64/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Haine El Sch B- PA #377/1,518 Nat'l #7,252/41,679 Middle Haine Ms B PA #55/512 Nat'l #2,008/14,009 High Seneca Valley Hs B+ PA #35/437 Nat'l #1,820/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Seneca Valley SD
NCES district ID
4222440
Math proficiency
48% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
67% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$80,381
Composite
51.84/100
National rank
#1666
State rank
#73 of 539 in PA

Livability — Cranberry

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

County
Butler County · 190,777 people
Metro
Pittsburgh, PA
Population (ZIP)
33,873
Household income
$124,189
Rent vs Own
24.8% rent · 75.2% own
Severe rent burden
7% of renters

Population outlook (Butler County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
190,777 people
By 2030
191,476 · +0.4%
By 2040
189,474 · -0.7%
By 2050
182,050 · -4.6%
By 2075
159,526 · -16.4%
By 2100
129,028 · -32.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Asian 4% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 10% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, China
Languages at home
93% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Butler

2024 margin
Solid R (+32.2) · D 33.5% · R 65.7%
2008→2024 swing
-4.8pp toward R · 2008: -27.4pp · 2024: -32.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+32.2 2020: R+32.5 2016: R+37.5 2012: R+34.9 2008: R+27.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2025-09-27 Listed $35,500 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…