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1313 SW 15th Ave
D Composite 41.89
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +14.4/15.0
  • Cash flow +10.0/30.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.8/10.0
  • DSCR +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$145,000

1313 SW 15th Ave · Amarillo, TX 79102
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,122 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 14 Days on market
Built 1948 7,405 sqft lot $129/sqft · 15% below area Est $171k · 15% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Here's a polished listing description: * * Charming Bivins Home with Shop & Investment Potential! * * Don't miss this fantastic opportunity in the desirable Bivins neighborhood! This 3-bedroom, 1-bath home features beautiful hardwood floors, fresh paint throughout, and new flooring in the kitchen and utility room, creating a clean, move-in-ready space. Outside, you'll find a large rear parking area and a versatile shop complete with its own bathroom--perfect for hobbies, storage, a workspace, or additional functionality. Whether you're searching for a comfortable starter home or the next addition to your real estate investment portfolio, this property offers outstanding valu

Key facts

  • Fresh paint
  • New flooring
  • 7,405 sq ft lot

Tags

NEW FLOORINGFRESH PAINT

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Zoning: 0100 - NW Amarillo in City Limits

Exterior

  • Parking: Additional parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; North-facing
  • Construction: Frame construction
  • Exterior features: Workshop; Lot approximately 0.17 acres (50 x 150)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Has cooling; Ceiling fan(s)
  • Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Range

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $145k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-89 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $129k (10.8% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $114k (21.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $114k (21.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#624 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools D, crime F.
  • Amarillo ISD (urban): math 44% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #336 of 826 in TX (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 37 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,214 units permitted in Potter County in 2024 (650 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $113,758 (21.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.78%
Cap rate
5.56%
Cash-on-cash
-2.62%
DSCR
0.88
GRM
10.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$171,083
List price
$145,000
Delta
-26.94%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
3 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-20.7%
Equity multiple
0.28×
Total profit
$-29,144
Equity at exit
$21,620
10-year hold
IRR
-13.9%
Equity multiple
0.20×
Total profit
$-32,629
Equity at exit
$12,537

Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 79102

Home prices YoY
-33.0%
Active inventory
37
Price-to-rent
10.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,138 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$760
Tax from tax record
$167 /mo · $2,000/yr
Insurance
$60
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$239
Net cashflow
$-89

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,250
Max offer price $129,311
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-7 -5% $-48 +0% $-89 +5% $-130 +10% $-171
Rent -10% $-179 -5% $-134 +0% $-89 +5% $-44 +10% $1
Rate -1.0pp $-16 -0.5pp $-52 base $-89 +0.5pp $-126 +1.0pp $-165

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$36,250
Closing costs
$4,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 17 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1501 Clover Dr Amarillo, TX 1.0 1.0 1358 $980 $0.72 44d 1 0.22mi
709 SW 14th Ave Unit 4 Amarillo, TX 1.0 1.0 700 $695 $0.99 22d 1 0.37mi
612 SW 17th Ave Amarillo, TX 1.0 1.0 1008 $650 $0.64 22d 1 0.41mi
2103 Parker St Amarillo, TX 3.0 2.0 1306 $2,300 $1.76 22d 1 0.58mi
2104 S Travis St Amarillo, TX 3.0 1.0 1236 $1,700 $1.38 22d 1 0.61mi
2030 Crockett St Amarillo, TX 3.0 1.5 1307 $1,750 $1.34 14d 1 0.67mi
913 S Rusk St Amarillo, TX 3.0 2.0 1450 $1,450 $1.00 14d 1 0.75mi
2306 SW 8th Ave Unit 2 Amarillo, TX 2.0 1.0 700 $950 $1.36 44d 1 0.93mi
3118 SW 15th Ave Amarillo, TX 2.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1015 $640 $0.63 14d 17 1.03mi
705 S Florida St Amarillo, TX 2.0 1.0 1014 $850 $0.84 22d 1 1.11mi
802 S Kentucky St Amarillo, TX 2.0 1.0 970 $899 $0.93 44d 1 1.14mi
1008 S Mississippi St Amarillo, TX 3.0 2.0 1061 $1,275 $1.20 22d 1 1.22mi
701 Sunset Ter Amarillo, TX 3.0 1.0 1444 $1,350 $0.93 44d 1 1.43mi
701 Sunset Ter Amarillo, TX 3.0 1.0 1444 $1,350 $0.93 22d 1 1.43mi
3003 SW 27th Ave Amarillo, TX 2.0 1.5 808 $895 $1.11 14d 1 1.44mi
3205 S Tyler St Amarillo, TX 3.0 1.0 1381 $1,475 $1.07 14d 1 1.46mi
3005 SW 28th Ave Unit C Amarillo, TX 3.0 2.0 1480 $1,700 $1.15 14d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $145,000 Active 14 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $145,000 Active 13 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $145,000 Active 12 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $145,000 Active 11 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $145,000 Active 9 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $145,000 Active 8 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $145,000 Active 6 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $145,000 Active 5 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $145,000 Active 4 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    remarks 695-char remark
  11. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on marketlisting id $145,000 Active 3 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $125,000 Active 68 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $125,000 Active 67 DOM
  14. 2026-05-30
    days on market $125,000 Active 66 DOM
  15. 2026-03-26
    price $125,000 496-char remark
  16. 2026-03-25
    listed $118,000 Active 496-char remark
  17. 2020-08-11
    soldstatus
  18. 2015-10-20
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,000 · $167/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,654 · $221/mo
Expected delta
+$653/yr (+$54/mo · 32.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 6 d/yr ≥97°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,651
− Mortgage interest
−$8,122
− Property taxes
−$2,000
− Insurance
−$725
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,092
− Management
−$1,092
− Depreciation
−$4,218
Taxable loss
−$3,599
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$864
After-tax cash flow
$-202/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Amarillo ISD
NCES district ID
4808130
Math proficiency
44% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$43,478
Composite
35.96/100
National rank
#4798
State rank
#336 of 826 in TX

Livability — Amarillo

Score
66/100
State rank
#624
US rank
#11876

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Amarillo, TX
County
Potter County · 72,216 people
City population
185,802
Metro
Amarillo, TX
Population (ZIP)
9,393
Household income
$51,125
Rent vs Own
50.9% rent · 49.1% own
Severe rent burden
487.0

Population outlook (Potter County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
121,296 people
By 2030
120,883 · -0.3%
By 2040
119,668 · -1.3%
By 2050
117,788 · -2.9%
By 2075
110,250 · -9.1%
By 2100
92,923 · -23.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
White 50% Hispanic / Latino 40% Two or more races 15% Asian 4% Black 3% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 31%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada, Philippines
Languages at home
77% English-only · Spanish 21% Other Asian/Pacific 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Potter

2024 margin
Solid R (+44.4) · D 27.3% · R 71.7% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-5.0pp toward R · 2008: -39.4pp · 2024: -44.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+44.4 2020: R+38.7 2016: R+41.9 2012: R+44.6 2008: R+39.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -86.43%
Current HPI
175.582
Rent YoY
Metro
Amarillo, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+16.0% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-03 Listed $145,000 AARMLS
  • 2026-03-26 Price Changed $125,000 AARMLS
  • 2020-08-11 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2015-10-20 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+1.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,000 · +22.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…