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20162 Wedgewood Dr
D+ Composite 49.54
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +8.4/15.0
  • DSCR +6.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$190,000

20162 Wedgewood Dr · South Bend, IN 46637
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,404 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 76 Days on market
Built 1999 0.39 ac lot $135/sqft · at area comps Est $194k · at est. ↓ 16% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Substantial price reduction! Motivated seller. Welcome home to this beautifully maintained, one-owner residence in South Bend-just minutes away from the iconic University of Notre Dame and conveniently located near the IN/MI state line. This spacious home offers 3 large bedrooms and 2 full baths, thoughtfully designed for both comfort and functionality. The inviting living area features a cozy fireplace-perfect for relaxing evenings or gathering with friends and family. Major updates including the roof (3 yrs), water heater and HVAC (1 yr) have already been completed for your piece of mind. Ideally situated close to parks, restaurants, and shopping, this home is the perfect blend of quiet neighborhood living and everyday convenience. Welcome home!

Key facts

  • Cozy fireplace
  • Major updates
  • Conveniently located

Tags

COZY FIREPLACEMAJOR UPDATESQUIET NEIGHBORHOOD LIVINGCONVENIENTLY LOCATED

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $190k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $251 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $180k (5.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $179k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 4.3% in South Bend — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#365 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, employment D, crime F.
  • South Bend Community School Corporation (urban): math 12% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #284 of 301 in IN (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Darden Elementary School (math 12% / reading 16%, grade F, #874 of 994 statewide, top 89%, 522 students, 78% FRL); Lasalle Academy (math 23% / reading 53%, grade F, #136 of 330 statewide, top 44%, 488 students, 56% FRL); Clay High School (math 17% / reading 52%, grade F, #270 of 369 statewide, top 77%, 628 students, 65% FRL) — zoned schools at 66% FRL track the district average.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 29% at this address vs 16% district-wide (+12 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the South Bend Community School Corporation average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: 114 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 754 units permitted in St. Joseph County in 2024 (460 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 76 days — a 6% lower offer ($179k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $178,600 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 76 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.94%
Cap rate
7.88%
Cash-on-cash
5.66%
DSCR
1.25
GRM
8.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$194,000
List price
$190,000
Delta
-2.06%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
2 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
20122 Layden St 0.07mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,510 (+8%) 12mo $234,900 $156 67
3165 S 3rd St 0.27mi 3/2.0 1,296 (-8%) 9mo $59,900 $46 67
225 Owens St 0.40mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,463 (+4%) 1mo $180,000 $123 65
3102 Owens Ct 0.35mi 3/1.0 1,338 (-5%) 18mo $79,900 $60 57
50781 Michigan Rd 0.35mi 3/1.5 1,502 (+7%) 16mo $160,000 $107 56
19915 Beechwood St 0.32mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,526 (+9%) 14mo $135,000 $88 54
2932 Adams Rd 0.70mi 3/2.0 1,438 (+2%) 14mo $250,000 $174 52
19275 Wedgewood Dr 0.73mi 3/1.0 1,600 (+14%) 0mo $246,900 $154 38
3018 Adams Rd 0.63mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,525 (+9%) 18mo $162,000 $106 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-7.6%
Equity multiple
0.72×
Total profit
$-14,856
Equity at exit
$28,330
10-year hold
IRR
2.0%
Equity multiple
1.14×
Total profit
$7,405
Equity at exit
$16,428

Cash invested: $53,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 46637

Active inventory
114
Price-to-rent
8.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,795 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$996
Tax from tax record
$91 /mo · $1,096/yr
Insurance
$79
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$377
Net cashflow
$251

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,477
Max offer price $190,000
Occupancy floor 81%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $359 -5% $305 +0% $251 +5% $197 +10% $144
Rent -10% $109 -5% $180 +0% $251 +5% $322 +10% $393
Rate -1.0pp $347 -0.5pp $299 base $251 +0.5pp $202 +1.0pp $152

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$47,500
Closing costs
$5,700
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
924 Merrill Ct S Unit 924 South Bend, IN 2.0 1.5 1263 $1,795 $1.42 15d 1 1.01mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-05-04
    status Pending 757-char remark
    Show marketing remark (757 chars)

    Substantial price reduction! Motivated seller. Welcome home to this beautifully maintained, one-owner residence in South Bend-just minutes away from the iconic University of Notre Dame and conveniently located near the IN/MI state line. This spacious home offers 3 large bedrooms and 2 full baths, thoughtfully designed for both comfort and functionality. The inviting living area features a cozy fireplace-perfect for relaxing evenings or gathering with friends and family. Major updates including the roof (3 yrs), water heater and HVAC (1 yr) have already been completed for your piece of mind. Ideally situated close to parks, restaurants, and shopping, this home is the perfect blend of quiet neighborhood living and everyday convenience. Welcome home!

  2. 2026-03-23
    price $190,000 757-char remark
    Show marketing remark (757 chars)

    Substantial price reduction! Motivated seller. Welcome home to this beautifully maintained, one-owner residence in South Bend-just minutes away from the iconic University of Notre Dame and conveniently located near the IN/MI state line. This spacious home offers 3 large bedrooms and 2 full baths, thoughtfully designed for both comfort and functionality. The inviting living area features a cozy fireplace-perfect for relaxing evenings or gathering with friends and family. Major updates including the roof (3 yrs), water heater and HVAC (1 yr) have already been completed for your piece of mind. Ideally situated close to parks, restaurants, and shopping, this home is the perfect blend of quiet neighborhood living and everyday convenience. Welcome home!

  3. 2026-02-17
    listed $225,000 Active 757-char remark
    Show marketing remark (757 chars)

    Substantial price reduction! Motivated seller. Welcome home to this beautifully maintained, one-owner residence in South Bend-just minutes away from the iconic University of Notre Dame and conveniently located near the IN/MI state line. This spacious home offers 3 large bedrooms and 2 full baths, thoughtfully designed for both comfort and functionality. The inviting living area features a cozy fireplace-perfect for relaxing evenings or gathering with friends and family. Major updates including the roof (3 yrs), water heater and HVAC (1 yr) have already been completed for your piece of mind. Ideally situated close to parks, restaurants, and shopping, this home is the perfect blend of quiet neighborhood living and everyday convenience. Welcome home!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,096 · $91/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,356 · $113/mo
Expected delta
+$259/yr (+$22/mo · 23.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,540
− Mortgage interest
−$10,643
− Property taxes
−$1,096
− Insurance
−$950
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,723
− Management
−$1,723
− Depreciation
−$5,527
Taxable loss
−$123
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$30
After-tax cash flow
$3,043/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
South Bend Community School Corporation
NCES district ID
1810290
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
21% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$41,935
Composite
14.21/100
National rank
#9452
State rank
#284 of 301 in IN

Livability — South Bend

Score
64/100
State rank
#365
US rank
#13730

Category grades

Amenities D Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
99,767
Population (ZIP)
16,079

Population outlook (St. Joseph County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
273,186 people
By 2030
273,594 · +0.1%
By 2040
271,641 · -0.6%
By 2050
269,187 · -1.5%
By 2075
263,136 · -3.7%
By 2100
245,659 · -10.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (71%)
Race & ethnicity
White 71% Black 17% Two or more races 6% Asian 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 11% Italian 3% Iranian 3%
Foreign-born
9% · China, Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 2% Chinese 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Joseph

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 48.5% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-15.6pp toward R · 2008: 17.1pp · 2024: 1.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+1.5 2020: D+5.8 2016: D+0.2 2012: D+3.5 2008: D+17.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -128.33%
Current HPI
210.1124
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-15.6% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-04 Pending IRMLS
  • 2026-03-23 Price Changed $190,000 IRMLS
  • 2026-02-17 Listed $225,000 IRMLS

Property tax history

+8.6%/yr

Latest (2023): $1,096 · -7.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…