11417 SW 42nd Ter · Ridge Manor, FL 33597

$132,900

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 720 sqft · Manufactured public records · 155 Days on market

Built 1972 0.62 ac lot Est $153k · 13% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +27.6/30.0
• ARV discount +13.3/15.0
• DSCR +9.7/10.0
• 1% rule +6.4/10.0
• Schools +5.2/10.0
• Livability +3.2/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Seller Motivated! Price Improvement in place! Enjoy country living with the convenience of town nearby! This fixer-upper sits on an extra-large lot that is over 1/2 acre of cleared land with beautiful mature trees. The property includes a singlewide mobile home with a front and rear porch. This home is a fixer upper. Equipped with a private well and septic, this property is ideally located near the Withlacoochee State Forest, perfect for nature lovers and outdoor enthusiasts. Convenient access to Hwy 50/Cortez Blvd, Hwy 301, I-75, and the Florida Turnpike makes commuting easy. You’re just minutes from shopping, dining, community events, and the popular Webster Flea Market, and central

Key facts

• Extra-large lot
• Private well
• Septic

Tags

• EXTRA-LARGE LOT
• MATURE TREES
• PRIVATE WELL
• SEPTIC
• CONVENIENT ACCESS TO HWY 50
• CONVENIENT ACCESS TO HWY 301

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Property type: Residential mobile home; Total acreage about 0.62 acres; Lot is cleared with oak trees; Lot features include private maintained dirt road, dead-end street, one-way street; Road surface: Dirt; Has 1 well and 1 septic; Building area and living area reported from public records
• HOA & community: No association

Exterior

• Parking: Covered carport; 2 carport spaces
• Utilities: Well water; Septic tank; Electricity connected; Water connected
• Home design: Residential mobile home (single wide); One story; Faces west; Fixer condition
• Construction: Metal frame with metal siding; Metal roof; Crawlspace foundation; Built with single wide body type
• Exterior features: Covered front and rear porches; Covered patio; Chain link fencing; Shed(s)

Interior

• Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
• Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
• Flooring: Carpet; Linoleum; Vinyl
• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
• Heating & cooling: No central heating; Wall/window air conditioning units
• Interior features: No interior features listed
• Laundry & utility: Laundry located outside

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $133k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $398 ($5k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $133k).
• Recommended offer: $117k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 9.9% vs local median 4.3% in Ridge Manor — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 63/100 on livability (#736 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D, amenities F.
• Sumter (rural): math 61% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #11 of 73 in FL (top 15%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Zoned schools: Webster Elementary School (math 61% / reading 51%, grade C+, #832 of 2,144 statewide, top 40%, 748 students, 68% FRL); South Sumter High School (math 33% / reading 48%, grade F, #294 of 667 statewide, top 44%, 1,045 students, 52% FRL).
• Zoned-school proficiency averages 48% at this address vs 61% district-wide (-13 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Sumter average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
• Market conditions: 302 active listings in the ZIP; 3,961 units permitted in Sumter County in 2024 (248 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $919 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Sumter County population projected at +45% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $37k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 155 days — a 12% lower offer ($117k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Current owner paid $35k; list at $133k implies a 280% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $116,952 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 155 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.14% ✓
• Cap rate: 9.88%
• Cash-on-cash: 12.82%
• DSCR: 1.57
• GRM: 7.3

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $152,640
• Comps found: 1

Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
11765 SW 47th Dr	0.56mi	2/2.0 (-1)	784 (+9%)	5mo	$166,500	$212	46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 2.6%
• Equity multiple: 1.10×
• Total profit: $3,746
• Equity at exit: $19,816

10-year hold

• IRR: 12.2%
• Equity multiple: 1.96×
• Total profit: $35,683
• Equity at exit: $11,491

Cash invested: $37,212 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Florida: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 33597

• Home prices YoY: -5.2%
• Active inventory: 302
• Price-to-rent: 7.3×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,520 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$697
• Tax from tax record: −$50 /mo · $606/yr
• Insurance: −$55
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$319
• Net cashflow: $398

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,016

Max offer price $132,900

Occupancy floor 69%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $33,225
• Closing costs: $3,987
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 21 events

1. 2026-06-19
   days on market $132,900 Active 155 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $132,900 Active 154 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $132,900 Active 153 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $132,900 Active 152 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $132,900 Active 151 DOM
6. 2026-06-14
   days on market $132,900 Active 149 DOM
7. 2026-06-13
   days on market $132,900 Active 148 DOM
8. 2026-06-10
   days on market $132,900 Active 146 DOM
9. 2026-06-09
   days on market $132,900 Active 145 DOM
10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $132,900 Active 144 DOM
11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $132,900 Active 143 DOM
12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $132,900 Active 138 DOM
13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $132,900 Active 137 DOM
14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $132,900 Active 136 DOM
15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $132,900 Active 135 DOM
16. 2026-05-04
    price $132,900
17. 2026-03-06
    price $122,900
18. 2026-02-17
    price $125,900
19. 2026-01-26
    price $149,900
20. 2026-01-15
    listed $167,900 Active
21. 2007-04-02
    soldstatus $35,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $606 · $50/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,103 · $92/mo
• Expected delta: +$497/yr (+$41/mo · 82.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $18,235
• − Mortgage interest: −$7,444
• − Property taxes: −$606
• − Insurance: −$664
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,459
• − Management: −$1,459
• − Depreciation: −$3,866
• Taxable income: $2,737
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$657
• After-tax cash flow: $4,116/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Sumter
• NCES district ID: 1201800
• Math proficiency: 61% ▼ -4.00%
• Reading proficiency: 61% ▼ -2.00%
• Median HH income: $48,240
• Composite: 51.74/100
• National rank: #1682
• State rank: #11 of 73 in FL

Livability — Ridge Manor

• Score: 63/100
• State rank: #736
• US rank: #15912

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Population (ZIP): 9,424

Population outlook (Sumter County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 161,172 people
• By 2030: 180,083 · +11.7%
• By 2040: 209,892 · +30.2%
• By 2050: 234,186 · +45.3%
• By 2075: 284,602 · +76.6%
• By 2100: 317,039 · +96.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (76%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 76% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 8% Black 4% Native American 2%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 9% Cuban 2%
• Common ancestry: Serbian 3% Italian 2% Iranian 2%
• Foreign-born: 9% · Canada, Jamaica
• Languages at home: 91% English-only · Spanish 9%

Political lean MEDSL · Sumter

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+37.6) · D 30.9% · R 68.6%
• 2008→2024 swing: -10.6pp toward R · 2008: -27.0pp · 2024: -37.6pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+37.6 2020: R+36.1 2016: R+39.2 2012: R+34.9 2008: R+27.0

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -15.59%
• Current HPI: 282.5139
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Technology	2	$29B
▸Insurance	2	$17B
▸Retail	1	$60B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$58B
▸Homebuilding	1	$35B
▸Technology Manufacturing	1	$35B

Price history

+279.7% since first listed

6 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-04 Price Changed $132,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-03-06 Price Changed $122,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-02-17 Price Changed $125,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-01-26 Price Changed $149,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-01-15 Listed $167,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2007-04-02 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $606 · +5.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.