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123 Robble Ave
F Composite 26.55
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +5.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +4.4/15.0
  • Rent growth +4.3/5.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.6/10.0
  • DSCR +0.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$224,900

123 Robble Ave · Endicott, NY 13760
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 2,262 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 54 Days on market
Built 1930 6,000 sqft lot Est $210k · 7% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Absolutely Fabulous! Open Concept. Tons of natural light. Completely remodeled with high end furnishings. New roof & Windows. New furnace. High ceilings. New lighting w/ many ceiling fans and Can lights. 1st fl laundry. Large closets and pantry. New siding & hardwoods. Oak doors. Porcelain subway tiles. All SS appliances convey. Stunning views.

Key facts

  • New gazebo
  • Walk-in closet
  • Updated kitchen

Tags

TURN-KEY HOMEUPDATED KITCHENRECENTLY CONSTRUCTED DECKNEW GAZEBOWALK-IN CLOSET

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Zoning: Res 1; Lot dimensions approximately 50 x 120; Subdivision: Uri Harper
  • Financial info: Financial details not provided
  • HOA & community: HOA information not provided

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway
  • Security: No security features listed
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single family residence; Residential property; Two-story; Entry level details not provided; Facing direction not provided
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Built year not provided; Foundation details not provided; 2,262 above-grade finished area
  • Exterior features: Deck; Fenced yard; Sloped down lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Oven; Refrigerator; Gas water heater
  • Bedrooms: Bedrooms information not provided
  • Flooring: Hardwood; Tile; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Ceiling fan(s) for cooling
  • Interior features: Walk-in closets; 13 total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Water softener (owned)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $225k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-449 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $146k (35.3% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $149k (33.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $146k (35.3% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 3.9% vs local median 5.5% in Endicott — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#438 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: amenities D, crime F, commute F.
  • Union-Endicott Central School District (suburban): math 43% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #387 of 590 in NY (top 66%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: George F Johnson Elementary School (math 35% / reading 47%, grade F, #1,410 of 2,108 statewide, top 67%, 596 students, 44% FRL); Jennie F Snapp Middle School (math 31% / reading 51%, grade F, #402 of 729 statewide, top 56%, 822 students, 65% FRL); Union-Endicott High School (math 91% / reading 90%, grade A+, #231 of 1,100 statewide, top 21%, 999 students, 41% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.1%/yr); 217 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 340 units permitted in Broome County in 2024 (269 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Broome County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 54 days — a 3% lower offer ($218k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $144k; list at $225k implies a 57% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $145,526 (35.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 54 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 35% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.66%
Cap rate
3.90%
Cash-on-cash
-8.56%
DSCR
0.62
GRM
12.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$210,366
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
123 Robble Ave 0.00mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,262 (0%) 0mo $260,000 $115 93
7 Cornell Ave 0.22mi 3/2.0 2,300 (+2%) 4mo $233,000 $101 82
409 Milan Ave 0.35mi 3/2.0 2,240 (-1%) 5mo $250,000 $112 76
626 Barnes 0.60mi 3/2.0 2,228 (-2%) 19mo $155,000 $70 52
305 Skye Dr 0.29mi 3/2.5 2,514 (+11%) 17mo $230,000 $91 50
315 Oak Ave 0.29mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,528 (+12%) 19mo $199,900 $79 44
311 N North Adams Ave 0.62mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,004 (-11%) 5mo $220,000 $110 41
508 Woodford Ave 0.71mi 3/1.5 2,016 (-11%) 10mo $185,100 $92 40
319 N Jackson Ave 0.73mi 4/1.5 (+1) 2,192 (-3%) 20mo $189,500 $86 39
202 Harrison Ave 0.73mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,375 (+5%) 20mo $165,000 $69 34
316 N Arthur Ave 0.70mi 3/2.0 1,976 (-13%) 18mo $184,000 $93 30
100 Mckinley Ave 0.75mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,928 (-15%) 9mo $210,000 $109 28

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 7.09% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-26.7%
Equity multiple
0.07×
Total profit
$-58,614
Equity at exit
$33,533
10-year hold
IRR
-13.8%
Equity multiple
0.06×
Total profit
$-59,133
Equity at exit
$19,445

Cash invested: $62,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 13760

Home prices YoY
-32.7%
Rents YoY
7.1%
Active inventory
217
Price-to-rent
12.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,489 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,179
Tax from tax record
$353 /mo · $4,232/yr
Insurance
$94
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$313
Net cashflow
$-449

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,058
Max offer price $145,526
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-322 -5% $-386 +0% $-449 +5% $-513 +10% $-577
Rent -10% $-567 -5% $-508 +0% $-449 +5% $-390 +10% $-332
Rate -1.0pp $-336 -0.5pp $-392 base $-449 +0.5pp $-508 +1.0pp $-567

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$56,225
Closing costs
$6,747
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1201 Pine St Endicott, NY 2.0 1.0 3372 $1,200 $0.36 22d 1 0.37mi
208 S Liberty Ave Unit 2 Endicott, NY 3.0 1.0 2376 $1,700 $0.72 22d 1 1.14mi
9 S Seward Ave Endicott, NY 3.0 1.5 1800 $2,000 $1.11 22d 1 1.21mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-08
    status $224,900 Pending 54 DOM
  2. 2026-06-07
    days on market $224,900 Active Under Contract 54 DOM
  3. 2026-06-05
    days on market $224,900 Active Under Contract 51 DOM
  4. 2026-06-03
    days on market $224,900 Active Under Contract 50 DOM
  5. 2026-06-02
    days on market $224,900 Active Under Contract 49 DOM
  6. 2026-06-01
    days on market $224,900 Active Under Contract 48 DOM
  7. 2026-05-31
    days on market $224,900 Active Under Contract 47 DOM
  8. 2026-05-30
    days on market $224,900 Active Under Contract 46 DOM
  9. 2026-04-18
    historical Active Under Contract
  10. 2026-04-14
    listed $224,900 Active
  11. 2020-03-17
    soldstatus $143,617
  12. 2020-03-06
    soldstatus $143,617 358-char remark
    Show marketing remark (358 chars)

    Absolutely Fabulous! Open Concept. Tons of natural light. Completely remodeled with high end furnishings. New roof & Windows. New furnace. High ceilings. New lighting w/ many ceiling fans and Can lights. 1st fl laundry. Large closets and pantry. New siding & hardwoods. Oak doors. Porcelain subway tiles. All SS appliances convey. Stunning views.

  13. 2019-10-31
    listed $139,900 358-char remark
    Show marketing remark (358 chars)

    Absolutely Fabulous! Open Concept. Tons of natural light. Completely remodeled with high end furnishings. New roof & Windows. New furnace. High ceilings. New lighting w/ many ceiling fans and Can lights. 1st fl laundry. Large closets and pantry. New siding & hardwoods. Oak doors. Porcelain subway tiles. All SS appliances convey. Stunning views.

  14. 2005-12-12
    soldstatus $52,000
  15. 2005-11-09
    soldstatus $52,000 226-char remark
    Show marketing remark (226 chars)

    THIS 5 BEDRM 1.5 BATH TWO STORY IS LOCATED NEARTHE PARK AND NEAR LOGAN FIELD. AMENITIES INCLUDE LARGE ROOMS, FORMAL DINING ROOM, LARGE EAT-IN KITCHEN, LL FAMILY ROOM, ENCLOSED FRONT PORCH. NEEDS TLC. OWNER FINANCING AVAILABLE.

  16. 2005-09-19
    listed $55,000 226-char remark
    Show marketing remark (226 chars)

    THIS 5 BEDRM 1.5 BATH TWO STORY IS LOCATED NEARTHE PARK AND NEAR LOGAN FIELD. AMENITIES INCLUDE LARGE ROOMS, FORMAL DINING ROOM, LARGE EAT-IN KITCHEN, LL FAMILY ROOM, ENCLOSED FRONT PORCH. NEEDS TLC. OWNER FINANCING AVAILABLE.

  17. 2005-08-05
    soldstatus $38,879
  18. 1999-11-29
    soldstatus $52,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,232 · $353/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,232 · $353/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X · 24% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,870
− Mortgage interest
−$12,598
− Property taxes
−$4,232
− Insurance
−$1,124
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,430
− Management
−$1,430
− Depreciation
−$6,543
Taxable loss
−$9,486
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,277
After-tax cash flow
$-3,115/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Union-Endicott Central School District
NCES district ID
3610710
Math proficiency
43% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
57% ▲ 11.00%
Median HH income
$49,265
Composite
42.66/100
National rank
#3176
State rank
#387 of 590 in NY

Livability — Endicott

Score
70/100
State rank
#438
US rank
#7657

Category grades

Amenities D Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Endicott, NY
County
Broome County · 126,805 people
City population
42,896
Metro
Binghamton, NY
Population (ZIP)
42,896
Household income
$66,095
Rent vs Own
35.0% rent · 65.0% own
Severe rent burden
1480.0

Population outlook (Broome County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
187,989 people
By 2030
183,066 · -2.6%
By 2040
172,228 · -8.4%
By 2050
163,161 · -13.2%
By 2075
153,641 · -18.3%
By 2100
140,851 · -25.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 4% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, China
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Broome

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.2% · R 49.8%
2008→2024 swing
-7.6pp toward R · 2008: 8.0pp · 2024: 0.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+0.4 2020: D+3.5 2016: R+3.7 2012: D+4.6 2008: D+8.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -131.29%
Current HPI
270.2661
Rent YoY
▲ 7.09%
Metro
Binghamton, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+332.5% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-18 Contingent GBAOR
  • 2026-04-14 Listed $224,900 GBAOR
  • 2020-03-17 Sold (Public Records) $143,617 Public Records
  • 2020-03-06 Sold (MLS) $143,617 GBAOR
  • 2019-10-31 Listed $139,900 GBAOR
  • 2005-12-12 Sold (Public Records) $52,000 Public Records
  • 2005-11-09 Sold (MLS) $52,000 GBAOR
  • 2005-09-19 Listed $55,000 GBAOR
  • 2005-08-05 Sold (Public Records) $38,879 Public Records
  • 1999-11-29 Sold (Public Records) $52,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,232 · +8.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…