123 Robble Ave · Endicott, NY
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +5.8/30.0
- ARV discount +4.4/15.0
- Rent growth +4.3/5.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +1.6/10.0
- DSCR +0.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$224,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Absolutely Fabulous! Open Concept. Tons of natural light. Completely remodeled with high end furnishings. New roof & Windows. New furnace. High ceilings. New lighting w/ many ceiling fans and Can lights. 1st fl laundry. Large closets and pantry. New siding & hardwoods. Oak doors. Porcelain subway tiles. All SS appliances convey. Stunning views.
Key facts
- New gazebo
- Walk-in closet
- Updated kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Zoning: Res 1; Lot dimensions approximately 50 x 120; Subdivision: Uri Harper
- Financial info: Financial details not provided
- HOA & community: HOA information not provided
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Security: No security features listed
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single family residence; Residential property; Two-story; Entry level details not provided; Facing direction not provided
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Built year not provided; Foundation details not provided; 2,262 above-grade finished area
- Exterior features: Deck; Fenced yard; Sloped down lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Oven; Refrigerator; Gas water heater
- Bedrooms: Bedrooms information not provided
- Flooring: Hardwood; Tile; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Ceiling fan(s) for cooling
- Interior features: Walk-in closets; 13 total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Water softener (owned)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $225k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-449 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $146k (35.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $149k (33.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $146k (35.3% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 3.9% vs local median 5.5% in Endicott — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#438 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: amenities D, crime F, commute F.
- Union-Endicott Central School District (suburban): math 43% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #387 of 590 in NY (top 66%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: George F Johnson Elementary School (math 35% / reading 47%, grade F, #1,410 of 2,108 statewide, top 67%, 596 students, 44% FRL); Jennie F Snapp Middle School (math 31% / reading 51%, grade F, #402 of 729 statewide, top 56%, 822 students, 65% FRL); Union-Endicott High School (math 91% / reading 90%, grade A+, #231 of 1,100 statewide, top 21%, 999 students, 41% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.1%/yr); 217 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 340 units permitted in Broome County in 2024 (269 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Broome County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 54 days — a 3% lower offer ($218k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $144k; list at $225k implies a 57% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 54 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 35% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.66% ✗
- Cap rate
- 3.90%
- Cash-on-cash
- -8.56%
- DSCR
- 0.62
- GRM
- 12.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $210,366
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 123 Robble Ave | 0.00mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,262 (0%) | 0mo | $260,000 | $115 | 93 |
| 7 Cornell Ave | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 | 2,300 (+2%) | 4mo | $233,000 | $101 | 82 |
| 409 Milan Ave | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 | 2,240 (-1%) | 5mo | $250,000 | $112 | 76 |
| 626 Barnes | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 2,228 (-2%) | 19mo | $155,000 | $70 | 52 |
| 305 Skye Dr | 0.29mi | 3/2.5 | 2,514 (+11%) | 17mo | $230,000 | $91 | 50 |
| 315 Oak Ave | 0.29mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,528 (+12%) | 19mo | $199,900 | $79 | 44 |
| 311 N North Adams Ave | 0.62mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,004 (-11%) | 5mo | $220,000 | $110 | 41 |
| 508 Woodford Ave | 0.71mi | 3/1.5 | 2,016 (-11%) | 10mo | $185,100 | $92 | 40 |
| 319 N Jackson Ave | 0.73mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 2,192 (-3%) | 20mo | $189,500 | $86 | 39 |
| 202 Harrison Ave | 0.73mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,375 (+5%) | 20mo | $165,000 | $69 | 34 |
| 316 N Arthur Ave | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,976 (-13%) | 18mo | $184,000 | $93 | 30 |
| 100 Mckinley Ave | 0.75mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,928 (-15%) | 9mo | $210,000 | $109 | 28 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.09% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -26.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.07×
- Total profit
- $-58,614
- Equity at exit
- $33,533
- IRR
- -13.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.06×
- Total profit
- $-59,133
- Equity at exit
- $19,445
Cash invested: $62,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13760
- Home prices YoY
- -32.7%
- Rents YoY
- 7.1%
- Active inventory
- 217
- Price-to-rent
- 12.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,489 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,179
- Tax from tax record
- −$353 /mo · $4,232/yr
- Insurance
- −$94
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$313
- Net cashflow
- $-449
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-322 | -5% $-386 | +0% $-449 | +5% $-513 | +10% $-577 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-567 | -5% $-508 | +0% $-449 | +5% $-390 | +10% $-332 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-336 | -0.5pp $-392 | base $-449 | +0.5pp $-508 | +1.0pp $-567 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $56,225
- Closing costs
- $6,747
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1201 Pine St Endicott, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 3372 | $1,200 | $0.36 | 22d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 208 S Liberty Ave Unit 2 Endicott, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2376 | $1,700 | $0.72 | 22d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 9 S Seward Ave Endicott, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1800 | $2,000 | $1.11 | 22d | 1 | 1.21mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-08status $224,900 Pending 54 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $224,900 Active Under Contract 54 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $224,900 Active Under Contract 51 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $224,900 Active Under Contract 50 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $224,900 Active Under Contract 49 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $224,900 Active Under Contract 48 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $224,900 Active Under Contract 47 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $224,900 Active Under Contract 46 DOM
-
2026-04-18historical Active Under Contract
-
2026-04-14$224,900 Active
-
2020-03-17soldstatus $143,617
-
2020-03-06soldstatus $143,617 358-char remark
Show marketing remark (358 chars)
Absolutely Fabulous! Open Concept. Tons of natural light. Completely remodeled with high end furnishings. New roof & Windows. New furnace. High ceilings. New lighting w/ many ceiling fans and Can lights. 1st fl laundry. Large closets and pantry. New siding & hardwoods. Oak doors. Porcelain subway tiles. All SS appliances convey. Stunning views.
-
2019-10-31$139,900 358-char remark
Show marketing remark (358 chars)
Absolutely Fabulous! Open Concept. Tons of natural light. Completely remodeled with high end furnishings. New roof & Windows. New furnace. High ceilings. New lighting w/ many ceiling fans and Can lights. 1st fl laundry. Large closets and pantry. New siding & hardwoods. Oak doors. Porcelain subway tiles. All SS appliances convey. Stunning views.
-
2005-12-12soldstatus $52,000
-
2005-11-09soldstatus $52,000 226-char remark
Show marketing remark (226 chars)
THIS 5 BEDRM 1.5 BATH TWO STORY IS LOCATED NEARTHE PARK AND NEAR LOGAN FIELD. AMENITIES INCLUDE LARGE ROOMS, FORMAL DINING ROOM, LARGE EAT-IN KITCHEN, LL FAMILY ROOM, ENCLOSED FRONT PORCH. NEEDS TLC. OWNER FINANCING AVAILABLE.
-
2005-09-19$55,000 226-char remark
Show marketing remark (226 chars)
THIS 5 BEDRM 1.5 BATH TWO STORY IS LOCATED NEARTHE PARK AND NEAR LOGAN FIELD. AMENITIES INCLUDE LARGE ROOMS, FORMAL DINING ROOM, LARGE EAT-IN KITCHEN, LL FAMILY ROOM, ENCLOSED FRONT PORCH. NEEDS TLC. OWNER FINANCING AVAILABLE.
-
2005-08-05soldstatus $38,879
-
1999-11-29soldstatus $52,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,232 · $353/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,232 · $353/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,870
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,598
- − Property taxes
- −$4,232
- − Insurance
- −$1,124
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,430
- − Management
- −$1,430
- − Depreciation
- −$6,543
- Taxable loss
- −$9,486
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,277
- After-tax cash flow
- $-3,115/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Union-Endicott Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3610710
- Math proficiency
- 43% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 57% ▲ 11.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,265
- Composite
- 42.66/100
- National rank
- #3176
- State rank
- #387 of 590 in NY
Livability — Endicott
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #438
- US rank
- #7657
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Endicott, NY
- County
- Broome County · 126,805 people
- City population
- 42,896
- Metro
- Binghamton, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 42,896
- Household income
- $66,095
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1480.0
Population outlook (Broome County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 187,989 people
- By 2030
- 183,066 · -2.6%
- By 2040
- 172,228 · -8.4%
- By 2050
- 163,161 · -13.2%
- By 2075
- 153,641 · -18.3%
- By 2100
- 140,851 · -25.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 4% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Broome
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.2% · R 49.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.6pp toward R · 2008: 8.0pp · 2024: 0.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.4 2020: D+3.5 2016: R+3.7 2012: D+4.6 2008: D+8.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -131.29%
- Current HPI
- 270.2661
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.09%
- Metro
- Binghamton, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+332.5% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-18 Contingent — GBAOR
- 2026-04-14 Listed $224,900 GBAOR
- 2020-03-17 Sold (Public Records) $143,617 Public Records
- 2020-03-06 Sold (MLS) $143,617 GBAOR
- 2019-10-31 Listed $139,900 GBAOR
- 2005-12-12 Sold (Public Records) $52,000 Public Records
- 2005-11-09 Sold (MLS) $52,000 GBAOR
- 2005-09-19 Listed $55,000 GBAOR
- 2005-08-05 Sold (Public Records) $38,879 Public Records
- 1999-11-29 Sold (Public Records) $52,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.7%/yrLatest (2025): $4,232 · +8.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…