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507 Warrington Dr
C Composite 58.87
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +6.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.2/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.3/5.0
  • Schools +1.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$200,000

507 Warrington Dr · New Orleans, LA 70122
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,873 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 90 Days on market
Built 1940 5,227 sqft lot $107/sqft · 33% below area Est $299k · 33% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Full renovation opportunity in Gentilly. This 3 bed, 2.5 bath home offers approximately 1,873 living square feet with a spacious layout and strong potential for value-add. Perfect for investors or buyers looking to renovate and create equity. Property will require updates and improvements but offers a solid footprint and desirable location. Conveniently located near major roads, shopping, and dining. Sold as-is, seller will make no repairs.

Key facts

  • Built 1940
  • Listed 89 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $200k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $229 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $200k).
  • Recommended offer: $188k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 4.4% in New Orleans — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#3 in LA, #1,383 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D.
  • Orleans Parish (urban): math 11% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #69 of 98 in LA (top 70%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.6%/yr); 336 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 710 units permitted in Orleans Parish in 2024 (244 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,040/mo this rent would consume 50% of the median local household income ($49k/yr) (locally 2150% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Orleans County population projected at +61% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 90 days — a 6% lower offer ($188k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $25k; list at $200k implies a 700% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $188,000 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 90 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.02%
Cap rate
8.07%
Cash-on-cash
6.34%
DSCR
1.28
GRM
8.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$299,217
List price
$200,000
Delta
-33.16%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4810 Pauger St 0.42mi 3/2.0 1,809 (-3%) 2mo $360,000 $199 72
4900 Moore Dr 0.32mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,914 (+2%) 5mo $369,000 $193 70
4513 Touro St 0.39mi 3/2.5 2,000 (+7%) 4mo $340,000 $170 68
3837 Virgil Blvd 0.38mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,750 (-7%) 0mo $270,000 $154 64
5122 Pratt Dr 0.56mi 3/2.0 1,798 (-4%) 2mo $286,800 $160 64
4534 Paris Ave 0.43mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,790 (-4%) 5mo $206,000 $115 61
5025 Pauger St 0.58mi 3/2.0 1,717 (-8%) 1mo $269,000 $157 56
1482 Wakefield Pl 0.58mi 3/2.5 1,685 (-10%) 4mo $293,814 $174 53
5363 Charlotte Dr 0.72mi 3/2.5 1,763 (-6%) 6mo $310,000 $176 52
4540 Jeanne Marie Pl 0.59mi 3/2.5 1,632 (-13%) 6mo $345,000 $211 46
2057 Pleasure St 0.74mi 3/2.0 1,697 (-9%) 4mo $289,000 $170 45
4131 Clermont St 0.66mi 3/1.5 1,599 (-15%) 1mo $175,000 $109 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-12.1%
Equity multiple
0.58×
Total profit
$-23,759
Equity at exit
$29,821
10-year hold
IRR
-8.2%
Equity multiple
0.56×
Total profit
$-24,872
Equity at exit
$17,292

Cash invested: $56,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 70122

Rents YoY
-0.6%
Active inventory
336
Price-to-rent
8.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,040 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,049
Tax from tax record
$184 /mo · $2,208/yr
Insurance
$83
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$428
Net cashflow
$229

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,750
Max offer price $200,000
Occupancy floor 84%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $342 -5% $286 +0% $229 +5% $173 +10% $116
Rent -10% $68 -5% $149 +0% $229 +5% $310 +10% $390
Rate -1.0pp $330 -0.5pp $280 base $229 +0.5pp $177 +1.0pp $125

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$50,000
Closing costs
$6,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4304 Pauger St New Orleans, LA 2.0 1.0 1345 $1,450 $1.08 4d 1 0.28mi
4815 Warrington Dr New Orleans, LA 3.0 2.0 1652 $2,150 $1.30 17d 1 0.34mi
3624 Havana St New Orleans, LA 3.0 1.0 1388 $1,875 $1.35 17d 1 0.51mi
1486 Mandolin St New Orleans, LA 3.0 2.0 1497 $1,900 $1.27 4d 1 0.52mi
3607 Havana St New Orleans, LA 3.0 2.0 1693 $1,488 $0.88 18d 1 0.52mi
3907 Elysian Fields Ave New Orleans, LA 3.0 2.0 1652 $3,000 $1.82 25d 1 0.62mi
3515 Saint Anthony Ave New Orleans, LA 3.0 2.0 1366 $2,500 $1.83 25d 1 0.62mi
4618 Marigny St New Orleans, LA 3.0 1.0 1320 $1,900 $1.44 25d 1 0.62mi
5024 Paris Ave New Orleans, LA 4.0 3.0 2116 $3,000 $1.42 17d 1 0.63mi
4111 Jumonville St New Orleans, LA 3.0 2.5 1543 $2,300 $1.49 11d 1 0.65mi
4229 Buchanan St New Orleans, LA 3.0 2.0 1235 $2,250 $1.82 25d 1 0.77mi
4727 Saint Bernard Ave New Orleans, LA 3.0 2.0 2000 $2,000 $1.00 17d 1 0.88mi
3570 Gentilly Blvd New Orleans, LA 3.0 2.0 2390 $2,900 $1.21 45d 1 0.89mi
3540 Clermont Dr New Orleans, LA 3.0 2.0 1248 $1,975 $1.58 25d 1 1.00mi
5716 Warrington Dr New Orleans, LA 4.0 3.0 1560 $2,000 $1.28 18d 1 1.03mi
2175 N Broad St New Orleans, LA 2.0 1.0 1500 $1,500 $1.00 17d 1 1.04mi
1933 Industry St New Orleans, LA 3.0 2.0 1400 $1,595 $1.14 17d 1 1.08mi
1901 Gentilly Blvd New Orleans, LA 3.0 2.5 2205 $4,000 $1.81 45d 1 1.08mi
3001 Marigny St New Orleans, LA 2.0 1.0 1250 $1,400 $1.12 25d 1 1.12mi
5718 Vermillion Blvd Unit A New Orleans, LA 3.0 1.0 1300 $2,000 $1.54 25d 1 1.12mi
2130 N Broad St New Orleans, LA 2.0 1.0 1579 $1,350 $0.85 25d 1 1.12mi
3718 Franklin Ave New Orleans, LA 2.0 1.0 1601 $1,800 $1.12 13d 1 1.12mi
5900 Chatham Dr New Orleans, LA 3.0 2.0 1864 $2,500 $1.34 4d 1 1.14mi
5172 Venus St Unit 5172 New Orleans, LA 3.0 2.5 1864 $2,450 $1.31 25d 1 1.16mi
2509 Sage St New Orleans, LA 3.0 1.0 1250 $1,650 $1.32 22d 1 1.17mi
1823 Rosiere St New Orleans, LA 2.0 1.0 1400 $1,450 $1.04 25d 1 1.23mi
1821 Rosiere St New Orleans, LA 2.0 1.0 1400 $1,300 $0.93 25d 1 1.23mi
6010 Pasteur Blvd New Orleans, LA 4.0 3.0 2010 $2,600 $1.29 18d 1 1.24mi
2647 Myrtle St Unit 2647 New Orleans, LA 4.0 2.0 1445 $2,550 $1.76 45d 1 1.25mi
4767 Lafaye St New Orleans, LA 3.0 2.0 1469 $2,000 $1.36 25d 1 1.25mi
6009 Pasteur Blvd New Orleans, LA 3.0 2.0 1250 $1,785 $1.43 25d 1 1.25mi
1903 Rosary Dr New Orleans, LA 3.0 2.0 1500 $1,800 $1.20 25d 1 1.27mi
3702 Trafalgar St New Orleans, LA 3.0 2.0 1428 $2,350 $1.65 17d 1 1.30mi
2646 Elder St New Orleans, LA 3.0 3.0 1284 $2,200 $1.71 18d 1 1.30mi
2644 Elder St New Orleans, LA 3.0 3.0 1284 $2,200 $1.71 18d 1 1.30mi
6079 Saint Anthony Ave New Orleans, LA 3.0 2.0 1400 $2,400 $1.71 17d 1 1.31mi
1940 Allen Toussaint Blvd Unit 1940 New Orleans, LA 3.0 2.0 1500 $1,600 $1.07 25d 1 1.34mi
1940 Allen Toussaint Blvd New Orleans, LA 3.0 2.0 1500 $1,550 $1.03 12d 1 1.34mi
2458 Athis St New Orleans, LA 4.0 2.0 1530 $2,200 $1.44 25d 1 1.38mi
6217 Curie St New Orleans, LA 3.0 2.0 1700 $1,500 $0.88 25d 1 1.44mi

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $200,000 Active 90 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $200,000 Active 87 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $200,000 Active 86 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $200,000 Active 85 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $200,000 Active 84 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $200,000 Active 82 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $200,000 Active 79 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $200,000 Active 78 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $200,000 Active 77 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $200,000 Active 76 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $200,000 Active 73 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $200,000 Active 72 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $200,000 Active 71 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $200,000 Active 70 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $200,000 Active 69 DOM
  16. 2026-04-03
    price $200,000 444-char remark
    Show marketing remark (444 chars)

    Full renovation opportunity in Gentilly. This 3 bed, 2.5 bath home offers approximately 1,873 living square feet with a spacious layout and strong potential for value-add. Perfect for investors or buyers looking to renovate and create equity. Property will require updates and improvements but offers a solid footprint and desirable location. Conveniently located near major roads, shopping, and dining. Sold as-is, seller will make no repairs.

  17. 2026-04-03
    price $200,000 444-char remark
    Show marketing remark (444 chars)

    Full renovation opportunity in Gentilly. This 3 bed, 2.5 bath home offers approximately 1,873 living square feet with a spacious layout and strong potential for value-add. Perfect for investors or buyers looking to renovate and create equity. Property will require updates and improvements but offers a solid footprint and desirable location. Conveniently located near major roads, shopping, and dining. Sold as-is, seller will make no repairs.

  18. 2026-03-13
    listed $220,000 Active 444-char remark
    Show marketing remark (444 chars)

    Full renovation opportunity in Gentilly. This 3 bed, 2.5 bath home offers approximately 1,873 living square feet with a spacious layout and strong potential for value-add. Perfect for investors or buyers looking to renovate and create equity. Property will require updates and improvements but offers a solid footprint and desirable location. Conveniently located near major roads, shopping, and dining. Sold as-is, seller will make no repairs.

  19. 2026-03-13
    listed $220,000 Active 444-char remark
    Show marketing remark (444 chars)

    Full renovation opportunity in Gentilly. This 3 bed, 2.5 bath home offers approximately 1,873 living square feet with a spacious layout and strong potential for value-add. Perfect for investors or buyers looking to renovate and create equity. Property will require updates and improvements but offers a solid footprint and desirable location. Conveniently located near major roads, shopping, and dining. Sold as-is, seller will make no repairs.

  20. 1986-04-11
    soldstatus $25,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,208 · $184/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,208 · $184/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 60% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,483
− Mortgage interest
−$11,203
− Property taxes
−$2,208
− Insurance
−$1,798
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,959
− Management
−$1,959
− Depreciation
−$5,818
Taxable loss
−$461
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$111
After-tax cash flow
$2,861/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Orleans Parish
NCES district ID
2201170
Math proficiency
11% ▼ -52.00%
Reading proficiency
27% ▼ -46.00%
Median HH income
$37,011
Composite
15.78/100
National rank
#9271
State rank
#69 of 98 in LA

Livability — New Orleans

Score
81/100
State rank
#3
US rank
#1383

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living B+ Crime C- Employment D Housing B- Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
New Orleans, LA
County
Orleans Parish · 338,817 people
City population
338,817
Metro
New Orleans-Metairie, LA
Population (ZIP)
35,253
Household income
$49,455
Rent vs Own
40.5% rent · 59.5% own
Severe rent burden
2150.0

Population outlook (Orleans County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
513,025 people
By 2030
575,781 · +12.2%
By 2040
700,174 · +36.5%
By 2050
826,541 · +61.1%
By 2075
1,123,374 · +119.0%
By 2100
1,355,609 · +164.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (69%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 69% White 18% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Italian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, China
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 5% Chinese 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Orleans

2024 margin
Solid D (+67.0) · D 82.2% · R 15.2% · Other 2.7%
2008→2024 swing
+6.7pp toward D · 2008: 60.3pp · 2024: 67.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+67.0 2020: D+68.2 2016: D+66.2 2012: D+62.5 2008: D+60.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -222.37%
Current HPI
231.9921
Rent YoY
▼ -0.61%
Metro
New Orleans-Metairie, LA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+700.0% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-03 Price Changed $200,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2026-04-03 Price Changed $200,000 GSREIN
  • 2026-03-13 Listed $220,000 GSREIN
  • 2026-03-13 Listed $220,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 1986-04-11 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+18.3%/yr

Latest (2026): $2,208 · +1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…