507 Warrington Dr · New Orleans, LA
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.6%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.4/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.8/10.0
- 1% rule +5.2/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.3/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$200,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Full renovation opportunity in Gentilly. This 3 bed, 2.5 bath home offers approximately 1,873 living square feet with a spacious layout and strong potential for value-add. Perfect for investors or buyers looking to renovate and create equity. Property will require updates and improvements but offers a solid footprint and desirable location. Conveniently located near major roads, shopping, and dining. Sold as-is, seller will make no repairs.
Key facts
- Built 1940
- Listed 89 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $200k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $229 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $200k).
- Recommended offer: $188k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 4.4% in New Orleans — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#3 in LA, #1,383 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D.
- Orleans Parish (urban): math 11% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #69 of 98 in LA (top 70%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.6%/yr); 336 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 710 units permitted in Orleans Parish in 2024 (244 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,040/mo this rent would consume 50% of the median local household income ($49k/yr) (locally 2150% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Orleans County population projected at +61% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 90 days — a 6% lower offer ($188k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $25k; list at $200k implies a 700% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 90 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.02% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.07%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.34%
- DSCR
- 1.28
- GRM
- 8.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $299,217
- List price
- $200,000
- Delta
- -33.16%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4810 Pauger St | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 | 1,809 (-3%) | 2mo | $360,000 | $199 | 72 |
| 4900 Moore Dr | 0.32mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,914 (+2%) | 5mo | $369,000 | $193 | 70 |
| 4513 Touro St | 0.39mi | 3/2.5 | 2,000 (+7%) | 4mo | $340,000 | $170 | 68 |
| 3837 Virgil Blvd | 0.38mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,750 (-7%) | 0mo | $270,000 | $154 | 64 |
| 5122 Pratt Dr | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,798 (-4%) | 2mo | $286,800 | $160 | 64 |
| 4534 Paris Ave | 0.43mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,790 (-4%) | 5mo | $206,000 | $115 | 61 |
| 5025 Pauger St | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,717 (-8%) | 1mo | $269,000 | $157 | 56 |
| 1482 Wakefield Pl | 0.58mi | 3/2.5 | 1,685 (-10%) | 4mo | $293,814 | $174 | 53 |
| 5363 Charlotte Dr | 0.72mi | 3/2.5 | 1,763 (-6%) | 6mo | $310,000 | $176 | 52 |
| 4540 Jeanne Marie Pl | 0.59mi | 3/2.5 | 1,632 (-13%) | 6mo | $345,000 | $211 | 46 |
| 2057 Pleasure St | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,697 (-9%) | 4mo | $289,000 | $170 | 45 |
| 4131 Clermont St | 0.66mi | 3/1.5 | 1,599 (-15%) | 1mo | $175,000 | $109 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.58×
- Total profit
- $-23,759
- Equity at exit
- $29,821
- IRR
- -8.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.56×
- Total profit
- $-24,872
- Equity at exit
- $17,292
Cash invested: $56,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70122
- Rents YoY
- -0.6%
- Active inventory
- 336
- Price-to-rent
- 8.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,040 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,049
- Tax from tax record
- −$184 /mo · $2,208/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$428
- Net cashflow
- $229
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $342 | -5% $286 | +0% $229 | +5% $173 | +10% $116 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $68 | -5% $149 | +0% $229 | +5% $310 | +10% $390 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $330 | -0.5pp $280 | base $229 | +0.5pp $177 | +1.0pp $125 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $50,000
- Closing costs
- $6,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4304 Pauger St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1345 | $1,450 | $1.08 | 4d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 4815 Warrington Dr New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1652 | $2,150 | $1.30 | 17d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 3624 Havana St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1388 | $1,875 | $1.35 | 17d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 1486 Mandolin St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1497 | $1,900 | $1.27 | 4d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 3607 Havana St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1693 | $1,488 | $0.88 | 18d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 3907 Elysian Fields Ave New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1652 | $3,000 | $1.82 | 25d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 3515 Saint Anthony Ave New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1366 | $2,500 | $1.83 | 25d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 4618 Marigny St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1320 | $1,900 | $1.44 | 25d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 5024 Paris Ave New Orleans, LA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2116 | $3,000 | $1.42 | 17d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 4111 Jumonville St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1543 | $2,300 | $1.49 | 11d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 4229 Buchanan St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1235 | $2,250 | $1.82 | 25d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 4727 Saint Bernard Ave New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2000 | $2,000 | $1.00 | 17d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 3570 Gentilly Blvd New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2390 | $2,900 | $1.21 | 45d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 3540 Clermont Dr New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1248 | $1,975 | $1.58 | 25d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 5716 Warrington Dr New Orleans, LA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1560 | $2,000 | $1.28 | 18d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 2175 N Broad St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,500 | $1.00 | 17d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 1933 Industry St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,595 | $1.14 | 17d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 1901 Gentilly Blvd New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2205 | $4,000 | $1.81 | 45d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 3001 Marigny St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $1,400 | $1.12 | 25d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 5718 Vermillion Blvd Unit A New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $2,000 | $1.54 | 25d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 2130 N Broad St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1579 | $1,350 | $0.85 | 25d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 3718 Franklin Ave New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1601 | $1,800 | $1.12 | 13d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 5900 Chatham Dr New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1864 | $2,500 | $1.34 | 4d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 5172 Venus St Unit 5172 New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1864 | $2,450 | $1.31 | 25d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 2509 Sage St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $1,650 | $1.32 | 22d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 1823 Rosiere St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,450 | $1.04 | 25d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 1821 Rosiere St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,300 | $0.93 | 25d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 6010 Pasteur Blvd New Orleans, LA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2010 | $2,600 | $1.29 | 18d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 2647 Myrtle St Unit 2647 New Orleans, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1445 | $2,550 | $1.76 | 45d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 4767 Lafaye St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1469 | $2,000 | $1.36 | 25d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 6009 Pasteur Blvd New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,785 | $1.43 | 25d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 1903 Rosary Dr New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,800 | $1.20 | 25d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 3702 Trafalgar St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1428 | $2,350 | $1.65 | 17d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 2646 Elder St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1284 | $2,200 | $1.71 | 18d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 2644 Elder St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1284 | $2,200 | $1.71 | 18d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 6079 Saint Anthony Ave New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $2,400 | $1.71 | 17d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 1940 Allen Toussaint Blvd Unit 1940 New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,600 | $1.07 | 25d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 1940 Allen Toussaint Blvd New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,550 | $1.03 | 12d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 2458 Athis St New Orleans, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1530 | $2,200 | $1.44 | 25d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 6217 Curie St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1700 | $1,500 | $0.88 | 25d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $200,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $200,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $200,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $200,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $200,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $200,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $200,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $200,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $200,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $200,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $200,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $200,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $200,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $200,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $200,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-04-03price $200,000 444-char remark
Show marketing remark (444 chars)
Full renovation opportunity in Gentilly. This 3 bed, 2.5 bath home offers approximately 1,873 living square feet with a spacious layout and strong potential for value-add. Perfect for investors or buyers looking to renovate and create equity. Property will require updates and improvements but offers a solid footprint and desirable location. Conveniently located near major roads, shopping, and dining. Sold as-is, seller will make no repairs.
-
2026-04-03price $200,000 444-char remark
Show marketing remark (444 chars)
Full renovation opportunity in Gentilly. This 3 bed, 2.5 bath home offers approximately 1,873 living square feet with a spacious layout and strong potential for value-add. Perfect for investors or buyers looking to renovate and create equity. Property will require updates and improvements but offers a solid footprint and desirable location. Conveniently located near major roads, shopping, and dining. Sold as-is, seller will make no repairs.
-
2026-03-13$220,000 Active 444-char remark
Show marketing remark (444 chars)
Full renovation opportunity in Gentilly. This 3 bed, 2.5 bath home offers approximately 1,873 living square feet with a spacious layout and strong potential for value-add. Perfect for investors or buyers looking to renovate and create equity. Property will require updates and improvements but offers a solid footprint and desirable location. Conveniently located near major roads, shopping, and dining. Sold as-is, seller will make no repairs.
-
2026-03-13$220,000 Active 444-char remark
Show marketing remark (444 chars)
Full renovation opportunity in Gentilly. This 3 bed, 2.5 bath home offers approximately 1,873 living square feet with a spacious layout and strong potential for value-add. Perfect for investors or buyers looking to renovate and create equity. Property will require updates and improvements but offers a solid footprint and desirable location. Conveniently located near major roads, shopping, and dining. Sold as-is, seller will make no repairs.
-
1986-04-11soldstatus $25,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,208 · $184/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,208 · $184/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 60% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,483
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,203
- − Property taxes
- −$2,208
- − Insurance
- −$1,798
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,959
- − Management
- −$1,959
- − Depreciation
- −$5,818
- Taxable loss
- −$461
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$111
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,861/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Orleans Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2201170
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -52.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 27% ▼ -46.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,011
- Composite
- 15.78/100
- National rank
- #9271
- State rank
- #69 of 98 in LA
Livability — New Orleans
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #3
- US rank
- #1383
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New Orleans, LA
- County
- Orleans Parish · 338,817 people
- City population
- 338,817
- Metro
- New Orleans-Metairie, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 35,253
- Household income
- $49,455
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2150.0
Population outlook (Orleans County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 513,025 people
- By 2030
- 575,781 · +12.2%
- By 2040
- 700,174 · +36.5%
- By 2050
- 826,541 · +61.1%
- By 2075
- 1,123,374 · +119.0%
- By 2100
- 1,355,609 · +164.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 69% White 18% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Italian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 5% Chinese 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Orleans
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+67.0) · D 82.2% · R 15.2% · Other 2.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.7pp toward D · 2008: 60.3pp · 2024: 67.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+67.0 2020: D+68.2 2016: D+66.2 2012: D+62.5 2008: D+60.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -222.37%
- Current HPI
- 231.9921
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.61%
- Metro
- New Orleans-Metairie, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
||
| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
|
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Price history
+700.0% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-03 Price Changed $200,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-04-03 Price Changed $200,000 GSREIN
- 2026-03-13 Listed $220,000 GSREIN
- 2026-03-13 Listed $220,000 AcadianaMLS
- 1986-04-11 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+18.3%/yrLatest (2026): $2,208 · +1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…