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8839 Canyon St
B Composite 74.96
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$69,900

8839 Canyon St · Detroit, MI 48236
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 933 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 101 Days on market
Built 1942 6,534 sqft lot $75/sqft · 15% below area Est $97k · 28% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Handy man special * * * .

Key facts

  • 6,534 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1942

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $326 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
  • Recommended offer: $64k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 159 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $483 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 101 days — a 9% lower offer ($64k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 14y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $11k; list at $70k implies a 518% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 4.8% of price; built in 1942 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $63,609 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 101 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1942 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.82%
Cap rate
11.89%
Cash-on-cash
19.98%
DSCR
1.89
GRM
4.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$96,524
List price
$69,900
Delta
-27.58%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
6156 Lodewyck St 0.30mi 3/1.0 900 (-4%) 1mo $51,000 $57 80
20300 Mccormick St 0.40mi 3/1.0 940 (+1%) 1mo $60,000 $64 80
6135 Marseilles St 0.33mi 3/1.0 988 (+6%) 0mo $55,000 $56 74
5981 University Pl 0.42mi 3/1.0 964 (+3%) 3mo $64,000 $66 72
10945 Peerless St 0.48mi 3/1.0 964 (+3%) 2mo $54,000 $56 71
11017 Worden St 0.54mi 3/1.0 961 (+3%) 0mo $47,500 $49 69
20244 Mccormick St 0.45mi 3/1.0 1,000 (+7%) 1mo $75,000 $75 66
6106 Oldtown St 0.60mi 3/1.5 961 (+3%) 1mo $132,000 $137 64
19134 Mallina St 0.38mi 3/1.0 1,032 (+11%) 2mo $179,000 $173 63
11035 Worden St 0.54mi 3/1.0 834 (-11%) 3mo $55,000 $66 55
11640 Somerset Ave 0.69mi 3/2.0 1,028 (+10%) 0mo $70,000 $68 47
10830 Mckinney St 0.69mi 3/1.0 1,066 (+14%) 1mo $40,199 $38 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
12.3%
Equity multiple
1.49×
Total profit
$9,564
Equity at exit
$10,422
10-year hold
IRR
21.3%
Equity multiple
2.82×
Total profit
$35,614
Equity at exit
$6,044

Cash invested: $19,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48236

Active inventory
159
Price-to-rent
4.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,270 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$367
Tax from tax record
$282 /mo · $3,384/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$267
Net cashflow
$326

Break-even live

Break-even rent $858
Max offer price $69,900
Occupancy floor 69%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,475
Closing costs
$2,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
17720 Chester St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 986 $1,250 $1.27 43d 1 0.14mi
17710 Chester St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 984 $1,250 $1.27 43d 1 0.14mi
6301 Lodewyck St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1084 $1,300 $1.20 12d 1 0.20mi
6175 Marseilles St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,100 $1.00 43d 1 0.26mi
10542 Lanark St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1023 $1,250 $1.22 43d 1 0.27mi
19203 Edgefield St Harper Woods, MI 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,100 $1.00 24d 1 0.31mi
6325 Neff Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,500 $1.50 2d 1 0.32mi
6181 Neff Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1102 $1,299 $1.18 17d 1 0.37mi
20461 Kingsville St Harper Woods, MI 4.0 1.0 1100 $1,399 $1.27 14d 1 0.41mi
21401 Kingsville St Harper Woods, MI 2.0 1.0 944 $1,200 $1.27 24d 1 0.41mi
5915 Farmbrook St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1000 $1,250 $1.25 24d 1 0.44mi
6304 Bluehill St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1088 $1,500 $1.38 43d 1 0.45mi
10985 Peerless St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,364 $1.36 4d 1 0.49mi
5786 Neff Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1100 $1,225 $1.11 16d 1 0.55mi
5955 Guilford St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 802 $1,400 $1.75 17d 1 0.55mi
19982 McCormick St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 866 $1,200 $1.39 3d 1 0.60mi
10692 Meuse St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 955 $1,250 $1.31 12d 1 0.62mi
10370 Britain St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,100 $1.00 43d 1 0.66mi
10400 Britain St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 890 $1,100 $1.24 43d 1 0.68mi
10177 Boleyn St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 767 $1,250 $1.63 43d 1 0.77mi
10037 Grayton St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,400 $1.40 3d 1 0.79mi
22144 Moross Rd Grosse Pointe, MI 2.0 1.0 819 $1,350 $1.65 2d 1 0.79mi
22144 Moross Rd Grosse Pointe, MI 2.0 1.0 819 $1,350 $1.65 17d 1 0.79mi
19639 Moross Rd Unit 1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,100 $1.22 43d 1 0.80mi
22148 Moross Rd Grosse Pointe, MI 2.0 1.0 819 $1,250 $1.53 17d 1 0.80mi
22148 Moross Rd Grosse Pointe, MI 2.0 1.0 819 $1,250 $1.53 2d 1 0.80mi
19661 Kenosha St Harper Woods, MI 3.0 2.0 1000 $1,400 $1.40 24d 1 0.86mi
19442 Kingsville St Harper Woods, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,500 $1.50 17d 1 0.91mi
5783 Yorkshire Rd Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1040 $1,200 $1.15 43d 1 0.92mi
11529 Roxbury St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 720 $1,200 $1.67 12d 1 0.93mi
19365 Kingsville St Harper Woods, MI 4.0 1.5 996 $1,650 $1.66 14d 1 0.99mi
11776 Rossiter St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 964 $1,150 $1.19 11d 1 1.02mi
12075 Rossiter St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,245 $1.13 43d 1 1.02mi
11235 Roxbury St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1062 $1,325 $1.25 17d 1 1.02mi
11611 Morang Ave Detroit, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 709 $1,040 $1.47 43d 1 1.03mi
12075 Rossiter St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,245 $1.13 14d 1 1.03mi
10404 Somerset Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1108 $1,475 $1.33 3d 1 1.06mi
19144 Moross Rd Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,050 $1.17 43d 1 1.09mi
4865 Cadieux Rd Unit 11 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 630 $1,200 $1.90 43d 1 1.17mi
4837 Cadieux Rd Unit 9 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 650 $1,200 $1.85 43d 1 1.18mi

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $69,900 Active 101 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $69,900 Active 100 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $69,900 Active 98 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $69,900 Active 96 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $69,900 Active 95 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $69,900 Active 92 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $69,900 Active 91 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $69,900 Active 90 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $69,900 Active 87 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $69,900 Active 86 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $69,900 Active 84 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $69,900 Active 83 DOM
  13. 2026-04-13
    price $69,900 27-char remark
    Show marketing remark (27 chars)

    Handy man special * * * .

  14. 2026-04-13
    price $69,000 27-char remark
    Show marketing remark (27 chars)

    Handy man special * * * .

  15. 2026-04-13
    price $69,900 27-char remark
    Show marketing remark (27 chars)

    Handy man special * * * .

  16. 2026-04-13
    price $69,000 27-char remark
    Show marketing remark (27 chars)

    Handy man special * * * .

  17. 2026-03-09
    listed $75,000 Active 27-char remark
    Show marketing remark (27 chars)

    Handy man special * * * .

  18. 2026-03-09
    listed $75,000 Active 27-char remark
    Show marketing remark (27 chars)

    Handy man special * * * .

  19. 2012-11-12
    soldstatus $11,314
  20. 2012-11-12
    soldstatus $11,314
  21. 2012-11-12
    soldstatus $11,314
  22. 2012-09-05
    historical
  23. 2012-09-05
    historical
  24. 2012-08-08
    listed $19,900
  25. 2012-08-08
    listed $19,900
  26. 2012-08-08
    listed $19,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,384 · $282/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,384 · $282/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,243
− Mortgage interest
−$3,915
− Property taxes
−$3,384
− Insurance
−$350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,219
− Management
−$1,219
− Depreciation
−$2,033
Taxable income
$3,122
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$749
After-tax cash flow
$3,161/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
City population
572,865
Population (ZIP)
31,383

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Black 11% Two or more races 5% Asian 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 10% Lithuanian 5% Italian 4%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Arabic 2% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -285.11%
Current HPI
181.0475
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+251.3% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-13 Price Changed $69,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-13 Price Changed $69,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-13 Price Changed $69,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-13 Price Changed $69,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-09 Listed $75,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-09 Listed $75,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2012-11-12 Sold (MLS) $11,314 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2012-11-12 Sold (MLS) $11,314 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2012-11-12 Sold (MLS) $11,314 REALCOMP
  • 2012-09-05 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2012-09-05 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2012-08-08 Listed $19,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2012-08-08 Listed $19,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2012-08-08 Listed $19,900 REALCOMP

Property tax history

+6.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,384 · +146.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…