211 12th St W · Bottineau, ND
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,289 – $2,393
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 12 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 8 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 9 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +9.5/30.0
- Appreciation +8.1/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- DSCR +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.4/10.0
$134,999
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- Unfinished basement
- Large closets
- Mature trees
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached or attached garage not specified; includes 1 garage space with concrete parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Single-story
- Construction: Below-grade finished area present
- Exterior features: Deck
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Oven; Refrigerator; Dishwasher not listed
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Window air conditioning units
- Interior features: Unfinished basement; Range; Oven; Refrigerator; Dryer; Washer
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $135k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-94 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $118k (12.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $100k (25.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $100k (25.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#6 in ND, #2,494 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Bottineau 1 (rural): math 40% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #30 of 53 in ND (top 57%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Bottineau Elementary School (math 46% / reading 34%, grade F, #132 of 236 statewide, top 57%, 349 students, 24% FRL); Bottineau Junior-Senior High School (math 32% / reading 47%, grade F, #57 of 144 statewide, top 48%, 311 students, 40% FRL).
- Market conditions: 33 active listings in the ZIP; 10 units permitted in Bottineau County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $9k of equity ($933 loan paydown + $9k appreciation (6.3% local appreciation)).
- Bottineau County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 138 days — a 12% lower offer ($119k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 138 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.74% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.46%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.97%
- DSCR
- 0.87
- GRM
- 11.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
6.3% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 13.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.94×
- Total profit
- $35,405
- Equity at exit
- $87,423
- IRR
- 14.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.86×
- Total profit
- $108,185
- Equity at exit
- $160,792
Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Dakota
- 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 58318
- Home prices YoY
- 5.8%
- Active inventory
- 33
- Price-to-rent
- 11.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,001 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$708
- Tax from tax record
- −$120 /mo · $1,446/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$210
- Net cashflow
- $-94
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-17 | -5% $-55 | +0% $-94 | +5% $-132 | +10% $-170 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-173 | -5% $-133 | +0% $-94 | +5% $-54 | +10% $-14 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-26 | -0.5pp $-59 | base $-94 | +0.5pp $-129 | +1.0pp $-164 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,750
- Closing costs
- $4,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $134,999 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $134,999 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $134,999 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $134,999 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $134,999 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $134,999 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $134,999 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $134,999 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $134,999 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $134,999 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $134,999 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $134,999 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $134,999 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $134,999 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $134,999 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $134,999 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-02-03$134,999 Active
-
2023-01-23soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast ND · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,446 · $120/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,446 · $120/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 5/10 Major 8 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,017
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,562
- − Property taxes
- −$1,446
- − Insurance
- −$675
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$961
- − Management
- −$961
- − Depreciation
- −$3,927
- Taxable loss
- −$3,516
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$844
- After-tax cash flow
- $-279/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bottineau 1
- NCES district ID
- 3803060
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,169
- Composite
- 33.92/100
- National rank
- #5340
- State rank
- #30 of 53 in ND
Livability — Bottineau
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #6
- US rank
- #2494
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bottineau, ND
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,843
Population outlook (Bottineau County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 7,367 people
- By 2030
- 7,789 · +5.7%
- By 2040
- 8,818 · +19.7%
- By 2050
- 10,174 · +38.1%
- By 2075
- 15,137 · +105.5%
- By 2100
- 19,942 · +170.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Native American 7% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 35% Lithuanian 5% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Tagalog/Filipino 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Bottineau
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+55.3) · D 21.5% · R 76.8% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -36.2pp toward R · 2008: -19.1pp · 2024: -55.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+55.3 2020: R+50.5 2016: R+50.9 2012: R+31.1 2008: R+19.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 6.30%
- Current HPI
- 114.6716
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.09%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in ND)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Utilities / Construction | 1 | $6B |
|
||
Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-03 Listed $134,999 MMLS
- 2023-01-23 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+12.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,446 · +4.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…