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211 12th St W
D Composite 42.55
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +9.5/30.0
  • Appreciation +8.1/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • DSCR +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.4/10.0

$134,999

211 12th St W · Bottineau, ND 58318
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 2,136 sqft · Other · 138 Days on market
Built 1948 0.25 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • Unfinished basement
  • Large closets
  • Mature trees

Tags

LARGE CLOSETSORIGINAL HARDWOOD FLOORSFENCED LARGE BACKYARDMATURE TREESUNFINISHED BASEMENT

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached or attached garage not specified; includes 1 garage space with concrete parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Single-story
  • Construction: Below-grade finished area present
  • Exterior features: Deck

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Oven; Refrigerator; Dishwasher not listed
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Window air conditioning units
  • Interior features: Unfinished basement; Range; Oven; Refrigerator; Dryer; Washer
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $135k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-94 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $118k (12.2% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $100k (25.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $100k (25.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#6 in ND, #2,494 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Bottineau 1 (rural): math 40% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #30 of 53 in ND (top 57%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Bottineau Elementary School (math 46% / reading 34%, grade F, #132 of 236 statewide, top 57%, 349 students, 24% FRL); Bottineau Junior-Senior High School (math 32% / reading 47%, grade F, #57 of 144 statewide, top 48%, 311 students, 40% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 33 active listings in the ZIP; 10 units permitted in Bottineau County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $9k of equity ($933 loan paydown + $9k appreciation (6.3% local appreciation)).
  • Bottineau County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 138 days — a 12% lower offer ($119k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $100,139 (25.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 138 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.74%
Cap rate
5.46%
Cash-on-cash
-2.97%
DSCR
0.87
GRM
11.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

6.3% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
13.7%
Equity multiple
1.94×
Total profit
$35,405
Equity at exit
$87,423
10-year hold
IRR
14.1%
Equity multiple
3.86×
Total profit
$108,185
Equity at exit
$160,792

Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Dakota
82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 58318

Home prices YoY
5.8%
Active inventory
33
Price-to-rent
11.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,001 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$708
Tax from tax record
$120 /mo · $1,446/yr
Insurance
$56
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$210
Net cashflow
$-94

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,120
Max offer price $118,464
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-17 -5% $-55 +0% $-94 +5% $-132 +10% $-170
Rent -10% $-173 -5% $-133 +0% $-94 +5% $-54 +10% $-14
Rate -1.0pp $-26 -0.5pp $-59 base $-94 +0.5pp $-129 +1.0pp $-164

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,750
Closing costs
$4,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $134,999 Active 138 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $134,999 Active 137 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $134,999 Active 135 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $134,999 Active 134 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $134,999 Active 133 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $134,999 Active 132 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $134,999 Active 130 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $134,999 Active 129 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $134,999 Active 126 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $134,999 Active 125 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $134,999 Active 124 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $134,999 Active 122 DOM
  13. 2026-06-04
    days on market $134,999 Active 120 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $134,999 Active 119 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $134,999 Active 118 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $134,999 Active 117 DOM
  17. 2026-02-03
    listed $134,999 Active
  18. 2023-01-23
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast ND · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,446 · $120/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,446 · $120/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 8 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,017
− Mortgage interest
−$7,562
− Property taxes
−$1,446
− Insurance
−$675
− Repairs & maintenance
−$961
− Management
−$961
− Depreciation
−$3,927
Taxable loss
−$3,516
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$844
After-tax cash flow
$-279/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bottineau 1
NCES district ID
3803060
Math proficiency
40% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$48,169
Composite
33.92/100
National rank
#5340
State rank
#30 of 53 in ND

Livability — Bottineau

Score
78/100
State rank
#6
US rank
#2494

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Bottineau, ND
Population (ZIP)
3,843

Population outlook (Bottineau County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
7,367 people
By 2030
7,789 · +5.7%
By 2040
8,818 · +19.7%
By 2050
10,174 · +38.1%
By 2075
15,137 · +105.5%
By 2100
19,942 · +170.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Native American 7% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 35% Lithuanian 5% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Tagalog/Filipino 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Bottineau

2024 margin
Solid R (+55.3) · D 21.5% · R 76.8% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
-36.2pp toward R · 2008: -19.1pp · 2024: -55.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+55.3 2020: R+50.5 2016: R+50.9 2012: R+31.1 2008: R+19.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 6.30%
Current HPI
114.6716
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.09%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in ND)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-03 Listed $134,999 MMLS
  • 2023-01-23 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+12.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,446 · +4.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…