🏷️ Likely Rental
374 19th Ave · San Francisco, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 77°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 7/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 13 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.2/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$1,500,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records
5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.
Listing remarks
374 19th Avenue is a well-maintained six-unit apartment building located in San Francisco's highly desirable Richmond District. The property offers stable in-place income with long-term appreciation potential, making it an attractive opportunity for multifamily investors. Situated on a 3,000-square-foot lot, the building was constructed in 1964 and totals approximately 4,456 square feet. It features a desirable unit mix of four one-bedroom/one-bath units and two two-bedroom/one-bath units, supporting strong and consistent tenant demand. Additional amenities include six garage parking spaces and dedicated storage. Conveniently located near Geary Boulevard, 374 19th Ave provides easy access t
Key facts
- 000-square-foot lot
- 3
- Prime location
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Six-unit building with six total units (six leased); Unit mix includes one- and two-bedroom apartments (four 1-bed and two 2-bed occupied); Units are not furnished
- HOA & community: No association fee
Exterior
- Parking: Attached parking with inside entrance; Carport spaces for 6 vehicles; Four covered parking spaces; Total of 6 parking spaces; Has an attached garage and a carport
- Utilities: City utilities; Public water; Electricity on separate meters
- Home design: Residential income property (multi-family); Mid-century style; Three or more levels; Original condition
- Construction: Built in 1964; Stone and stucco construction; Concrete perimeter foundation
- Exterior features: Regular-shaped lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Free-standing electric oven; Free-standing refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Eight bedrooms total
- Flooring: Carpet; Linoleum
- Bathrooms: Three full bathrooms
- Interior features: Carpet and linoleum flooring; Basement used for storage
- Laundry & utility: Separate electric meters for units
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 8-bed/6.0-bath multifamily listed at $1.50M.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $7k ($88k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($21k rent vs $1.50M).
- Recommended offer: $1.48M (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.2% vs local median 2.1% in San Francisco — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in CA, #3,143 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- San Francisco Unified (urban): math 50% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #322 of 1,400 in CA (top 23%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+13.0%/yr); 74 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 750 units permitted in San Francisco County in 2024 (688 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $21,238/mo this rent would consume 191% of the median local household income ($133k/yr) (locally 2072% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $10k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $45k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- San Francisco County population projected at +39% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $420k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($1.48M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.42% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.17%
- Cash-on-cash
- 20.99%
- DSCR
- 1.93
- GRM
- 5.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $2,464,168
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 456-458 11th Ave | 0.49mi | 9/6.0 (+1) | 4,512 (+1%) | 2mo | $2,600,000 | $576 | 69 |
| 251-255 14th Ave | 0.31mi | 9/5.0 (+1) | 4,332 (-3%) | 8mo | $1,800,000 | $416 | 65 |
| 369-371 21st Ave | 0.15mi | 8/5.0 | 4,038 (-9%) | 12mo | $2,015,000 | $499 | 64 |
| 134-136A 17th Ave | 0.33mi | 8/4.0 | 4,083 (-8%) | 2mo | $3,500,000 | $857 | 61 |
| 463 23rd Ave | 0.28mi | 8/5.0 | 3,890 (-13%) | 3mo | $2,150,000 | $553 | 59 |
| 725 18th Ave | 0.46mi | 8/6.0 | 4,040 (-9%) | 11mo | $1,528,000 | $378 | 54 |
| 154-156 Funston Ave | 0.46mi | 8/5.0 | 3,907 (-12%) | 5mo | $4,100,000 | $1,049 | 50 |
| 350 11th Ave | 0.48mi | 8/— | 4,004 (-10%) | 18mo | $1,600,000 | $400 | 46 |
| 601-607 9th Ave | 0.65mi | 8/4.0 | 4,226 (-5%) | 12mo | $1,250,000 | $296 | 43 |
| 278 7th Ave | 0.73mi | 8/4.0 | 4,200 (-6%) | 10mo | $2,400,000 | $571 | 40 |
| 166 10th Ave | 0.60mi | 8/2.0 | 4,120 (-8%) | 13mo | $1,512,500 | $367 | 33 |
| 359-361 31st Ave | 0.75mi | 7/4.0 (-1) | 4,992 (+12%) | 8mo | $3,300,000 | $661 | 25 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 18.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.80×
- Total profit
- $336,914
- Equity at exit
- $223,655
- IRR
- 30.2%
- Equity multiple
- 4.35×
- Total profit
- $1,405,803
- Equity at exit
- $129,693
Cash invested: $420,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City San Francisco
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+57
ZIP-level market 94121
- Rents YoY
- 13.0%
- Active inventory
- 74
- Price-to-rent
- 36.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $21,238 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$7,866
- Tax from tax record
- −$939 /mo · $11,267/yr
- Insurance
- −$625
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$4,460
- Net cashflow
- $7,348
Break-even live
6-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4× units | 1 | 1 | $13,736 |
| #1 | 1 | 1 | $3,434 |
| #2 | 1 | 1 | $3,434 |
| #3 | 1 | 1 | $3,434 |
| #4 | 1 | 1 | $3,434 |
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $7,502 |
| #5 | 2 | 1 | $3,751 |
| #6 | 2 | 1 | $3,751 |
| Total (6 units) | $21,238 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $375,000
- Closing costs
- $45,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $1,500,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $1,500,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $1,500,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $1,500,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $1,500,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $1,500,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $1,500,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $1,500,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $1,500,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-04remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-04$1,500,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $11,267 · $939/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $11,400 · $950/mo
- Expected delta
- +$133/yr (+$11/mo · 1.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥77°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 7/10 Severe 13 unhealthy d/yr today · 13 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $254,856
- − Mortgage interest
- −$84,023
- − Property taxes
- −$11,267
- − Insurance
- −$7,500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$20,388
- − Management
- −$20,388
- − Depreciation
- −$43,636
- Taxable income
- $67,652
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$16,237
- After-tax cash flow
- $71,939/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- San Francisco Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0634410
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $81,249
- Composite
- 50.14/100
- National rank
- #4088
- State rank
- #322 of 1400 in CA
Livability — San Francisco
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #90
- US rank
- #3143
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- San Francisco, CA
- County
- San Francisco County · 827,552 people
- City population
- 827,552
- Metro
- San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 41,995
- Household income
- $133,358
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2072.0
Population outlook (San Francisco County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,030,936 people
- By 2030
- 1,110,409 · +7.7%
- By 2040
- 1,270,010 · +23.2%
- By 2050
- 1,435,001 · +39.2%
- By 2075
- 1,779,074 · +72.6%
- By 2100
- 1,966,767 · +90.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- Asian 42% White 41% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 8% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 3% Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 35% · China, Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 59% English-only · Chinese 22% Russian/Polish/Slavic 4% Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · San Francisco
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+64.8) · D 80.3% · R 15.5% · Other 4.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.7pp toward R · 2008: 70.5pp · 2024: 64.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+64.8 2020: D+72.5 2016: D+76.1 2012: D+70.2 2008: D+70.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -1078.57%
- Current HPI
- 266.5786
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 13.03%
- Metro
- San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
||
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-03 Listed $1,500,000 San Francisco MLS
Property tax history
+2.0%/yrLatest (2025): $11,267 · +3.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…