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2142 Emerald Diamond Ct
D Composite 41.24
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.2/30.0
  • Condition / age +4.8/5.0
  • ARV discount +4.7/15.0
  • Schools +4.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +4.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.5/10.0
  • DSCR +3.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.3/5.0

$376,000

2142 Emerald Diamond Ct · Fresno, TX 77545
4 bd · 3.5 ba · 2,485 sqft · Other public records · 394 Days on market
Built 2025 Excellent condition $151/sqft · 7% below area Est $354k · 6% over $43/mo HOA · 1% of rent ↓ 10% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

NEW CONSTRUCTION by LONG LAKE - Model Home Now Available for Sale. Welcome home to 2142 Emerald Diamond Court located in the highly sought-after Winfield Lakes and zoned to Fort Bend ISD. With meticulous attention to detail and tremendous upgrades throughout, this exquisite residence showcases a remarkable floor plan featuring 4 bedrooms, 3.5 baths, and a convenient attached 2-car garage. Get ready to be enchanted by the breathtaking features. Don't miss this opportunity. Call now to discover more details about this exceptional plan.

Key facts

  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 2025
  • Listed 394 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/3.5-bath other listed at $376k. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-147 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $350k (6.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $320k (14.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $320k (14.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#943 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, cost of living A; Watch: crime C-, schools D-, amenities F.
  • Fort Bend ISD (suburban): math 44% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #140 of 826 in TX (top 17%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.9%/yr); 175 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 12,093 units permitted in Fort Bend County in 2024 (815 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($94k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-2.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Fort Bend County population projected at +75% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 394 days — a 12% lower offer ($331k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $320,245 (14.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 394 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.85%
Cap rate
5.82%
Cash-on-cash
-1.68%
DSCR
0.93
GRM
9.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$354,172
List price
$376,000
Delta
6.16%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-1.98% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.8%
Equity multiple
0.40×
Total profit
$-63,334
Equity at exit
$73,360
10-year hold
IRR
-12.8%
Equity multiple
0.16×
Total profit
$-88,586
Equity at exit
$63,013

Cash invested: $105,280 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77545

Home prices YoY
-0.8%
Rents YoY
-0.9%
Active inventory
175
Price-to-rent
9.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,202 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,972
Tax from tax record
$506 /mo · $6,068/yr
Insurance
$157
HOA
$43
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$673
Net cashflow
$-147

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,389
Max offer price $349,993
Occupancy floor 100%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $66 -5% $-41 +0% $-147 +5% $-254 +10% $-360
Rent -10% $-400 -5% $-274 +0% $-147 +5% $-21 +10% $106
Rate -1.0pp $42 -0.5pp $-52 base $-147 +0.5pp $-245 +1.0pp $-344

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$94,000
Closing costs
$11,280
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 11 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2642 Sunlit Meadow Trl Fresno, TX 5.0 3.5 2785 $4,000 $1.44 44d 1 0.17mi
3106 Presley Jane Ct Missouri City, TX 3.0 2.0 2109 $2,271 $1.08 6d 1 0.74mi
3218 Clayton Terrace Dr Missouri City, TX 4.0 3.0 2278 $2,395 $1.05 20d 1 0.83mi
3212 Aldridge Dr Missouri City, TX 4.0 2.5 2489 $2,650 $1.06 21d 1 0.92mi
2707 Troy Dr Missouri City, TX 3.0 2.5 2082 $2,245 $1.08 2d 1 0.93mi
2709 Troy Dr Missouri City, TX 3.0 2.5 2082 $2,245 $1.08 21d 1 0.94mi
3314 Dry Creek Dr Missouri City, TX 4.0 3.0 2600 $4,200 $1.62 44d 1 0.95mi
2123 Witham Park Ln Fresno, TX 4.0 4.0 3026 $2,850 $0.94 44d 1 1.14mi
2235 Argos Dr Missouri City, TX 4.0 3.5 2838 $2,550 $0.90 21d 1 1.18mi
3526 Cambridge Falls Dr Fresno, TX 4.0 3.0 3136 $2,624 $0.84 21d 1 1.18mi
3211 Breckinridge Ct Missouri City, TX 4.0 2.5 2920 $2,550 $0.87 21d 1 1.19mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$43 · $516/yr

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $376,000 Active 394 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $376,000 Active 393 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $376,000 Active 392 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $376,000 Active 391 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $376,000 Active 389 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $376,000 Active 385 DOM
  7. 2026-06-07
    days on market $376,000 Active 383 DOM
  8. 2026-06-04
    days on market $376,000 Active 380 DOM
  9. 2026-06-03
    days on market $376,000 Active 379 DOM
  10. 2026-06-02
    days on market $376,000 Active 378 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $376,000 Active 377 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $376,000 Active 376 DOM
  13. 2026-02-27
    soldstatus Closed 539-char remark
    Show marketing remark (539 chars)

    NEW CONSTRUCTION by LONG LAKE - Model Home Now Available for Sale. Welcome home to 2142 Emerald Diamond Court located in the highly sought-after Winfield Lakes and zoned to Fort Bend ISD. With meticulous attention to detail and tremendous upgrades throughout, this exquisite residence showcases a remarkable floor plan featuring 4 bedrooms, 3.5 baths, and a convenient attached 2-car garage. Get ready to be enchanted by the breathtaking features. Don't miss this opportunity. Call now to discover more details about this exceptional plan.

  14. 2026-02-09
    status Pending 539-char remark
    Show marketing remark (539 chars)

    NEW CONSTRUCTION by LONG LAKE - Model Home Now Available for Sale. Welcome home to 2142 Emerald Diamond Court located in the highly sought-after Winfield Lakes and zoned to Fort Bend ISD. With meticulous attention to detail and tremendous upgrades throughout, this exquisite residence showcases a remarkable floor plan featuring 4 bedrooms, 3.5 baths, and a convenient attached 2-car garage. Get ready to be enchanted by the breathtaking features. Don't miss this opportunity. Call now to discover more details about this exceptional plan.

  15. 2025-12-30
    listed $376,000 Active 539-char remark
    Show marketing remark (539 chars)

    NEW CONSTRUCTION by LONG LAKE - Model Home Now Available for Sale. Welcome home to 2142 Emerald Diamond Court located in the highly sought-after Winfield Lakes and zoned to Fort Bend ISD. With meticulous attention to detail and tremendous upgrades throughout, this exquisite residence showcases a remarkable floor plan featuring 4 bedrooms, 3.5 baths, and a convenient attached 2-car garage. Get ready to be enchanted by the breathtaking features. Don't miss this opportunity. Call now to discover more details about this exceptional plan.

  16. 2025-11-21
    price $376,000 539-char remark
    Show marketing remark (539 chars)

    NEW CONSTRUCTION by LONG LAKE - Model Home Now Available for Sale. Welcome home to 2142 Emerald Diamond Court located in the highly sought-after Winfield Lakes and zoned to Fort Bend ISD. With meticulous attention to detail and tremendous upgrades throughout, this exquisite residence showcases a remarkable floor plan featuring 4 bedrooms, 3.5 baths, and a convenient attached 2-car garage. Get ready to be enchanted by the breathtaking features. Don't miss this opportunity. Call now to discover more details about this exceptional plan.

  17. 2025-11-03
    price $406,050 539-char remark
    Show marketing remark (539 chars)

    NEW CONSTRUCTION by LONG LAKE - Model Home Now Available for Sale. Welcome home to 2142 Emerald Diamond Court located in the highly sought-after Winfield Lakes and zoned to Fort Bend ISD. With meticulous attention to detail and tremendous upgrades throughout, this exquisite residence showcases a remarkable floor plan featuring 4 bedrooms, 3.5 baths, and a convenient attached 2-car garage. Get ready to be enchanted by the breathtaking features. Don't miss this opportunity. Call now to discover more details about this exceptional plan.

  18. 2025-09-08
    price $404,050 539-char remark
    Show marketing remark (539 chars)

    NEW CONSTRUCTION by LONG LAKE - Model Home Now Available for Sale. Welcome home to 2142 Emerald Diamond Court located in the highly sought-after Winfield Lakes and zoned to Fort Bend ISD. With meticulous attention to detail and tremendous upgrades throughout, this exquisite residence showcases a remarkable floor plan featuring 4 bedrooms, 3.5 baths, and a convenient attached 2-car garage. Get ready to be enchanted by the breathtaking features. Don't miss this opportunity. Call now to discover more details about this exceptional plan.

  19. 2025-07-17
    price $390,990 539-char remark
    Show marketing remark (539 chars)

    NEW CONSTRUCTION by LONG LAKE - Model Home Now Available for Sale. Welcome home to 2142 Emerald Diamond Court located in the highly sought-after Winfield Lakes and zoned to Fort Bend ISD. With meticulous attention to detail and tremendous upgrades throughout, this exquisite residence showcases a remarkable floor plan featuring 4 bedrooms, 3.5 baths, and a convenient attached 2-car garage. Get ready to be enchanted by the breathtaking features. Don't miss this opportunity. Call now to discover more details about this exceptional plan.

  20. 2025-07-03
    price $395,090 539-char remark
    Show marketing remark (539 chars)

    NEW CONSTRUCTION by LONG LAKE - Model Home Now Available for Sale. Welcome home to 2142 Emerald Diamond Court located in the highly sought-after Winfield Lakes and zoned to Fort Bend ISD. With meticulous attention to detail and tremendous upgrades throughout, this exquisite residence showcases a remarkable floor plan featuring 4 bedrooms, 3.5 baths, and a convenient attached 2-car garage. Get ready to be enchanted by the breathtaking features. Don't miss this opportunity. Call now to discover more details about this exceptional plan.

  21. 2025-05-20
    listed $417,715 Active 539-char remark
    Show marketing remark (539 chars)

    NEW CONSTRUCTION by LONG LAKE - Model Home Now Available for Sale. Welcome home to 2142 Emerald Diamond Court located in the highly sought-after Winfield Lakes and zoned to Fort Bend ISD. With meticulous attention to detail and tremendous upgrades throughout, this exquisite residence showcases a remarkable floor plan featuring 4 bedrooms, 3.5 baths, and a convenient attached 2-car garage. Get ready to be enchanted by the breathtaking features. Don't miss this opportunity. Call now to discover more details about this exceptional plan.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$6,068 · $506/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$6,881 · $573/mo
Expected delta
+$812/yr (+$68/mo · 13.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$38,429
− Mortgage interest
−$21,062
− Property taxes
−$6,068
− Insurance
−$1,880
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,074
− Management
−$3,074
− HOA
−$516
− Depreciation
−$10,938
Taxable loss
−$8,184
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,964
After-tax cash flow
$197/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Excellent 95/100 None rehab

This newly constructed home in Winfield Lakes is move-in ready with excellent condition and a great location. It offers a modern kitchen, spacious bathrooms, and a well-maintained exterior with a fresh paint job and landscaping. Consider landscaping improvements and painting exterior trim to further enhance its value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value for both resale and rental.
  • Both Painting exterior trim — Fresh paint can improve the home's curb appeal and value.
  • Both Landscaping additional trees — Adding more trees can increase the home's curb appeal and provide shade, enhancing both resale and rental value.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value for both resale and rental.
  • Both Painting exterior trim — Fresh paint can improve the home's curb appeal and value.
  • Both Landscaping additional trees — Adding more trees can increase the home's curb appeal and provide shade, enhancing both resale and rental value.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Fort Bend ISD
NCES district ID
4819650
Math proficiency
44% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$82,360
Composite
44.61/100
National rank
#2779
State rank
#140 of 826 in TX

Livability — Fresno

Score
62/100
State rank
#943
US rank
#16815

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A Crime C- Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Fresno, TX
County
Fort Bend County · 836,777 people
City population
26,236
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
Population (ZIP)
26,236
Household income
$94,474
Rent vs Own
20.7% rent · 79.3% own
Severe rent burden
360.0

Population outlook (Fort Bend County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,004,526 people
By 2030
1,153,104 · +14.8%
By 2040
1,453,718 · +44.7%
By 2050
1,753,781 · +74.6%
By 2075
2,455,772 · +144.5%
By 2100
2,930,528 · +191.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
Race & ethnicity
Black 51% Hispanic / Latino 34% Two or more races 12% White 8% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 29%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
18% · Canada
Languages at home
67% English-only · Spanish 29% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Fort Bend

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.5% · R 47.9% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
+4.0pp toward D · 2008: -2.4pp · 2024: 1.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+1.6 2020: D+10.6 2016: D+6.6 2012: R+6.8 2008: R+2.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -1.98%
Current HPI
231.3921
Rent YoY
▼ -0.95%
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-10.0% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-27 Sold (MLS) HARMLS
  • 2026-02-09 Pending HARMLS
  • 2025-12-30 Listed $376,000 HARMLS
  • 2025-11-21 Price Changed $376,000 HARMLS
  • 2025-11-03 Price Changed $406,050 HARMLS
  • 2025-09-08 Price Changed $404,050 HARMLS
  • 2025-07-17 Price Changed $390,990 HARMLS
  • 2025-07-03 Price Changed $395,090 HARMLS
  • 2025-05-20 Listed $417,715 HARMLS

Property tax history

-2.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $6,068 · +23.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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