1006 Osage St · Neodesha, KS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,154 – $2,142
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Appreciation +4.8/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
$20,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- 8,712 sq ft lot
- Built 1925
- Listed 121 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Living area reported as 1,147 (public records)
- HOA & community: No association fees
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single family residence; Residential property; One-story (bungalow style)
- Construction: Frame construction; Composition roof; Property age: approximately 76–100 years
- Exterior features: 0.2-acre lot; Not in a flood plain
Interior
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Wall furnace heating; No central air conditioning
- Interior features: Bungalow floor plan; Crawl space basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $20k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $649 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($997 rent vs $20k).
- Recommended offer: $18k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#196 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: employment D+, schools D-, amenities F.
- Neodesha (town): math 25% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #121 of 169 in KS (top 72%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 22 active listings in the ZIP; 16 units permitted in Wilson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $55 of equity ($138 loan paydown + $-83 appreciation (-0.4% local appreciation)).
- Wilson County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-0.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $6k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 121 days — a 12% lower offer ($18k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $7k; list at $20k implies a 190% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 121 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 4.98% ✓
- Cap rate
- 45.24%
- Cash-on-cash
- 139.09%
- DSCR
- 7.19
- GRM
- 1.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $81,437
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1006 Osage St | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 1,147 (0%) | 1mo | $20,000 | $17 | 99 |
| 1013 Osage St | 0.03mi | 2/1.0 | 1,246 (+9%) | 2mo | $110,000 | $88 | 82 |
| 1015 Lincoln St | 0.19mi | 2/1.0 | 1,120 (-2%) | 12mo | $30,000 | $27 | 78 |
| 920 N 8th St | 0.43mi | 2/1.0 | 1,138 (-1%) | 4mo | $16,000 | $14 | 75 |
| 1016 Iowa St | 0.07mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,205 (+5%) | 15mo | $23,000 | $19 | 67 |
| 702 Illinois St | 0.24mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,212 (+6%) | 10mo | $29,000 | $24 | 64 |
| 501 N 6th St | 0.31mi | 2/1.0 | 1,236 (+8%) | 13mo | $92,500 | $75 | 62 |
| 615 Mill St | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,139 (-1%) | 10mo | $22,000 | $19 | 61 |
| 525 S 5th N/A | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,148 (+0%) | 13mo | $105,000 | $91 | 54 |
| 901 N 9th St | 0.36mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,000 (-13%) | 2mo | $99,000 | $99 | 53 |
| 306 S 5th St | 0.53mi | 2/2.0 | 1,283 (+12%) | 11mo | $149,500 | $117 | 42 |
| 519 Mill St | 0.56mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,266 (+10%) | 12mo | $89,999 | $71 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-0.41% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 8.21×
- Total profit
- $40,383
- Equity at exit
- $5,397
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 17.19×
- Total profit
- $90,653
- Equity at exit
- $6,168
Cash invested: $5,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kansas
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 66757
- Home prices YoY
- -0.3%
- Active inventory
- 22
- Price-to-rent
- 1.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $997 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$105
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$25 /mo · $300/yr
- Insurance
- −$8
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$209
- Net cashflow
- $649
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $663 | -5% $656 | +0% $649 | +5% $642 | +10% $635 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $570 | -5% $610 | +0% $649 | +5% $688 | +10% $728 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $659 | -0.5pp $654 | base $649 | +0.5pp $644 | +1.0pp $639 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $5,000
- Closing costs
- $600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-08days on market $20,000 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $20,000 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $20,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $20,000 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $20,000 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $20,000 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $20,000 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $20,000 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-03-23status Active
-
2026-01-13status Pending
-
2025-12-01$20,000 Active
-
2025-11-26historical $20,000
-
2025-01-14status Pending
-
2025-01-14historical
-
2024-12-03price $20,000
-
2024-08-16$25,000 Active
-
2008-06-01soldstatus $6,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,959
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,120
- − Property taxes
- −$300
- − Insurance
- −$100
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$957
- − Management
- −$957
- − Depreciation
- −$582
- Taxable income
- $7,943
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,906
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,882/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Neodesha
- NCES district ID
- 2009900
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,989
- Composite
- 23.54/100
- National rank
- #7863
- State rank
- #121 of 169 in KS
Livability — Neodesha
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #196
- US rank
- #8894
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Neodesha, KS
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,225
Population outlook (Wilson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 7,872 people
- By 2030
- 7,383 · -6.2%
- By 2040
- 6,533 · -17.0%
- By 2050
- 5,923 · -24.8%
- By 2075
- 5,134 · -34.8%
- By 2100
- 4,788 · -39.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 7% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wilson
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+62.4) · D 18.0% · R 80.3% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.6pp toward R · 2008: -40.8pp · 2024: -62.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+62.4 2020: R+61.5 2016: R+63.1 2012: R+54.0 2008: R+40.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -0.41%
- Current HPI
- 131.4107
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+189.9% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-23 Relisted — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-13 Pending — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-01 Listed $20,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-26 Coming Soon $20,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-01-14 Pending — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-01-14 Listing Removed — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-12-03 Price Changed $20,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-08-16 Listed $25,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $6,900 Public Records
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…