24502 V Ln · Ocean Park, WA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 74°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.5/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.9/10.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$225,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
* REDUCED * This home is updated with love! The sellers honey-do list was well executed with lots of special touches like a back storage area off the kitchen for extra goodies, a fully enclosed LARGE sunroom, perfect for entertaining and extra hang out space. Outside cabana for wet days or summer nights, and a large carport to protect your ride. Mostly fenced yard perfect for privacy and fur babies, and use of wood trim throughout elevates this property to a higher level, with a new shower. An Oversized lot is a nice bonus, too!
Key facts
- Outside cabana
- Large carport
- Oversized lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $225k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $736 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $225k).
- Recommended offer: $198k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.2% vs local median 4.1% in Ocean Park — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#216 in WA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, crime A; Watch: commute D+, employment D+, schools F.
- Ocean Beach School District (rural): math 34% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #212 of 291 in WA (top 73%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 320 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 90 units permitted in Pacific County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pacific County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $63k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 411 days — a 12% lower offer ($198k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $18k; list at $225k implies a 1186% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 411 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.29% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.22%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.02%
- DSCR
- 1.62
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $282,426
- List price
- $225,000
- Delta
- -20.33%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 8 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24800 Ash Pl | 0.31mi | 2/1.0 | 728 (-7%) | 3mo | $134,000 | $184 | 71 |
| 25002 Dell Pl | 0.46mi | 2/1.0 | 784 (0%) | 19mo | $115,000 | $147 | 63 |
| 23804 Elm Ln | 0.60mi | 2/1.0 | 696 (-11%) | 1mo | $150,000 | $216 | 52 |
| 1507 250th Pl | 0.44mi | 2/1.0 | 672 (-14%) | 23mo | $160,000 | $238 | 36 |
| 23906 Elm Ln | 0.59mi | 1/0.5 (-1) | 696 (-11%) | 15mo | $150,000 | $216 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.17×
- Total profit
- $10,465
- Equity at exit
- $33,548
- IRR
- 13.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.11×
- Total profit
- $69,657
- Equity at exit
- $19,454
Cash invested: $63,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 98640
- Home prices YoY
- -26.7%
- Active inventory
- 320
- Price-to-rent
- 6.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,900 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,180
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$281 /mo · $3,375/yr
- Insurance
- −$94
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$609
- Net cashflow
- $736
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $892 | -5% $814 | +0% $736 | +5% $658 | +10% $581 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $507 | -5% $622 | +0% $736 | +5% $851 | +10% $965 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $849 | -0.5pp $793 | base $736 | +0.5pp $678 | +1.0pp $618 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $56,250
- Closing costs
- $6,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24904 J Pl Ocean Park, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $2,900 | $3.22 | 44d | 1 | 0.62mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $225,000 Active 411 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $225,000 Active 409 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $225,000 Active 408 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $225,000 Active 407 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $225,000 Active 406 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $225,000 Active 405 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $225,000 Active 404 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $225,000 Active 403 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $225,000 Active 400 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $225,000 Active 399 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $225,000 Active 398 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $225,000 Active 397 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $225,000 Active 394 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $225,000 Active 393 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $225,000 Active 392 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $225,000 Active 391 DOM
-
2026-04-10price $225,000
-
2025-08-04price $227,500
-
2025-05-05$229,000 Active
-
2004-09-24soldstatus $17,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥74°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $34,800
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,603
- − Property taxes
- −$3,375
- − Insurance
- −$1,125
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,784
- − Management
- −$2,784
- − Depreciation
- −$6,545
- Taxable income
- $5,583
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,340
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,493/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ocean Beach School District
- NCES district ID
- 5306060
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,549
- Composite
- 37.37/100
- National rank
- #8929
- State rank
- #212 of 291 in WA
Livability — Ocean Park
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #216
- US rank
- #6161
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ocean Park, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,107
Population outlook (Pacific County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 20,636 people
- By 2030
- 20,137 · -2.4%
- By 2040
- 19,041 · -7.7%
- By 2050
- 18,504 · -10.3%
- By 2075
- 17,403 · -15.7%
- By 2100
- 16,241 · -21.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 5% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 4%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 4% Chinese 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pacific
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.1% · R 49.4% · Other 2.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.4pp toward R · 2008: 14.1pp · 2024: -1.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.3 2020: R+1.1 2016: R+6.9 2012: D+11.4 2008: D+14.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -81.15%
- Current HPI
- 222.8758
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
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| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
|
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
|
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
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Price history
+1185.7% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-10 Price Changed $225,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-04 Price Changed $227,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-05-05 Listed $229,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-09-24 Sold (Public Records) $17,500 Public Records
Property tax history
-12.5%/yrLatest (2026): $180 · -1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…