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13594 Highway 8 Business Spc 66
B- Composite 68.62
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +5.6/15.0
  • Schools +4.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$179,000

13594 Highway 8 Business Spc 66 · Lakeside, CA 92040
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 960 sqft · Manufactured public records · 62 Days on market
Built 2016 Est $172k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Just Reduced! Don’t miss your chance to own this beautifully remodeled Golden West Home. Nestled in a tranquil 55+ neighborhood, this home offers its next owner a fully renovated place to call home. Boasting a large open floorplan, this property features brand new flooring, gorgeous granite countertops throughout, new cabinets and much more. The spacious master bedroom offers an en-suite bathroom and large walk-in closet. A Separate laundry room and large living room are just a few of the many features you will love. With minimal maintenance, this home is truly one of a kind.

Key facts

  • Large walk-in closet
  • Remodeled home
  • 2 parking spots

Tags

REMODELED HOMEPRIVATE EN-SUITE BATHROOMLARGE WALK-IN CLOSETSEPARATE LAUNDRY ROOMEXPANSIVE LIVING AREALOW-MAINTENANCE FEATURES

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Located in a senior community; Part of Ridgecrest Community (subdivision: Lakeside)

Exterior

  • Parking: 2 parking spaces
  • Utilities: Connected to sewer
  • Home design: Manufactured home (single-story)
  • Construction: HardiPlank-type exterior; Asphalt roof; 1 story
  • Exterior features: Community pool

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Garbage disposal; Microwave; Refrigerator; Free-standing range / Gas range / Gas cooktop; Oven; Gas oven; Ice maker; Vented exhaust fan
  • Bedrooms: Can be configured as 3 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating (natural gas)
  • Interior features: Dishwasher; Disposal; Dryer; Microwave; Refrigerator; Washer; Free-standing range; Freezer; Gas oven; Ice maker; Vented exhaust fan; Gas range/Gas cooktop; Range; Oven
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $179k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $179k).
  • Recommended offer: $168k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.5% vs local median 2.6% in Lakeside — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 55/100 on livability (#877 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: employment A-, housing A-, health & safety B; Watch: commute D, crime D-, amenities F.
  • Lakeside Union Elementary (suburban): math 41% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #480 of 1,400 in CA (top 34%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.6%/yr); 148 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 11,759 units permitted in San Diego County in 2024 (7,244 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($108k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • San Diego County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.6% rent growth), your $50k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 62 days — a 6% lower offer ($168k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $168,260 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 62 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.53%
Cap rate
13.53%
Cash-on-cash
25.84%
DSCR
2.15
GRM
5.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$171,840
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
13594 Highway 8 Business #33 0.00mi 2/2.0 (-1) 987 (+3%) 3mo $177,000 $179 88
13490 Highway 8 Business Spc 24 0.14mi 2/2.0 (-1) 960 (0%) 1mo $133,500 $139 88
13594 Highway 8 Business #42 0.02mi 2/2.0 (-1) 960 (0%) 12mo $193,000 $201 84
13594 Highway 8 Business #48 0.00mi 2/2.0 (-1) 920 (-4%) 6mo $170,000 $185 83
13490 Highway 8 Business Spc 14 0.14mi 2/1.0 (-1) 960 (0%) 6mo $98,000 $102 80
13594 HWY 8 BUS #18 0.00mi 2/2.0 (-1) 960 (0%) 22mo $129,000 $134 77
13594 Highway 8 Business #64 0.02mi 3/2.0 1,057 (+10%) 7mo $169,000 $160 76
13490 Highway 8 Business Spc 23 0.14mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,040 (+8%) 8mo $210,000 $202 68
13594 Highway 8 Business #21 0.00mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,023 (+7%) 22mo $197,000 $193 66
13594 Highway 8 Business Spc 7 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,082 (+13%) 17mo $190,000 $176 65
13490 Highway 8 Business Spc 53 0.14mi 3/2.0 1,100 (+15%) 12mo $110,000 $100 59
13300 Los Coches Rd E Spc 12 0.41mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,088 (+13%) 14mo $207,000 $190 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.56% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
20.1%
Equity multiple
1.82×
Total profit
$41,222
Equity at exit
$26,689
10-year hold
IRR
28.6%
Equity multiple
3.61×
Total profit
$130,630
Equity at exit
$15,477

Cash invested: $50,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92040

Rents YoY
3.6%
Active inventory
148
Price-to-rent
5.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,741 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$939
Tax from tax record
$73 /mo · $877/yr
Insurance
$75
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$576
Net cashflow
$1,079

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,375
Max offer price $179,000
Occupancy floor 56%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$44,750
Closing costs
$5,370
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
8410 Los Coches Rd El Cajon, CA 2.0 2.0 900 $2,239 $2.49 1d 1 0.96mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $179,000 Active 62 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $179,000 Active 61 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $179,000 Active 60 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $179,000 Active 59 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $179,000 Active 57 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $179,000 Active 53 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $179,000 Active 52 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $179,000 Active 51 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $179,000 Active 48 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $179,000 Active 47 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $179,000 Active 46 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    price $179,000 Active 45 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $187,000 Active 45 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $187,000 Active 44 DOM
  15. 2026-04-17
    listed $187,000 Active
  16. 2022-12-05
    soldstatus $169,750 Sold 588-char remark
    Show marketing remark (588 chars)

    Just Reduced! Don’t miss your chance to own this beautifully remodeled Golden West Home. Nestled in a tranquil 55+ neighborhood, this home offers its next owner a fully renovated place to call home. Boasting a large open floorplan, this property features brand new flooring, gorgeous granite countertops throughout, new cabinets and much more. The spacious master bedroom offers an en-suite bathroom and large walk-in closet. A Separate laundry room and large living room are just a few of the many features you will love. With minimal maintenance, this home is truly one of a kind.

  17. 2022-11-24
    status Pending 588-char remark
    Show marketing remark (588 chars)

    Just Reduced! Don’t miss your chance to own this beautifully remodeled Golden West Home. Nestled in a tranquil 55+ neighborhood, this home offers its next owner a fully renovated place to call home. Boasting a large open floorplan, this property features brand new flooring, gorgeous granite countertops throughout, new cabinets and much more. The spacious master bedroom offers an en-suite bathroom and large walk-in closet. A Separate laundry room and large living room are just a few of the many features you will love. With minimal maintenance, this home is truly one of a kind.

  18. 2022-11-16
    price $169,750 588-char remark
    Show marketing remark (588 chars)

    Just Reduced! Don’t miss your chance to own this beautifully remodeled Golden West Home. Nestled in a tranquil 55+ neighborhood, this home offers its next owner a fully renovated place to call home. Boasting a large open floorplan, this property features brand new flooring, gorgeous granite countertops throughout, new cabinets and much more. The spacious master bedroom offers an en-suite bathroom and large walk-in closet. A Separate laundry room and large living room are just a few of the many features you will love. With minimal maintenance, this home is truly one of a kind.

  19. 2022-09-28
    listed $179,750 Active 588-char remark
    Show marketing remark (588 chars)

    Just Reduced! Don’t miss your chance to own this beautifully remodeled Golden West Home. Nestled in a tranquil 55+ neighborhood, this home offers its next owner a fully renovated place to call home. Boasting a large open floorplan, this property features brand new flooring, gorgeous granite countertops throughout, new cabinets and much more. The spacious master bedroom offers an en-suite bathroom and large walk-in closet. A Separate laundry room and large living room are just a few of the many features you will love. With minimal maintenance, this home is truly one of a kind.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$877 · $73/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,360 · $113/mo
Expected delta
+$484/yr (+$40/mo · 55.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 6 d/yr ≥98°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$32,892
− Mortgage interest
−$10,027
− Property taxes
−$877
− Insurance
−$895
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,631
− Management
−$2,631
− Depreciation
−$5,207
Taxable income
$10,624
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,550
After-tax cash flow
$10,399/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lakeside Union Elementary
NCES district ID
0620790
Math proficiency
41% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
52% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$65,574
Composite
43.51/100
National rank
#6453
State rank
#480 of 1400 in CA

Livability — Lakeside

Score
55/100
State rank
#877
US rank
#23702

Category grades

Amenities F Commute D Cost of living F Crime D- Employment A- Housing A- Health & safety B User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lakeside, CA
County
San Diego County · 3,178,799 people
City population
46,216
Metro
San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA
Population (ZIP)
46,216
Household income
$107,937
Rent vs Own
32.3% rent · 67.7% own
Severe rent burden
1147.0

Population outlook (San Diego County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
3,678,185 people
By 2030
3,856,546 · +4.8%
By 2040
4,171,407 · +13.4%
By 2050
4,421,607 · +20.2%
By 2075
4,831,599 · +31.4%
By 2100
4,832,502 · +31.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (69%)
Race & ethnicity
White 69% Hispanic / Latino 22% Two or more races 11% Black 2% Asian 2% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 19%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Italian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 10% Arabic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · San Diego

2024 margin
D (+16.8) · D 56.9% · R 40.1% · Other 2.9%
2008→2024 swing
+6.6pp toward D · 2008: 10.2pp · 2024: 16.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+16.8 2020: D+22.8 2016: D+17.8 2012: D+5.1 2008: D+10.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -622.09%
Current HPI
344.8263
Rent YoY
▲ 3.56%
Metro
San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+4.0% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-17 Listed $187,000 SDMLS
  • 2022-12-05 Sold (MLS) $169,750 SDMLS
  • 2022-11-24 Pending SDMLS
  • 2022-11-16 Price Changed $169,750 SDMLS
  • 2022-09-28 Listed $179,750 SDMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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