13594 Highway 8 Business Spc 66 · Lakeside, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +5.6/15.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$179,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Just Reduced! Don’t miss your chance to own this beautifully remodeled Golden West Home. Nestled in a tranquil 55+ neighborhood, this home offers its next owner a fully renovated place to call home. Boasting a large open floorplan, this property features brand new flooring, gorgeous granite countertops throughout, new cabinets and much more. The spacious master bedroom offers an en-suite bathroom and large walk-in closet. A Separate laundry room and large living room are just a few of the many features you will love. With minimal maintenance, this home is truly one of a kind.
Key facts
- Large walk-in closet
- Remodeled home
- 2 parking spots
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Located in a senior community; Part of Ridgecrest Community (subdivision: Lakeside)
Exterior
- Parking: 2 parking spaces
- Utilities: Connected to sewer
- Home design: Manufactured home (single-story)
- Construction: HardiPlank-type exterior; Asphalt roof; 1 story
- Exterior features: Community pool
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Garbage disposal; Microwave; Refrigerator; Free-standing range / Gas range / Gas cooktop; Oven; Gas oven; Ice maker; Vented exhaust fan
- Bedrooms: Can be configured as 3 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating (natural gas)
- Interior features: Dishwasher; Disposal; Dryer; Microwave; Refrigerator; Washer; Free-standing range; Freezer; Gas oven; Ice maker; Vented exhaust fan; Gas range/Gas cooktop; Range; Oven
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $179k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $179k).
- Recommended offer: $168k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.5% vs local median 2.6% in Lakeside — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 55/100 on livability (#877 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: employment A-, housing A-, health & safety B; Watch: commute D, crime D-, amenities F.
- Lakeside Union Elementary (suburban): math 41% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #480 of 1,400 in CA (top 34%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.6%/yr); 148 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 11,759 units permitted in San Diego County in 2024 (7,244 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($108k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- San Diego County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.6% rent growth), your $50k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 62 days — a 6% lower offer ($168k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 62 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.53% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.53%
- Cash-on-cash
- 25.84%
- DSCR
- 2.15
- GRM
- 5.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $171,840
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13594 Highway 8 Business #33 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 987 (+3%) | 3mo | $177,000 | $179 | 88 |
| 13490 Highway 8 Business Spc 24 | 0.14mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 960 (0%) | 1mo | $133,500 | $139 | 88 |
| 13594 Highway 8 Business #42 | 0.02mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 960 (0%) | 12mo | $193,000 | $201 | 84 |
| 13594 Highway 8 Business #48 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 920 (-4%) | 6mo | $170,000 | $185 | 83 |
| 13490 Highway 8 Business Spc 14 | 0.14mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 960 (0%) | 6mo | $98,000 | $102 | 80 |
| 13594 HWY 8 BUS #18 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 960 (0%) | 22mo | $129,000 | $134 | 77 |
| 13594 Highway 8 Business #64 | 0.02mi | 3/2.0 | 1,057 (+10%) | 7mo | $169,000 | $160 | 76 |
| 13490 Highway 8 Business Spc 23 | 0.14mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,040 (+8%) | 8mo | $210,000 | $202 | 68 |
| 13594 Highway 8 Business #21 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,023 (+7%) | 22mo | $197,000 | $193 | 66 |
| 13594 Highway 8 Business Spc 7 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,082 (+13%) | 17mo | $190,000 | $176 | 65 |
| 13490 Highway 8 Business Spc 53 | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 | 1,100 (+15%) | 12mo | $110,000 | $100 | 59 |
| 13300 Los Coches Rd E Spc 12 | 0.41mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,088 (+13%) | 14mo | $207,000 | $190 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.56% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 20.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.82×
- Total profit
- $41,222
- Equity at exit
- $26,689
- IRR
- 28.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.61×
- Total profit
- $130,630
- Equity at exit
- $15,477
Cash invested: $50,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92040
- Rents YoY
- 3.6%
- Active inventory
- 148
- Price-to-rent
- 5.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,741 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$939
- Tax from tax record
- −$73 /mo · $877/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$576
- Net cashflow
- $1,079
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $44,750
- Closing costs
- $5,370
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8410 Los Coches Rd El Cajon, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $2,239 | $2.49 | 1d | 1 | 0.96mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $179,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $179,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $179,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $179,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $179,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $179,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $179,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $179,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $179,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $179,000 Active 47 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $179,000 Active 46 DOM
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2026-06-02price $179,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $187,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $187,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-04-17$187,000 Active
-
2022-12-05soldstatus $169,750 Sold 588-char remark
Show marketing remark (588 chars)
Just Reduced! Don’t miss your chance to own this beautifully remodeled Golden West Home. Nestled in a tranquil 55+ neighborhood, this home offers its next owner a fully renovated place to call home. Boasting a large open floorplan, this property features brand new flooring, gorgeous granite countertops throughout, new cabinets and much more. The spacious master bedroom offers an en-suite bathroom and large walk-in closet. A Separate laundry room and large living room are just a few of the many features you will love. With minimal maintenance, this home is truly one of a kind.
-
2022-11-24status Pending 588-char remark
Show marketing remark (588 chars)
Just Reduced! Don’t miss your chance to own this beautifully remodeled Golden West Home. Nestled in a tranquil 55+ neighborhood, this home offers its next owner a fully renovated place to call home. Boasting a large open floorplan, this property features brand new flooring, gorgeous granite countertops throughout, new cabinets and much more. The spacious master bedroom offers an en-suite bathroom and large walk-in closet. A Separate laundry room and large living room are just a few of the many features you will love. With minimal maintenance, this home is truly one of a kind.
-
2022-11-16price $169,750 588-char remark
Show marketing remark (588 chars)
Just Reduced! Don’t miss your chance to own this beautifully remodeled Golden West Home. Nestled in a tranquil 55+ neighborhood, this home offers its next owner a fully renovated place to call home. Boasting a large open floorplan, this property features brand new flooring, gorgeous granite countertops throughout, new cabinets and much more. The spacious master bedroom offers an en-suite bathroom and large walk-in closet. A Separate laundry room and large living room are just a few of the many features you will love. With minimal maintenance, this home is truly one of a kind.
-
2022-09-28$179,750 Active 588-char remark
Show marketing remark (588 chars)
Just Reduced! Don’t miss your chance to own this beautifully remodeled Golden West Home. Nestled in a tranquil 55+ neighborhood, this home offers its next owner a fully renovated place to call home. Boasting a large open floorplan, this property features brand new flooring, gorgeous granite countertops throughout, new cabinets and much more. The spacious master bedroom offers an en-suite bathroom and large walk-in closet. A Separate laundry room and large living room are just a few of the many features you will love. With minimal maintenance, this home is truly one of a kind.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $877 · $73/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,360 · $113/mo
- Expected delta
- +$484/yr (+$40/mo · 55.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 6/10 Major 6 d/yr ≥98°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $32,892
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,027
- − Property taxes
- −$877
- − Insurance
- −$895
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,631
- − Management
- −$2,631
- − Depreciation
- −$5,207
- Taxable income
- $10,624
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,550
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,399/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lakeside Union Elementary
- NCES district ID
- 0620790
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $65,574
- Composite
- 43.51/100
- National rank
- #6453
- State rank
- #480 of 1400 in CA
Livability — Lakeside
- Score
- 55/100
- State rank
- #877
- US rank
- #23702
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lakeside, CA
- County
- San Diego County · 3,178,799 people
- City population
- 46,216
- Metro
- San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 46,216
- Household income
- $107,937
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1147.0
Population outlook (San Diego County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 3,678,185 people
- By 2030
- 3,856,546 · +4.8%
- By 2040
- 4,171,407 · +13.4%
- By 2050
- 4,421,607 · +20.2%
- By 2075
- 4,831,599 · +31.4%
- By 2100
- 4,832,502 · +31.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 69% Hispanic / Latino 22% Two or more races 11% Black 2% Asian 2% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 19%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Italian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 10% Arabic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · San Diego
- 2024 margin
- D (+16.8) · D 56.9% · R 40.1% · Other 2.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.6pp toward D · 2008: 10.2pp · 2024: 16.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+16.8 2020: D+22.8 2016: D+17.8 2012: D+5.1 2008: D+10.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -622.09%
- Current HPI
- 344.8263
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.56%
- Metro
- San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
+4.0% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-17 Listed $187,000 SDMLS
- 2022-12-05 Sold (MLS) $169,750 SDMLS
- 2022-11-24 Pending — SDMLS
- 2022-11-16 Price Changed $169,750 SDMLS
- 2022-09-28 Listed $179,750 SDMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…