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35273 Hesters Store Rd 🏷️ Likely Rental
D+ Composite 49.02
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.3/10.0
  • DSCR +4.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.2/10.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0

$105,000

35273 Hesters Store Rd · Red Level, AL 36474
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,309 sqft · SingleFamily · 148 Days on market
Built 1958 Fair condition 0.90 ac lot $80/sqft · 56% below area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Solid brick 3 bedroom, 1 bath home offering great potential for an investor seeking a rental opportunity. Tenant occupied, this property sits on . 9 acres, providing plenty of space for outdoor enjoyment, expansion, or future improvements. Features include both a private well and county water access, adding flexibility and convenience. Durable brick construction and a generous lot size make this a practical and affordable option with room to add value. New carpet just added to 2 of the bedrooms. Schedule your showing today and explore the possibilities this property has to offer.

Key facts

  • County water access
  • Private well
  • Generous lot size

Tags

PRIVATE WELLCOUNTY WATER ACCESSGENEROUS LOT SIZE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $105,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$240,162) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $105k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $38 ($450/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $97k (8.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $92k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#214 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D+, schools D-.
  • Covington County (rural): math 27% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #32 of 129 in AL (top 25%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 25 active listings in the ZIP; 13 units permitted in Covington County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($726 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (2.7% local appreciation)).
  • Covington County population projected to shrink 10% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (2.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 148 days — a 12% lower offer ($92k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 98% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $92,400 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 148 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.92%
Cap rate
6.72%
Cash-on-cash
1.53%
DSCR
1.07
GRM
9.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$240,162
List price
$105,000
Delta
-56.28%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

2.66% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
8.0%
Equity multiple
1.45×
Total profit
$13,154
Equity at exit
$45,193
10-year hold
IRR
10.8%
Equity multiple
2.56×
Total profit
$45,909
Equity at exit
$68,118

Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 36474

Home prices YoY
1.9%
Active inventory
25
Price-to-rent
9.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$966 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$551
Tax est. 1.5%
$131 /mo · $1,575/yr
Insurance
$44
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$203
Net cashflow
$38

Break-even live

Break-even rent $919
Max offer price $105,000
Occupancy floor 91%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$26,250
Closing costs
$3,150
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $105,000 Active 148 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $105,000 Active 147 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $105,000 Active 146 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $105,000 Active 145 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $105,000 Active 144 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $105,000 Active 142 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $105,000 Active 141 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $105,000 Active 138 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $105,000 Active 137 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $105,000 Active 136 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $105,000 Active 135 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $105,000 Active 132 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $105,000 Active 131 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $105,000 Active 130 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $105,000 Active 129 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $105,000 Active 128 DOM
  17. 2026-01-22
    listed $105,000 Active 586-char remark
    Show marketing remark (582 chars)

    Solid brick 3 bedroom, 1 bath home offering great potential for an investor seeking a rental opportunity. Tenant occupied, this property sits on . 9 acres, providing plenty of space for outdoor enjoyment, expansion, or future improvements. Features include both a private well and county water access, adding flexibility and convenience. Durable brick construction and a generous lot size make this a practical and affordable option with room to add value. Carpet just added to 2 of the bedrooms. Schedule your showing today and explore the possibilities this property has to offer.

  18. 2026-01-22
    listed $105,000 Active 582-char remark
    Show marketing remark (582 chars)

    Solid brick 3 bedroom, 1 bath home offering great potential for an investor seeking a rental opportunity. Tenant occupied, this property sits on . 9 acres, providing plenty of space for outdoor enjoyment, expansion, or future improvements. Features include both a private well and county water access, adding flexibility and convenience. Durable brick construction and a generous lot size make this a practical and affordable option with room to add value. Carpet just added to 2 of the bedrooms. Schedule your showing today and explore the possibilities this property has to offer.

  19. 2026-01-22
    listed $105,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (582 chars)

    Solid brick 3 bedroom, 1 bath home offering great potential for an investor seeking a rental opportunity. Tenant occupied, this property sits on . 9 acres, providing plenty of space for outdoor enjoyment, expansion, or future improvements. Features include both a private well and county water access, adding flexibility and convenience. Durable brick construction and a generous lot size make this a practical and affordable option with room to add value. Carpet just added to 2 of the bedrooms. Schedule your showing today and explore the possibilities this property has to offer.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 98% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,592
− Mortgage interest
−$5,882
− Property taxes
−$1,575
− Insurance
−$525
− Repairs & maintenance
−$927
− Management
−$927
− Depreciation
−$3,055
Taxable loss
−$1,299
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$312
After-tax cash flow
$762/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

This single-family home requires moderate renovations to update the kitchen and bathroom, and improve the exterior and landscaping. With these updates, it has the potential to become a move-in-ready rental or a solid investment property.

Repairs flagged

  • Moderate kitchen cabinets — dated and in need of replacement
  • Moderate bathroom fixtures — outdated and in need of replacement
  • Minor exterior paint — some wear

Value-add opportunities

  • Both update kitchen cabinets and fixtures — modernizing the kitchen would appeal to both buyers and renters
  • Both paint interior walls — fresh paint would improve the home's curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both landscape the yard — improved landscaping would enhance the home's curb appeal and attract more potential buyers

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
kitchen cabinets · dated and in need of replacement Moderate $3,000–15,000
bathroom fixtures · outdated and in need of replacement Moderate $3,000–15,000
exterior paint · some wear Minor $500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 3 items $6,500–33,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both update kitchen cabinets and fixtures — modernizing the kitchen would appeal to both buyers and renters
  • Both paint interior walls — fresh paint would improve the home's curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both landscape the yard — improved landscaping would enhance the home's curb appeal and attract more potential buyers

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Covington County
NCES district ID
0100930
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -21.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$39,213
Composite
32.13/100
National rank
#5797
State rank
#32 of 129 in AL

Livability — Red Level

Score
62/100
State rank
#214
US rank
#16271

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
2,523

Population outlook (Covington County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
37,007 people
By 2030
36,401 · -1.6%
By 2040
34,983 · -5.5%
By 2050
33,437 · -9.6%
By 2075
29,753 · -19.6%
By 2100
25,109 · -32.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Black 13% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Serbian 2% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Covington

2024 margin
Solid R (+72.4) · D 13.6% · R 86.0%
2008→2024 swing
-14.1pp toward R · 2008: -58.3pp · 2024: -72.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+72.4 2020: R+68.1 2016: R+68.5 2012: R+58.3 2008: R+58.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.66%
Current HPI
145.0099
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-22 Listed $105,000 CAOR
  • 2026-01-22 Listed $105,000 SAMLS
  • 2026-01-22 Listed $105,000 WBR

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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