🏷️ Likely Rental
35273 Hesters Store Rd · Red Level, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 98.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.3/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +6.3/10.0
- DSCR +4.7/10.0
- 1% rule +4.2/10.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
$105,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Solid brick 3 bedroom, 1 bath home offering great potential for an investor seeking a rental opportunity. Tenant occupied, this property sits on . 9 acres, providing plenty of space for outdoor enjoyment, expansion, or future improvements. Features include both a private well and county water access, adding flexibility and convenience. Durable brick construction and a generous lot size make this a practical and affordable option with room to add value. New carpet just added to 2 of the bedrooms. Schedule your showing today and explore the possibilities this property has to offer.
Key facts
- County water access
- Private well
- Generous lot size
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $105k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $38 ($450/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $97k (8.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $92k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#214 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D+, schools D-.
- Covington County (rural): math 27% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #32 of 129 in AL (top 25%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 25 active listings in the ZIP; 13 units permitted in Covington County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($726 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (2.7% local appreciation)).
- Covington County population projected to shrink 10% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (2.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 148 days — a 12% lower offer ($92k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 98% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 148 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.92% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.72%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.53%
- DSCR
- 1.07
- GRM
- 9.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $240,162
- List price
- $105,000
- Delta
- -56.28%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
2.66% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 8.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.45×
- Total profit
- $13,154
- Equity at exit
- $45,193
- IRR
- 10.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.56×
- Total profit
- $45,909
- Equity at exit
- $68,118
Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36474
- Home prices YoY
- 1.9%
- Active inventory
- 25
- Price-to-rent
- 9.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $966 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$551
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$131 /mo · $1,575/yr
- Insurance
- −$44
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$203
- Net cashflow
- $38
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $26,250
- Closing costs
- $3,150
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $105,000 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $105,000 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $105,000 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $105,000 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $105,000 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $105,000 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $105,000 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $105,000 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $105,000 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $105,000 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $105,000 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $105,000 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $105,000 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $105,000 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $105,000 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $105,000 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-01-22$105,000 Active 586-char remark
Show marketing remark (582 chars)
Solid brick 3 bedroom, 1 bath home offering great potential for an investor seeking a rental opportunity. Tenant occupied, this property sits on . 9 acres, providing plenty of space for outdoor enjoyment, expansion, or future improvements. Features include both a private well and county water access, adding flexibility and convenience. Durable brick construction and a generous lot size make this a practical and affordable option with room to add value. Carpet just added to 2 of the bedrooms. Schedule your showing today and explore the possibilities this property has to offer.
-
2026-01-22$105,000 Active 582-char remark
Show marketing remark (582 chars)
Solid brick 3 bedroom, 1 bath home offering great potential for an investor seeking a rental opportunity. Tenant occupied, this property sits on . 9 acres, providing plenty of space for outdoor enjoyment, expansion, or future improvements. Features include both a private well and county water access, adding flexibility and convenience. Durable brick construction and a generous lot size make this a practical and affordable option with room to add value. Carpet just added to 2 of the bedrooms. Schedule your showing today and explore the possibilities this property has to offer.
-
2026-01-22$105,000 Active
Show marketing remark (582 chars)
Solid brick 3 bedroom, 1 bath home offering great potential for an investor seeking a rental opportunity. Tenant occupied, this property sits on . 9 acres, providing plenty of space for outdoor enjoyment, expansion, or future improvements. Features include both a private well and county water access, adding flexibility and convenience. Durable brick construction and a generous lot size make this a practical and affordable option with room to add value. Carpet just added to 2 of the bedrooms. Schedule your showing today and explore the possibilities this property has to offer.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 98% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,592
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,882
- − Property taxes
- −$1,575
- − Insurance
- −$525
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$927
- − Management
- −$927
- − Depreciation
- −$3,055
- Taxable loss
- −$1,299
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$312
- After-tax cash flow
- $762/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This single-family home requires moderate renovations to update the kitchen and bathroom, and improve the exterior and landscaping. With these updates, it has the potential to become a move-in-ready rental or a solid investment property.
Repairs flagged
- Moderate kitchen cabinets — dated and in need of replacement
- Moderate bathroom fixtures — outdated and in need of replacement
- Minor exterior paint — some wear
Value-add opportunities
- Both update kitchen cabinets and fixtures — modernizing the kitchen would appeal to both buyers and renters
- Both paint interior walls — fresh paint would improve the home's curb appeal and interior aesthetics
- Both landscape the yard — improved landscaping would enhance the home's curb appeal and attract more potential buyers
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| kitchen cabinets · dated and in need of replacement | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| bathroom fixtures · outdated and in need of replacement | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| exterior paint · some wear | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 3 items | $6,500–33,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both update kitchen cabinets and fixtures — modernizing the kitchen would appeal to both buyers and renters ↑
- Both paint interior walls — fresh paint would improve the home's curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both landscape the yard — improved landscaping would enhance the home's curb appeal and attract more potential buyers ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Covington County
- NCES district ID
- 0100930
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -21.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,213
- Composite
- 32.13/100
- National rank
- #5797
- State rank
- #32 of 129 in AL
Livability — Red Level
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #214
- US rank
- #16271
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,523
Population outlook (Covington County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 37,007 people
- By 2030
- 36,401 · -1.6%
- By 2040
- 34,983 · -5.5%
- By 2050
- 33,437 · -9.6%
- By 2075
- 29,753 · -19.6%
- By 2100
- 25,109 · -32.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Black 13% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Covington
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+72.4) · D 13.6% · R 86.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.1pp toward R · 2008: -58.3pp · 2024: -72.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+72.4 2020: R+68.1 2016: R+68.5 2012: R+58.3 2008: R+58.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- Current HPI
- 145.0099
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+0.0% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-22 Listed $105,000 CAOR
- 2026-01-22 Listed $105,000 SAMLS
- 2026-01-22 Listed $105,000 WBR
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…