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667 Fulton St
B+ Composite 79.38
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.7/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +9.4/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$144,000

667 Fulton St · Buffalo, NY 14210
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,634 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 8 Days on market
Built 1880 3,250 sqft lot Est $150k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Large 5 bedroom home, close to Larkenville. Driveway to share with 665 Fulton. Exterior measured for accurate square footage. Great value for a large home .

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • Natural light
  • Bonus room

Tags

UPDATED METAL ROOFCOVERED FRONT PORCHFENCED IN YARDNATURAL LIGHTBONUS ROOMWATERPROOF VINYL FLOORING

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage; Shared driveway
  • Utilities: Cable available; Electricity connected (circuit breakers); Public water connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Two-story house; Existing (previously built) property
  • Construction: Wood siding; Metal roof; Block foundation
  • Exterior features: Blacktop driveway; Concrete driveway; Fully fenced yard; Covered porch

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric oven; Electric range; Eat-in kitchen layout
  • Bedrooms: Two main-level bedrooms; Additional bedrooms located on the second level (bedroom 3 and bedroom 4); Main-level bedrooms include Bedroom 1 and Bedroom 2
  • Flooring: Carpet; Linoleum; Vinyl; Varies
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Gas heating; Hot water heating
  • Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Separate/formal dining room; Entrance foyer; Eat-in kitchen; Separate/formal living room; Bedroom on main level; Full basement
  • Laundry & utility: Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $144k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $424 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $144k).
  • Cap rate 10.3% vs local median 8.0% in Buffalo — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+12.7%/yr); 94 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 12d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($54k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $15k of equity ($996 loan paydown + $14k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $40k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$39k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $80k; list at $144k implies a 80% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1880 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $144,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1880 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.16%
Cap rate
10.29%
Cash-on-cash
14.28%
DSCR
1.64
GRM
7.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$150,328
Comps found
5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
823 Perry St 0.08mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,520 (-7%) 9mo $140,000 $92 72
54 Clifford St 0.24mi 2/1.0 1,604 (-2%) 22mo $200,000 $125 68
530 Fulton St 0.26mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,484 (-9%) 18mo $115,000 $77 51
165 Smith St 0.21mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,391 (-15%) 13mo $90,000 $65 50
595 S Division St 0.72mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,508 (-8%) 22mo $235,000 $156 26

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
35.8%
Equity multiple
3.83×
Total profit
$114,252
Equity at exit
$129,727
10-year hold
IRR
32.5%
Equity multiple
9.36×
Total profit
$337,009
Equity at exit
$279,760

Cash invested: $40,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14210

Home prices YoY
13.8%
Rents YoY
12.7%
Active inventory
94
Price-to-rent
7.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,671 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$755
Tax from tax record
$25 /mo · $304/yr
Insurance
$60
Flood insurance flood zone
−$56 /mo · $666/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$351
Net cashflow
$424

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,134
Max offer price $144,000
Occupancy floor 70%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $506 -5% $465 +0% $424 +5% $384 +10% $170
Rent -10% $292 -5% $358 +0% $424 +5% $490 +10% $556
Rate -1.0pp $497 -0.5pp $461 base $424 +0.5pp $387 +1.0pp $349

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$36,000
Closing costs
$4,320
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
140 Seymour St Buffalo, NY 1.0 1.0 1300 $1,500 $1.15 4d 1 0.55mi
140 Seymour St Unit First Floor Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 1300 $1,800 $1.38 4d 1 0.55mi
140 Seymour St Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 1300 $1,800 $1.38 24d 1 0.55mi
225 Louisiana St Buffalo, NY 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1164 $2,194 $1.88 2d 7 0.94mi
700 Hopkins St Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,225 $1.11 15d 1 1.12mi
230 Scott St Buffalo, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1285 $2,325 $1.81 2d 4 1.13mi
149 Swan St #404 Buffalo, NY 2.0 2.0 1237 $2,050 $1.66 12d 1 1.42mi
149 Swan St #404 Buffalo, NY 2.0 2.0 1237 $2,100 $1.70 24d 1 1.42mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $144,000 Active 8 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $144,000 Active 7 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $144,000 Active 6 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $144,000 Active 5 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $144,000 Active 3 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    remarks 699-char remark
  7. 2026-06-13
    listed $144,000 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$304 · $25/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,369 · $114/mo
Expected delta
+$1,065/yr (+$89/mo · 350.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 75% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,056
− Mortgage interest
−$8,066
− Property taxes
−$304
− Insurance
−$1,386
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,605
− Management
−$1,605
− Depreciation
−$4,189
Taxable income
$2,902
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$696
After-tax cash flow
$4,396/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Buffalo City School District
NCES district ID
3605850
Math proficiency
41% ▲ 11.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▲ 7.00%
Median HH income
$31,665
Composite
33.17/100
National rank
#5544
State rank
#535 of 590 in NY

Livability — Buffalo

Score
77/100
State rank
#195
US rank
#3011

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Buffalo, NY
County
Erie County · 714,559 people
City population
440,021
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
Population (ZIP)
15,563
Household income
$54,197
Rent vs Own
53.9% rent · 46.1% own
Severe rent burden
959.0

Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
933,037 people
By 2030
935,181 · +0.2%
By 2040
928,531 · -0.5%
By 2050
905,725 · -2.9%
By 2075
834,037 · -10.6%
By 2100
708,033 · -24.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Two or more races 8% Black 8% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 6%
Common ancestry
Romanian 21% Lithuanian 2% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, China
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 2% Arabic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Erie

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
2008→2024 swing
-7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 52.34%
Current HPI
431.7951
Rent YoY
▲ 12.67%
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+80.2% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-10 Listed $144,000 WNYREIS
  • 2022-10-23 Listing Removed WNYREIS
  • 2022-10-04 Listed $134,900 WNYREIS
  • 2022-01-13 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records
  • 2022-01-11 Sold (MLS) $80,000 WNYREIS
  • 2021-11-29 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2021-11-17 Price Changed $88,500 WNYREIS
  • 2021-10-27 Price Changed $92,899 WNYREIS
  • 2021-10-17 Listed $92,900 WNYREIS
  • 2020-12-11 Sold (Public Records) $62,000 Public Records
  • 2020-12-04 Sold (MLS) $62,000 WNYREIS
  • 2020-09-24 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2020-09-04 Listed $79,900 WNYREIS

Property tax history

+15.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $304 · +29.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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