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202 N 1st St
B- Composite 67.75
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$44,000

202 N 1st St · Point, TX 75472
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 660 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 46 Days on market
Built 1986 5,680 sqft lot $67/sqft · 63% below area ↓ 25% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

NEW PRICE!! Investor special with tons of potential! Seller is Motivated & Willing to look at offers! This 2-bedroom, 1-bath pier-and-beam home sits on a desirable corner lot within city limits and is full of charm—just bring your tools and imagination. With the right vision, this property could truly shine. Conveniently located between Lake Fork and Lake Tawakoni, making it ideal for fishing enthusiasts or weekend getaways. Great opportunity for investors or buyers looking to add value! HOME IS BEING SOLD AS IS WHERE IS THE SELLER WILL NOT MAKE ANY REPAIRS. All Utilities are currently turned off.

Key facts

  • 5,680 sq ft lot
  • Built 1986
  • Listed 45 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Subdivision: A0206 Raymond Sunigas Survey; Parcel/APN: R4234
  • Financial info: Listing for cash offers only; No second mortgage reported
  • HOA & community: No association

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway
  • Security: Security features: Unknown
  • Utilities: City water; City sewer; Electricity available; All-weather road access; No municipal utility district
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Residential property; Not attached to another property
  • Construction: Built in 1986; Siding exterior; Composition roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation
  • Exterior features: Rear porch; Chain link fence in back yard; Corner lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen; No appliances included
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (both on the main level)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile; Other flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Other heating; Ceiling fan(s); Window unit(s); Electric cooling
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; One living area; One dining area; Total of 3 rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup in hall

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $44k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $617 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $44k).
  • Recommended offer: $43k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#1,092 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Rains ISD (rural): math 22% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #697 of 826 in TX (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Rains El (437 students, 68% FRL) — zoned schools average 68% FRL vs 48% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 137 active listings in the ZIP; 21 units permitted in Rains County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $304 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $12k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 46 days — a 3% lower offer ($43k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.2% of price.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $42,680 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 46 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.83%
Cap rate
23.12%
Cash-on-cash
60.09%
DSCR
3.67
GRM
2.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$119,428
List price
$44,000
Delta
-63.16%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
2 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
58.9%
Equity multiple
3.62×
Total profit
$32,221
Equity at exit
$6,561
10-year hold
IRR
63.7%
Equity multiple
7.40×
Total profit
$78,889
Equity at exit
$3,804

Cash invested: $12,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75472

Home prices YoY
-6.4%
Active inventory
137
Price-to-rent
2.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,246 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$231
Tax from tax record
$119 /mo · $1,424/yr
Insurance
$18
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$262
Net cashflow
$617

Break-even live

Break-even rent $465
Max offer price $44,000
Occupancy floor 46%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$11,000
Closing costs
$1,320
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $44,000 Active 46 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $44,000 Active 45 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $44,000 Active 44 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $44,000 Active 43 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $44,000 Active 42 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $44,000 Active 40 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $44,000 Active 39 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $44,000 Active 36 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $44,000 Active 35 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $44,000 Active 34 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $44,000 Active 33 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $44,000 Active 30 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    remarks 606-char remark
  14. 2026-06-03
    price $44,000 Active 29 DOM
  15. 2026-06-02
    days on market $59,000 Active 29 DOM
  16. 2026-06-01
    days on market $59,000 Active 28 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $59,000 Active 27 DOM
  18. 2026-05-30
    days on market $59,000 Active 26 DOM
  19. 2026-04-07
    listed $59,000 Active 602-char remark
  20. 1998-03-31
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,424 · $119/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,424 · $119/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,957
− Mortgage interest
−$2,465
− Property taxes
−$1,424
− Insurance
−$220
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,197
− Management
−$1,197
− Depreciation
−$1,280
Taxable income
$7,175
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,722
After-tax cash flow
$5,681/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Rains ISD
NCES district ID
4836360
Math proficiency
22% ▼ -20.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$45,836
Composite
22.46/100
National rank
#8106
State rank
#697 of 826 in TX

Livability — Point

Score
60/100
State rank
#1092
US rank
#19350

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Point, TX
Population (ZIP)
4,290

Population outlook (Rains County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
11,516 people
By 2030
11,610 · +0.8%
By 2040
11,622 · +0.9%
By 2050
11,329 · -1.6%
By 2075
10,390 · -9.8%
By 2100
8,809 · -23.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (80%)
Race & ethnicity
White 80% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 11% Black 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 12%
Common ancestry
Iranian 3% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Rains

2024 margin
Solid R (+72.9) · D 13.3% · R 86.2%
2008→2024 swing
-23.4pp toward R · 2008: -49.5pp · 2024: -72.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+72.9 2020: R+71.2 2016: R+71.3 2012: R+61.8 2008: R+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -10.57%
Current HPI
153.54
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-25.4% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-02 Price Changed $44,000 NTREIS
  • 2026-04-07 Listed $59,000 NTREIS
  • 1998-03-31 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+6.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,424 · +7.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…