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5020 Hall Ave
D- Composite 39.57
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.5/10.0
  • DSCR +3.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$179,000

5020 Hall Ave · Amarillo, TX 79109
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,095 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 32 Days on market
Built 1964 7,841 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Adorable home in Wester Plateau that has new paint throughout, two living areas, sits on a large lot and includes all appliances staying! Great neighborhood and schools and is perfect for someone looking for well taken care of and cozy!

Key facts

  • 7,841 sq ft lot
  • Built 1964
  • Listed 32 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One level; Faces south
  • Construction: Brick veneer exterior; Composition roof; Slab foundation; Built (year not provided)
  • Exterior features: Wood fencing; Corner lot; Workshop

Interior

  • Kitchen: Oven; Cooktop; Dishwasher; Microwave
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Interior features: Central heating; Central air; Oven; Cooktop; Dishwasher; Microwave

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $179k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-46 ($-554/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $171k (4.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $152k (15.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $152k (15.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#624 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, commute F.
  • Amarillo ISD (urban): math 44% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #336 of 826 in TX (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Western Plateau El (math 47% / reading 52%, grade D, #865 of 4,322 statewide, top 21%, 431 students, 59% FRL); Austin Middle (math 47% / reading 43%, grade D, #479 of 1,662 statewide, top 29%, 677 students, 63% FRL); Amarillo H S (math 55% / reading 64%, grade C+, #275 of 1,632 statewide, top 19%, 2,170 students, 34% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.2%/yr); 157 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45 units permitted in Randall County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Randall County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 32 days — a 3% lower offer ($174k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $151,505 (15.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 32 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.85%
Cap rate
5.98%
Cash-on-cash
-1.10%
DSCR
0.95
GRM
9.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.24% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.6%
Equity multiple
0.43×
Total profit
$-28,427
Equity at exit
$26,689
10-year hold
IRR
-3.7%
Equity multiple
0.73×
Total profit
$-13,434
Equity at exit
$15,477

Cash invested: $50,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 79109

Rents YoY
5.2%
Active inventory
157
Price-to-rent
9.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,515 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$939
Tax from tax record
$230 /mo · $2,757/yr
Insurance
$75
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$318
Net cashflow
$-46

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,573
Max offer price $170,848
Occupancy floor 98%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $55 -5% $5 +0% $-46 +5% $-97 +10% $-147
Rent -10% $-166 -5% $-106 +0% $-46 +5% $14 +10% $74
Rate -1.0pp $44 -0.5pp $-1 base $-46 +0.5pp $-93 +1.0pp $-140

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$44,750
Closing costs
$5,370
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 9 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5601 Bell St Amarillo, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 947 $1,340 $1.41 15d 3 0.44mi
6201 SW 54th Ave Amarillo, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0 650 $850 $1.31 45d 3 0.64mi
5822 Syracuse Dr Amarillo, TX 3.0 2.0 1459 $1,800 $1.23 15d 1 0.65mi
6400 Bell St Amarillo, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 778 $1,165 $1.50 15d 8 0.83mi
4612 Buffalo Trl Amarillo, TX 3.0 2.0 1476 $1,800 $1.22 45d 1 0.88mi
5146 Susan Dr Amarillo, TX 3.0 2.0 1244 $1,675 $1.35 23d 1 1.10mi
4101 SW 45th Ave Amarillo, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0 767 $955 $1.24 15d 3 1.21mi
6300 Oakcrest Ln Amarillo, TX 3.0 2.0 1400 $1,825 $1.30 15d 2 1.23mi
4109 Tucson Dr Amarillo, TX 3.0 2.0 1395 $1,950 $1.40 23d 1 1.41mi

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-05-12
    status Pending
  2. 2026-05-01
    historical Active Under Contract
  3. 2026-04-24
    price $179,000
  4. 2026-04-10
    listed $182,000 Active
  5. 2016-10-05
    soldstatus
  6. 2016-10-04
    soldstatus 236-char remark
    Show marketing remark (236 chars)

    Adorable home in Wester Plateau that has new paint throughout, two living areas, sits on a large lot and includes all appliances staying! Great neighborhood and schools and is perfect for someone looking for well taken care of and cozy!

  7. 2016-08-29
    listed $121,500 236-char remark
    Show marketing remark (236 chars)

    Adorable home in Wester Plateau that has new paint throughout, two living areas, sits on a large lot and includes all appliances staying! Great neighborhood and schools and is perfect for someone looking for well taken care of and cozy!

  8. 2008-08-26
    soldstatus
  9. 2006-08-02
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,757 · $230/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,276 · $273/mo
Expected delta
+$519/yr (+$43/mo · 18.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,181
− Mortgage interest
−$10,027
− Property taxes
−$2,757
− Insurance
−$895
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,454
− Management
−$1,454
− Depreciation
−$5,207
Taxable loss
−$3,614
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$867
After-tax cash flow
$314/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Amarillo ISD
NCES district ID
4808130
Math proficiency
44% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$43,478
Composite
35.96/100
National rank
#4798
State rank
#336 of 826 in TX

Livability — Amarillo

Score
66/100
State rank
#624
US rank
#11876

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Amarillo, TX
County
Randall County · 137,351 people
City population
185,802
Metro
Amarillo, TX
Population (ZIP)
43,578
Household income
$70,435
Rent vs Own
42.2% rent · 57.8% own
Severe rent burden
1640.0

Population outlook (Randall County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
152,140 people
By 2030
163,107 · +7.2%
By 2040
184,999 · +21.6%
By 2050
206,948 · +36.0%
By 2075
260,204 · +71.0%
By 2100
294,980 · +93.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (70%)
Race & ethnicity
White 70% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 12% Black 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 16%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Randall

2024 margin
Solid R (+60.4) · D 19.4% · R 79.8%
2008→2024 swing
+2.3pp toward D · 2008: -62.7pp · 2024: -60.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+60.4 2020: R+58.8 2016: R+65.1 2012: R+68.2 2008: R+62.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -227.95%
Current HPI
171.6795
Rent YoY
▲ 5.24%
Metro
Amarillo, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+47.3% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Pending AARMLS
  • 2026-05-01 Contingent AARMLS
  • 2026-04-24 Price Changed $179,000 AARMLS
  • 2026-04-10 Listed $182,000 AARMLS
  • 2016-10-05 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2016-10-04 Sold (MLS) AARMLS
  • 2016-08-29 Listed $121,500 AARMLS
  • 2008-08-26 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2006-08-02 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+4.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,757 · -13.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…