5020 Hall Ave · Amarillo, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +11.9/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- 1% rule +3.5/10.0
- DSCR +3.5/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$179,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Adorable home in Wester Plateau that has new paint throughout, two living areas, sits on a large lot and includes all appliances staying! Great neighborhood and schools and is perfect for someone looking for well taken care of and cozy!
Key facts
- 7,841 sq ft lot
- Built 1964
- Listed 32 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One level; Faces south
- Construction: Brick veneer exterior; Composition roof; Slab foundation; Built (year not provided)
- Exterior features: Wood fencing; Corner lot; Workshop
Interior
- Kitchen: Oven; Cooktop; Dishwasher; Microwave
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Interior features: Central heating; Central air; Oven; Cooktop; Dishwasher; Microwave
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $179k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-46 ($-554/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $171k (4.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $152k (15.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $152k (15.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#624 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, commute F.
- Amarillo ISD (urban): math 44% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #336 of 826 in TX (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Western Plateau El (math 47% / reading 52%, grade D, #865 of 4,322 statewide, top 21%, 431 students, 59% FRL); Austin Middle (math 47% / reading 43%, grade D, #479 of 1,662 statewide, top 29%, 677 students, 63% FRL); Amarillo H S (math 55% / reading 64%, grade C+, #275 of 1,632 statewide, top 19%, 2,170 students, 34% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.2%/yr); 157 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45 units permitted in Randall County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Randall County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 32 days — a 3% lower offer ($174k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 32 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.85% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.98%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.10%
- DSCR
- 0.95
- GRM
- 9.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.24% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.43×
- Total profit
- $-28,427
- Equity at exit
- $26,689
- IRR
- -3.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.73×
- Total profit
- $-13,434
- Equity at exit
- $15,477
Cash invested: $50,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 79109
- Rents YoY
- 5.2%
- Active inventory
- 157
- Price-to-rent
- 9.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,515 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$939
- Tax from tax record
- −$230 /mo · $2,757/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$318
- Net cashflow
- $-46
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $55 | -5% $5 | +0% $-46 | +5% $-97 | +10% $-147 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-166 | -5% $-106 | +0% $-46 | +5% $14 | +10% $74 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $44 | -0.5pp $-1 | base $-46 | +0.5pp $-93 | +1.0pp $-140 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $44,750
- Closing costs
- $5,370
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5601 Bell St Amarillo, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 947 | $1,340 | $1.41 | 15d | 3 | 0.44mi |
| 6201 SW 54th Ave Amarillo, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $850 | $1.31 | 45d | 3 | 0.64mi |
| 5822 Syracuse Dr Amarillo, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1459 | $1,800 | $1.23 | 15d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 6400 Bell St Amarillo, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 778 | $1,165 | $1.50 | 15d | 8 | 0.83mi |
| 4612 Buffalo Trl Amarillo, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1476 | $1,800 | $1.22 | 45d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 5146 Susan Dr Amarillo, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1244 | $1,675 | $1.35 | 23d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 4101 SW 45th Ave Amarillo, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 767 | $955 | $1.24 | 15d | 3 | 1.21mi |
| 6300 Oakcrest Ln Amarillo, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,825 | $1.30 | 15d | 2 | 1.23mi |
| 4109 Tucson Dr Amarillo, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1395 | $1,950 | $1.40 | 23d | 1 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-05-12status Pending
-
2026-05-01historical Active Under Contract
-
2026-04-24price $179,000
-
2026-04-10$182,000 Active
-
2016-10-05soldstatus
-
2016-10-04soldstatus 236-char remark
Show marketing remark (236 chars)
Adorable home in Wester Plateau that has new paint throughout, two living areas, sits on a large lot and includes all appliances staying! Great neighborhood and schools and is perfect for someone looking for well taken care of and cozy!
-
2016-08-29$121,500 236-char remark
Show marketing remark (236 chars)
Adorable home in Wester Plateau that has new paint throughout, two living areas, sits on a large lot and includes all appliances staying! Great neighborhood and schools and is perfect for someone looking for well taken care of and cozy!
-
2008-08-26soldstatus
-
2006-08-02soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,757 · $230/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,276 · $273/mo
- Expected delta
- +$519/yr (+$43/mo · 18.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,181
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,027
- − Property taxes
- −$2,757
- − Insurance
- −$895
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,454
- − Management
- −$1,454
- − Depreciation
- −$5,207
- Taxable loss
- −$3,614
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$867
- After-tax cash flow
- $314/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Amarillo ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4808130
- Math proficiency
- 44% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,478
- Composite
- 35.96/100
- National rank
- #4798
- State rank
- #336 of 826 in TX
Livability — Amarillo
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #624
- US rank
- #11876
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Amarillo, TX
- County
- Randall County · 137,351 people
- City population
- 185,802
- Metro
- Amarillo, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 43,578
- Household income
- $70,435
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1640.0
Population outlook (Randall County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 152,140 people
- By 2030
- 163,107 · +7.2%
- By 2040
- 184,999 · +21.6%
- By 2050
- 206,948 · +36.0%
- By 2075
- 260,204 · +71.0%
- By 2100
- 294,980 · +93.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 70% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 12% Black 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 16%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Randall
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+60.4) · D 19.4% · R 79.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.3pp toward D · 2008: -62.7pp · 2024: -60.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+60.4 2020: R+58.8 2016: R+65.1 2012: R+68.2 2008: R+62.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -227.95%
- Current HPI
- 171.6795
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.24%
- Metro
- Amarillo, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+47.3% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Pending — AARMLS
- 2026-05-01 Contingent — AARMLS
- 2026-04-24 Price Changed $179,000 AARMLS
- 2026-04-10 Listed $182,000 AARMLS
- 2016-10-05 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2016-10-04 Sold (MLS) — AARMLS
- 2016-08-29 Listed $121,500 AARMLS
- 2008-08-26 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2006-08-02 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+4.1%/yrLatest (2025): $2,757 · -13.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…