102 Bridlewood Ct S · Millersville, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 13.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.1/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$75,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Enjoy one floor living in the desirable Pheasant Ridge Community. Close to shopping, dining and entertainment! The bright open floor plan has a cozy living room, spacious eat in kitchen with ample storage and counter space and 3 bedrooms. The master BR has large walk-in closet and attached full bath. Two additional bedrooms, a second full bath and spacious laundry room round out this home. Park approval is required once acceptable contract has been signed.
Key facts
- Community pool
- Built 1996
- Listed 19 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Not in a federal flood zone; Accessible features listed as 'Other'; Pets allowed (dogs OK)
- Financial info: Ground rent payable monthly
- HOA & community: Association amenities include outdoor pool and cable; HOA fees cover common area maintenance, lawn maintenance, pools, snow removal, trash, and recreation facilities
Exterior
- Parking: Paved off-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; 200+ amp electric service; Natural gas available; Electric available; Cable TV available; Phone available; Natural gas hot water
- Home design: Manufactured home; Single-level entry (entry-level bedroom)
- Construction: Frame construction with vinyl siding; Composite roof
- Exterior features: Exterior lighting; Street lights; Deck(s); Shed; Community pool
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas oven/range; Range hood
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level (including master bedroom)
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (both on the main level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Combination kitchen/dining area; Eat-in kitchen; Traditional floor plan; Master bathroom; Entry-level bedroom
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $75k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $976 ($12k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $75k).
- Recommended offer: $74k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 21.9% vs local median 2.8% in Millersville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#101 in PA, #728 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities D-, commute F.
- Penn Manor SD (suburban): math 52% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #80 of 539 in PA (top 15%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 296 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,093 units permitted in Lancaster County in 2024 (201 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lancaster County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.5% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($74k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 22y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.46% ✓
- Cap rate
- 21.90%
- Cash-on-cash
- 55.76%
- DSCR
- 3.48
- GRM
- 3.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.47% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 51.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.16×
- Total profit
- $45,419
- Equity at exit
- $11,183
- IRR
- 55.6%
- Equity multiple
- 5.84×
- Total profit
- $101,737
- Equity at exit
- $6,485
Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17603
- Rents YoY
- 0.5%
- Active inventory
- 296
- Price-to-rent
- 3.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,843 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$393
- Tax from tax record
- −$56 /mo · $671/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$387
- Net cashflow
- $976
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,018 | -5% $997 | +0% $976 | +5% $954 | +10% $933 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $830 | -5% $903 | +0% $976 | +5% $1,049 | +10% $1,121 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,013 | -0.5pp $995 | base $976 | +0.5pp $956 | +1.0pp $937 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,750
- Closing costs
- $2,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 250 Stone Mill Rd Lancaster, PA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 1002 | $1,575 | $1.57 | 14d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 1729 Manor Ridge Dr Unit 1731 Lancaster, PA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 990 | $1,400 | $1.41 | 14d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 700 Millersville Rd Lancaster, PA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 710 | $1,694 | $2.39 | 14d | 3 | 0.83mi |
| 100 Country View Ln Millersville, PA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 970 | $1,838 | $1.89 | 14d | 6 | 0.85mi |
| 1415 Spencer Ave Lancaster, PA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1181 | $3,720 | $3.15 | 14d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 1633A Judie Ln Lancaster, PA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 848 | $1,698 | $2.00 | 14d | 13 | 1.33mi |
| 1831 Hidden Ln Lancaster, PA | 2.0–3.0 | 1.5–2.5 | 1182 | $2,114 | $1.79 | 14d | 3 | 1.38mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-05-07$80,000 Active 862-char remark
-
2026-05-04historical $80,000 862-char remark
-
2023-04-28soldstatus $73,000 Closed 460-char remark
Show marketing remark (460 chars)
Enjoy one floor living in the desirable Pheasant Ridge Community. Close to shopping, dining and entertainment! The bright open floor plan has a cozy living room, spacious eat in kitchen with ample storage and counter space and 3 bedrooms. The master BR has large walk-in closet and attached full bath. Two additional bedrooms, a second full bath and spacious laundry room round out this home. Park approval is required once acceptable contract has been signed.
-
2023-04-13status Pending 460-char remark
Show marketing remark (460 chars)
Enjoy one floor living in the desirable Pheasant Ridge Community. Close to shopping, dining and entertainment! The bright open floor plan has a cozy living room, spacious eat in kitchen with ample storage and counter space and 3 bedrooms. The master BR has large walk-in closet and attached full bath. Two additional bedrooms, a second full bath and spacious laundry room round out this home. Park approval is required once acceptable contract has been signed.
-
2023-03-21historical Active Under Contract 460-char remark
Show marketing remark (460 chars)
Enjoy one floor living in the desirable Pheasant Ridge Community. Close to shopping, dining and entertainment! The bright open floor plan has a cozy living room, spacious eat in kitchen with ample storage and counter space and 3 bedrooms. The master BR has large walk-in closet and attached full bath. Two additional bedrooms, a second full bath and spacious laundry room round out this home. Park approval is required once acceptable contract has been signed.
-
2023-03-17$73,000 Active 460-char remark
Show marketing remark (460 chars)
Enjoy one floor living in the desirable Pheasant Ridge Community. Close to shopping, dining and entertainment! The bright open floor plan has a cozy living room, spacious eat in kitchen with ample storage and counter space and 3 bedrooms. The master BR has large walk-in closet and attached full bath. Two additional bedrooms, a second full bath and spacious laundry room round out this home. Park approval is required once acceptable contract has been signed.
-
2018-09-18soldstatus $47,000 Closed
-
2018-09-04status Pending
-
2018-08-28price $49,900
-
2018-08-12$54,900 Active
-
2008-02-21soldstatus $39,900
-
2007-11-05$39,900
-
2004-06-21soldstatus $33,000
-
2004-04-12historical
-
2004-04-12$34,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $671 · $56/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $928 · $77/mo
- Expected delta
- +$257/yr (+$21/mo · 38.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 13% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,120
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,201
- − Property taxes
- −$671
- − Insurance
- −$375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,770
- − Management
- −$1,770
- − Depreciation
- −$2,182
- Taxable income
- $11,151
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,676
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,032/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Penn Manor SD
- NCES district ID
- 4218630
- Math proficiency
- 52% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 65% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $59,275
- Composite
- 50.67/100
- National rank
- #1826
- State rank
- #80 of 539 in PA
Livability — Millersville
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #101
- US rank
- #728
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Lancaster County · 390,309 people
- City population
- 11,753
- Metro
- Lancaster, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 67,571
- Household income
- $77,084
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2557.0
Population outlook (Lancaster County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 561,011 people
- By 2030
- 570,969 · +1.8%
- By 2040
- 585,929 · +4.4%
- By 2050
- 591,056 · +5.4%
- By 2075
- 594,747 · +6.0%
- By 2100
- 558,850 · -0.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 58% Hispanic / Latino 27% Two or more races 12% Black 7% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 19% Cuban 1% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, China, India
- Languages at home
- 77% English-only · Spanish 17% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lancaster
- 2024 margin
- R (+15.9) · D 41.5% · R 57.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.1pp toward R · 2008: -11.8pp · 2024: -15.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+15.9 2020: R+15.8 2016: R+19.7 2012: R+19.2 2008: R+11.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -508.78%
- Current HPI
- 289.3324
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.47%
- Metro
- Lancaster, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
||
| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+114.9% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-27 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-23 Price Changed $75,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-07 Listed $80,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-04 Coming Soon — BRIGHT MLS
- 2023-04-28 Sold (MLS) $73,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2023-04-13 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2023-03-21 Contingent — BRIGHT MLS
- 2023-03-17 Listed $73,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2018-09-18 Sold (MLS) $47,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2018-09-04 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2018-08-28 Price Changed $49,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2018-08-12 Listed $54,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2008-02-21 Sold (MLS) $39,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2007-11-05 Listed $39,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2004-06-21 Sold (MLS) $33,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2004-04-12 Listed $34,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2004-04-12 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
-0.4%/yrLatest (2026): $671 · +4.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…