2958 Mountain View Rd Unit F · Silverdale, WA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 86°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 8 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.5/10.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.0/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$109,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Seller Financing Here! 2/2 Home located in the all ages community of Clear Creek. This home features 1,248 SF with 2bedrooms, 2 full baths, large living room open, kitchen w/ eating area. Landscaped and ready to make it yours. Park rentonly $780 a month which includes garbage and sewer. Park approval required. Small pets okay.
Key facts
- Parking
- Built 1979
- Listed 91 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $110k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $110k).
- Recommended offer: $100k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 18.0% vs local median 2.7% in Silverdale — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#63 in WA, #1,155 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D-, cost of living F.
- Central Kitsap School District (urban): math 55% / reading 67% proficiency, ranked #49 of 291 in WA (top 17%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.0%/yr); 120 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 1,294 units permitted in Kitsap County in 2024 (302 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $757 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Kitsap County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 91 days — a 9% lower offer ($100k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 91 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.11% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.02%
- Cash-on-cash
- 41.89%
- DSCR
- 2.86
- GRM
- 3.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $449,882
- List price
- $109,500
- Delta
- -75.66%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14460 Clear Creek Rd NW | 0.12mi | 2/2.0 | 1,296 (+4%) | 19mo | $380,000 | $293 | 72 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 35.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.42×
- Total profit
- $43,683
- Equity at exit
- $16,327
- IRR
- 40.3%
- Equity multiple
- 4.25×
- Total profit
- $99,766
- Equity at exit
- $9,468
Cash invested: $30,660 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 98383
- Home prices YoY
- -26.7%
- Rents YoY
- -2.0%
- Active inventory
- 120
- Price-to-rent
- 3.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,313 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$574
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$137 /mo · $1,642/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$486
- Net cashflow
- $1,070
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,146 | -5% $1,108 | +0% $1,070 | +5% $1,032 | +10% $995 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $888 | -5% $979 | +0% $1,070 | +5% $1,162 | +10% $1,253 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,125 | -0.5pp $1,098 | base $1,070 | +0.5pp $1,042 | +1.0pp $1,013 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,375
- Closing costs
- $3,285
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $109,500 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $109,500 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $109,500 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $109,500 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $109,500 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $109,500 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $109,500 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $109,500 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $109,500 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $109,500 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $109,500 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $109,500 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $109,500 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $109,500 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $109,500 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-03-24price $109,500
-
2026-03-19$115,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥86°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 6/10 Major 8 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,753
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,134
- − Property taxes
- −$1,642
- − Insurance
- −$548
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,220
- − Management
- −$2,220
- − Depreciation
- −$3,185
- Taxable income
- $11,803
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,833
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,011/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 3 photos
This manufactured home is in good condition with minimal repairs needed. It's ready for a fresh coat of paint and some landscaping to enhance its curb appeal and value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and the home's overall appearance.
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can increase both resale and rental value.
- Both Interior touch-ups — Fresh paint and minor touch-ups can improve the home's appeal and value.
- Both HVAC maintenance — A clean and functioning HVAC system is essential for both comfort and energy efficiency, impacting both resale and rental value.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting the exterior — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and the home's overall appearance. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can increase both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Interior touch-ups — Fresh paint and minor touch-ups can improve the home's appeal and value. ↑
- Both HVAC maintenance — A clean and functioning HVAC system is essential for both comfort and energy efficiency, impacting both resale and rental value. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Central Kitsap School District
- NCES district ID
- 5301080
- Math proficiency
- 55% ▲ 1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 67% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $64,825
- Composite
- 54.87/100
- National rank
- #2813
- State rank
- #49 of 291 in WA
Livability — Silverdale
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #63
- US rank
- #1155
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Silverdale, WA
- County
- Kitsap County · 243,099 people
- City population
- 21,604
- Metro
- Bremerton-Silverdale-Port Orchard, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,604
- Household income
- $111,139
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 878.0
Population outlook (Kitsap County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 277,525 people
- By 2030
- 285,040 · +2.7%
- By 2040
- 294,957 · +6.3%
- By 2050
- 300,622 · +8.3%
- By 2075
- 315,580 · +13.7%
- By 2100
- 304,340 · +9.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 69% Two or more races 11% Asian 8% Hispanic / Latino 8% Black 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 6% Portuguese 5% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Tagalog/Filipino 3% Spanish 3% Other Asian/Pacific 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Kitsap
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+20.9) · D 58.8% · R 37.9% · Other 3.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +8.6pp toward D · 2008: 12.3pp · 2024: 20.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+20.9 2020: D+18.1 2016: D+11.6 2012: D+11.1 2008: D+12.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -124.87%
- Current HPI
- 343.44
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.99%
- Metro
- Bremerton-Silverdale-Port Orchard, WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
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| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
|
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
|
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
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Price history
-4.8% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-24 Price Changed $109,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-19 Listed $115,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…