1267 Vinson St · Williamson, WV
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $787 – $1,461
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +6.4/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
$54,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Ranch home in city limits. Needs repairs to be able to occupy. Being sold as is. Very nice yard space with detached carport. This property has lots of potential. Could be an excellent rental property with close access to Hatfield McCoy trial system. Buyers to satisfy any questions they may have regarding acreage, boundaries etc. at their expense.
Key facts
- Detached carport
- Yard space
- 2 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Approximately 2 acres
Exterior
- Parking: Asphalt driveway; Detached garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
- Construction: Vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Garden; Covered porch; Metal roof
Interior
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump; Central air
- Interior features: 10 total rooms; Heat pump heating; Central air conditioning
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $55k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $486 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $55k).
- Recommended offer: $48k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#228 in WV) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Mingo County Schools (rural): math 21% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #42 of 55 in WV (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Mingo Central Comprehensive High School (math 12% / reading 32%, grade F, #97 of 110 statewide, top 90%, 635 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 55% district-wide (55 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 19 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($380 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (2.7% local appreciation)).
- Mingo County population projected at -37% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (2.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 348 days — a 12% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $4k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 348 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.07% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.37%
- Cash-on-cash
- 43.13%
- DSCR
- 2.92
- GRM
- 4.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.73% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 43.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.40×
- Total profit
- $36,836
- Equity at exit
- $23,865
- IRR
- 43.2%
- Equity multiple
- 6.78×
- Total profit
- $88,774
- Equity at exit
- $36,153
Cash invested: $15,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State West Virginia
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+22
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 25661
- Home prices YoY
- 2.1%
- Active inventory
- 19
- Price-to-rent
- 4.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,135 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$288
- Tax from tax record
- −$33 /mo · $398/yr
- Insurance
- −$23
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$238
- Net cashflow
- $486
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $13,725
- Closing costs
- $1,647
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $54,900 Active 348 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $54,900 Active 347 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $54,900 Active 346 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $54,900 Active 345 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $54,900 Active 344 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $54,900 Active 343 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $54,900 Active 342 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $54,900 Active 339 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $54,900 Active 338 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $54,900 Active 337 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $54,900 Active 336 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $54,900 Active 334 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $54,900 Active 333 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $54,900 Active 332 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $54,900 Active 331 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $54,900 Active 330 DOM
-
2025-12-31price $54,900
-
2025-12-30status Active
-
2025-06-16$59,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WV · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $398 · $33/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $398 · $33/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,617
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,075
- − Property taxes
- −$398
- − Insurance
- −$1,072
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,089
- − Management
- −$1,089
- − Depreciation
- −$1,597
- Taxable income
- $5,296
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,271
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,562/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mingo County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 5400900
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 36% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,574
- Composite
- 23.24/100
- National rank
- #7937
- State rank
- #42 of 55 in WV
Livability — Williamson
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #228
- US rank
- #19971
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Williamson, WV
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,485
Population outlook (Mingo County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 21,874 people
- By 2030
- 20,048 · -8.3%
- By 2040
- 16,653 · -23.9%
- By 2050
- 13,842 · -36.7%
- By 2075
- 8,629 · -60.6%
- By 2100
- 5,142 · -76.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Two or more races 6% Black 6%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Mingo
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+73.8) · D 12.5% · R 86.3% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -61.7pp toward R · 2008: -12.1pp · 2024: -73.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+73.8 2020: R+71.3 2016: R+68.8 2012: R+42.5 2008: R+12.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.73%
- Current HPI
- 134.3708
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
-6.9% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2025-12-31 Price Changed $54,900 EKAR
- 2025-12-30 Relisted — EKAR
- 2025-06-16 Listed $59,000 EKAR
Property tax history
+1.6%/yrLatest (2025): $398 · -0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…