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B Composite 74.14
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0

$54,900

1267 Vinson St · Williamson, WV 25661
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,744 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 348 Days on market
Built 1950 2.00 ac lot ↓ 7% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Ranch home in city limits. Needs repairs to be able to occupy. Being sold as is. Very nice yard space with detached carport. This property has lots of potential. Could be an excellent rental property with close access to Hatfield McCoy trial system. Buyers to satisfy any questions they may have regarding acreage, boundaries etc. at their expense.

Key facts

  • Detached carport
  • Yard space
  • 2 acre lot

Tags

YARD SPACEDETACHED CARPORT

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Approximately 2 acres

Exterior

  • Parking: Asphalt driveway; Detached garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
  • Construction: Vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Garden; Covered porch; Metal roof

Interior

  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump; Central air
  • Interior features: 10 total rooms; Heat pump heating; Central air conditioning

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $55k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $486 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $55k).
  • Recommended offer: $48k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#228 in WV) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Mingo County Schools (rural): math 21% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #42 of 55 in WV (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Mingo Central Comprehensive High School (math 12% / reading 32%, grade F, #97 of 110 statewide, top 90%, 635 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 55% district-wide (55 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 19 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($380 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (2.7% local appreciation)).
  • Mingo County population projected at -37% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (2.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 348 days — a 12% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $4k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $48,312 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 348 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.07%
Cap rate
18.37%
Cash-on-cash
43.13%
DSCR
2.92
GRM
4.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

2.73% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
43.1%
Equity multiple
3.40×
Total profit
$36,836
Equity at exit
$23,865
10-year hold
IRR
43.2%
Equity multiple
6.78×
Total profit
$88,774
Equity at exit
$36,153

Cash invested: $15,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State West Virginia
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+22
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Landlord-favorable; preempted; minimal protections.

ZIP-level market 25661

Home prices YoY
2.1%
Active inventory
19
Price-to-rent
4.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,135 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$288
Tax from tax record
$33 /mo · $398/yr
Insurance
$23
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$238
Net cashflow
$486

Break-even live

Break-even rent $520
Max offer price $54,900
Occupancy floor 52%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$13,725
Closing costs
$1,647
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $54,900 Active 348 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $54,900 Active 347 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $54,900 Active 346 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $54,900 Active 345 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $54,900 Active 344 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $54,900 Active 343 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $54,900 Active 342 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $54,900 Active 339 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $54,900 Active 338 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $54,900 Active 337 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $54,900 Active 336 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $54,900 Active 334 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $54,900 Active 333 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $54,900 Active 332 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $54,900 Active 331 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $54,900 Active 330 DOM
  17. 2025-12-31
    price $54,900
  18. 2025-12-30
    status Active
  19. 2025-06-16
    listed $59,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WV · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$398 · $33/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$398 · $33/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,617
− Mortgage interest
−$3,075
− Property taxes
−$398
− Insurance
−$1,072
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,089
− Management
−$1,089
− Depreciation
−$1,597
Taxable income
$5,296
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,271
After-tax cash flow
$4,562/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Mingo County Schools
NCES district ID
5400900
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
36% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$32,574
Composite
23.24/100
National rank
#7937
State rank
#42 of 55 in WV

Livability — Williamson

Score
59/100
State rank
#228
US rank
#19971

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing B- Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Williamson, WV
Population (ZIP)
4,485

Population outlook (Mingo County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
21,874 people
By 2030
20,048 · -8.3%
By 2040
16,653 · -23.9%
By 2050
13,842 · -36.7%
By 2075
8,629 · -60.6%
By 2100
5,142 · -76.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Two or more races 6% Black 6%
Common ancestry
Serbian 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
99% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Mingo

2024 margin
Solid R (+73.8) · D 12.5% · R 86.3% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-61.7pp toward R · 2008: -12.1pp · 2024: -73.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+73.8 2020: R+71.3 2016: R+68.8 2012: R+42.5 2008: R+12.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.73%
Current HPI
134.3708
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

-6.9% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2025-12-31 Price Changed $54,900 EKAR
  • 2025-12-30 Relisted EKAR
  • 2025-06-16 Listed $59,000 EKAR

Property tax history

+1.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $398 · -0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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