413 Parsells Ave · Rochester, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.2/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +4.5/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.8/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$149,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Amazing investment opportunity in the Beechwood neighborhood of the City of Rochester! This side-by-side 2-unit duplex offers spacious layouts on both sides, each featuring an eat-in kitchen, large living room, formal dining room and a 1st floor half bath. Upstairs, both units include 3 bedrooms and a full bath. Each side has separate utilities, along with its own full attic and basement complete with laundry hookups for added convenience and storage. Currently both units are rented for a monthly gross of $2,050 and on 1 year leases. With low-maintenance vinyl siding and a current, transferable C of O good through October 2030, this property is ready for you! Come see all it has to offer to
Key facts
- Separate utilities
- Formal dining room
- Large living room
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 6-bed/3.0-bath townhouse listed at $150k. Condition is rated average.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $649 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Cap rate 11.5% vs local median 9.3% in Rochester — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#222 in NY, #3,482 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, employment F.
- Rochester City School District (urban): math 21% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #589 of 590 in NY (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.9%/yr); 199 active listings in the ZIP; 1,169 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (591 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($65k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Monroe County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.9% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.42% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.49%
- Cash-on-cash
- 18.55%
- DSCR
- 1.83
- GRM
- 5.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $149,744
- Comps found
- 8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 413 Parsells Ave | 0.00mi | 6/3.0 | 2,674 (0%) | 1mo | $150,000 | $56 | 99 |
| 1567 E Main St | 0.41mi | 6/4.0 | 2,741 (+2%) | 7mo | $190,000 | $69 | 67 |
| 963 Garson Ave | 0.37mi | 6/2.0 | 2,518 (-6%) | 7mo | $250,000 | $99 | 63 |
| 32 Quincy St | 0.34mi | 6/2.0 | 2,418 (-10%) | 15mo | $135,000 | $56 | 52 |
| 208-210 Cummings St | 0.71mi | 6/2.0 | 2,436 (-9%) | 9mo | $130,000 | $53 | 40 |
| 129-131 Winterroth St | 0.72mi | 6/2.0 | 2,409 (-10%) | 13mo | $125,000 | $52 | 35 |
| 36 Ferndale Cres | 0.65mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 2,394 (-10%) | 14mo | $65,000 | $27 | 32 |
| 435-437 Hayward Ave | 0.63mi | 6/2.0 | 3,027 (+13%) | 16mo | $260,000 | $86 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.89% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 15.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.67×
- Total profit
- $28,079
- Equity at exit
- $22,351
- IRR
- 27.7%
- Equity multiple
- 4.04×
- Total profit
- $127,794
- Equity at exit
- $12,961
Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14609
- Home prices YoY
- -30.4%
- Rents YoY
- 7.9%
- Active inventory
- 199
- Price-to-rent
- 5.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,133 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$786
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$187 /mo · $2,248/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$448
- Net cashflow
- $649
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,475
- Closing costs
- $4,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-04-10status Pending
-
2026-04-02$149,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,592
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,397
- − Property taxes
- −$2,248
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,047
- − Management
- −$2,047
- − Depreciation
- −$4,361
- Taxable income
- $5,742
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,378
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,408/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
This 2-unit townhouse in Rochester, NY, offers a moderate level of renovation needed, with average exterior and interior conditions. Key updates to enhance its resale and rental value include painting the exterior and interior, landscaping, and replacing the vinyl siding.
Repairs flagged
- Moderate Vinyl siding — Weathered appearance
- Minor Landscaping — Overgrown shrubs
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior walls — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Both Landscaping — Improves curb appeal and rental appeal
- Both Replace vinyl siding — Improves curb appeal and value
- Both Paint interior walls — Enhances interior appearance and value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Vinyl siding · Weathered appearance | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| Landscaping · Overgrown shrubs | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 2 items | $3,500–18,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint exterior walls — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Landscaping — Improves curb appeal and rental appeal ↑
- Both Replace vinyl siding — Improves curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Paint interior walls — Enhances interior appearance and value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Rochester City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3624750
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $30,923
- Composite
- 18.98/100
- National rank
- #8850
- State rank
- #589 of 590 in NY
Livability — Rochester
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #222
- US rank
- #3482
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Rochester, NY
- County
- Monroe County · 674,131 people
- City population
- 432,803
- Metro
- Rochester, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 40,274
- Household income
- $64,603
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2183.0
Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 759,460 people
- By 2030
- 757,154 · -0.3%
- By 2040
- 740,644 · -2.5%
- By 2050
- 714,443 · -5.9%
- By 2075
- 645,883 · -15.0%
- By 2100
- 547,084 · -28.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 44% Black 28% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 10% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 15% Cuban 1% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 14% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Monroe
- 2024 margin
- D (+19.1) · D 59.5% · R 40.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.4pp toward D · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 19.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+19.1 2020: D+21.0 2016: D+14.1 2012: D+17.4 2008: D+17.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -143.57%
- Current HPI
- 328.7053
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.89%
- Metro
- Rochester, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-10 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2026-04-02 Listed $149,900 UNYREIS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…