1121 Arlington Blvd #321 · Arlington, VA
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.78%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 19.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.1/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +7.4/10.0
- Schools +6.5/10.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +4.3/10.0
- Livability +4.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$159,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Absolutely GORGEOUS!! Beautiful 1 BEDROOM TOTALLY REMODELED! new kit cabinets dishwasher/disposer/fridge/ceramic tile/paint/Crown Molding/Hardwd Floors/custom wdwork/ 1 of a kind! DON'T MISS IT! 1-1/2 BLOCKS TO ROSSLYN METRO, NICE VIEW, LOW CC FEE INCL ALL UTIL, POOL, Health club, CONCIERGE. ON-SITE STORE, WALK TO KEY BRDG/GTOWN/STORES/CAFES- Easily rents for over $1,300/m
Key facts
- $514 HOA
- Garage
- Community pool
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property condition described as good; Not in a federal flood zone; Washer/dryer hookups not in unit; Pets not allowed
- Financial info: Ground rent exists and is paid annually (approximately 26 years remaining)
- HOA & community: Monthly coop fee of $514 covering air conditioning, electricity, exterior building maintenance, gas, heat, pool(s), road maintenance, sewer, snow removal, trash and water; Community amenities include party room, outdoor pool, exercise room, community center, convenience store, elevator, beauty salon, recreational center, sauna, swimming pool and playgrounds
Exterior
- Parking: Underground, side-entry parking garage (1 parking space)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable TV available
- Home design: Cooperative ownership in a hi-rise (9+ floors); Unit/flat; single-level unit; Entry on floor 3; Building faces unspecified direction
- Construction: Brick construction
- Exterior features: Community in-ground fenced pool with lap/exercise lanes; Community outdoor pool
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Range hood; Refrigerator; Stove; Exhaust fan
- Bedrooms: One bedroom on the main level
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Wall unit cooling (electric/other); Heating fuel: natural gas (other heating types indicated); Hot water: other
- Interior features: Open floor plan; Breakfast area; Window treatments; Masonry and plaster walls/ceilings
- Laundry & utility: Common laundry (no in-unit washer/dryer)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $159k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-42 ($-502/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $152k (4.6% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $159k).
- Recommended offer: $152k (4.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 1.7% in Arlington — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 86/100 on livability (#14 in VA, #387 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, amenities A+; Watch: cost of living F.
- Arlington County Public School District (urban): math 65% / reading 77% proficiency, ranked #8 of 131 in VA (top 6%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 103 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 621 units permitted in Arlington County in 2024 (429 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $1k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $34 appreciation (0.0% local appreciation)).
- Arlington County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts since 22y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $41k (20%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; HOA is 26% of rent; built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.24% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.48%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.66%
- DSCR
- 1.03
- GRM
- 6.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.02% appreciation · 0.54% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.74×
- Total profit
- $-11,577
- Equity at exit
- $46,337
- IRR
- -2.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.78×
- Total profit
- $-9,686
- Equity at exit
- $55,833
Cash invested: $44,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 22209
- Home prices YoY
- 0.0%
- Rents YoY
- 0.5%
- Active inventory
- 103
- Price-to-rent
- 6.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,968 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$834
- Tax from tax record
- −$116 /mo · $1,397/yr
- Insurance
- −$66
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$514
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$413
- Net cashflow
- $-42
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $39,750
- Closing costs
- $4,770
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1121 Arlington Blvd #947 Arlington, VA | — | 1.0 | 383 | $1,500 | $3.92 | 43d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 1121 Arlington Blvd #435 Arlington, VA | — | 1.0 | 383 | $1,575 | $4.11 | 24d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 1121 Arlington Blvd #209 Arlington, VA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 514 | $1,750 | $3.40 | 7d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 1121 Arlington Blvd #448 Arlington, VA | — | 1.0 | 504 | $1,800 | $3.57 | 4d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 1121 Arlington Blvd #120 Arlington, VA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 559 | $2,000 | $3.58 | 43d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 1121 Arlington Blvd #141 Arlington, VA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 559 | $1,900 | $3.40 | 43d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 1121 Arlington Blvd #127 Arlington, VA | — | 1.0 | 400 | $1,500 | $3.75 | 4d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 1121 Arlington Blvd #625 Arlington, VA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 473 | $1,550 | $3.28 | 24d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 1021 Arlington Blvd #623 Arlington, VA | — | 1.0 | 383 | $1,540 | $4.02 | 43d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 1021 Arlington Blvd #810 Arlington, VA | — | 1.0 | 399 | $1,850 | $4.64 | 43d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 1021 Arlington Blvd #743 Arlington, VA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 716 | $1,950 | $2.72 | 24d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 1021 Arlington Blvd #314 Arlington, VA | — | 1.0 | 382 | $1,550 | $4.06 | 5d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 1021 Arlington Blvd #601 Arlington, VA | — | 1.0 | 425 | $1,500 | $3.53 | 4d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 1021 Arlington Blvd #610 Arlington, VA | — | 1.0 | 383 | $1,695 | $4.43 | 17d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 1021 Arlington Blvd #335 Arlington, VA | — | 1.0 | 383 | $1,900 | $4.96 | 43d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 1111 Arlington Blvd #815 Arlington, VA | — | 1.0 | 383 | $1,493 | $3.90 | 43d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 1111 Arlington Blvd #429 Arlington, VA | — | 1.0 | 369 | $1,550 | $4.20 | 24d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 1111 Arlington Blvd #825 Arlington, VA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 473 | $1,750 | $3.70 | 24d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 1111 Arlington Blvd #113 Arlington, VA | — | 1.0 | 429 | $1,745 | $4.07 | 24d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 1111 Arlington Blvd #217 Arlington, VA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 559 | $1,800 | $3.22 | 43d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 1111 Arlington Blvd #822 Arlington, VA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 383 | $2,000 | $5.22 | 43d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 1111 Arlington Blvd #615 Arlington, VA | — | 1.0 | 383 | $1,650 | $4.31 | 43d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 1111 Arlington Blvd #210 Arlington, VA | — | 1.0 | 383 | $1,695 | $4.43 | 17d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 1111 Arlington Blvd Arlington, VA | — | 1.0 | 369 | $1,550 | $4.20 | 43d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 1011 Arlington Blvd #831 Arlington, VA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 717 | $3,000 | $4.18 | 43d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 1121 Arlington Blvd Arlington, VA | — | 1.0 | 405 | $1,700 | $4.20 | 7d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 1800 N Lynn St Arlington, VA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1171 | $5,280 | $4.51 | 1d | 37 | 0.21mi |
| 1510 Clarendon Blvd Arlington, VA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 809 | $3,608 | $4.46 | 2d | 35 | 0.22mi |
| 1600 N Oak St Arlington, VA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1015 | $2,950 | $2.91 | 43d | 3 | 0.22mi |
| 1423 N Nash St Unit N-207 Arlington, VA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 710 | $1,800 | $2.54 | 16d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 1800 N Oak St Arlington, VA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 936 | $3,428 | $3.66 | 2d | 18 | 0.27mi |
| 1919 N Nash St Arlington, VA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 730 | $2,845 | $3.89 | 1d | 15 | 0.30mi |
| 1500 Arlington Blvd Arlington, VA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 646 | $2,534 | $3.92 | 2d | 40 | 0.30mi |
| 1300 N Meade St Apt 22 Arlington, VA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 710 | $1,750 | $2.46 | 22d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 1550 Clarendon Blvd Arlington, VA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 850 | $2,620 | $3.08 | 2d | 6 | 0.33mi |
| 1771 N Pierce St Arlington, VA | 3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1487 | $3,936 | $2.65 | 2d | 50 | 0.34mi |
| 1601 Clarendon Blvd Arlington, VA | 3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1178 | $3,855 | $3.27 | 2d | 58 | 0.38mi |
| 1322 Fort Myer Dr #912 Arlington, VA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 641 | $2,050 | $3.20 | 14d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 1320 Fort Myer Dr #825 Arlington, VA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 628 | $1,775 | $2.83 | 43d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 1515 N Queen St Arlington, VA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 708 | $2,895 | $4.09 | 2d | 7 | 0.40mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $514 · $6,168/yr
- Likely covers
- pooldoorman
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $159,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $159,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $159,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $159,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $159,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $159,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $159,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $159,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $159,000 Coming Soon 16 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $159,000 Coming Soon 15 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $159,000 Coming Soon 14 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $159,000 Coming Soon 13 DOM
-
2026-05-18historical $159,000
-
2006-08-01soldstatus $199,950 376-char remark
Show marketing remark (376 chars)
Absolutely GORGEOUS!! Beautiful 1 BEDROOM TOTALLY REMODELED! new kit cabinets dishwasher/disposer/fridge/ceramic tile/paint/Crown Molding/Hardwd Floors/custom wdwork/ 1 of a kind! DON'T MISS IT! 1-1/2 BLOCKS TO ROSSLYN METRO, NICE VIEW, LOW CC FEE INCL ALL UTIL, POOL, Health club, CONCIERGE. ON-SITE STORE, WALK TO KEY BRDG/GTOWN/STORES/CAFES- Easily rents for over $1,300/m
-
2006-06-30historical 376-char remark
Show marketing remark (376 chars)
Absolutely GORGEOUS!! Beautiful 1 BEDROOM TOTALLY REMODELED! new kit cabinets dishwasher/disposer/fridge/ceramic tile/paint/Crown Molding/Hardwd Floors/custom wdwork/ 1 of a kind! DON'T MISS IT! 1-1/2 BLOCKS TO ROSSLYN METRO, NICE VIEW, LOW CC FEE INCL ALL UTIL, POOL, Health club, CONCIERGE. ON-SITE STORE, WALK TO KEY BRDG/GTOWN/STORES/CAFES- Easily rents for over $1,300/m
-
2006-04-28
-
2006-04-28historical
-
2006-04-27$199,950 376-char remark
Show marketing remark (376 chars)
Absolutely GORGEOUS!! Beautiful 1 BEDROOM TOTALLY REMODELED! new kit cabinets dishwasher/disposer/fridge/ceramic tile/paint/Crown Molding/Hardwd Floors/custom wdwork/ 1 of a kind! DON'T MISS IT! 1-1/2 BLOCKS TO ROSSLYN METRO, NICE VIEW, LOW CC FEE INCL ALL UTIL, POOL, Health club, CONCIERGE. ON-SITE STORE, WALK TO KEY BRDG/GTOWN/STORES/CAFES- Easily rents for over $1,300/m
-
2005-12-07historical
-
2005-11-04
-
2005-11-04historical
-
2005-09-21
-
2004-07-22historical
-
2004-07-16
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,397 · $116/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,397 · $116/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 78% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 19% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,621
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,906
- − Property taxes
- −$1,397
- − Insurance
- −$1,592
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,890
- − Management
- −$1,890
- − HOA
- −$6,168
- − Depreciation
- −$4,625
- Taxable loss
- −$2,847
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$683
- After-tax cash flow
- $181/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Arlington County Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5100270
- Math proficiency
- 65% ▼ -22.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 77% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $103,164
- Composite
- 65.23/100
- National rank
- #492
- State rank
- #8 of 131 in VA
Livability — Arlington
- Score
- 86/100
- State rank
- #14
- US rank
- #387
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Arlington, VA
- County
- Arlington County · 236,086 people
- City population
- 236,086
- Metro
- Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,154
- Household income
- $120,515
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1383.0
Population outlook (Arlington County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 278,021 people
- By 2030
- 301,560 · +8.5%
- By 2040
- 349,063 · +25.6%
- By 2050
- 399,147 · +43.6%
- By 2075
- 505,325 · +81.8%
- By 2100
- 584,095 · +110.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 59% Asian 17% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 11% Black 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Romanian 4% Italian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 29% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 68% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Indo-European 5% Chinese 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Arlington
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+58.6) · D 78.2% · R 19.6% · Other 2.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +14.0pp toward D · 2008: 44.6pp · 2024: 58.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+58.6 2020: D+63.5 2016: D+60.1 2012: D+39.9 2008: D+44.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▬ 0.02%
- Current HPI
- 286.279
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.54%
- Metro
- Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
|
||
| Technology | 2 | $15B |
|
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Price history
-20.5% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Coming Soon $159,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2006-08-01 Sold (MLS) $199,950 MRIS
- 2006-06-30 Delisted — MRIS
- 2006-04-28 Delisted — MRIS
- 2006-04-28 Listed — MRIS
- 2006-04-27 Listed $199,950 MRIS
- 2005-12-07 Delisted — MRIS
- 2005-11-04 Delisted — MRIS
- 2005-11-04 Listed — MRIS
- 2005-09-21 Listed — MRIS
- 2004-07-22 Delisted — MRIS
- 2004-07-16 Listed — MRIS
Property tax history
+0.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,397 · +3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…