3162 Wingo Rd · Wingo, KY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 8.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.9/30.0
- DSCR +9.9/10.0
- Appreciation +7.7/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.9/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$179,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Country living on 3.58 acres with scenic views of surrounding farmland. This 3 bed, 1 bath home features hardwood floors, a full basement with approximately 670 sq ft of finished space, and an attached single-car garage. Freshly painted cabinets in the large kitchen. Newer HVAC. Plenty of room to enjoy the outdoors while still having functional living space inside.
Key facts
- Finished space
- Full basement
- Scenic views
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $179k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $550 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $179k).
- Recommended offer: $168k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#212 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
- Graves County (rural): math 47% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #10 of 165 in KY (top 6%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 17 active listings in the ZIP; 9 units permitted in Graves County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $11k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $10k appreciation (5.4% local appreciation)).
- Graves County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (5.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $50k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 72 days — a 6% lower offer ($168k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 72 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.19% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.98%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.18%
- DSCR
- 1.59
- GRM
- 7.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
5.38% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 25.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.60×
- Total profit
- $80,166
- Equity at exit
- $105,567
- IRR
- 23.9%
- Equity multiple
- 5.20×
- Total profit
- $210,279
- Equity at exit
- $185,704
Cash invested: $50,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 42088
- Home prices YoY
- 2.1%
- Active inventory
- 17
- Price-to-rent
- 7.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,136 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$939
- Tax from tax record
- −$124 /mo · $1,484/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$449
- Net cashflow
- $550
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $44,750
- Closing costs
- $5,370
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $179,000 Pending 72 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $179,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $179,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $179,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $179,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $179,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-04-23price $179,000 367-char remark
Show marketing remark (367 chars)
Country living on 3.58 acres with scenic views of surrounding farmland. This 3 bed, 1 bath home features hardwood floors, a full basement with approximately 670 sq ft of finished space, and an attached single-car garage. Freshly painted cabinets in the large kitchen. Newer HVAC. Plenty of room to enjoy the outdoors while still having functional living space inside.
-
2026-03-25$189,000 Active 367-char remark
Show marketing remark (367 chars)
Country living on 3.58 acres with scenic views of surrounding farmland. This 3 bed, 1 bath home features hardwood floors, a full basement with approximately 670 sq ft of finished space, and an attached single-car garage. Freshly painted cabinets in the large kitchen. Newer HVAC. Plenty of room to enjoy the outdoors while still having functional living space inside.
-
2022-01-25soldstatus $175,000
-
2022-01-20soldstatus $175,000 503-char remark
Show marketing remark (503 chars)
This home has so much to offer! There are 3 bedrooms, a full bath upstairs and a full basement downstairs with lots of extra room to use however you like! The spacious lot is 3.58 acres and has no close neighbors! Enjoy the view from the front yard. Very peaceful and serene. Hardwood floors throughout the upstairs. Open kitchen/dining space. New roof in 2019, water heater is new, kitchen appliances stay with the house, paint is up to date - move right in!! Must see this wonderful home for yourself!
-
2021-11-08$169,900 503-char remark
Show marketing remark (503 chars)
This home has so much to offer! There are 3 bedrooms, a full bath upstairs and a full basement downstairs with lots of extra room to use however you like! The spacious lot is 3.58 acres and has no close neighbors! Enjoy the view from the front yard. Very peaceful and serene. Hardwood floors throughout the upstairs. Open kitchen/dining space. New roof in 2019, water heater is new, kitchen appliances stay with the house, paint is up to date - move right in!! Must see this wonderful home for yourself!
-
2021-05-25soldstatus $140,000
-
2015-10-12soldstatus $90,000
-
2015-10-09soldstatus $90,000
-
2015-08-14$107,000
-
2010-01-26soldstatus $108,250
-
2008-08-19soldstatus $82,450
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,484 · $124/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,539 · $128/mo
- Expected delta
- +$55/yr (+$5/mo · 3.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,631
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,027
- − Property taxes
- −$1,484
- − Insurance
- −$895
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,050
- − Management
- −$2,050
- − Depreciation
- −$5,207
- Taxable income
- $3,917
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$940
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,665/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Graves County
- NCES district ID
- 2102280
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -14.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,560
- Composite
- 41.74/100
- National rank
- #3400
- State rank
- #10 of 165 in KY
Livability — Wingo
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #212
- US rank
- #10336
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,507
Population outlook (Graves County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 36,916 people
- By 2030
- 36,587 · -0.9%
- By 2040
- 35,580 · -3.6%
- By 2050
- 33,906 · -8.2%
- By 2075
- 28,957 · -21.6%
- By 2100
- 21,552 · -41.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Romanian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Graves
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+61.6) · D 18.6% · R 80.2% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -35.5pp toward R · 2008: -26.1pp · 2024: -61.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+61.6 2020: R+56.7 2016: R+56.5 2012: R+39.7 2008: R+26.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 5.38%
- Current HPI
- 255.5392
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
+117.1% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-23 Price Changed $179,000 WKRMLS
- 2026-03-25 Listed $189,000 WKRMLS
- 2022-01-25 Sold (Public Records) $175,000 Public Records
- 2022-01-20 Sold (MLS) $175,000 WKRMLS
- 2021-11-08 Listed $169,900 WKRMLS
- 2021-05-25 Sold (Public Records) $140,000 Public Records
- 2015-10-12 Sold (Public Records) $90,000 Public Records
- 2015-10-09 Sold (MLS) $90,000 WKRMLS
- 2015-08-14 Listed $107,000 WKRMLS
- 2010-01-26 Sold (Public Records) $108,250 Public Records
- 2008-08-19 Sold (Public Records) $82,450 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,484 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…