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3162 Wingo Rd
B Composite 72.39
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.9/30.0
  • DSCR +9.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +7.7/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.9/10.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$179,000

3162 Wingo Rd · Wingo, KY 42088
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,125 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 72 Days on market
Built 1900 3.58 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Country living on 3.58 acres with scenic views of surrounding farmland. This 3 bed, 1 bath home features hardwood floors, a full basement with approximately 670 sq ft of finished space, and an attached single-car garage. Freshly painted cabinets in the large kitchen. Newer HVAC. Plenty of room to enjoy the outdoors while still having functional living space inside.

Key facts

  • Finished space
  • Full basement
  • Scenic views

Tags

SCENIC VIEWSHARDWOOD FLOORSFULL BASEMENTFINISHED SPACEFRESHLY PAINTED CABINETSNEWER HVAC

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $179k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $550 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $179k).
  • Recommended offer: $168k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#212 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Graves County (rural): math 47% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #10 of 165 in KY (top 6%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 17 active listings in the ZIP; 9 units permitted in Graves County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $11k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $10k appreciation (5.4% local appreciation)).
  • Graves County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (5.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $50k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 72 days — a 6% lower offer ($168k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $168,260 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 72 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.19%
Cap rate
9.98%
Cash-on-cash
13.18%
DSCR
1.59
GRM
7.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

5.38% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
25.0%
Equity multiple
2.60×
Total profit
$80,166
Equity at exit
$105,567
10-year hold
IRR
23.9%
Equity multiple
5.20×
Total profit
$210,279
Equity at exit
$185,704

Cash invested: $50,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kentucky
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit (URLTA cities); generally landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 42088

Home prices YoY
2.1%
Active inventory
17
Price-to-rent
7.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,136 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$939
Tax from tax record
$124 /mo · $1,484/yr
Insurance
$75
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$449
Net cashflow
$550

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,439
Max offer price $179,000
Occupancy floor 69%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$44,750
Closing costs
$5,370
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $179,000 Pending 72 DOM
  2. 2026-06-05
    days on market $179,000 Active 71 DOM
  3. 2026-06-02
    days on market $179,000 Active 69 DOM
  4. 2026-06-01
    days on market $179,000 Active 68 DOM
  5. 2026-05-31
    days on market $179,000 Active 67 DOM
  6. 2026-05-30
    days on market $179,000 Active 66 DOM
  7. 2026-04-23
    price $179,000 367-char remark
    Show marketing remark (367 chars)

    Country living on 3.58 acres with scenic views of surrounding farmland. This 3 bed, 1 bath home features hardwood floors, a full basement with approximately 670 sq ft of finished space, and an attached single-car garage. Freshly painted cabinets in the large kitchen. Newer HVAC. Plenty of room to enjoy the outdoors while still having functional living space inside.

  8. 2026-03-25
    listed $189,000 Active 367-char remark
    Show marketing remark (367 chars)

    Country living on 3.58 acres with scenic views of surrounding farmland. This 3 bed, 1 bath home features hardwood floors, a full basement with approximately 670 sq ft of finished space, and an attached single-car garage. Freshly painted cabinets in the large kitchen. Newer HVAC. Plenty of room to enjoy the outdoors while still having functional living space inside.

  9. 2022-01-25
    soldstatus $175,000
  10. 2022-01-20
    soldstatus $175,000 503-char remark
    Show marketing remark (503 chars)

    This home has so much to offer! There are 3 bedrooms, a full bath upstairs and a full basement downstairs with lots of extra room to use however you like! The spacious lot is 3.58 acres and has no close neighbors! Enjoy the view from the front yard. Very peaceful and serene. Hardwood floors throughout the upstairs. Open kitchen/dining space. New roof in 2019, water heater is new, kitchen appliances stay with the house, paint is up to date - move right in!! Must see this wonderful home for yourself!

  11. 2021-11-08
    listed $169,900 503-char remark
    Show marketing remark (503 chars)

    This home has so much to offer! There are 3 bedrooms, a full bath upstairs and a full basement downstairs with lots of extra room to use however you like! The spacious lot is 3.58 acres and has no close neighbors! Enjoy the view from the front yard. Very peaceful and serene. Hardwood floors throughout the upstairs. Open kitchen/dining space. New roof in 2019, water heater is new, kitchen appliances stay with the house, paint is up to date - move right in!! Must see this wonderful home for yourself!

  12. 2021-05-25
    soldstatus $140,000
  13. 2015-10-12
    soldstatus $90,000
  14. 2015-10-09
    soldstatus $90,000
  15. 2015-08-14
    listed $107,000
  16. 2010-01-26
    soldstatus $108,250
  17. 2008-08-19
    soldstatus $82,450

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,484 · $124/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,539 · $128/mo
Expected delta
+$55/yr (+$5/mo · 3.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,631
− Mortgage interest
−$10,027
− Property taxes
−$1,484
− Insurance
−$895
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,050
− Management
−$2,050
− Depreciation
−$5,207
Taxable income
$3,917
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$940
After-tax cash flow
$5,665/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Graves County
NCES district ID
2102280
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
52% ▼ -14.00%
Median HH income
$43,560
Composite
41.74/100
National rank
#3400
State rank
#10 of 165 in KY

Livability — Wingo

Score
67/100
State rank
#212
US rank
#10336

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
2,507

Population outlook (Graves County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
36,916 people
By 2030
36,587 · -0.9%
By 2040
35,580 · -3.6%
By 2050
33,906 · -8.2%
By 2075
28,957 · -21.6%
By 2100
21,552 · -41.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (83%)
Race & ethnicity
White 83% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 3%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Romanian 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Graves

2024 margin
Solid R (+61.6) · D 18.6% · R 80.2% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-35.5pp toward R · 2008: -26.1pp · 2024: -61.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+61.6 2020: R+56.7 2016: R+56.5 2012: R+39.7 2008: R+26.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 5.38%
Current HPI
255.5392
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.81%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+117.1% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-23 Price Changed $179,000 WKRMLS
  • 2026-03-25 Listed $189,000 WKRMLS
  • 2022-01-25 Sold (Public Records) $175,000 Public Records
  • 2022-01-20 Sold (MLS) $175,000 WKRMLS
  • 2021-11-08 Listed $169,900 WKRMLS
  • 2021-05-25 Sold (Public Records) $140,000 Public Records
  • 2015-10-12 Sold (Public Records) $90,000 Public Records
  • 2015-10-09 Sold (MLS) $90,000 WKRMLS
  • 2015-08-14 Listed $107,000 WKRMLS
  • 2010-01-26 Sold (Public Records) $108,250 Public Records
  • 2008-08-19 Sold (Public Records) $82,450 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,484 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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