420 Golconda Ave · Kingman, AZ
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.68%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $610 – $1,132
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.8/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +6.8/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$140,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Charming 1961 single-family residence offering 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms with 1,573 sq ft of living space. Situated on a fully fenced 50x125 lot, this property provides both privacy and room to enjoy the outdoors. Inside, you ll find a functional layout with plenty of potential to make it your own, while outside you can take in beautiful mountain views that add to the home s appeal. Whether you re looking for a primary residence, investment opportunity, or a place to customize, this property offers a great combination of space, location, and scenic surroundings.
Key facts
- Functional layout
- Fully fenced lot
- Scenic surroundings
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot approximately 0.14 acres (50 x 125); Zoned K- R1 Res: MF, Low Density
Exterior
- Parking: RV access/parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; 220 volt electric; Natural gas available
- Home design: Residential single-family home
- Construction: Stucco and frame construction; Shingle roof
- Exterior features: Covered patio; Patio; Shed(s); Has a view; Fenced yard (block, chain link, wood) with front and back yard fencing; Paved road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas oven; Gas range
- Flooring: Laminate flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Evaporative cooling; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Laminate countertops; Walk-in closets
- Laundry & utility: Inside laundry with gas dryer hookup; Water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $44 ($527/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
- Recommended offer: $136k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.3% vs local median 3.6% in Kingman — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#5 in AZ, #2,014 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, employment C-, schools D+.
- Kingman Unified School District (79598) (town): math 19% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #179 of 249 in AZ (top 72%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.3%/yr); 965 active listings in the ZIP; 2,543 units permitted in Mohave County in 2024 (33 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $968 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Mohave County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $120k; 17% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.18% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.33%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.40%
- DSCR
- 1.64
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $203,721
- List price
- $140,000
- Delta
- -31.28%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 426 Golconda Ave | 0.02mi | 3/1.0 | 1,515 (-4%) | 3mo | $195,700 | $129 | 86 |
| 809 Madison St | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 | 1,545 (-2%) | 2mo | $68,000 | $44 | 76 |
| 106 E Park St | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 | 1,506 (-4%) | 12mo | $285,000 | $189 | 68 |
| 632 E Beale St Unit Kingman | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 | 1,348 (-14%) | 2mo | $235,000 | $174 | 57 |
| 208 E Oak St | 0.41mi | 2/2.5 (-1) | 1,347 (-14%) | 0mo | $250,000 | $186 | 50 |
| 107 E Oak St | 0.51mi | 3/1.0 | 1,384 (-12%) | 7mo | $245,000 | $177 | 47 |
| 401 Grandview Ave | 0.70mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,552 (-1%) | 23mo | $140,000 | $90 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.37×
- Total profit
- $-24,515
- Equity at exit
- $20,874
- IRR
- -21.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.09×
- Total profit
- $-35,590
- Equity at exit
- $12,105
Cash invested: $39,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arizona
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 86401
- Home prices YoY
- -33.8%
- Rents YoY
- -0.3%
- Active inventory
- 965
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,649 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax from tax record
- −$40 /mo · $475/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$346
- Net cashflow
- $44
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $123 | -5% $84 | +0% $44 | +5% $4 | +10% $-35 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-86 | -5% $-21 | +0% $44 | +5% $109 | +10% $174 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $114 | -0.5pp $80 | base $44 | +0.5pp $8 | +1.0pp $-29 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $35,000
- Closing costs
- $4,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $140,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $140,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $140,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $140,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $140,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $140,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $140,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $140,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $140,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-08statusdays on market $140,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $140,000 Pending 30 DOM
-
2026-06-05statusdays on market $140,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-04-30$140,000 Active 587-char remark
-
2021-05-10soldstatus $120,000
-
2012-05-04soldstatus $23,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AZ · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $475 · $40/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $924 · $77/mo
- Expected delta
- +$449/yr (+$37/mo · 94.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone AE · 68% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,786
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,842
- − Property taxes
- −$475
- − Insurance
- −$5,818
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,583
- − Management
- −$1,583
- − Depreciation
- −$4,073
- Taxable loss
- −$1,588
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$381
- After-tax cash flow
- $909/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Kingman Unified School District (79598)
- NCES district ID
- 0400295
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,760
- Composite
- 17.87/100
- National rank
- #9002
- State rank
- #179 of 249 in AZ
Livability — Kingman
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #5
- US rank
- #2014
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Kingman, AZ
- County
- Mohave County · 181,906 people
- City population
- 60,489
- Metro
- Lake Havasu City-Kingman, AZ
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,124
- Household income
- $66,129
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 985.0
Population outlook (Mohave County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 209,184 people
- By 2030
- 209,674 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 205,897 · -1.6%
- By 2050
- 196,810 · -5.9%
- By 2075
- 169,454 · -19.0%
- By 2100
- 136,630 · -34.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 76% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 10% Asian 2% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 13%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Slovak 2% Portuguese 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Mohave
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+55.8) · D 21.8% · R 77.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.9pp toward R · 2008: -32.9pp · 2024: -55.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+55.8 2020: R+51.3 2016: R+51.5 2012: R+42.6 2008: R+32.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -128.30%
- Current HPI
- 251.8208
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.28%
- Metro
- Lake Havasu City-Kingman, AZ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.54%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 2 | $13B |
|
||
| Mining / Metals | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Environmental Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $14B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $9B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $8B |
|
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Price history
+508.7% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-08 Relisted — WARDEX
- 2026-06-06 Pending — WARDEX
- 2026-06-03 Relisted — WARDEX
- 2026-05-27 Pending — WARDEX
- 2026-04-30 Listed $140,000 WARDEX
- 2021-05-10 Sold (Public Records) $120,000 Public Records
- 2012-05-04 Sold (Public Records) $23,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.8%/yrLatest (2025): $475 · -0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…