CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
122 Joseph Dr
D+ Composite 48.3
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +14.7/30.0
  • DSCR +4.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$145,000

122 Joseph Dr · Ozark, AL 36360
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,644 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 22 Days on market
Built 1966 0.53 ac lot Est $182k · 21% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome home to 122 Joseph Drive in Ozark, Alabama! This charming brick home offers 4 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and a functional layout perfect for everyday living. Situated on a spacious corner lot in the heart of Ozark with flowering bushes and trees to include a fig tree. This property features newer windows, a fenced backyard ideal for pets or entertaining, and a one-car garage for added convenience. Enjoy the comfort, curb appeal, and location this well-maintained home has to offer. Whether you're looking for your first home, more space, or a great investment opportunity, this one is a must-see!

Key facts

  • Flowering bushes
  • Fig tree
  • Spacious corner lot

Tags

BRICK HOMESPACIOUS CORNER LOTFLOWERING BUSHESFIG TREENEWER WINDOWSFENCED BACKYARD

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (1 covered parking space / 1 garage space, total 1 parking space)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One level
  • Construction: Brick and vinyl siding exterior
  • Exterior features: Waterfront lot; Lot approximately 0.53 acres (about 140 x 165)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Cooktop; Oven; Microwave; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Double-pane windows
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry located in garage

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $145k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $37 ($441/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $131k (9.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $131k (9.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 4.3% in Ozark — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#224 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Ozark City (town): math 11% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #99 of 129 in AL (top 77%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: D A Smith Middle School (math 7% / reading 35%, grade F, #188 of 257 statewide, top 74%, 485 students, 65% FRL); Carroll High School (math 22% / reading 27%, grade F, #118 of 305 statewide, top 45%, 638 students, 58% FRL) — zoned schools at 61% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 184 active listings in the ZIP; 38 units permitted in Dale County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Dale County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($143k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $131,495 (9.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.91%
Cap rate
6.60%
Cash-on-cash
1.09%
DSCR
1.05
GRM
9.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$182,484
Comps found
7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
259 Joseph Dr 0.13mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,626 (-1%) 23mo $174,900 $108 64
1048 E Roy Parker Rd 0.22mi 4/2.5 1,823 (+11%) 4mo $167,500 $92 62
236 Doncaster N 0.46mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,690 (+3%) 4mo $266,500 $158 61
216 Doncaster N 0.46mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,690 (+3%) 4mo $269,000 $159 61
158 Broadview Ter 0.22mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,458 (-11%) 10mo $103,000 $71 55
547 Northwood Dr 0.18mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,501 (-9%) 18mo $167,000 $111 53
672 E Roy Parker Rd 0.25mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,873 (+14%) 8mo $235,000 $125 49

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.6%
Equity multiple
0.48×
Total profit
$-21,136
Equity at exit
$21,620
10-year hold
IRR
-5.8%
Equity multiple
0.62×
Total profit
$-15,310
Equity at exit
$12,537

Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 36360

Home prices YoY
-6.9%
Active inventory
184
Price-to-rent
9.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,315 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$760
Tax est. 1.5%
$181 /mo · $2,175/yr
Insurance
$60
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$276
Net cashflow
$37

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,268
Max offer price $145,000
Occupancy floor 92%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$36,250
Closing costs
$4,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $145,000 Active 22 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $145,000 Active 21 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $145,000 Active 20 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $145,000 Active 19 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $145,000 Active 18 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $145,000 Active 16 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $145,000 Active 15 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $145,000 Active 12 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $145,000 Active 11 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $145,000 Active 10 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $145,000 Active 9 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $145,000 Active 6 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $145,000 Active 5 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $145,000 Active 4 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $145,000 Active 3 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $145,000 Active 2 DOM
  17. 2026-05-28
    listed $145,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (604 chars)

    Welcome home to 122 Joseph Drive in Ozark, Alabama! This charming brick home offers 4 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and a functional layout perfect for everyday living. Situated on a spacious corner lot in the heart of Ozark with flowering bushes and trees to include a fig tree. This property features newer windows, a fenced backyard ideal for pets or entertaining, and a one-car garage for added convenience. Enjoy the comfort, curb appeal, and location this well-maintained home has to offer. Whether you're looking for your first home, more space, or a great investment opportunity, this one is a must-see!

  18. 2026-05-28
    listed $145,000 Active 604-char remark
    Show marketing remark (604 chars)

    Welcome home to 122 Joseph Drive in Ozark, Alabama! This charming brick home offers 4 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and a functional layout perfect for everyday living. Situated on a spacious corner lot in the heart of Ozark with flowering bushes and trees to include a fig tree. This property features newer windows, a fenced backyard ideal for pets or entertaining, and a one-car garage for added convenience. Enjoy the comfort, curb appeal, and location this well-maintained home has to offer. Whether you're looking for your first home, more space, or a great investment opportunity, this one is a must-see!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,779
− Mortgage interest
−$8,122
− Property taxes
−$2,175
− Insurance
−$725
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,262
− Management
−$1,262
− Depreciation
−$4,218
Taxable loss
−$1,986
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$477
After-tax cash flow
$918/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ozark City
NCES district ID
0102640
Math proficiency
11% ▼ -24.00%
Reading proficiency
36% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$39,155
Composite
19.67/100
National rank
#8733
State rank
#99 of 129 in AL

Livability — Ozark

Score
62/100
State rank
#224
US rank
#16855

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Ozark, AL
City population
19,461
Population (ZIP)
19,461

Population outlook (Dale County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
46,805 people
By 2030
45,176 · -3.5%
By 2040
41,523 · -11.3%
By 2050
37,575 · -19.7%
By 2075
28,931 · -38.2%
By 2100
22,172 · -52.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (65%)
Race & ethnicity
White 65% Black 27% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Serbian 2% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 3% German/W. Germanic 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Dale

2024 margin
Solid R (+52.3) · D 23.5% · R 75.8%
2008→2024 swing
-7.7pp toward R · 2008: -44.6pp · 2024: -52.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+52.3 2020: R+46.3 2016: R+50.4 2012: R+42.2 2008: R+44.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -14.80%
Current HPI
198.6765
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-28 Listed $145,000 WBR
  • 2026-05-28 Listed $145,000 SAMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…