122 Joseph Dr · Ozark, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +14.7/30.0
- DSCR +4.5/10.0
- 1% rule +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$145,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome home to 122 Joseph Drive in Ozark, Alabama! This charming brick home offers 4 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and a functional layout perfect for everyday living. Situated on a spacious corner lot in the heart of Ozark with flowering bushes and trees to include a fig tree. This property features newer windows, a fenced backyard ideal for pets or entertaining, and a one-car garage for added convenience. Enjoy the comfort, curb appeal, and location this well-maintained home has to offer. Whether you're looking for your first home, more space, or a great investment opportunity, this one is a must-see!
Key facts
- Flowering bushes
- Fig tree
- Spacious corner lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (1 covered parking space / 1 garage space, total 1 parking space)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One level
- Construction: Brick and vinyl siding exterior
- Exterior features: Waterfront lot; Lot approximately 0.53 acres (about 140 x 165)
Interior
- Kitchen: Cooktop; Oven; Microwave; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Double-pane windows
- Laundry & utility: Laundry located in garage
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $145k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $37 ($441/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $131k (9.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $131k (9.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 4.3% in Ozark — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#224 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Ozark City (town): math 11% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #99 of 129 in AL (top 77%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: D A Smith Middle School (math 7% / reading 35%, grade F, #188 of 257 statewide, top 74%, 485 students, 65% FRL); Carroll High School (math 22% / reading 27%, grade F, #118 of 305 statewide, top 45%, 638 students, 58% FRL) — zoned schools at 61% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 184 active listings in the ZIP; 38 units permitted in Dale County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Dale County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($143k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.91% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.60%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.09%
- DSCR
- 1.05
- GRM
- 9.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $182,484
- Comps found
- 7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 259 Joseph Dr | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,626 (-1%) | 23mo | $174,900 | $108 | 64 |
| 1048 E Roy Parker Rd | 0.22mi | 4/2.5 | 1,823 (+11%) | 4mo | $167,500 | $92 | 62 |
| 236 Doncaster N | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,690 (+3%) | 4mo | $266,500 | $158 | 61 |
| 216 Doncaster N | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,690 (+3%) | 4mo | $269,000 | $159 | 61 |
| 158 Broadview Ter | 0.22mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,458 (-11%) | 10mo | $103,000 | $71 | 55 |
| 547 Northwood Dr | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,501 (-9%) | 18mo | $167,000 | $111 | 53 |
| 672 E Roy Parker Rd | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,873 (+14%) | 8mo | $235,000 | $125 | 49 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.48×
- Total profit
- $-21,136
- Equity at exit
- $21,620
- IRR
- -5.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.62×
- Total profit
- $-15,310
- Equity at exit
- $12,537
Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36360
- Home prices YoY
- -6.9%
- Active inventory
- 184
- Price-to-rent
- 9.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,315 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$760
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$181 /mo · $2,175/yr
- Insurance
- −$60
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$276
- Net cashflow
- $37
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,250
- Closing costs
- $4,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $145,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $145,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $145,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $145,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $145,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $145,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $145,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $145,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $145,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $145,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $145,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $145,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $145,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $145,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $145,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $145,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-05-28$145,000 Active
Show marketing remark (604 chars)
Welcome home to 122 Joseph Drive in Ozark, Alabama! This charming brick home offers 4 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and a functional layout perfect for everyday living. Situated on a spacious corner lot in the heart of Ozark with flowering bushes and trees to include a fig tree. This property features newer windows, a fenced backyard ideal for pets or entertaining, and a one-car garage for added convenience. Enjoy the comfort, curb appeal, and location this well-maintained home has to offer. Whether you're looking for your first home, more space, or a great investment opportunity, this one is a must-see!
-
2026-05-28$145,000 Active 604-char remark
Show marketing remark (604 chars)
Welcome home to 122 Joseph Drive in Ozark, Alabama! This charming brick home offers 4 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and a functional layout perfect for everyday living. Situated on a spacious corner lot in the heart of Ozark with flowering bushes and trees to include a fig tree. This property features newer windows, a fenced backyard ideal for pets or entertaining, and a one-car garage for added convenience. Enjoy the comfort, curb appeal, and location this well-maintained home has to offer. Whether you're looking for your first home, more space, or a great investment opportunity, this one is a must-see!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,779
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,122
- − Property taxes
- −$2,175
- − Insurance
- −$725
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,262
- − Management
- −$1,262
- − Depreciation
- −$4,218
- Taxable loss
- −$1,986
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$477
- After-tax cash flow
- $918/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ozark City
- NCES district ID
- 0102640
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -24.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 36% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,155
- Composite
- 19.67/100
- National rank
- #8733
- State rank
- #99 of 129 in AL
Livability — Ozark
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #224
- US rank
- #16855
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ozark, AL
- City population
- 19,461
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,461
Population outlook (Dale County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 46,805 people
- By 2030
- 45,176 · -3.5%
- By 2040
- 41,523 · -11.3%
- By 2050
- 37,575 · -19.7%
- By 2075
- 28,931 · -38.2%
- By 2100
- 22,172 · -52.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Black 27% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 3% German/W. Germanic 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Dale
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+52.3) · D 23.5% · R 75.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.7pp toward R · 2008: -44.6pp · 2024: -52.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+52.3 2020: R+46.3 2016: R+50.4 2012: R+42.2 2008: R+44.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -14.80%
- Current HPI
- 198.6765
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-28 Listed $145,000 WBR
- 2026-05-28 Listed $145,000 SAMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…