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600 Raintree Blvd #24
B- Composite 65.28
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +4.3/15.0
  • Rent growth +3.1/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Livability +2.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$69,900

600 Raintree Blvd #24 · Williamsburg, CO 81212
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,232 sqft · Manufactured public records · 21 Days on market
Built 1988 Est $65k · 7% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This beautifully remodeled 3-bedroom, 2-bath mobile home offers comfort, style, and affordability in a welcoming mobile home park community. From the moment you step inside, you’ll appreciate the fresh updates and thoughtful improvements that make this home truly move-in ready. The spacious living area features an open and inviting layout with updated flooring, modern finishes, and plenty of natural light throughout. The kitchen has been nicely updated with attractive cabinetry, ample counter space, and room for everyday dining and entertaining. The primary bedroom includes a private full bath, while the additional bedrooms provide flexibility for family, guests, or a home office. Gue

Key facts

  • Built 1988
  • Listed 20 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available; Electricity connected; Natural gas connected
  • Home design: Single-family residential
  • Construction: Wood siding
  • Exterior features: Enclosed patio/porch; Level lot

Interior

  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Electric cooling; Window AC unit(s)
  • Interior features: Storm windows; No fireplace

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $70k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $922 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $70k).
  • Recommended offer: $69k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 54/100 on livability (#356 in CO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, crime F.
  • Fremont Re-2 (town): math 25% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #48 of 86 in CO (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.2%/yr); 10 active listings in the ZIP; 139 units permitted in Fremont County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($64k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $483 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Fremont County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.2% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($69k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $68,851 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.54%
Cap rate
22.12%
Cash-on-cash
56.53%
DSCR
3.52
GRM
3.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$65,296
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
600 Raintree Blvd 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,088 (-12%) 9mo $58,000 $53 73

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.2% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
54.0%
Equity multiple
3.35×
Total profit
$46,005
Equity at exit
$10,422
10-year hold
IRR
58.9%
Equity multiple
6.62×
Total profit
$110,053
Equity at exit
$6,044

Cash invested: $19,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
38 Tenant-Leaning
State Colorado
38 Tenant-Leaning · D+4
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2023 reforms: 10-day cure, mandated notice, source-of-income protected. Courts backlogged in Denver.

ZIP-level market 81212

Rents YoY
2.2%
Active inventory
10
Price-to-rent
3.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,779 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$367
Tax est. 1.5%
$87 /mo · $1,048/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$374
Net cashflow
$922

Break-even live

Break-even rent $611
Max offer price $69,900
Occupancy floor 43%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,475
Closing costs
$2,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-09
    days on market $69,900 Active 21 DOM
  2. 2026-06-08
    days on market $69,900 Active 20 DOM
  3. 2026-06-07
    days on market $69,900 Active 19 DOM
  4. 2026-06-05
    days on market $69,900 Active 16 DOM
  5. 2026-06-03
    days on market $69,900 Active 15 DOM
  6. 2026-06-03
    price $69,900 Active 14 DOM
  7. 2026-06-02
    days on market $75,000 Active 14 DOM
  8. 2026-06-01
    days on market $75,000 Active 13 DOM
  9. 2026-05-31
    days on market $75,000 Active 12 DOM
  10. 2026-05-30
    days on market $75,000 Active 11 DOM
  11. 2026-05-20
    listed $75,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥93°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,343
− Mortgage interest
−$3,915
− Property taxes
−$1,048
− Insurance
−$350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,707
− Management
−$1,707
− Depreciation
−$2,033
Taxable income
$10,582
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,540
After-tax cash flow
$8,525/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Fremont Re-2
NCES district ID
0803960
Math proficiency
25% ▲ 3.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$42,196
Composite
27.06/100
National rank
#7050
State rank
#48 of 86 in CO

Livability — Williamsburg

Score
54/100
State rank
#356
US rank
#23823

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Williamsburg, CO
County
Fremont County · 32,292 people
Metro
Ca-¦on City, CO
Population (ZIP)
32,292
Household income
$64,235
Rent vs Own
27.0% rent · 73.0% own
Severe rent burden
780.0

Population outlook (Fremont County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
46,291 people
By 2030
46,017 · -0.6%
By 2040
45,295 · -2.2%
By 2050
43,881 · -5.2%
By 2075
39,981 · -13.6%
By 2100
31,943 · -31.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 6% Black 3% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3%
Common ancestry
Slovak 4% Portuguese 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Fremont

2024 margin
Solid R (+38.4) · D 29.6% · R 68.0% · Other 2.5%
2008→2024 swing
-9.2pp toward R · 2008: -29.2pp · 2024: -38.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+38.4 2020: R+39.7 2016: R+44.8 2012: R+31.8 2008: R+29.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -213.34%
Current HPI
189.8942
Rent YoY
▲ 2.20%
Metro
Ca-¦on City, CO
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.95%
F500 in state
14

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Listed $75,000 RGAR

Property tax history

-10.3%/yr

Latest (2021): $38 · +7.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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