433 La Cascata Tnhs · Lindenwold, NJ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $526 – $976
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 57.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.0/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$132,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
HUD Case#:351-422444 . Property sold "as-is" . Information from sources deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Buyer to verify all information.
Key facts
- La cascata community
- Walking areas
- $100 HOA
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Ground rent payment frequency: annually
- HOA & community: HOA includes outdoor pool; HOA fee $100 per month
Exterior
- Parking: Parking lot with 1 parking space
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; 100 Amp electric service; Electric hot water; Electric and natural gas available; Cable internet available
- Home design: Interior townhouse/rowhouse; Fee simple ownership; Below average property condition; Lot dimensions approximately 17 x 91
- Construction: Vinyl siding exterior; Slab foundation; Above-grade and below-grade structures noted; Year built per assessor
- Exterior features: Wood fencing; Community in-ground pool; Property managed by on-site/property manager; Not in a federal flood zone; Pets allowed on a case-by-case basis
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric oven/range; Refrigerator; Dishwasher
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the upper level
- Flooring: Carpet
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the upper level; 1 half bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Wall unit heating; Electric heating fuel; Electric cooling fuel
- Interior features: Carpeted interior; No basement
- Laundry & utility: Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath townhouse listed at $132k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $423 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $132k).
- Cap rate 10.1% vs local median 5.4% in Lindenwold — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#312 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A, cost of living B; Watch: employment C-, crime D, amenities D-.
- Gloucester Township Public Schools (suburban): math 14% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #351 of 472 in NJ (top 74%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Loring Flemming Elementary School (math 12% / reading 33%, grade F, #934 of 1,303 statewide, top 72%, 679 students, 42% FRL); Glen Landing Middle School (math 16% / reading 42%, grade F, #321 of 431 statewide, top 77%, 790 students, 34% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.0%/yr); 242 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,018 units permitted in Camden County in 2024 (509 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($68k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $913 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Camden County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $37k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $72k; list at $132k implies a 82% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 57% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.40% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.14%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.73%
- DSCR
- 1.61
- GRM
- 6.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $210,304
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 402 La Cascata Tnhs | 0.08mi | 2/1.5 | 992 (0%) | 0mo | $250,000 | $252 | 96 |
| 54 La Cascata Tnhs | 0.11mi | 2/1.5 | 1,016 (+2%) | 0mo | $218,000 | $215 | 91 |
| 86 La Cascata Tnhs | 0.17mi | 2/1.5 | 1,016 (+2%) | 2mo | $215,000 | $212 | 86 |
| 35 La Cascata Tnhs | 0.16mi | 2/1.5 | 1,016 (+2%) | 3mo | $227,500 | $224 | 86 |
| 113 La Cascata Tnhs | 0.26mi | 2/1.5 | 1,016 (+2%) | 1mo | $175,000 | $172 | 83 |
| 285 La Cascata | 0.25mi | 2/1.5 | 1,016 (+2%) | 3mo | $223,510 | $220 | 82 |
| 280 La Cascata Tnhs | 0.25mi | 2/1.5 | 1,016 (+2%) | 3mo | $200,000 | $197 | 82 |
| 124 La Cascata Tnhs | 0.29mi | 2/1.5 | 1,016 (+2%) | 3mo | $205,000 | $202 | 80 |
| 143 La Cascata Tnhs | 0.35mi | 2/1.5 | 1,016 (+2%) | 2mo | $230,000 | $226 | 78 |
| 1003 Timber Crk | 0.44mi | 2/1.0 | 992 (0%) | 0mo | $107,000 | $108 | 77 |
| 804 Timber Crk | 0.45mi | 2/1.0 | 992 (0%) | 1mo | $160,000 | $161 | 76 |
| 51 Chiswick Dr | 0.73mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,110 (+12%) | 1mo | $140,000 | $126 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.02% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.15×
- Total profit
- $5,675
- Equity at exit
- $19,682
- IRR
- 13.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.09×
- Total profit
- $40,184
- Equity at exit
- $11,413
Cash invested: $36,960 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 08021
- Home prices YoY
- -31.6%
- Rents YoY
- 3.0%
- Active inventory
- 242
- Price-to-rent
- 6.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,846 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$692
- Tax from tax record
- −$188 /mo · $2,256/yr
- Insurance
- −$55
- HOA
- −$100
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$388
- Net cashflow
- $423
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $497 | -5% $460 | +0% $423 | +5% $385 | +10% $348 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $277 | -5% $350 | +0% $423 | +5% $496 | +10% $569 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $489 | -0.5pp $456 | base $423 | +0.5pp $389 | +1.0pp $354 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,000
- Closing costs
- $3,960
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 16 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 225 La Cascata Clementon, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 616 | $1,575 | $2.56 | 2d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 1800 Laurel Rd Lindenwold, NJ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 885 | $2,072 | $2.34 | 2d | 22 | 0.24mi |
| 1900 Laurel Rd Lindenwold, NJ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 625 | $1,650 | $2.64 | 25d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 1990 Laurel Rd Apt AK313 Lindenwold, NJ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 691 | $1,450 | $2.10 | 13d | 3 | 0.32mi |
| 1600 Laurel Rd Lindenwold, NJ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 900 | $1,600 | $1.78 | 25d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 500 Chews Landing Rd Lindenwold, NJ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $1,750 | $2.00 | 25d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 1341 Blackwood Clementon Rd Clementon, NJ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $2,564 | $2.77 | 2d | 26 | 0.59mi |
| 1801 Broadacres Dr Clementon, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 910 | $2,032 | $2.23 | 2d | 8 | 0.64mi |
| 51 Chiswick Dr Unit 1 Lindenwold, NJ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1110 | $2,650 | $2.39 | 2d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 1109 Huntingdon Mews Clementon, NJ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 946 | $1,750 | $1.85 | 16d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 432 Highland Ests Clementon, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 827 | $1,500 | $1.81 | 13d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 828 Blackwood Clementon Rd Pine Hill, NJ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 734 | $1,575 | $2.15 | 23d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 1200 Little Gloucester Rd Clementon, NJ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $3,100 | $3.54 | 2d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 105 Blackwood Clementon Rd Lindenwold, NJ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,600 | $2.00 | 17d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 1000 W Atlantic Ave Laurel Springs, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 740 | $1,275 | $1.72 | 6d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 116 Blackwood Clementon Rd Clementon, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 610 | $1,225 | $2.01 | 6d | 3 | 1.48mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $100 · $1,200/yr
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-05-14$132,000 Active
-
2006-12-22soldstatus $72,500 150-char remark
Show marketing remark (150 chars)
HUD Case#:351-422444 . Property sold "as-is" . Information from sources deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Buyer to verify all information.
-
2006-10-18historical 150-char remark
Show marketing remark (150 chars)
HUD Case#:351-422444 . Property sold "as-is" . Information from sources deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Buyer to verify all information.
-
2006-04-30historical
-
2006-04-07$72,500 150-char remark
Show marketing remark (150 chars)
HUD Case#:351-422444 . Property sold "as-is" . Information from sources deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Buyer to verify all information.
-
2005-10-24$85,000
-
2002-07-25soldstatus $46,000
-
2002-06-07soldstatus $46,000
-
2002-04-08$46,000
-
1993-05-25soldstatus $54,500
-
1987-06-15soldstatus $49,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,256 · $188/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,771 · $231/mo
- Expected delta
- +$515/yr (+$43/mo · 22.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 57% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,146
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,394
- − Property taxes
- −$2,256
- − Insurance
- −$660
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,772
- − Management
- −$1,772
- − HOA
- −$1,200
- − Depreciation
- −$3,840
- Taxable income
- $3,253
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$781
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,292/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Gloucester Township Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3406030
- Math proficiency
- 14% ▼ -28.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $72,539
- Composite
- 26.18/100
- National rank
- #7269
- State rank
- #351 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Lindenwold
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #312
- US rank
- #9603
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Camden County · 407,624 people
- City population
- 49,305
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 49,305
- Household income
- $68,044
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3050.0
Population outlook (Camden County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 507,964 people
- By 2030
- 502,182 · -1.1%
- By 2040
- 485,602 · -4.4%
- By 2050
- 465,630 · -8.3%
- By 2075
- 419,986 · -17.3%
- By 2100
- 369,492 · -27.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 44% Black 27% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 11% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 6% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 14% Chinese 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Camden
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+27.4) · D 63.0% · R 35.5% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.8pp toward R · 2008: 36.2pp · 2024: 27.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+27.4 2020: D+33.5 2016: D+32.4 2012: D+36.6 2008: D+36.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -156.73%
- Current HPI
- 338.8351
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.02%
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
|
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| Technology | 2 | $21B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
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Price history
+169.4% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Listed $132,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2006-12-22 Sold (MLS) $72,500 BRIGHT MLS
- 2006-10-18 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2006-04-30 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2006-04-07 Listed $72,500 BRIGHT MLS
- 2005-10-24 Listed $85,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2002-07-25 Sold (Public Records) $46,000 Public Records
- 2002-06-07 Sold (MLS) $46,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2002-04-08 Listed $46,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 1993-05-25 Sold (Public Records) $54,500 Public Records
- 1987-06-15 Sold (Public Records) $49,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-0.5%/yrLatest (2025): $2,256 · +2.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…