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433 La Cascata Tnhs
B Composite 74.05
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$132,000

433 La Cascata Tnhs · Lindenwold, NJ 08021
2 bd · 1.5 ba · 992 sqft · Townhouse public records · 11 Days on market
Built 1980 1,546 sqft lot Est $210k · 37% under $100/mo HOA · 5% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

HUD Case#:351-422444 . Property sold "as-is" . Information from sources deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Buyer to verify all information.

Key facts

  • La cascata community
  • Walking areas
  • $100 HOA

Tags

LA CASCATA COMMUNITYCONVENIENT ACCESS TO SHOPPINGCOMMUNITY OPEN SPACESWALKING AREAS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Ground rent payment frequency: annually
  • HOA & community: HOA includes outdoor pool; HOA fee $100 per month

Exterior

  • Parking: Parking lot with 1 parking space
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; 100 Amp electric service; Electric hot water; Electric and natural gas available; Cable internet available
  • Home design: Interior townhouse/rowhouse; Fee simple ownership; Below average property condition; Lot dimensions approximately 17 x 91
  • Construction: Vinyl siding exterior; Slab foundation; Above-grade and below-grade structures noted; Year built per assessor
  • Exterior features: Wood fencing; Community in-ground pool; Property managed by on-site/property manager; Not in a federal flood zone; Pets allowed on a case-by-case basis

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric oven/range; Refrigerator; Dishwasher
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the upper level
  • Flooring: Carpet
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the upper level; 1 half bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Wall unit heating; Electric heating fuel; Electric cooling fuel
  • Interior features: Carpeted interior; No basement
  • Laundry & utility: Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath townhouse listed at $132k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $423 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $132k).
  • Cap rate 10.1% vs local median 5.4% in Lindenwold — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#312 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A, cost of living B; Watch: employment C-, crime D, amenities D-.
  • Gloucester Township Public Schools (suburban): math 14% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #351 of 472 in NJ (top 74%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Loring Flemming Elementary School (math 12% / reading 33%, grade F, #934 of 1,303 statewide, top 72%, 679 students, 42% FRL); Glen Landing Middle School (math 16% / reading 42%, grade F, #321 of 431 statewide, top 77%, 790 students, 34% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.0%/yr); 242 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,018 units permitted in Camden County in 2024 (509 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($68k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $913 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Camden County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $37k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $72k; list at $132k implies a 82% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 57% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $132,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.40%
Cap rate
10.14%
Cash-on-cash
13.73%
DSCR
1.61
GRM
6.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$210,304
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
402 La Cascata Tnhs 0.08mi 2/1.5 992 (0%) 0mo $250,000 $252 96
54 La Cascata Tnhs 0.11mi 2/1.5 1,016 (+2%) 0mo $218,000 $215 91
86 La Cascata Tnhs 0.17mi 2/1.5 1,016 (+2%) 2mo $215,000 $212 86
35 La Cascata Tnhs 0.16mi 2/1.5 1,016 (+2%) 3mo $227,500 $224 86
113 La Cascata Tnhs 0.26mi 2/1.5 1,016 (+2%) 1mo $175,000 $172 83
285 La Cascata 0.25mi 2/1.5 1,016 (+2%) 3mo $223,510 $220 82
280 La Cascata Tnhs 0.25mi 2/1.5 1,016 (+2%) 3mo $200,000 $197 82
124 La Cascata Tnhs 0.29mi 2/1.5 1,016 (+2%) 3mo $205,000 $202 80
143 La Cascata Tnhs 0.35mi 2/1.5 1,016 (+2%) 2mo $230,000 $226 78
1003 Timber Crk 0.44mi 2/1.0 992 (0%) 0mo $107,000 $108 77
804 Timber Crk 0.45mi 2/1.0 992 (0%) 1mo $160,000 $161 76
51 Chiswick Dr 0.73mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,110 (+12%) 1mo $140,000 $126 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.02% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
4.0%
Equity multiple
1.15×
Total profit
$5,675
Equity at exit
$19,682
10-year hold
IRR
13.6%
Equity multiple
2.09×
Total profit
$40,184
Equity at exit
$11,413

Cash invested: $36,960 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
21 Tenant-Leaning
State New Jersey
21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Anti-eviction Act requires just-cause statewide; rent control in 100+ municipalities; one of the most tenant-friendly states.

ZIP-level market 08021

Home prices YoY
-31.6%
Rents YoY
3.0%
Active inventory
242
Price-to-rent
6.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,846 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$692
Tax from tax record
$188 /mo · $2,256/yr
Insurance
$55
HOA
$100
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$388
Net cashflow
$423

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,310
Max offer price $132,000
Occupancy floor 72%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $497 -5% $460 +0% $423 +5% $385 +10% $348
Rent -10% $277 -5% $350 +0% $423 +5% $496 +10% $569
Rate -1.0pp $489 -0.5pp $456 base $423 +0.5pp $389 +1.0pp $354

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,000
Closing costs
$3,960
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 16 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
225 La Cascata Clementon, NJ 1.0 1.0 616 $1,575 $2.56 2d 1 0.20mi
1800 Laurel Rd Lindenwold, NJ 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 885 $2,072 $2.34 2d 22 0.24mi
1900 Laurel Rd Lindenwold, NJ 1.0–2.0 1.0 625 $1,650 $2.64 25d 1 0.26mi
1990 Laurel Rd Apt AK313 Lindenwold, NJ 1.0–2.0 1.0 691 $1,450 $2.10 13d 3 0.32mi
1600 Laurel Rd Lindenwold, NJ 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 900 $1,600 $1.78 25d 1 0.34mi
500 Chews Landing Rd Lindenwold, NJ 1.0–2.0 1.0 875 $1,750 $2.00 25d 1 0.57mi
1341 Blackwood Clementon Rd Clementon, NJ 1.0–2.0 1.0 925 $2,564 $2.77 2d 26 0.59mi
1801 Broadacres Dr Clementon, NJ 2.0 1.0–2.0 910 $2,032 $2.23 2d 8 0.64mi
51 Chiswick Dr Unit 1 Lindenwold, NJ 3.0 2.0 1110 $2,650 $2.39 2d 1 0.66mi
1109 Huntingdon Mews Clementon, NJ 2.0 2.0 946 $1,750 $1.85 16d 1 0.70mi
432 Highland Ests Clementon, NJ 1.0 1.0 827 $1,500 $1.81 13d 1 1.00mi
828 Blackwood Clementon Rd Pine Hill, NJ 1.0–2.0 1.0 734 $1,575 $2.15 23d 1 1.01mi
1200 Little Gloucester Rd Clementon, NJ 1.0–2.0 1.0 875 $3,100 $3.54 2d 1 1.05mi
105 Blackwood Clementon Rd Lindenwold, NJ 1.0–2.0 1.0 800 $1,600 $2.00 17d 1 1.17mi
1000 W Atlantic Ave Laurel Springs, NJ 1.0 1.0 740 $1,275 $1.72 6d 1 1.33mi
116 Blackwood Clementon Rd Clementon, NJ 1.0 1.0 610 $1,225 $2.01 6d 3 1.48mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$100 · $1,200/yr

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-05-14
    listed $132,000 Active
  2. 2006-12-22
    soldstatus $72,500 150-char remark
    Show marketing remark (150 chars)

    HUD Case#:351-422444 . Property sold "as-is" . Information from sources deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Buyer to verify all information.

  3. 2006-10-18
    historical 150-char remark
    Show marketing remark (150 chars)

    HUD Case#:351-422444 . Property sold "as-is" . Information from sources deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Buyer to verify all information.

  4. 2006-04-30
    historical
  5. 2006-04-07
    listed $72,500 150-char remark
    Show marketing remark (150 chars)

    HUD Case#:351-422444 . Property sold "as-is" . Information from sources deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Buyer to verify all information.

  6. 2005-10-24
    listed $85,000
  7. 2002-07-25
    soldstatus $46,000
  8. 2002-06-07
    soldstatus $46,000
  9. 2002-04-08
    listed $46,000
  10. 1993-05-25
    soldstatus $54,500
  11. 1987-06-15
    soldstatus $49,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,256 · $188/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,771 · $231/mo
Expected delta
+$515/yr (+$43/mo · 22.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 57% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,146
− Mortgage interest
−$7,394
− Property taxes
−$2,256
− Insurance
−$660
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,772
− Management
−$1,772
− HOA
−$1,200
− Depreciation
−$3,840
Taxable income
$3,253
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$781
After-tax cash flow
$4,292/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Gloucester Township Public Schools
NCES district ID
3406030
Math proficiency
14% ▼ -28.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$72,539
Composite
26.18/100
National rank
#7269
State rank
#351 of 472 in NJ

Livability — Lindenwold

Score
68/100
State rank
#312
US rank
#9603

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute F Cost of living B Crime D Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Camden County · 407,624 people
City population
49,305
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
Population (ZIP)
49,305
Household income
$68,044
Rent vs Own
53.3% rent · 46.7% own
Severe rent burden
3050.0

Population outlook (Camden County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
507,964 people
By 2030
502,182 · -1.1%
By 2040
485,602 · -4.4%
By 2050
465,630 · -8.3%
By 2075
419,986 · -17.3%
By 2100
369,492 · -27.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
Race & ethnicity
White 44% Black 27% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 11% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 6% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
81% English-only · Spanish 14% Chinese 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Camden

2024 margin
Strong D (+27.4) · D 63.0% · R 35.5% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-8.8pp toward R · 2008: 36.2pp · 2024: 27.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+27.4 2020: D+33.5 2016: D+32.4 2012: D+36.6 2008: D+36.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -156.73%
Current HPI
338.8351
Rent YoY
▲ 3.02%
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+169.4% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Listed $132,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2006-12-22 Sold (MLS) $72,500 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2006-10-18 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2006-04-30 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2006-04-07 Listed $72,500 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2005-10-24 Listed $85,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2002-07-25 Sold (Public Records) $46,000 Public Records
  • 2002-06-07 Sold (MLS) $46,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2002-04-08 Listed $46,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 1993-05-25 Sold (Public Records) $54,500 Public Records
  • 1987-06-15 Sold (Public Records) $49,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-0.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,256 · +2.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…