2681 SE River Rd #10 · Hillsboro, OR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $498 – $926
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 8/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 11 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 11 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +12.1/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +4.4/5.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.1/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$79,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Ready to retire the “I’ll get to it next weekend” list? This bright, updated double-wide is here to steal your toolbox and give you your Saturdays back. With new flooring, fresh paint inside and out, and a kitchen that finally looks like it belongs in this decade (plus a brand-new dishwasher doing the thankless work), the big stuff is already handled. Both bathrooms have been fully refreshed with clean finishes and a little spa-energy, because you deserve at least one room that feels put together at all times. Out front, a brand-new porch is waiting for morning coffee, evening unwinds, and casual neighbor hellos. Need storage for hobbies, seasonal décor, or your &ld
Key facts
- New floors
- Fresh paint
- Brand new dishwasher
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Zoning: MR-1
- HOA & community: Park amenities include commons, maintained grounds, management, meeting room, party room; utilities/services provided: water, sewer, trash; Park allows up to 2 pets under 25 lbs; Senior community; Park name: River Road Mobile Estates; Park space rent $940 monthly (park rental requirement mentioned)
Exterior
- Parking: Carport (1 space); Driveway
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service (electric hot water and fuel)
- Home design: Manufactured home in a park (residential, not attached); Single-level living; Model: Lancer; No notable view
- Construction: Built in 1970; Metal roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation
- Exterior features: Metal siding; Porch; Tool shed; Yard; Level lot; Paved road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Built-in oven; Built-in range; Cooktop; Double oven; Dishwasher; Free-standing refrigerator; Eat bar
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on the main level with closet and wall-to-wall carpet; Second bedroom on the main level with closet and wall-to-wall carpet
- Flooring: Laminate flooring in main living areas and kitchen; Wall-to-wall carpet in bedrooms
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (both on the main level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Main-floor laundry; Accessible features including main floor bedroom with bath and single-level living; Laundry area; Laminate flooring; Wall-to-wall carpet; Crawl space basement
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry / utility room; Electric hot water
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($17k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 27.2% vs local median 2.9% in Hillsboro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 87/100 on livability (#13 in OR, #282 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime D+, cost of living F.
- Hillsboro SD 1J (urban): math 35% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #13 of 58 in OR (top 22%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Witch Hazel Elementary School (math 24% / reading 37%, grade F, #251 of 412 statewide, top 62%, 433 students, 68% FRL); South Meadows Middle School (math 22% / reading 47%, grade F, #61 of 128 statewide, top 54%, 709 students, 68% FRL); Hillsboro High School (math 50% / reading 70%, grade C+, #23 of 143 statewide, top 19%, 1,359 students, 68% FRL) — zoned schools average 68% FRL vs 40% district-wide (28 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.4%/yr); 425 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,224 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (242 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Washington County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 187 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $50k (38%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 187 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.97% ✓
- Cap rate
- 27.17%
- Cash-on-cash
- 74.54%
- DSCR
- 4.32
- GRM
- 2.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $88,920
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2511 SE River Rd #86 | 0.07mi | 2/2.0 | 1,344 (-2%) | 5mo | $86,500 | $64 | 90 |
| 2681 SE River Rd #22 | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,368 (0%) | 6mo | $31,000 | $23 | 85 |
| 2681 SE River Rd #9 | 0.01mi | 2/2.0 | 1,200 (-12%) | 6mo | $88,000 | $73 | 74 |
| 2681 SE River Rd #5 | 0.07mi | 2/2.0 | 1,188 (-13%) | 21mo | $109,000 | $92 | 57 |
| 1901 SE Minter Bridge Rd #32 | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,382 (+1%) | 21mo | $45,500 | $33 | 45 |
| 1901 SE Minter Bridge Rd | 0.43mi | 2/2.0 | 1,232 (-10%) | 23mo | $80,000 | $65 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 71.1%
- Equity multiple
- 4.07×
- Total profit
- $68,610
- Equity at exit
- $11,913
- IRR
- 74.2%
- Equity multiple
- 7.56×
- Total profit
- $146,834
- Equity at exit
- $6,908
Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Oregon
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 97123
- Rents YoY
- -1.4%
- Active inventory
- 425
- Price-to-rent
- 2.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,372 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$419
- Tax from tax record
- −$32 /mo · $380/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$498
- Net cashflow
- $1,390
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,975
- Closing costs
- $2,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 23 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3041 SE Timberlake Dr Hillsboro, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1269 | $2,395 | $1.89 | 24d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 2933 SE 38th Ct Hillsboro, OR | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1088 | $1,950 | $1.79 | 44d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 1467 SE Blanchard St Hillsboro, OR | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1577 | $2,595 | $1.65 | 24d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 2725 SE 44th Ct Hillsboro, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $2,245 | $2.14 | 44d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 1177 SE Fir Grove Loop Hillsboro, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $2,499 | $2.08 | 44d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 1146 SE Westerland St Hillsboro, OR | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1732 | $2,495 | $1.44 | 24d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 1410 SE Alder St Hillsboro, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1332 | $2,495 | $1.87 | 44d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 4616 SE Lone Oak St Hillsboro, OR | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1613 | $2,695 | $1.67 | 16d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 1052 SE Portlandia Ave Hillsboro, OR | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1740 | $2,395 | $1.38 | 44d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 948 SE Elina Ave Hillsboro, OR | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1568 | $2,425 | $1.55 | 3d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 936 SE Elina Ave Hillsboro, OR | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1568 | $2,385 | $1.52 | 16d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 3461 SE Ironwood Ave Hillsboro, OR | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1852 | $2,799 | $1.51 | 24d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 4787 SE Sandalwood St Hillsboro, OR | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1537 | $2,500 | $1.63 | 44d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 3456 SE Ironwood Ave Hillsboro, OR | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1786 | $2,799 | $1.57 | 24d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 1048 SE Tamora Ave Hillsboro, OR | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1662 | $2,600 | $1.56 | 17d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 530 SE 12th Ave Hillsboro, OR | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1287 | $2,800 | $2.18 | 44d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 2314 SE 53rd Ave Hillsboro, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1462 | $2,500 | $1.71 | 24d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 117 NE 25th Ave Hillsboro, OR | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 893 | $1,659 | $1.86 | 11d | 7 | 1.33mi |
| 4264 SE Oak St Hillsboro, OR | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1025 | $2,300 | $2.24 | 4d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 148 NE 24th Ave Hillsboro, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,950 | $1.77 | 22d | 2 | 1.37mi |
| 1158 SE Oak St Hillsboro, OR | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1550 | $2,295 | $1.48 | 8d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 1120 SE Baseline St Apt 4 Hillsboro, OR | 2.0 | 1.5 | 907 | $1,950 | $2.15 | 17d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 740 SE Cedar St Hillsboro, OR | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1197 | $2,295 | $1.92 | 44d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-06-13statusdays on market $79,900 Pending 187 DOM
-
2026-06-10remarks 674-char remark
-
2026-06-10$79,900 Active 185 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $380 · $32/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $775 · $65/mo
- Expected delta
- +$395/yr (+$33/mo · 104.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 8/10 Severe 11 unhealthy d/yr today · 11 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,462
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,476
- − Property taxes
- −$380
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,277
- − Management
- −$2,277
- − Depreciation
- −$2,324
- Taxable income
- $16,328
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,919
- After-tax cash flow
- $12,758/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hillsboro SD 1J
- NCES district ID
- 4100023
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $68,587
- Composite
- 36.64/100
- National rank
- #4617
- State rank
- #13 of 58 in OR
Livability — Hillsboro
- Score
- 87/100
- State rank
- #13
- US rank
- #282
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hillsboro, OR
- County
- Washington County · 583,254 people
- City population
- 102,767
- Metro
- Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 48,410
- Household income
- $109,985
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 929.0
Population outlook (Washington County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 674,042 people
- By 2030
- 721,804 · +7.1%
- By 2040
- 812,732 · +20.6%
- By 2050
- 895,143 · +32.8%
- By 2075
- 1,058,806 · +57.1%
- By 2100
- 1,131,692 · +67.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 54% Hispanic / Latino 29% Two or more races 17% Asian 9% Native American 2% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 22%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 3% Italian 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 20% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 70% English-only · Spanish 22% Vietnamese 2% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Washington
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+34.0) · D 65.3% · R 31.3% · Other 3.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +11.8pp toward D · 2008: 22.1pp · 2024: 34.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+34.0 2020: D+34.6 2016: D+26.7 2012: D+17.5 2008: D+22.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -419.54%
- Current HPI
- 297.1522
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.44%
- Metro
- Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $51B |
|
||
Price history
-38.5% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-02 Price Changed $79,900 RMLS
- 2026-04-14 Relisted — RMLS
- 2026-02-21 Relisted — RMLS
- 2026-02-21 Price Changed $90,000 RMLS
- 2025-12-03 Pending — RMLS
- 2025-09-13 Relisted — RMLS
- 2025-04-10 Listed $129,900 RMLS
Property tax history
+20.1%/yrLatest (2016): $380 · +20.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…