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2681 SE River Rd #10
B Composite 74.72
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.1/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +4.4/5.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.1/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$79,900

2681 SE River Rd #10 · Hillsboro, OR 97123
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,368 sqft · Manufactured public records · 187 Days on market
Built 1970 Est $89k · 10% under ↓ 38% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Ready to retire the “I’ll get to it next weekend” list? This bright, updated double-wide is here to steal your toolbox and give you your Saturdays back. With new flooring, fresh paint inside and out, and a kitchen that finally looks like it belongs in this decade (plus a brand-new dishwasher doing the thankless work), the big stuff is already handled. Both bathrooms have been fully refreshed with clean finishes and a little spa-energy, because you deserve at least one room that feels put together at all times. Out front, a brand-new porch is waiting for morning coffee, evening unwinds, and casual neighbor hellos. Need storage for hobbies, seasonal décor, or your &ld

Key facts

  • New floors
  • Fresh paint
  • Brand new dishwasher

Tags

NEW FLOORSFRESH PAINTBRAND NEW DISHWASHERFULL MAKEOVER BATHROOMSBRAND NEW FRONT PORCHSPACIOUS SHED

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Zoning: MR-1
  • HOA & community: Park amenities include commons, maintained grounds, management, meeting room, party room; utilities/services provided: water, sewer, trash; Park allows up to 2 pets under 25 lbs; Senior community; Park name: River Road Mobile Estates; Park space rent $940 monthly (park rental requirement mentioned)

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport (1 space); Driveway
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service (electric hot water and fuel)
  • Home design: Manufactured home in a park (residential, not attached); Single-level living; Model: Lancer; No notable view
  • Construction: Built in 1970; Metal roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation
  • Exterior features: Metal siding; Porch; Tool shed; Yard; Level lot; Paved road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Built-in oven; Built-in range; Cooktop; Double oven; Dishwasher; Free-standing refrigerator; Eat bar
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on the main level with closet and wall-to-wall carpet; Second bedroom on the main level with closet and wall-to-wall carpet
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring in main living areas and kitchen; Wall-to-wall carpet in bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (both on the main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Main-floor laundry; Accessible features including main floor bedroom with bath and single-level living; Laundry area; Laminate flooring; Wall-to-wall carpet; Crawl space basement
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry / utility room; Electric hot water

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $80k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($17k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $80k).
  • Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 27.2% vs local median 2.9% in Hillsboro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 87/100 on livability (#13 in OR, #282 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime D+, cost of living F.
  • Hillsboro SD 1J (urban): math 35% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #13 of 58 in OR (top 22%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Witch Hazel Elementary School (math 24% / reading 37%, grade F, #251 of 412 statewide, top 62%, 433 students, 68% FRL); South Meadows Middle School (math 22% / reading 47%, grade F, #61 of 128 statewide, top 54%, 709 students, 68% FRL); Hillsboro High School (math 50% / reading 70%, grade C+, #23 of 143 statewide, top 19%, 1,359 students, 68% FRL) — zoned schools average 68% FRL vs 40% district-wide (28 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.4%/yr); 425 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,224 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (242 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Washington County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 187 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $50k (38%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $70,312 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 187 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.97%
Cap rate
27.17%
Cash-on-cash
74.54%
DSCR
4.32
GRM
2.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$88,920
Comps found
6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2511 SE River Rd #86 0.07mi 2/2.0 1,344 (-2%) 5mo $86,500 $64 90
2681 SE River Rd #22 0.12mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,368 (0%) 6mo $31,000 $23 85
2681 SE River Rd #9 0.01mi 2/2.0 1,200 (-12%) 6mo $88,000 $73 74
2681 SE River Rd #5 0.07mi 2/2.0 1,188 (-13%) 21mo $109,000 $92 57
1901 SE Minter Bridge Rd #32 0.66mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,382 (+1%) 21mo $45,500 $33 45
1901 SE Minter Bridge Rd 0.43mi 2/2.0 1,232 (-10%) 23mo $80,000 $65 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
71.1%
Equity multiple
4.07×
Total profit
$68,610
Equity at exit
$11,913
10-year hold
IRR
74.2%
Equity multiple
7.56×
Total profit
$146,834
Equity at exit
$6,908

Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Oregon
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
SB608 (2019): statewide rent cap (7% + CPI) and just-cause for tenancies > 1 yr. Portland has relocation assistance ordinance.

ZIP-level market 97123

Rents YoY
-1.4%
Active inventory
425
Price-to-rent
2.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,372 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$419
Tax from tax record
$32 /mo · $380/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$498
Net cashflow
$1,390

Break-even live

Break-even rent $613
Max offer price $79,900
Occupancy floor 36%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,975
Closing costs
$2,397
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 23 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3041 SE Timberlake Dr Hillsboro, OR 3.0 2.0 1269 $2,395 $1.89 24d 1 0.44mi
2933 SE 38th Ct Hillsboro, OR 3.0 1.5 1088 $1,950 $1.79 44d 1 0.64mi
1467 SE Blanchard St Hillsboro, OR 3.0 2.5 1577 $2,595 $1.65 24d 1 0.76mi
2725 SE 44th Ct Hillsboro, OR 3.0 2.0 1050 $2,245 $2.14 44d 1 0.85mi
1177 SE Fir Grove Loop Hillsboro, OR 3.0 2.0 1200 $2,499 $2.08 44d 1 0.91mi
1146 SE Westerland St Hillsboro, OR 3.0 2.5 1732 $2,495 $1.44 24d 1 0.97mi
1410 SE Alder St Hillsboro, OR 3.0 2.0 1332 $2,495 $1.87 44d 1 1.02mi
4616 SE Lone Oak St Hillsboro, OR 3.0 2.5 1613 $2,695 $1.67 16d 1 1.07mi
1052 SE Portlandia Ave Hillsboro, OR 3.0 2.5 1740 $2,395 $1.38 44d 1 1.12mi
948 SE Elina Ave Hillsboro, OR 3.0 2.5 1568 $2,425 $1.55 3d 1 1.13mi
936 SE Elina Ave Hillsboro, OR 3.0 2.5 1568 $2,385 $1.52 16d 1 1.13mi
3461 SE Ironwood Ave Hillsboro, OR 3.0 2.5 1852 $2,799 $1.51 24d 1 1.13mi
4787 SE Sandalwood St Hillsboro, OR 2.0 3.0 1537 $2,500 $1.63 44d 1 1.14mi
3456 SE Ironwood Ave Hillsboro, OR 3.0 2.5 1786 $2,799 $1.57 24d 1 1.16mi
1048 SE Tamora Ave Hillsboro, OR 3.0 2.5 1662 $2,600 $1.56 17d 1 1.18mi
530 SE 12th Ave Hillsboro, OR 3.0 1.5 1287 $2,800 $2.18 44d 1 1.27mi
2314 SE 53rd Ave Hillsboro, OR 3.0 2.0 1462 $2,500 $1.71 24d 1 1.32mi
117 NE 25th Ave Hillsboro, OR 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 893 $1,659 $1.86 11d 7 1.33mi
4264 SE Oak St Hillsboro, OR 3.0 1.5 1025 $2,300 $2.24 4d 1 1.33mi
148 NE 24th Ave Hillsboro, OR 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,950 $1.77 22d 2 1.37mi
1158 SE Oak St Hillsboro, OR 3.0 2.5 1550 $2,295 $1.48 8d 1 1.37mi
1120 SE Baseline St Apt 4 Hillsboro, OR 2.0 1.5 907 $1,950 $2.15 17d 1 1.45mi
740 SE Cedar St Hillsboro, OR 3.0 1.5 1197 $2,295 $1.92 44d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-06-13
    statusdays on market $79,900 Pending 187 DOM
  2. 2026-06-10
    remarks 674-char remark
  3. 2026-06-10
    listed $79,900 Active 185 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$380 · $32/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$775 · $65/mo
Expected delta
+$395/yr (+$33/mo · 104.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 8/10 Severe 11 unhealthy d/yr today · 11 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,462
− Mortgage interest
−$4,476
− Property taxes
−$380
− Insurance
−$400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,277
− Management
−$2,277
− Depreciation
−$2,324
Taxable income
$16,328
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,919
After-tax cash flow
$12,758/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hillsboro SD 1J
NCES district ID
4100023
Math proficiency
35% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$68,587
Composite
36.64/100
National rank
#4617
State rank
#13 of 58 in OR

Livability — Hillsboro

Score
87/100
State rank
#13
US rank
#282

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime D+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hillsboro, OR
County
Washington County · 583,254 people
City population
102,767
Metro
Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA
Population (ZIP)
48,410
Household income
$109,985
Rent vs Own
30.2% rent · 69.8% own
Severe rent burden
929.0

Population outlook (Washington County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
674,042 people
By 2030
721,804 · +7.1%
By 2040
812,732 · +20.6%
By 2050
895,143 · +32.8%
By 2075
1,058,806 · +57.1%
By 2100
1,131,692 · +67.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
White 54% Hispanic / Latino 29% Two or more races 17% Asian 9% Native American 2% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 22%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 3% Italian 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
20% · Canada, Vietnam, China
Languages at home
70% English-only · Spanish 22% Vietnamese 2% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Washington

2024 margin
Solid D (+34.0) · D 65.3% · R 31.3% · Other 3.4%
2008→2024 swing
+11.8pp toward D · 2008: 22.1pp · 2024: 34.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+34.0 2020: D+34.6 2016: D+26.7 2012: D+17.5 2008: D+22.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -419.54%
Current HPI
297.1522
Rent YoY
▼ -1.44%
Metro
Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-38.5% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-02 Price Changed $79,900 RMLS
  • 2026-04-14 Relisted RMLS
  • 2026-02-21 Relisted RMLS
  • 2026-02-21 Price Changed $90,000 RMLS
  • 2025-12-03 Pending RMLS
  • 2025-09-13 Relisted RMLS
  • 2025-04-10 Listed $129,900 RMLS

Property tax history

+20.1%/yr

Latest (2016): $380 · +20.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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