930 Mountain Villa Loop · Enumclaw, WA
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.55%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 87°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 10 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 12 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.5/30.0
- 1% rule +7.5/10.0
- DSCR +7.5/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.5/10.0
- Livability +4.4/5.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Appreciation +2.5/10.0
- Manufactured-home adj. -5.2
$45,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Simple Enumclaw living! Located in the 55+ neighborhood of Mountain Villa Estates, this home is tastefully updated with fresh paint, new appliances & new LVP flooring. 2Bed/1Bath and 840 sq. ft. with an open floor plan and in-home laundry connections. Generous covered front porch & a small yard offer space to enjoy the outdoors. Carport +1 extra space and a dedicated storage shed. The neighborhood offers valuable amenities with an active clubhouse, open park spaces & RV storage. Located just off Hwy 410, moments from the Foothills Trail, local grocery stores, and restaurants. Roof, plumbing, windows, and wiring have been updated over the years.
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Open floor plan
- Active clubhouse
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $45k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $859 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $45k).
- Cap rate 29.2% vs local median 2.3% in Enumclaw — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 88/100 on livability (#12 in WA, #222 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living D-.
- Enumclaw School District (suburban): math 54% / reading 68% proficiency, ranked #46 of 291 in WA (top 16%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Southwood Elementary School (345 students, 38% FRL); Enumclaw Middle School (509 students, 38% FRL); Enumclaw Sr High School (1,339 students, 28% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 323 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 10,555 units permitted in King County in 2024 (7,119 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 15% of the median local income ($120k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $311 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- King County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.3% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 21y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (25%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $12k; list at $45k implies a 275% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.29% ✓
- Cap rate
- 29.20%
- Cash-on-cash
- 81.83%
- DSCR
- 4.64
- GRM
- 2.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $105,000
- List price
- $45,000
- Delta
- -52.43%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 915 Mt Villa Loop | 0.02mi | 2/2.0 | 980 (+17%) | 1mo | $89,950 | $92 | 69 |
| 806 Pine Dr | 0.09mi | 2/2.0 | 1,040 (+24%) | 1mo | $105,000 | $101 | 66 |
| 1059 Lafromboise St | 0.48mi | 2/1.0 | 890 (+6%) | 2mo | $550,000 | $618 | 66 |
| 2135 Roosevelt Ave | 0.51mi | 2/1.0 | 940 (+12%) | 1mo | $501,500 | $534 | 56 |
| 1329 Porter St | 0.52mi | 2/1.0 | 960 (+14%) | 2mo | $459,500 | $479 | 50 |
| 3224 Division St | 1.25mi | 2/1.0 | 910 (+8%) | 2mo | $430,000 | $473 | 49 |
| 405 Johnson St | 0.55mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,010 (+20%) | 0mo | $519,950 | $515 | 44 |
| 1940 Wilson Ave | 1.07mi | 2/1.0 | 940 (+12%) | 1mo | $405,000 | $431 | 44 |
| 3011 Division St | 1.11mi | 2/1.0 | 688 (-18%) | 3mo | $405,500 | $589 | 38 |
| 3404 McHugh Pl | 1.36mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,000 (+19%) | 1mo | $510,000 | $510 | 34 |
| 1975 Wilson Ave | 1.11mi | 2/2.0 | 1,040 (+24%) | 2mo | $465,000 | $447 | 34 |
| 1916 Wilson Ave | 1.07mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,040 (+24%) | 3mo | $495,000 | $476 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.32% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 83.6%
- Equity multiple
- 4.92×
- Total profit
- $49,444
- Equity at exit
- $6,710
- IRR
- 87.2%
- Equity multiple
- 10.68×
- Total profit
- $122,010
- Equity at exit
- $3,891
Cash invested: $12,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 1 active · 2 under contract
- Months of supply
- 3.0 mo (33%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $15,000 ($16/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 176 d
- This list price
- 100% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +693.3% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 98022
- Rents YoY
- 4.3%
- Active inventory
- 323
- Price-to-rent
- 2.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,481 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$236
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$56 /mo · $675/yr
- Insurance
- −$19
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent leased land?
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$311
- Net cashflow
- $859
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $890 | -5% $875 | +0% $859 | +5% $844 | +10% $828 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $742 | -5% $801 | +0% $859 | +5% $918 | +10% $976 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $882 | -0.5pp $871 | base $859 | +0.5pp $848 | +1.0pp $836 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $11,250
- Closing costs
- $1,350
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 15 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 847 Blake St Enumclaw, WA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1064 | $2,000 | $1.88 | 7d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 847 Blake St Enumclaw, WA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1064 | $2,000 | $1.88 | 31d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 141 Leos Pl Enumclaw, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,825 | $2.15 | 73d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 141 Leos Pl Enumclaw, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,850 | $2.18 | 93d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 750 Watson St N Enumclaw, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 771 | $1,865 | $2.42 | 7d | 5 | 0.36mi |
| 717 Myrtine St Apt D Enumclaw, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 846 | $1,875 | $2.22 | 7d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 653 Myrtine St Unit A Enumclaw, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,695 | $1.99 | 23d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 653 Myrtine St Unit D Enumclaw, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,650 | $1.94 | 7d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 615 Watson St N Unit 617B Enumclaw, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,999 | $2.08 | 37d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 312 Charwila Ln Enumclaw, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 894 | $1,750 | $1.96 | 61d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 250 Charwila Ln Enumclaw, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 894 | $1,750 | $1.96 | 17d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 2630 Warner Ave Enumclaw, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 762 | $2,000 | $2.62 | 7d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 219 Semanski St Enumclaw, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,650 | $2.36 | 7d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 320 Chinook Ave Enumclaw, WA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 831 | $1,938 | $2.33 | 7d | 8 | 1.04mi |
| 3011 Division St Enumclaw, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 688 | $2,150 | $3.12 | 67d | 1 | 1.10mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $45,000 Active 2 DOM
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2026-08-07pricedays on market $45,000 Active 1 DOM
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2026-07-31days on market $49,950 Active 129 DOM
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2026-07-30days on market $49,950 Active 127 DOM
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2026-07-28days on market $49,950 Active 126 DOM
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2026-07-26days on market $49,950 Active 124 DOM
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2026-07-24days on market $49,950 Active 122 DOM
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2026-07-23days on market $49,950 Active 121 DOM
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2026-07-22days on market $49,950 Active 120 DOM
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2026-07-21days on market $49,950 Active 119 DOM
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2026-07-20days on market $49,950 Active 118 DOM
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2026-07-18days on market $49,950 Active 116 DOM
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2026-07-18days on market $49,950 Active 115 DOM
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2026-07-16pricedays on market $49,950 Active 114 DOM
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2026-07-15days on market $54,950 Active 113 DOM
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2026-07-14days on market $54,950 Active 112 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $54,950 Active 111 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $54,950 Active 110 DOM
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2026-07-11days on market $54,950 Active 109 DOM
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2026-07-10days on market $54,950 Active 108 DOM
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2026-07-09days on market $54,950 Active 107 DOM
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2026-07-07days on market $54,950 Active 105 DOM
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2026-07-06days on market $54,950 Active 104 DOM
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2026-07-06days on market $54,950 Active 103 DOM
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2026-07-05days on market $54,950 Active 102 DOM
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2026-07-03days on market $54,950 Active 101 DOM
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2026-07-02days on market $54,950 Active 100 DOM
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2026-07-01days on market $54,950 Active 99 DOM
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2026-06-30days on market $54,950 Active 98 DOM
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2026-06-29days on market $54,950 Active 97 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $54,950 Active 96 DOM
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2026-06-27days on market $54,950 Active 95 DOM
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2026-06-26days on market $54,950 Active 94 DOM
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2026-06-24days on market $54,950 Active 92 DOM
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2026-06-22days on market $54,950 Active 90 DOM
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2026-06-21days on market $54,950 Active 89 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $54,950 Active 86 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $54,950 Active 85 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $54,950 Active 84 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $54,950 Active 83 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $54,950 Active 81 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $54,950 Active 77 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $54,950 Active 76 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $54,950 Active 75 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $54,950 Active 72 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $54,950 Active 71 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $54,950 Active 70 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $54,950 Active 69 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $54,950 Active 68 DOM
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2026-05-19price $54,950
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 55% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥87°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 6/10 Major 10 unhealthy d/yr today · 12 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,775
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,521
- − Property taxes
- −$675
- − Insurance
- −$225
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,422
- − Management
- −$1,422
- − Depreciation
- −$1,309
- Taxable income
- $10,201
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,448
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,862/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos
This home is in good condition with recent updates, making it move-in ready. It offers a good balance of curb appeal and interior updates.
Value-add opportunities
- Both landscaping — enhances curb appeal and adds value ↑
- Both paint exterior — improves curb appeal and adds value ↑
- Both paint interior walls — fresh paint enhances curb appeal and adds value ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Enumclaw School District
- NCES district ID
- 5300001
- Math proficiency
- 54% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 68% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $68,441
- Composite
- 55.21/100
- National rank
- #2736
- State rank
- #46 of 291 in WA
Livability — Enumclaw
- Score
- 88/100
- State rank
- #12
- US rank
- #222
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Enumclaw, WA
- County
- King County · 2,576,485 people
- City population
- 22,418
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,418
- Household income
- $120,406
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 7% of renters
Population outlook (King County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,576,485 people
- By 2030
- 2,803,316 · +8.8%
- By 2040
- 3,255,921 · +26.4%
- By 2050
- 3,706,444 · +43.9%
- By 2075
- 4,746,063 · +84.2%
- By 2100
- 5,407,730 · +109.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 9% Asian 2% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 7% Italian 4% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · King
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+51.7) · D 74.2% · R 22.5% · Other 3.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.6pp toward D · 2008: 42.1pp · 2024: 51.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+51.7 2020: D+52.7 2016: D+50.4 2012: D+39.9 2008: D+42.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -605.16%
- Current HPI
- 297.9161
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.32%
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
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| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
|
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
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Price history
+174.8% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Price Changed $54,950 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-24 Listed $59,950 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-21 Sold (MLS) $12,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-04 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-14 Listed $20,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-09-23 Listed — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…