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930 Mountain Villa Loop
A- Composite 81.0
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +5.5/10.0
  • Livability +4.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$54,950

930 Mountain Villa Loop · Enumclaw, WA 98022
2 bd · 1.5 ba · 840 sqft · SingleFamily · 86 Days on market
Built 1986 $65/sqft · 36% below area Est $85k · 36% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Simple Enumclaw living! Located in the 55+ neighborhood of Mountain Villa Estates, this home is tastefully updated with fresh paint, new appliances & new LVP flooring. 2Bed/1.5 Bath, including one walk-in shower, an open floor plan, and in-home laundry connections. Generous covered front porch & a small yard offer space to enjoy the outdoors. Carport +1 extra space and a dedicated storage shed. The neighborhood offers valuable amenities with an active clubhouse, open park spaces & RV storage. Located just off Hwy 410, moments from the Foothills Trail, local grocery stores, and restaurants. Roof, plumbing, windows, and wiring have been updated over the years. This is the be

Key facts

  • Updated appliances
  • Covered front porch
  • Open floor plan

Tags

UPDATED APPLIANCESOPEN FLOOR PLANIN HOME LAUNDRYCOVERED FRONT PORCHACTIVE CLUBHOUSEOPEN PARK SPACES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $55k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $55k).
  • Recommended offer: $52k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 31.6% vs local median 2.4% in Enumclaw — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 88/100 on livability (#12 in WA, #222 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living D-.
  • Enumclaw School District (suburban): math 54% / reading 68% proficiency, ranked #46 of 291 in WA (top 16%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 223 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 10,555 units permitted in King County in 2024 (7,119 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • King County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.3% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 86 days — a 6% lower offer ($52k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 21y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $12k; list at $55k implies a 358% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $51,653 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 86 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.54%
Cap rate
31.60%
Cash-on-cash
90.37%
DSCR
5.02
GRM
2.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$85,346
List price
$54,950
Delta
-35.62%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
3 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1318 Lafromboise St 0.65mi 2/1.0 840 (0%) 2mo $530,000 $631 66
1206 Porter St 0.52mi 2/1.0 820 (-2%) 6mo $398,800 $486 64
1144 Lafromboise St 0.56mi 2/1.0 850 (+1%) 11mo $460,000 $541 61
1101 Wells St 0.43mi 2/1.0 920 (+10%) 3mo $462,000 $502 59
1329 Porter St 0.52mi 2/1.0 960 (+14%) 1mo $459,500 $479 49
2016 Initial Ave 0.72mi 2/1.5 800 (-5%) 12mo $525,000 $656 48
1702 Griffin Ave 0.74mi 2/1.0 760 (-10%) 22mo $439,900 $579 29

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.32% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
92.6%
Equity multiple
5.39×
Total profit
$67,544
Equity at exit
$8,193
10-year hold
IRR
95.7%
Equity multiple
11.72×
Total profit
$165,008
Equity at exit
$4,751

Cash invested: $15,386 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Washington
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Just-cause statewide (2021); Seattle layers rent control restrictions + relocation assistance; very tenant-friendly.

ZIP-level market 98022

Rents YoY
4.3%
Active inventory
223
Price-to-rent
2.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,947 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$288
Tax est. 1.5%
$69 /mo · $824/yr
Insurance
$23
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$409
Net cashflow
$1,159

Break-even live

Break-even rent $481
Max offer price $54,950
Occupancy floor 36%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$13,738
Closing costs
$1,648
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 11 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
847 Blake St Enumclaw, WA 3.0 1.0 1064 $2,000 $1.88 1d 1 0.25mi
141 Leos Pl Enumclaw, WA 2.0 1.0 850 $1,825 $2.15 24d 1 0.34mi
141 Leos Pl Enumclaw, WA 2.0 1.0 850 $1,850 $2.18 43d 1 0.34mi
750 Watson St N Enumclaw, WA 1.0–2.0 1.0 771 $1,842 $2.39 1d 6 0.36mi
653 Myrtine St Unit A Enumclaw, WA 2.0 1.0 850 $1,895 $2.23 21d 1 0.41mi
615 Watson St N Unit 617B Enumclaw, WA 2.0 1.0 960 $1,999 $2.08 1d 1 0.44mi
312 Charwila Ln Enumclaw, WA 2.0 1.0 894 $1,750 $1.96 12d 1 0.70mi
250 Charwila Ln Enumclaw, WA 2.0 1.0 894 $1,750 $1.96 2d 1 0.71mi
2630 Warner Ave Enumclaw, WA 1.0–2.0 1.0 762 $2,000 $2.62 1d 1 0.78mi
320 Chinook Ave Enumclaw, WA 2.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 923 $1,890 $2.05 1d 7 1.04mi
3011 Division St Enumclaw, WA 2.0 1.0 688 $2,150 $3.12 18d 1 1.10mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $54,950 Active 86 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $54,950 Active 85 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $54,950 Active 84 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $54,950 Active 83 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $54,950 Active 81 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $54,950 Active 77 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $54,950 Active 76 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $54,950 Active 75 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $54,950 Active 72 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $54,950 Active 71 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $54,950 Active 70 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $54,950 Active 69 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $54,950 Active 68 DOM
  14. 2026-05-19
    price $54,950
  15. 2026-03-24
    listed $59,950 Active
  16. 2025-11-21
    soldstatus $12,000 Closed
  17. 2025-11-04
    status Pending
  18. 2025-10-14
    listed $20,000 Active
  19. 2005-09-23
    listed

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 55% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥87°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 6/10 Major 10 unhealthy d/yr today · 12 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,369
− Mortgage interest
−$3,078
− Property taxes
−$824
− Insurance
−$275
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,870
− Management
−$1,870
− Depreciation
−$1,599
Taxable income
$13,854
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,325
After-tax cash flow
$10,579/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Enumclaw School District
NCES district ID
5300001
Math proficiency
54% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
68% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$68,441
Composite
55.21/100
National rank
#2736
State rank
#46 of 291 in WA

Livability — Enumclaw

Score
88/100
State rank
#12
US rank
#222

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute B+ Cost of living D- Crime A+ Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Enumclaw, WA
County
King County · 2,251,916 people
City population
22,418
Metro
Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
Population (ZIP)
22,418
Household income
$120,406
Rent vs Own
18.8% rent · 81.2% own
Severe rent burden
382.0

Population outlook (King County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,576,485 people
By 2030
2,803,316 · +8.8%
By 2040
3,255,921 · +26.4%
By 2050
3,706,444 · +43.9%
By 2075
4,746,063 · +84.2%
By 2100
5,407,730 · +109.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (78%)
Race & ethnicity
White 78% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 9% Asian 2% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 7% Italian 4% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · King

2024 margin
Solid D (+51.7) · D 74.2% · R 22.5% · Other 3.4%
2008→2024 swing
+9.6pp toward D · 2008: 42.1pp · 2024: 51.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+51.7 2020: D+52.7 2016: D+50.4 2012: D+39.9 2008: D+42.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -605.16%
Current HPI
297.9161
Rent YoY
▲ 4.32%
Metro
Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.65%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+174.8% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Price Changed $54,950 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-24 Listed $59,950 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-21 Sold (MLS) $12,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-04 Pending NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-14 Listed $20,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2005-09-23 Listed NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…