1243 Cedars Ct Unit C2 · Charlottesville, VA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +10.5/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- 1% rule +4.3/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- DSCR +3.0/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$194,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Convenient & Walkable to UVA/North Grounds and all shopping at Barracks Road - Step Inside to LIKE NEW - FRESH & CLEAN - Seller has done a great top to bottom renovation inside to include: NEW LVP FLOORING THROUGHOUT - NEW KITCHEN CABINETS - NEW KITCHEN APPLIANCES - NEW KITCHEN COUNTERTOPS - NEW LIGHTING - NEW BATH TUB/SHOWER SURROUND - NEW BATH VANITY/MEDICINE CABINET/MIRROR - NEW PLUMBING FIXTURES IN Bath & Kitchen - FRESHLY PAINTED INTERIOR. This condo is ONE LEVEL condo is cute & compact - In wonderful ready to MOVE-IN CONDITION - NEW HVAC & WATER HEATER in 2017 - Plenty PARKING near your front door - City Bus Stop( Route 7) is nearby and runs through all of UVA Grounds area - AVAILABLE IMMEDIATELY!
Key facts
- Renovated bathroom
- Walk-in closet
- Tree views
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Monthly association fee of $253; HOA covers association management, common area maintenance, building maintenance, pools, reserve fund, sewer, snow removal, trash, and water; Community pool
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available; High-speed internet available
- Home design: Condominium; One level
- Construction: Stick-built construction; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Association pool
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Garbage disposal; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: One main-level bedroom
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Primary bedroom on the ground floor
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $195k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-99 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $177k (9.0% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $180k (7.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $177k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 2.9% in Charlottesville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#27 in VA, #707 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: cost of living D, crime D-.
- Charlottesville Cty Public School District (urban): math 42% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #97 of 131 in VA (top 74%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Charlottesville High (math 53% / reading 84%, grade B, #178 of 319 statewide, top 56%, 1,359 students, 72% FRL) — zoned schools average 72% FRL vs 50% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 68% at this address vs 52% district-wide (+17 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Charlottesville Cty Public School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.5%/yr); 221 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 34 units permitted in Charlottesville city in 2024 (18 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($69k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Charlottesville County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($192k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $145k; 34% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.93% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.68%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.18%
- DSCR
- 0.90
- GRM
- 9.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.49% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.36×
- Total profit
- $-35,006
- Equity at exit
- $29,060
- IRR
- -7.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.52×
- Total profit
- $-26,445
- Equity at exit
- $16,851
Cash invested: $54,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 22903
- Rents YoY
- 4.5%
- Active inventory
- 221
- Price-to-rent
- 9.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,803 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,022
- Tax from tax record
- −$167 /mo · $2,004/yr
- Insurance
- −$81
- HOA
- −$253
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$379
- Net cashflow
- $-99
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $11 | -5% $-44 | +0% $-99 | +5% $-154 | +10% $-209 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-241 | -5% $-170 | +0% $-99 | +5% $-28 | +10% $43 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-1 | -0.5pp $-49 | base $-99 | +0.5pp $-149 | +1.0pp $-201 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $48,725
- Closing costs
- $5,847
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2105 Bond St Charlottesville, VA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 894 | $2,746 | $3.07 | 13d | 7 | 0.75mi |
| 255 Saponi Ln Charlottesville, VA | 3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 817 | $1,495 | $1.83 | 13d | 21 | 0.78mi |
| 3105 District Ave Charlottesville, VA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1027 | $1,750 | $1.70 | 13d | 24 | 0.86mi |
| 507 16th St NW Charlottesville, VA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 700 | $1,850 | $2.64 | 13d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 2407 Peyton Dr Charlottesville, VA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 905 | $1,131 | $1.25 | 13d | 10 | 1.19mi |
| 209 Chancellor St Unit A Charlottesville, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 675 | $2,150 | $3.19 | 13d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 250 Colonnade Dr Charlottesville, VA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 730 | $1,260 | $1.73 | 13d | 14 | 1.26mi |
| 1135 Rose Hill Dr Charlottesville, VA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 660 | $1,798 | $2.72 | 21d | 4 | 1.33mi |
| 400 10th St NW Charlottesville, VA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 909 | $2,053 | $2.26 | 13d | 7 | 1.46mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $253 · $3,036/yr
- Likely covers
- waterlandscaping
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $194,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $194,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $194,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $194,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $194,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $194,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $194,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $194,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $194,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $194,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $194,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $194,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $194,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $194,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-05-29$194,900 Active
-
2021-06-03soldstatus $145,000
-
2021-06-01soldstatus $145,000 743-char remark
Show marketing remark (743 chars)
Convenient & Walkable to UVA/North Grounds and all shopping at Barracks Road - Step Inside to LIKE NEW - FRESH & CLEAN - Seller has done a great top to bottom renovation inside to include: NEW LVP FLOORING THROUGHOUT - NEW KITCHEN CABINETS - NEW KITCHEN APPLIANCES - NEW KITCHEN COUNTERTOPS - NEW LIGHTING - NEW BATH TUB/SHOWER SURROUND - NEW BATH VANITY/MEDICINE CABINET/MIRROR - NEW PLUMBING FIXTURES IN Bath & Kitchen - FRESHLY PAINTED INTERIOR. This condo is ONE LEVEL condo is cute & compact - In wonderful ready to MOVE-IN CONDITION - NEW HVAC & WATER HEATER in 2017 - Plenty PARKING near your front door - City Bus Stop( Route 7) is nearby and runs through all of UVA Grounds area - AVAILABLE IMMEDIATELY!
-
2021-04-02$145,000 743-char remark
Show marketing remark (743 chars)
Convenient & Walkable to UVA/North Grounds and all shopping at Barracks Road - Step Inside to LIKE NEW - FRESH & CLEAN - Seller has done a great top to bottom renovation inside to include: NEW LVP FLOORING THROUGHOUT - NEW KITCHEN CABINETS - NEW KITCHEN APPLIANCES - NEW KITCHEN COUNTERTOPS - NEW LIGHTING - NEW BATH TUB/SHOWER SURROUND - NEW BATH VANITY/MEDICINE CABINET/MIRROR - NEW PLUMBING FIXTURES IN Bath & Kitchen - FRESHLY PAINTED INTERIOR. This condo is ONE LEVEL condo is cute & compact - In wonderful ready to MOVE-IN CONDITION - NEW HVAC & WATER HEATER in 2017 - Plenty PARKING near your front door - City Bus Stop( Route 7) is nearby and runs through all of UVA Grounds area - AVAILABLE IMMEDIATELY!
-
2005-02-22soldstatus $113,500
-
2004-08-31soldstatus $87,000
-
2004-07-27$89,000
-
2001-06-15soldstatus $53,000
-
2001-06-15soldstatus $53,000
-
2000-10-19$55,000
-
1991-08-16soldstatus $51,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,004 · $167/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,004 · $167/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,635
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,917
- − Property taxes
- −$2,004
- − Insurance
- −$974
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,731
- − Management
- −$1,731
- − HOA
- −$3,036
- − Depreciation
- −$5,670
- Taxable loss
- −$4,428
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,063
- After-tax cash flow
- $-125/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Charlottesville Cty Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5100780
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -30.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 61% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,211
- Composite
- 43.68/100
- National rank
- #2957
- State rank
- #97 of 131 in VA
Livability — Charlottesville
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #27
- US rank
- #707
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Charlottesville, VA
- County
- Albemarle County · 129,350 people
- City population
- 120,202
- Metro
- Charlottesville, VA
- Population (ZIP)
- 40,372
- Household income
- $69,340
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3060.0
Population outlook (Charlottesville County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 53,816 people
- By 2030
- 57,857 · +7.5%
- By 2040
- 63,933 · +18.8%
- By 2050
- 69,676 · +29.5%
- By 2075
- 77,018 · +43.1%
- By 2100
- 82,078 · +52.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Black 15% Asian 9% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Italian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 3% Chinese 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Charlottesville
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+68.7) · D 83.4% · R 14.7% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +10.7pp toward D · 2008: 58.0pp · 2024: 68.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+68.7 2020: D+72.7 2016: D+67.1 2012: D+53.4 2008: D+58.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -448.28%
- Current HPI
- 306.8503
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.49%
- Metro
- Charlottesville, VA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
|
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
+282.2% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-29 Listed $194,900 CAAR
- 2021-06-03 Sold (Public Records) $145,000 Public Records
- 2021-06-01 Sold (MLS) $145,000 CAAR
- 2021-04-02 Listed $145,000 CAAR
- 2005-02-22 Sold (Public Records) $113,500 Public Records
- 2004-08-31 Sold (Public Records) $87,000 Public Records
- 2004-07-27 Listed $89,000 CAAR
- 2001-06-15 Sold (Public Records) $53,000 Public Records
- 2001-06-15 Sold (MLS) $53,000 CAAR
- 2000-10-19 Listed $55,000 CAAR
- 1991-08-16 Sold (Public Records) $51,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.5%/yrLatest (2026): $2,004 · +1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…