4061 Vine Ln · Lely Resort, FL
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.55%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 28 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.8/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.2/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.1/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$325,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Nice 3 bedroom 2 bath home located in Quail Hollow. Tucked away in south Naples this little community is a hidden find. With easy access to multiple area through roads and just a short drive to downtown Naples and area beaches this property has a lot to offer!
Key facts
- New sprinkler system
- New ac
- Fresh exterior paint
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Part of a 69-unit community; single unit per building; single-floor home
- HOA & community: Mandatory HOA with professional management; Annual HOA fee $400; One-time fee $150; Community amenities include streetlighting and underground utilities; Non-gated community
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Central water; Central sewer; Cable available
- Home design: Single family residence; 1 story (ranch); Rear exposure to the west; Located in the Quail Hollow development
- Construction: Concrete block construction; Built in 1994; Deeded restrictions
- Exterior features: Shingle roof; Single-hung windows; Stucco exterior; Corner lot; Landscaped area view; Central irrigation
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Microwave; Garbage disposal
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms with a split bedroom floor plan
- Flooring: Laminate; Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Master bathroom with dual sinks and separate tub and shower
- Heating & cooling: Central electric heating; Central electric cooling; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Built-in cabinets; High speed internet available; Vaulted ceilings; Walk-in closet; Window coverings; Dining area in living room; Guest bath; Guest room; Screened lanai/porch
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry in residence; Auto garage door
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $325k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $325k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#786 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A-; Watch: health & safety D, schools F, amenities F.
- Collier (suburban): math 60% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #16 of 73 in FL (top 22%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.7%/yr); 771 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,520 units permitted in Collier County in 2024 (959 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $4,283/mo this rent would consume 74% of the median local household income ($70k/yr) (locally 980% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Collier County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $210k; list at $325k implies a 55% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→28/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.32% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.33%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.43%
- DSCR
- 1.64
- GRM
- 6.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.05×
- Total profit
- $4,576
- Equity at exit
- $48,459
- IRR
- 7.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.50×
- Total profit
- $45,599
- Equity at exit
- $28,100
Cash invested: $91,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34112
- Rents YoY
- -1.7%
- Active inventory
- 771
- Price-to-rent
- 6.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,283 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,704
- Tax from tax record
- −$416 /mo · $4,997/yr
- Insurance
- −$135
- HOA
- −$33
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$899
- Net cashflow
- $1,094
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $81,250
- Closing costs
- $9,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6254 Vista Garden Way Unit A Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1266 | $2,400 | $1.90 | 21d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 6608 Roma Way Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2189 | $16,000 | $7.31 | 23d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 6604 Roma Way Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2114 | $10,500 | $4.97 | 23d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 6560 Roma Way Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2188 | $11,000 | $5.03 | 23d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 6276 Shadowood Cir #1503 Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $6,000 | $4.44 | 23d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 5841 Rattlesnake Hammock Rd Unit 2 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1133 | $2,500 | $2.21 | 23d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 5857 Rattlesnake Hammock Rd #208 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1133 | $3,000 | $2.65 | 13d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 6473 Conning Tower Cir Unit 1 Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1140 | $1,600 | $1.40 | 23d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 7425 Inspira Cir Naples, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1066 | $2,660 | $2.50 | 13d | 17 | 0.56mi |
| 940 Augusta Blvd Unit D939 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1419 | $2,200 | $1.55 | 23d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 3650 Sunset Blvd Naples, FL | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1728 | $4,950 | $2.86 | 23d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 760 Augusta Blvd Unit D204 Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1294 | $2,300 | $1.78 | 23d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 905 Augusta Blvd Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1125 | $1,850 | $1.64 | 23d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 5932 Cranbrook Way Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1310 | $2,200 | $1.68 | 23d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 709 Augusta Blvd Unit 709-5 Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1480 | $4,000 | $2.70 | 13d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 705 Augusta Blvd Unit 705-5 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1125 | $2,000 | $1.78 | 13d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 5859 Westbourgh Ct Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1746 | $8,500 | $4.87 | 23d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 5859 Westbourgh Ct Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1746 | $8,500 | $4.87 | 13d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 701 Augusta Blvd Unit 701-8 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $4,800 | $3.84 | 13d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 605 Augusta Blvd #4 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1125 | $3,950 | $3.51 | 13d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 605 Augusta Blvd #14 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1125 | $4,000 | $3.56 | 23d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 5908 Cranbrook Way Unit I202 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1318 | $2,500 | $1.90 | 23d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 4556 Andover Way Unit E106 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1172 | $1,900 | $1.62 | 13d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 4556 Andover Way Unit E104 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1072 | $5,000 | $4.66 | 13d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 640 Augusta Blvd Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1634 | $2,700 | $1.65 | 23d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 7563 Moorgate Point Way Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1924 | $12,000 | $6.24 | 23d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 575 Augusta Blvd Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $2,100 | $1.40 | 23d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 6026 Whitaker Rd Naples, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 986 | $3,795 | $3.85 | 13d | 39 | 0.87mi |
| 555 Augusta Blvd Unit 3-1 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1249 | $4,200 | $3.36 | 23d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 182 Palmetto Dunes Cir Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2175 | $3,300 | $1.52 | 23d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 3655 Amberly Cir Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1216 | $2,500 | $2.06 | 23d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 4884 Hampshire Ct Unit 7-104 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1394 | $5,000 | $3.59 | 23d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 413 Augusta Blvd #302 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1390 | $5,500 | $3.96 | 21d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 5733 Deauville Cir Unit G308 Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1427 | $3,600 | $2.52 | 23d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 3685 Amberly Cir Unit D305 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1320 | $5,100 | $3.86 | 23d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 5741 Deauville Cir Unit F108 Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1427 | $3,600 | $2.52 | 23d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 265 Deerwood Cir Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1179 | $5,000 | $4.24 | 23d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 127 Palmetto Dunes Cir Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1906 | $7,500 | $3.93 | 23d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 6255 Brunello Ln Naples, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2046 | $16,500 | $8.06 | 23d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 5826 Jasper Way Unit 101 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $2,495 | $1.85 | 23d | 1 | 1.05mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $33 · $396/yr
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-14status $325,000 Pending 3 DOM
-
2026-05-19status Pending With Contingencies
-
2026-05-18status Active
-
2026-04-11status Pending With Contingencies
-
2026-04-09$325,000 Active
-
2019-01-14soldstatus $210,000 Sold 260-char remark
Show marketing remark (260 chars)
Nice 3 bedroom 2 bath home located in Quail Hollow. Tucked away in south Naples this little community is a hidden find. With easy access to multiple area through roads and just a short drive to downtown Naples and area beaches this property has a lot to offer!
-
2018-12-17status Pending 260-char remark
Show marketing remark (260 chars)
Nice 3 bedroom 2 bath home located in Quail Hollow. Tucked away in south Naples this little community is a hidden find. With easy access to multiple area through roads and just a short drive to downtown Naples and area beaches this property has a lot to offer!
-
2018-12-05price $269,800 260-char remark
Show marketing remark (260 chars)
Nice 3 bedroom 2 bath home located in Quail Hollow. Tucked away in south Naples this little community is a hidden find. With easy access to multiple area through roads and just a short drive to downtown Naples and area beaches this property has a lot to offer!
-
2018-10-25$284,000 Active 260-char remark
Show marketing remark (260 chars)
Nice 3 bedroom 2 bath home located in Quail Hollow. Tucked away in south Naples this little community is a hidden find. With easy access to multiple area through roads and just a short drive to downtown Naples and area beaches this property has a lot to offer!
-
2005-07-06soldstatus $300,000
-
1999-04-27soldstatus $134,000
-
1998-06-29soldstatus $125,000
-
1994-03-18soldstatus $23,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,997 · $416/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,997 · $416/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 55% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 28 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $51,395
- − Mortgage interest
- −$18,205
- − Property taxes
- −$4,997
- − Insurance
- −$1,625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,112
- − Management
- −$4,112
- − HOA
- −$396
- − Depreciation
- −$9,455
- Taxable income
- $8,495
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,039
- After-tax cash flow
- $11,094/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Collier
- NCES district ID
- 1200330
- Math proficiency
- 60% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,275
- Composite
- 50.23/100
- National rank
- #1892
- State rank
- #16 of 73 in FL
Livability — Lely Resort
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #786
- US rank
- #17981
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Collier County · 396,295 people
- Metro
- Naples-Marco Island, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,193
- Household income
- $69,842
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 980.0
Population outlook (Collier County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 420,858 people
- By 2030
- 450,054 · +6.9%
- By 2040
- 502,232 · +19.3%
- By 2050
- 544,932 · +29.5%
- By 2075
- 627,203 · +49.0%
- By 2100
- 659,015 · +56.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Hispanic / Latino 18% Two or more races 9% Black 6% Native American 2% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 4% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 4% Romanian 3% Portuguese 2%
- Foreign-born
- 19% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 75% English-only · Spanish 17% French/Haitian/Cajun 4% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Collier
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+33.1) · D 33.1% · R 66.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.6pp toward R · 2008: -22.5pp · 2024: -33.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+33.1 2020: R+24.7 2016: R+26.0 2012: R+30.1 2008: R+22.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -235.10%
- Current HPI
- 256.9182
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.69%
- Metro
- Naples-Marco Island, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+1313.0% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Pending — NAPLESMLS
- 2026-05-18 Relisted — NAPLESMLS
- 2026-04-11 Pending — NAPLESMLS
- 2026-04-09 Listed $325,000 NAPLESMLS
- 2019-01-14 Sold (MLS) $210,000 NAPLESMLS
- 2018-12-17 Pending — NAPLESMLS
- 2018-12-05 Price Changed $269,800 NAPLESMLS
- 2018-10-25 Listed $284,000 NAPLESMLS
- 2005-07-06 Sold (Public Records) $300,000 Public Records
- 1999-04-27 Sold (Public Records) $134,000 Public Records
- 1998-06-29 Sold (Public Records) $125,000 Public Records
- 1994-03-18 Sold (Public Records) $23,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+10.2%/yrLatest (2025): $4,997 · +7.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…