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4061 Vine Ln
B- Composite 67.15
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.8/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.1/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$325,000

4061 Vine Ln · Lely Resort, FL 34112
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,666 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 3 Days on market
Built 1994 6,969 sqft lot $33/mo HOA · 1% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Nice 3 bedroom 2 bath home located in Quail Hollow. Tucked away in south Naples this little community is a hidden find. With easy access to multiple area through roads and just a short drive to downtown Naples and area beaches this property has a lot to offer!

Key facts

  • New sprinkler system
  • New ac
  • Fresh exterior paint

Tags

NEW ROOFNEW ACFRESH EXTERIOR PAINTNEW SPRINKLER SYSTEMPET FRIENDLY COMMUNITY

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Part of a 69-unit community; single unit per building; single-floor home
  • HOA & community: Mandatory HOA with professional management; Annual HOA fee $400; One-time fee $150; Community amenities include streetlighting and underground utilities; Non-gated community

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Central water; Central sewer; Cable available
  • Home design: Single family residence; 1 story (ranch); Rear exposure to the west; Located in the Quail Hollow development
  • Construction: Concrete block construction; Built in 1994; Deeded restrictions
  • Exterior features: Shingle roof; Single-hung windows; Stucco exterior; Corner lot; Landscaped area view; Central irrigation

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Microwave; Garbage disposal
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms with a split bedroom floor plan
  • Flooring: Laminate; Tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Master bathroom with dual sinks and separate tub and shower
  • Heating & cooling: Central electric heating; Central electric cooling; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Built-in cabinets; High speed internet available; Vaulted ceilings; Walk-in closet; Window coverings; Dining area in living room; Guest bath; Guest room; Screened lanai/porch
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry in residence; Auto garage door

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $325k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $325k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#786 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A-; Watch: health & safety D, schools F, amenities F.
  • Collier (suburban): math 60% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #16 of 73 in FL (top 22%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.7%/yr); 771 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,520 units permitted in Collier County in 2024 (959 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $4,283/mo this rent would consume 74% of the median local household income ($70k/yr) (locally 980% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Collier County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $210k; list at $325k implies a 55% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→28/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $325,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.32%
Cap rate
10.33%
Cash-on-cash
14.43%
DSCR
1.64
GRM
6.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
1.4%
Equity multiple
1.05×
Total profit
$4,576
Equity at exit
$48,459
10-year hold
IRR
7.7%
Equity multiple
1.50×
Total profit
$45,599
Equity at exit
$28,100

Cash invested: $91,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34112

Rents YoY
-1.7%
Active inventory
771
Price-to-rent
6.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$4,283 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,704
Tax from tax record
$416 /mo · $4,997/yr
Insurance
$135
HOA
$33
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$899
Net cashflow
$1,094

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,898
Max offer price $325,000
Occupancy floor 69%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$81,250
Closing costs
$9,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
6254 Vista Garden Way Unit A Naples, FL 3.0 2.0 1266 $2,400 $1.90 21d 1 0.23mi
6608 Roma Way Naples, FL 3.0 2.0 2189 $16,000 $7.31 23d 1 0.35mi
6604 Roma Way Naples, FL 3.0 2.0 2114 $10,500 $4.97 23d 1 0.35mi
6560 Roma Way Naples, FL 3.0 2.0 2188 $11,000 $5.03 23d 1 0.39mi
6276 Shadowood Cir #1503 Naples, FL 3.0 2.0 1350 $6,000 $4.44 23d 1 0.44mi
5841 Rattlesnake Hammock Rd Unit 2 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1133 $2,500 $2.21 23d 1 0.48mi
5857 Rattlesnake Hammock Rd #208 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1133 $3,000 $2.65 13d 1 0.50mi
6473 Conning Tower Cir Unit 1 Naples, FL 3.0 2.0 1140 $1,600 $1.40 23d 1 0.51mi
7425 Inspira Cir Naples, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1066 $2,660 $2.50 13d 17 0.56mi
940 Augusta Blvd Unit D939 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1419 $2,200 $1.55 23d 1 0.59mi
3650 Sunset Blvd Naples, FL 3.0 3.5 1728 $4,950 $2.86 23d 1 0.63mi
760 Augusta Blvd Unit D204 Naples, FL 3.0 2.0 1294 $2,300 $1.78 23d 1 0.65mi
905 Augusta Blvd Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1125 $1,850 $1.64 23d 1 0.67mi
5932 Cranbrook Way Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1310 $2,200 $1.68 23d 1 0.68mi
709 Augusta Blvd Unit 709-5 Naples, FL 3.0 2.0 1480 $4,000 $2.70 13d 1 0.71mi
705 Augusta Blvd Unit 705-5 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1125 $2,000 $1.78 13d 1 0.72mi
5859 Westbourgh Ct Naples, FL 3.0 2.0 1746 $8,500 $4.87 23d 1 0.73mi
5859 Westbourgh Ct Naples, FL 3.0 2.0 1746 $8,500 $4.87 13d 1 0.73mi
701 Augusta Blvd Unit 701-8 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1250 $4,800 $3.84 13d 1 0.75mi
605 Augusta Blvd #4 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1125 $3,950 $3.51 13d 1 0.77mi
605 Augusta Blvd #14 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1125 $4,000 $3.56 23d 1 0.77mi
5908 Cranbrook Way Unit I202 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1318 $2,500 $1.90 23d 1 0.79mi
4556 Andover Way Unit E106 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1172 $1,900 $1.62 13d 1 0.79mi
4556 Andover Way Unit E104 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1072 $5,000 $4.66 13d 1 0.79mi
640 Augusta Blvd Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1634 $2,700 $1.65 23d 1 0.80mi
7563 Moorgate Point Way Naples, FL 3.0 2.0 1924 $12,000 $6.24 23d 1 0.80mi
575 Augusta Blvd Naples, FL 3.0 2.0 1500 $2,100 $1.40 23d 1 0.83mi
6026 Whitaker Rd Naples, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 986 $3,795 $3.85 13d 39 0.87mi
555 Augusta Blvd Unit 3-1 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1249 $4,200 $3.36 23d 1 0.88mi
182 Palmetto Dunes Cir Naples, FL 3.0 2.0 2175 $3,300 $1.52 23d 1 0.90mi
3655 Amberly Cir Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1216 $2,500 $2.06 23d 1 0.93mi
4884 Hampshire Ct Unit 7-104 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1394 $5,000 $3.59 23d 1 0.97mi
413 Augusta Blvd #302 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1390 $5,500 $3.96 21d 1 0.97mi
5733 Deauville Cir Unit G308 Naples, FL 3.0 2.0 1427 $3,600 $2.52 23d 1 0.98mi
3685 Amberly Cir Unit D305 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1320 $5,100 $3.86 23d 1 0.98mi
5741 Deauville Cir Unit F108 Naples, FL 3.0 2.0 1427 $3,600 $2.52 23d 1 1.00mi
265 Deerwood Cir Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1179 $5,000 $4.24 23d 1 1.00mi
127 Palmetto Dunes Cir Naples, FL 3.0 2.0 1906 $7,500 $3.93 23d 1 1.02mi
6255 Brunello Ln Naples, FL 3.0 3.0 2046 $16,500 $8.06 23d 1 1.04mi
5826 Jasper Way Unit 101 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1350 $2,495 $1.85 23d 1 1.05mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$33 · $396/yr

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-14
    status $325,000 Pending 3 DOM
  2. 2026-05-19
    status Pending With Contingencies
  3. 2026-05-18
    status Active
  4. 2026-04-11
    status Pending With Contingencies
  5. 2026-04-09
    listed $325,000 Active
  6. 2019-01-14
    soldstatus $210,000 Sold 260-char remark
    Show marketing remark (260 chars)

    Nice 3 bedroom 2 bath home located in Quail Hollow. Tucked away in south Naples this little community is a hidden find. With easy access to multiple area through roads and just a short drive to downtown Naples and area beaches this property has a lot to offer!

  7. 2018-12-17
    status Pending 260-char remark
    Show marketing remark (260 chars)

    Nice 3 bedroom 2 bath home located in Quail Hollow. Tucked away in south Naples this little community is a hidden find. With easy access to multiple area through roads and just a short drive to downtown Naples and area beaches this property has a lot to offer!

  8. 2018-12-05
    price $269,800 260-char remark
    Show marketing remark (260 chars)

    Nice 3 bedroom 2 bath home located in Quail Hollow. Tucked away in south Naples this little community is a hidden find. With easy access to multiple area through roads and just a short drive to downtown Naples and area beaches this property has a lot to offer!

  9. 2018-10-25
    listed $284,000 Active 260-char remark
    Show marketing remark (260 chars)

    Nice 3 bedroom 2 bath home located in Quail Hollow. Tucked away in south Naples this little community is a hidden find. With easy access to multiple area through roads and just a short drive to downtown Naples and area beaches this property has a lot to offer!

  10. 2005-07-06
    soldstatus $300,000
  11. 1999-04-27
    soldstatus $134,000
  12. 1998-06-29
    soldstatus $125,000
  13. 1994-03-18
    soldstatus $23,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$4,997 · $416/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,997 · $416/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 55% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 28 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$51,395
− Mortgage interest
−$18,205
− Property taxes
−$4,997
− Insurance
−$1,625
− Repairs & maintenance
−$4,112
− Management
−$4,112
− HOA
−$396
− Depreciation
−$9,455
Taxable income
$8,495
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,039
After-tax cash flow
$11,094/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Collier
NCES district ID
1200330
Math proficiency
60% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$58,275
Composite
50.23/100
National rank
#1892
State rank
#16 of 73 in FL

Livability — Lely Resort

Score
61/100
State rank
#786
US rank
#17981

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime A+ Employment A- Housing D- Health & safety D User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Collier County · 396,295 people
Metro
Naples-Marco Island, FL
Population (ZIP)
27,193
Household income
$69,842
Rent vs Own
23.8% rent · 76.2% own
Severe rent burden
980.0

Population outlook (Collier County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
420,858 people
By 2030
450,054 · +6.9%
By 2040
502,232 · +19.3%
By 2050
544,932 · +29.5%
By 2075
627,203 · +49.0%
By 2100
659,015 · +56.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (74%)
Race & ethnicity
White 74% Hispanic / Latino 18% Two or more races 9% Black 6% Native American 2% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 4% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 4% Romanian 3% Portuguese 2%
Foreign-born
19% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
75% English-only · Spanish 17% French/Haitian/Cajun 4% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Collier

2024 margin
Solid R (+33.1) · D 33.1% · R 66.2%
2008→2024 swing
-10.6pp toward R · 2008: -22.5pp · 2024: -33.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+33.1 2020: R+24.7 2016: R+26.0 2012: R+30.1 2008: R+22.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -235.10%
Current HPI
256.9182
Rent YoY
▼ -1.69%
Metro
Naples-Marco Island, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1313.0% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Pending NAPLESMLS
  • 2026-05-18 Relisted NAPLESMLS
  • 2026-04-11 Pending NAPLESMLS
  • 2026-04-09 Listed $325,000 NAPLESMLS
  • 2019-01-14 Sold (MLS) $210,000 NAPLESMLS
  • 2018-12-17 Pending NAPLESMLS
  • 2018-12-05 Price Changed $269,800 NAPLESMLS
  • 2018-10-25 Listed $284,000 NAPLESMLS
  • 2005-07-06 Sold (Public Records) $300,000 Public Records
  • 1999-04-27 Sold (Public Records) $134,000 Public Records
  • 1998-06-29 Sold (Public Records) $125,000 Public Records
  • 1994-03-18 Sold (Public Records) $23,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+10.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,997 · +7.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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