Multi-family
111 Steuben St · Syracuse, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +14.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.0/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
$159,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records
Key facts
- 3,131 sq ft lot
- Parking
- Built 1906
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $159k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $748 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $159k).
- Recommended offer: $145k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.9% vs local median 8.2% in Syracuse — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#187 in NY, #2,869 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, employment D-.
- Syracuse City School District (urban): math 18% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #590 of 590 in NY (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 99 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 616 units permitted in Onondaga County in 2024 (256 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,222/mo this rent would consume 60% of the median local household income ($45k/yr) (locally 1437% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $17k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $16k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Onondaga County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$43k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 113 days — a 9% lower offer ($145k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 15y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $11k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $65k; list at $159k implies a 145% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1906 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 113 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1906 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.40% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.94%
- Cash-on-cash
- 20.17%
- DSCR
- 1.90
- GRM
- 6.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $185,687
- List price
- $159,000
- Delta
- -14.37%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 635 E Division St | 0.24mi | 4/2.0 | 2,376 (-3%) | 11mo | $110,000 | $46 | 75 |
| 115 John St | 0.31mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 2,516 (+3%) | 5mo | $120,000 | $48 | 72 |
| 128 John St | 0.32mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 2,269 (-7%) | 6mo | $129,000 | $57 | 63 |
| 1412 N State St | 0.25mi | 4/2.0 | 2,168 (-11%) | 10mo | $70,000 | $32 | 61 |
| 1213 N State St | 0.28mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 2,157 (-12%) | 2mo | $72,000 | $33 | 60 |
| 122 Josephine St | 0.41mi | 4/2.0 | 2,212 (-10%) | 16mo | $83,000 | $38 | 51 |
| 220 Craig St | 0.46mi | 4/2.0 | 2,288 (-6%) | 22mo | $50,000 | $22 | 50 |
| 606 N Mcbride St | 0.72mi | 4/3.0 | 2,428 (-1%) | 15mo | $185,000 | $76 | 48 |
| 401 Lemoyne Ave | 0.63mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 2,312 (-6%) | 13mo | $169,900 | $73 | 46 |
| 2414 Lodi St | 0.40mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 2,095 (-14%) | 14mo | $115,000 | $55 | 40 |
| 114 Burdick Ave | 0.74mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 2,356 (-4%) | 22mo | $160,000 | $68 | 36 |
| 2817-2819 Grant Blvd | 0.68mi | 4/2.0 | 2,112 (-14%) | 15mo | $190,000 | $90 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 39.3%
- Equity multiple
- 4.02×
- Total profit
- $134,241
- Equity at exit
- $143,240
- IRR
- 33.9%
- Equity multiple
- 9.04×
- Total profit
- $357,786
- Equity at exit
- $308,902
Cash invested: $44,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13208
- Home prices YoY
- 8.4%
- Active inventory
- 99
- Price-to-rent
- 6.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,222 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$834
- Tax from tax record
- −$107 /mo · $1,284/yr
- Insurance
- −$66
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$467
- Net cashflow
- $748
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $39,750
- Closing costs
- $4,770
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 712 Oak St Syracuse, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2461 | $1,700 | $0.69 | 21d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 365 Green St Syracuse, NY | 5.0 | 3.5 | 2263 | $3,300 | $1.46 | 21d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 447 E Washington St Syracuse, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 2095 | $2,100 | $1.00 | 14d | 1 | 1.19mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-10days on market $159,000 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $159,000 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $159,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $159,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $159,000 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $159,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $159,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $159,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $159,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-03-11price $159,000
-
2026-02-17$169,900 Active
-
2020-12-29soldstatus $65,000 Closed Sale or Rented
-
2020-12-29$65,000 Active
-
2020-11-24soldstatus $65,000
-
2018-03-01soldstatus $60,000
-
2015-06-10historical
-
2015-06-05soldstatus $28,000
-
2015-06-05soldstatus $28,000
-
2014-01-07$35,000
-
2011-09-28$60,000
-
2009-10-30soldstatus $45,000
-
2001-07-31soldstatus $63,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,284 · $107/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,986 · $165/mo
- Expected delta
- +$701/yr (+$58/mo · 54.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,666
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,906
- − Property taxes
- −$1,284
- − Insurance
- −$795
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,133
- − Management
- −$2,133
- − Depreciation
- −$4,625
- Taxable income
- $6,788
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,629
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,352/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Syracuse City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3628590
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,097
- Composite
- 17.83/100
- National rank
- #9007
- State rank
- #590 of 590 in NY
Livability — Syracuse
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #187
- US rank
- #2869
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Syracuse, NY
- County
- Onondaga County · 247,257 people
- City population
- 152,627
- Metro
- Syracuse, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,993
- Household income
- $44,712
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1437.0
Population outlook (Onondaga County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 467,894 people
- By 2030
- 463,381 · -1.0%
- By 2040
- 447,697 · -4.3%
- By 2050
- 426,399 · -8.9%
- By 2075
- 373,661 · -20.1%
- By 2100
- 307,967 · -34.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 46% Black 24% Asian 14% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 4% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Swedish 3% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 22% · Vietnam, Philippines, Canada
- Languages at home
- 70% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Asian/Pacific 5% Vietnamese 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Onondaga
- 2024 margin
- D (+17.3) · D 58.6% · R 41.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.0pp toward R · 2008: 20.3pp · 2024: 17.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+17.3 2020: D+20.6 2016: D+12.8 2012: D+21.1 2008: D+20.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 30.91%
- Current HPI
- 399.3284
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Syracuse, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+152.4% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-11 Price Changed $159,000 CNYIS
- 2026-02-17 Listed $169,900 CNYIS
- 2020-12-29 Listed $65,000 CNYIS
- 2020-12-29 Sold (MLS) $65,000 CNYIS
- 2020-11-24 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
- 2018-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
- 2015-06-10 Listing Removed — CNYIS
- 2015-06-05 Sold (Public Records) $28,000 Public Records
- 2015-06-05 Sold (MLS) $28,000 CNYIS
- 2014-01-07 Listed $35,000 CNYIS
- 2011-09-28 Listed $60,000 CNYIS
- 2009-10-30 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
- 2001-07-31 Sold (Public Records) $63,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-0.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,284 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…