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1310 Wayne St Duplex
B- Composite 68.27
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +7.9/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$89,900

1310 Wayne St · Erie, PA 16503
6 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,848 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 6 Days on market
Built 1908 3,293 sqft lot Est $65k · 39% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Calling all investors, seasoned and new! Very well maintained/updated 2 unit investment property on low traffic, dead end street. Baseball field/playground across street and Friendship Park around the corner. Add this money maker to your portfolio or can be an awesome owner occupied opportunity (live in one, rent the other). So many updates including newer flooring throughout both units, newer vinyl double pane windows throughout, both units freshly painted, kitchen and bath remodeled in 1st floor unit, and much more. Three pages of updates/improvements available with seller disclosure. Each apartment has 6 rooms, including two bedrooms plus full bath. Off street parking, fenced back yard.

Key facts

  • Newer flooring
  • Freshly painted
  • Friendship park

Tags

LOW TRAFFIC DEAD END STREETBASEBALL FIELD PLAYGROUNDFRIENDSHIP PARKNEWER FLOORINGFRESHLY PAINTEDKITCHEN AND BATH REMODELED

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Two income-producing basement units with current rents of $950 and $850

Exterior

  • Parking: Two parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Residential income property (multi-family); Two levels; R-2 zoning
  • Construction: Asphalt construction materials; Asphalt roof
  • Exterior features: Landscaped lot; Level lot; Paved road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range/oven; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Two bedrooms in each basement unit
  • Bathrooms: One bathroom in each basement unit
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; No cooling
  • Interior features: Basement tenant use
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement units

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $90k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $769 ($9k/yr) — positive. Per door: $384/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $90k).
  • Cap rate 16.6% vs local median 5.4% in Erie — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 83/100 on livability (#109 in PA, #840 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime D+, employment F.
  • Erie City SD (urban): math 12% / reading 19% proficiency, ranked #510 of 539 in PA (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 81% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Northwest Pa Collegiate Academy (math 82%, 753 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 81% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 48 active listings in the ZIP; 364 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (188 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $6k of equity ($622 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (5.7% local appreciation)).
  • Erie County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (5.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1908 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $89,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Built in 1908 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.93%
Cap rate
16.55%
Cash-on-cash
36.64%
DSCR
2.63
GRM
4.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$64,680
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
754 E 9th St 0.33mi 6/2.0 1,936 (+5%) 11mo $45,000 $23 67
550 E 22nd St 0.61mi 6/2.0 1,860 (+1%) 12mo $75,000 $40 61
1117 E 9th St 0.53mi 5/2.0 (-1) 1,912 (+4%) 5mo $68,000 $36 60
730-32 E 8th St 0.40mi 5/2.0 (-1) 2,033 (+10%) 4mo $65,000 $32 56
725 E 22nd St 0.57mi 5/2.0 (-1) 1,783 (-4%) 10mo $65,000 $36 54
402 Reed St 0.70mi 5/2.0 (-1) 1,877 (+2%) 8mo $110,000 $59 54
730 E 5th St 0.63mi 6/2.0 1,744 (-6%) 16mo $49,900 $29 48
1114 Ash St 0.29mi 7/3.0 (+1) 1,672 (-10%) 18mo $58,000 $35 47
947 E 24th St 0.73mi 5/2.0 (-1) 1,877 (+2%) 20mo $50,000 $27 42
711 E 4th St 0.69mi 6/2.0 1,672 (-10%) 16mo $55,000 $33 38
709 Wallace St #11 0.57mi 5/2.0 (-1) 2,016 (+9%) 21mo $60,000 $30 36
335 E 13th St 0.57mi 5/3.0 (-1) 1,680 (-9%) 22mo $58,000 $35 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

5.73% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
46.3%
Equity multiple
3.92×
Total profit
$73,485
Equity at exit
$54,988
10-year hold
IRR
43.5%
Equity multiple
8.08×
Total profit
$178,260
Equity at exit
$98,426

Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 16503

Home prices YoY
4.4%
Active inventory
48
Price-to-rent
8.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,739 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$471
Tax from tax record
$96 /mo · $1,157/yr
Insurance
$37
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$365
Net cashflow
$769

Break-even live

Break-even rent $766
Max offer price $89,900
Occupancy floor 51%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $819 -5% $794 +0% $769 +5% $743 +10% $718
Rent -10% $631 -5% $700 +0% $769 +5% $837 +10% $906
Rate -1.0pp $814 -0.5pp $791 base $769 +0.5pp $745 +1.0pp $722

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $1,739

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,475
Closing costs
$2,697
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 1 events

  1. 2026-05-22
    listed $89,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,157 · $96/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,288 · $107/mo
Expected delta
+$132/yr (+$11/mo · 11.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,868
− Mortgage interest
−$5,036
− Property taxes
−$1,157
− Insurance
−$450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,669
− Management
−$1,669
− Depreciation
−$2,615
Taxable income
$8,272
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,985
After-tax cash flow
$7,237/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Erie City SD
NCES district ID
4209300
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
19% ▼ -16.00%
Median HH income
$33,625
Composite
12.59/100
National rank
#9617
State rank
#510 of 539 in PA

Livability — Erie

Score
83/100
State rank
#109
US rank
#840

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Erie, PA
City population
92,215
Population (ZIP)
15,204

Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
272,159 people
By 2030
266,299 · -2.2%
By 2040
250,987 · -7.8%
By 2050
234,925 · -13.7%
By 2075
199,164 · -26.8%
By 2100
162,985 · -40.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
Race & ethnicity
White 45% Black 37% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 8% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 7%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Scotch-Irish 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
6% · India, Canada
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 4% Arabic 2% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Erie

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.0% · R 50.0%
2008→2024 swing
-20.9pp toward R · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: -1.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.0 2020: D+1.0 2016: R+2.0 2012: D+16.9 2008: D+19.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 5.73%
Current HPI
135.5955
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-27 Pending GEBOR
  • 2026-05-22 Listed $89,900 GEBOR

Property tax history

+1.9%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,157 · +3.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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