203 Garden St · Walker, MN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 12 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.6/30.0
- DSCR +7.6/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$180,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Affordable two bedroom home in Walker with newly refinished hardwood floors, new shingles, two-car insulated garage, in great location close to city park. A great starter home.
Key facts
- New back deck
- Vinyl siding
- New entry doors
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Asphalt driveway; 2-car detached garage (24x24)
- Utilities: City water connected; City sewer connected; Natural gas; Electric service by Minnesota Power
- Home design: Residential property; One level; Accessible design with no internal stairs
- Construction: Frame construction; Block foundation; Shingle roof (age 8 years or less)
- Exterior features: Rear porch; Vinyl exterior; Light tree coverage on lot; City street frontage; Publicly maintained road
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator; Eat-in kitchen
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main floor)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Unfinished basement; No internal stairs
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer (laundry in basement)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $180k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $340 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $180k).
- Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 0.8% in Walker — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#234 in MN, #4,999 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Walker-Hackensack-Akeley School District (rural): math 31% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #232 of 301 in MN (top 77%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 81 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 285 units permitted in Cass County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cass County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 6 sale attempts since 25y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $76k; list at $180k implies a 137% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.00% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.56%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.09%
- DSCR
- 1.36
- GRM
- 8.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.85×
- Total profit
- $-7,603
- Equity at exit
- $26,839
- IRR
- 5.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.42×
- Total profit
- $20,948
- Equity at exit
- $15,563
Cash invested: $50,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 46 Balanced
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 56484
- Home prices YoY
- -10.5%
- Active inventory
- 81
- Price-to-rent
- 8.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,800 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$944
- Tax from tax record
- −$63 /mo · $760/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$378
- Net cashflow
- $340
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $45,000
- Closing costs
- $5,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 500 Cleveland Blvd W Walker, MN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 920 | $1,800 | $1.96 | 44d | 1 | 0.69mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $180,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $180,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $180,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $180,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $180,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-12remarks 687-char remark
-
2026-06-12$180,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $760 · $63/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,388 · $116/mo
- Expected delta
- +$628/yr (+$52/mo · 82.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,600
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,083
- − Property taxes
- −$760
- − Insurance
- −$900
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,728
- − Management
- −$1,728
- − Depreciation
- −$5,236
- Taxable income
- $1,165
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$280
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,797/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Walker-Hackensack-Akeley School District
- NCES district ID
- 2702910
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,355
- Composite
- 33.16/100
- National rank
- #5549
- State rank
- #232 of 301 in MN
Livability — Walker
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #234
- US rank
- #4999
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Walker, MN
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,252
Population outlook (Cass County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 27,371 people
- By 2030
- 26,311 · -3.9%
- By 2040
- 23,945 · -12.5%
- By 2050
- 21,889 · -20.0%
- By 2075
- 18,435 · -32.6%
- By 2100
- 14,478 · -47.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 75% Native American 17% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 17% Lithuanian 3% Romanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cass
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+33.4) · D 32.6% · R 66.0% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -24.9pp toward R · 2008: -8.5pp · 2024: -33.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+33.4 2020: R+28.9 2016: R+31.7 2012: R+13.1 2008: R+8.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -24.95%
- Current HPI
- 213.633
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $150B |
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
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Price history
+367.5% since first listed21 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Listed $180,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-06-10 Coming Soon $180,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-12-18 Sold (Public Records) $76,000 Public Records
- 2014-12-17 Sold (MLS) $76,000 RASM
- 2014-12-17 Sold (MLS) $76,000 LSAR
- 2014-12-17 Sold (MLS) $76,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-10-21 Contingent — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-09-03 Price Changed $80,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-08-21 Price Changed $82,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-07-23 Listed $84,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-07-23 Listed $80,000 RASM
- 2014-07-23 Listed $80,000 LSAR
- 2014-06-19 Price Changed $84,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-06-19 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-02-26 Listed $89,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2003-10-14 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2003-10-14 Sold (MLS) $57,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2003-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $57,000 Public Records
- 2001-09-24 Listed $64,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1997-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $38,500 Public Records
- 1992-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $38,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.7%/yrLatest (2026): $760 · +4.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…