225 Heather Ln · Fairborn, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.5/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +7.2/10.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$85,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome home to this spacious 3-bedroom, 2 full-bath home located in a desirable 55+community! Featuring an open-concept floor plan, this home offers comfortable living spaces and plenty of potential to make it your own. A little TLC and personal touches will go a long way in transforming this well-cared for property into your dream home. Enjoy the bright tree-season room, perfect for relaxing year-round, as well as the covered front porch for morning coffee or evening conversations. The home is wheelchair accessible and includes a ramp for easy entry. All appliances stay, including the refrigerator, stove, dishwasher, washer, and dryer, making your move even easier. Additional features include a covered carport & storage shed
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Three season room
- Covered carport
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: For sale
- HOA & community: Homeowners association managed by Red Oak Management; HOA fee approximately $500 per month
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Utilities: Gas water heater
- Home design: Single-story property; Model: 899PH Park Harbor; Residential zoning
- Construction: Vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Porch; Storage; Shed(s); Lot roughly 110 x 50
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Dishwasher; Disposal; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the main level (9 x 13 and 10 x 12)
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (both on the main level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Decorative fireplace; Crawl space basement
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Utility room on the main level (9 x 12); Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $86k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $145 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $86k).
- Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 3.7% in Fairborn — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#374 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D+, employment D+.
- Fairborn City (suburban): math 36% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #520 of 656 in OH (top 79%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.8%/yr); 180 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 12d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 797 units permitted in Greene County in 2024 (148 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $594 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.8% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 32% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.83% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.32%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.24%
- DSCR
- 1.32
- GRM
- 4.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $244,688
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 411 Kalynn Cir #30 | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 | 1,493 (+0%) | 2mo | $230,900 | $155 | 83 |
| 479 Park Hills Xing #17 | 0.37mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,508 (+1%) | 5mo | $195,900 | $130 | 72 |
| 2002 Darrell Dr | 0.52mi | 3/1.5 | 1,472 (-1%) | 0mo | $295,000 | $200 | 72 |
| 441 Kalynn Cir #25 | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 | 1,568 (+5%) | 7mo | $160,000 | $102 | 71 |
| 462 Faculty Dr | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,528 (+2%) | 1mo | $250,000 | $164 | 70 |
| 474 Kalynn Cir #19 | 0.35mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,404 (-6%) | 1mo | $192,000 | $137 | 68 |
| 1943 Fraternity Ct | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,528 (+2%) | 7mo | $249,900 | $164 | 68 |
| 268 Oxford Dr | 0.17mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,590 (+7%) | 8mo | $225,000 | $142 | 67 |
| 1990 Herky Pl | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 | 1,348 (-10%) | 1mo | $230,500 | $171 | 60 |
| 833 Savin Hill Ct | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,610 (+8%) | 4mo | $307,500 | $191 | 50 |
| 2762 Old Yellow Springs Rd | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,334 (-11%) | 1mo | $238,000 | $178 | 48 |
| 125 Mark Ln | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,352 (-9%) | 9mo | $200,000 | $148 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.75% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.00×
- Total profit
- $116
- Equity at exit
- $12,808
- IRR
- 14.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.36×
- Total profit
- $32,708
- Equity at exit
- $7,427
Cash invested: $24,052 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45324
- Rents YoY
- 5.8%
- Active inventory
- 180
- Price-to-rent
- 4.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,568 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$450
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$107 /mo · $1,288/yr
- Insurance
- −$36
- HOA
- −$500
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$329
- Net cashflow
- $145
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $205 | -5% $175 | +0% $145 | +5% $115 | +10% $86 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $21 | -5% $83 | +0% $145 | +5% $207 | +10% $269 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $188 | -0.5pp $167 | base $145 | +0.5pp $123 | +1.0pp $100 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,475
- Closing costs
- $2,577
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 16 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 427 Sycamore Dr Fairborn, OH | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1397 | $1,600 | $1.15 | 20d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 18 Old Yellow Springs Rd Fairborn, OH | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 805 | $1,200 | $1.49 | 15d | 9 | 0.23mi |
| 712 Hidden Valley Ct Fairborn, OH | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1428 | $1,325 | $0.93 | 3d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 55 Truman Dr Fairborn, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1354 | $1,545 | $1.14 | 44d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 454 Glenhaven Way Fairborn, OH | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1311 | $2,100 | $1.60 | 4d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 2394 New Germany Trebein Rd Unit 305 Beavercreek, OH | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1098 | $1,750 | $1.59 | 3d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 408 Patterson St Fairborn, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 988 | $1,400 | $1.42 | 12d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 2250 Warbler Ln Fairborn, OH | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1233 | $1,906 | $1.55 | 3d | 12 | 1.23mi |
| 542 Fairfield Ave Fairborn, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1625 | $975 | $0.60 | 44d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 2335 Long Vista Ln Fairborn, OH | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1366 | $1,732 | $1.27 | 3d | 11 | 1.31mi |
| 213 Vine St Unit 215 Fairborn, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1650 | $950 | $0.58 | 24d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 1647 Stewart Blvd Unit 1645 Fairborn, OH | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1024 | $900 | $0.88 | 24d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 1636 Wilbur Ave Unit 1636 Fairborn, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1440 | $850 | $0.59 | 4d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 1678 Arden Bnd Fairborn, OH | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1872 | $2,400 | $1.28 | 24d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 1529 Miami Ave Fairborn, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,000 | $1.11 | 4d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 1527 Miami Ave Fairborn, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,100 | $1.22 | 4d | 1 | 1.48mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $500 · $6,000/yr
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $85,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $85,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $85,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-15remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-15$85,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,817
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,812
- − Property taxes
- −$1,288
- − Insurance
- −$430
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,505
- − Management
- −$1,505
- − HOA
- −$6,000
- − Depreciation
- −$2,499
- Taxable income
- $778
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$187
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,555/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fairborn City
- NCES district ID
- 3904396
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,091
- Composite
- 36.05/100
- National rank
- #4772
- State rank
- #520 of 656 in OH
Livability — Fairborn
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #374
- US rank
- #6101
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fairborn, OH
- County
- Greene County · 132,120 people
- City population
- 41,194
- Metro
- Dayton-Kettering, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 41,194
- Household income
- $64,979
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1472.0
Population outlook (Greene County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 170,301 people
- By 2030
- 171,840 · +0.9%
- By 2040
- 171,408 · +0.7%
- By 2050
- 167,806 · -1.5%
- By 2075
- 154,430 · -9.3%
- By 2100
- 138,669 · -18.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Two or more races 9% Black 8% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Greene
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.8) · D 39.5% · R 59.3% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.4pp toward R · 2008: -18.4pp · 2024: -19.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.8 2020: R+19.5 2016: R+24.5 2012: R+21.8 2008: R+18.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -157.48%
- Current HPI
- 228.0801
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.75%
- Metro
- Dayton-Kettering, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+7.4% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-13 Listed $85,900 Dayton MLS
- 2026-06-13 Listed $85,900 WRIST
- 2022-07-12 Sold (MLS) $80,000 Dayton MLS
- 2022-07-12 Sold (MLS) $80,000 Dayton MLS
- 2022-05-19 Pending — Dayton MLS
- 2022-05-19 Listed $80,000 Dayton MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…