1514 Van Buren St · South Bend, IN 46628

$65,000

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 792 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 355 Days on market

Built 1923 5,200 sqft lot $82/sqft · 12% above area Est $58k · 12% over

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Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• Rent growth +4.2/5.0
• Livability +3.2/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• ARV discount +2.1/15.0
• Schools +1.4/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Buyer to check all information, taxes, schools and all measurements.

Key facts

• 5,200 sq ft lot
• Built 1923
• Listed 355 days

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $603 ($7k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
• Recommended offer: $57k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 17.4% vs local median 4.4% in South Bend — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 64/100 on livability (#365 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, employment D, schools F.
• South Bend Community School Corporation (urban): math 12% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #284 of 301 in IN (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.8%/yr); 424 active listings in the ZIP; 32 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 754 units permitted in St. Joseph County in 2024 (460 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.8% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 355 days — a 12% lower offer ($57k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 4 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1923 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.

Recommended offer $57,200 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 355 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1923 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.99% ✓
• Cap rate: 17.43%
• Cash-on-cash: 39.76%
• DSCR: 2.77
• GRM: 4.2

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $58,000
• List price: $65,000
• Delta: 12.07%
• Verdict: OVERPRICED
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
1521 Van Buren St	0.03mi	2/1.0 (-1)	792 (0%)	1mo	$60,000	$76	93
814 Sancome Ave	0.04mi	2/1.0 (-1)	748 (-6%)	2mo	$56,000	$75	82
925 Sancome Ave	0.07mi	3/1.0	864 (+9%)	1mo	$108,000	$125	81
1134 College St	0.31mi	2/1.0 (-1)	792 (0%)	3mo	$115,600	$146	78
1133 N Brookfield St	0.37mi	2/1.0 (-1)	792 (0%)	0mo	$112,900	$143	78
1133 Wilber St	0.27mi	2/1.0 (-1)	842 (+6%)	3mo	$138,000	$164	69
1118 N Brookfield St	0.33mi	2/1.0 (-1)	864 (+9%)	1mo	$159,900	$185	64
722 Johnson St	0.30mi	2/1.0 (-1)	892 (+13%)	0mo	$65,000	$73	60
1501 N Adams St	0.59mi	2/1.0 (-1)	840 (+6%)	0mo	$134,900	$161	57
1622 Wilber St	0.71mi	2/1.0 (-1)	840 (+6%)	3mo	$107,800	$128	50
1353 N Olive St	0.75mi	2/1.0 (-1)	720 (-9%)	3mo	$60,000	$83	42
1249 Fremont St	0.74mi	2/1.0 (-1)	688 (-13%)	4mo	$29,900	$43	36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.78% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 40.2%
• Equity multiple: 2.81×
• Total profit: $32,973
• Equity at exit: $9,692

10-year hold

• IRR: 48.3%
• Equity multiple: 6.54×
• Total profit: $100,774
• Equity at exit: $5,620

Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Indiana: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 46628

• Rents YoY: 6.8%
• Active inventory: 424
• Price-to-rent: 4.2×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,291 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$341
• Tax from tax record: −$49 /mo · $584/yr
• Insurance: −$27
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$271
• Net cashflow: $603

Break-even live

Break-even rent $527

Max offer price $65,000

Occupancy floor 48%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $640	-5% $621	+0% $603	+5% $585	+10% $566
Rent	-10% $501	-5% $552	+0% $603	+5% $654	+10% $705
Rate	-1.0pp $636	-0.5pp $620	base $603	+0.5pp $586	+1.0pp $569

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $16,250
• Closing costs: $1,950
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 32 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
736 Lawndale Ave Unit 1 South Bend, IN	3.0	1.0	1072	$1,200	$1.12	14d	1	0.13mi
910 Allen St South Bend, IN	3.0	1.0	1100	$1,350	$1.23	22d	1	0.38mi
1237 Wilber St South Bend, IN	2.0	1.0	880	$1,200	$1.36	44d	1	0.42mi
717 Huey St South Bend, IN	2.0	1.0	672	$1,050	$1.56	44d	1	0.45mi
729 N Elmer St South Bend, IN	2.0	1.0	672	$1,100	$1.64	14d	1	0.51mi
1046 N Elmer St South Bend, IN	2.0	1.0	1050	$1,025	$0.98	22d	1	0.52mi
1314 Johnson St South Bend, IN	2.0	1.0	902	$1,150	$1.27	14d	1	0.53mi
1201 Woodward Ave South Bend, IN	2.0	1.0	960	$1,675	$1.74	44d	1	0.54mi
2013 Elwood Ave South Bend, IN	3.0	1.0	720	$999	$1.39	44d	1	0.65mi
1141 Fremont St South Bend, IN	3.0	1.0	760	$1,100	$1.45	22d	1	0.69mi
1428 Kessler Blvd South Bend, IN	3.0	1.0	936	$1,000	$1.07	44d	1	0.70mi
2417 Linden Ave South Bend, IN	2.0	1.0	1000	$1,200	$1.20	44d	1	0.72mi
1214 Queen St South Bend, IN	3.0	1.0	1056	$1,300	$1.23	14d	1	0.74mi
1505 Huey St South Bend, IN	3.0	1.0	864	$1,425	$1.65	22d	1	0.77mi
1308 Kinyon St South Bend, IN	2.0	1.0	700	$1,100	$1.57	44d	1	0.77mi
1630 Obrien St South Bend, IN	3.0	1.0	1120	$1,400	$1.25	14d	1	0.81mi
1710 Johnson St South Bend, IN	3.0	1.0	1000	$1,350	$1.35	44d	1	0.87mi
1614 Fremont St South Bend, IN	2.0	1.0	720	$850	$1.18	22d	1	0.92mi
1709 Huey St South Bend, IN	2.0	1.0	720	$995	$1.38	22d	1	0.93mi
2823 Calhoun St South Bend, IN	2.0	1.0	720	$1,249	$1.73	44d	1	0.97mi
344 Parkovash Ave South Bend, IN	3.0	1.0	950	$1,900	$2.00	14d	1	0.98mi
937 Roosevelt St South Bend, IN	2.0	1.0	720	$1,060	$1.47	44d	1	1.02mi
1033 Beale St South Bend, IN	3.0	1.0	840	$1,250	$1.49	22d	1	1.04mi
929 Beale St South Bend, IN	2.0	1.0	720	$975	$1.35	44d	1	1.08mi
125 W Marion St South Bend, IN	2.0	1.0	672	$1,350	$2.01	14d	5	1.15mi
208 S Bendix Dr South Bend, IN	3.0	1.0	864	$1,150	$1.33	22d	1	1.17mi
211 W Washington St South Bend, IN	3.0	1.0–2.5	1162	$7,491	$6.44	22d	19	1.24mi
1317 Poland St South Bend, IN	3.0	1.0	1100	$1,300	$1.18	22d	1	1.27mi
453 S Kaley St Unit 1 South Bend, IN	2.0	1.0	1100	$1,050	$0.95	44d	1	1.33mi
307 E Lasalle Ave South Bend, IN	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	925	$1,670	$1.80	14d	22	1.38mi
300 E Lasalle Ave South Bend, IN	3.0	1.0–3.0	1013	$3,009	$2.97	14d	31	1.43mi
716 N Niles Ave South Bend, IN	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	732	$1,750	$2.39	14d	11	1.45mi

Listing history 20 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $65,000 Active 355 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $65,000 Active 354 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $65,000 Active 353 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $65,000 Active 352 DOM
5. 2026-06-14
   days on market $65,000 Active 350 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   days on market $65,000 Active 349 DOM
7. 2026-06-10
   days on market $65,000 Active 347 DOM
8. 2026-06-09
   days on market $65,000 Active 346 DOM
9. 2026-06-08
   days on market $65,000 Active 345 DOM
10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $65,000 Active 344 DOM
11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $65,000 Active 340 DOM
12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $65,000 Active 339 DOM
13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $65,000 Active 338 DOM
14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $65,000 Active 337 DOM
15. 2025-11-21
    status Active 68-char remark

    Show marketing remark (68 chars)

    Buyer to check all information, taxes, schools and all measurements.

16. 2025-10-24
    status Pending 68-char remark

    Show marketing remark (68 chars)

    Buyer to check all information, taxes, schools and all measurements.

17. 2025-09-15
    status Active 68-char remark

    Show marketing remark (68 chars)

    Buyer to check all information, taxes, schools and all measurements.

18. 2025-08-21
    status Pending 68-char remark

    Show marketing remark (68 chars)

    Buyer to check all information, taxes, schools and all measurements.

19. 2025-05-06
    listed $65,000 Active 68-char remark

    Show marketing remark (68 chars)

    Buyer to check all information, taxes, schools and all measurements.

20. 2024-10-16
    listed $65,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $584 · $49/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $584 · $49/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $15,489
• − Mortgage interest: −$3,641
• − Property taxes: −$584
• − Insurance: −$325
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,239
• − Management: −$1,239
• − Depreciation: −$1,891
• Taxable income: $6,570
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,577
• After-tax cash flow: $5,660/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: South Bend Community School Corporation
• NCES district ID: 1810290
• Math proficiency: 12% ▼ -10.00%
• Reading proficiency: 21% ▼ -6.00%
• Median HH income: $41,935
• Composite: 14.21/100
• National rank: #9452
• State rank: #284 of 301 in IN

Livability — South Bend

• Score: 64/100
• State rank: #365
• US rank: #13730

Category grades

Amenities D Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: South Bend, IN
• County: Saint Joseph County · 189,048 people
• City population: 99,767
• Metro: South Bend-Mishawaka, IN-MI
• Population (ZIP): 27,685
• Household income: $61,759
• Rent vs Own: 31.6% rent · 68.4% own
• Severe rent burden: 1024.0

Population outlook (St. Joseph County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 273,186 people
• By 2030: 273,594 · +0.1%
• By 2040: 271,641 · -0.6%
• By 2050: 269,187 · -1.5%
• By 2075: 263,136 · -3.7%
• By 2100: 245,659 · -10.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
• Race & ethnicity: White 55% Black 30% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 8%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 8%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 12% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
• Foreign-born: 7% · Canada, China
• Languages at home: 89% English-only · Spanish 7% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Joseph

• 2024 margin: Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 48.5% · Other 1.5%
• 2008→2024 swing: -15.6pp toward R · 2008: 17.1pp · 2024: 1.5pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+1.5 2020: D+5.8 2016: D+0.2 2012: D+3.5 2008: D+17.1

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -130.47%
• Current HPI: 202.112
• Rent YoY: ▲ 6.78%
• Metro: South Bend-Mishawaka, IN-MI
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.90%
• F500 in state: 18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Machinery	2	$37B
▸Healthcare	1	$177B
▸Pharmaceuticals	1	$45B
▸Metals / Steel	1	$18B
▸Agriculture	1	$17B
▸Packaging	1	$12B

Price history

+0.0% since first listed

6 events — show timeline

• 2025-11-21 Relisted — IRMLS
• 2025-10-24 Pending — IRMLS
• 2025-09-15 Relisted — IRMLS
• 2025-08-21 Pending — IRMLS
• 2025-05-06 Listed $65,000 IRMLS
• 2024-10-16 Listed $65,000 IRMLS

Property tax history

-2.8%/yr

Latest (2023): $584 · -0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.