🏷️ Likely Rental
43 Glenmere Homesites Rd · Florida, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 14.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.2/10.0
- 1% rule +6.5/10.0
- Schools +5.8/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$535,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
If you are looking for an investment or a multi-generational living solution, come check this legal 2 family home- this property offers the best of both worlds. With two separate units, each offers 3 bedrooms and 1 bathroom. It is located in the town of Warwick - in the heart of Orange County. The average monthly rent for 3 bedrooms unit in this area is $2100 to $2500 depending on the size of the unit. It is a great investment. Please call now before this opportunity slips away!
Key facts
- Duplex home
- Located in warwick
- Two separate units
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 3-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $535k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive. Per door: $585/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $535k).
- Recommended offer: $471k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 2.1% in Florida — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#304 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
- Florida Union Free School District (town): math 63% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #162 of 590 in NY (top 28%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 16% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Golden Hill Elementary (math 67% / reading 77%, grade A-, #378 of 2,108 statewide, top 20%, 319 students, 34% FRL); S S Seward Institute (math 62% / reading 57%, grade C+, #851 of 1,100 statewide, top 80%, 390 students, 31% FRL) — zoned schools average 32% FRL vs 16% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 39 active listings in the ZIP; 1,746 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (1,265 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $16k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 184 days — a 12% lower offer ($471k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $52k; list at $535k implies a 919% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 184 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.15% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.92%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.38%
- DSCR
- 1.42
- GRM
- 7.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $761,286
- List price
- $535,000
- Delta
- -29.72%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 4 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.92×
- Total profit
- $-12,026
- Equity at exit
- $79,770
- IRR
- 7.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.57×
- Total profit
- $85,951
- Equity at exit
- $46,257
Cash invested: $149,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 10921
- Home prices YoY
- -4.9%
- Active inventory
- 39
- Price-to-rent
- 14.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $6,177 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,806
- Tax from tax record
- −$681 /mo · $8,167/yr
- Insurance
- −$223
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,297
- Net cashflow
- $1,171
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,474 | -5% $1,322 | +0% $1,171 | +5% $1,019 | +10% $868 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $683 | -5% $927 | +0% $1,171 | +5% $1,415 | +10% $1,659 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,440 | -0.5pp $1,307 | base $1,171 | +0.5pp $1,032 | +1.0pp $891 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 3 | 1 | $6,176 |
| #1 | 3 | 1 | $3,088 |
| #2 | 3 | 1 | $3,088 |
| Total (2 units) | $6,177 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $133,750
- Closing costs
- $16,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $535,000 Active 184 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $535,000 Active 181 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $535,000 Active 180 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $535,000 Active 179 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $535,000 Active 178 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $535,000 Active 176 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $535,000 Active 175 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $535,000 Active 173 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $535,000 Active 172 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $535,000 Active 171 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $535,000 Active 170 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $535,000 Active 166 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $535,000 Active 165 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $535,000 Active 164 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $535,000 Active 163 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $535,000 Active 162 DOM
-
2026-05-13status Active 486-char remark
Show marketing remark (486 chars)
If you are looking for an investment or a multi-generational living solution, come check this legal 2 family home- this property offers the best of both worlds. With two separate units, each offers 3 bedrooms and 1 bathroom. It is located in the town of Warwick - in the heart of Orange County. The average monthly rent for 3 bedrooms unit in this area is $2100 to $2500 depending on the size of the unit. It is a great investment. Please call now before this opportunity slips away!
-
2026-05-12historical 486-char remark
Show marketing remark (486 chars)
If you are looking for an investment or a multi-generational living solution, come check this legal 2 family home- this property offers the best of both worlds. With two separate units, each offers 3 bedrooms and 1 bathroom. It is located in the town of Warwick - in the heart of Orange County. The average monthly rent for 3 bedrooms unit in this area is $2100 to $2500 depending on the size of the unit. It is a great investment. Please call now before this opportunity slips away!
-
2026-03-10status Active 486-char remark
Show marketing remark (486 chars)
If you are looking for an investment or a multi-generational living solution, come check this legal 2 family home- this property offers the best of both worlds. With two separate units, each offers 3 bedrooms and 1 bathroom. It is located in the town of Warwick - in the heart of Orange County. The average monthly rent for 3 bedrooms unit in this area is $2100 to $2500 depending on the size of the unit. It is a great investment. Please call now before this opportunity slips away!
-
2025-11-13soldstatus $52,500
-
2025-11-13historical $2,100
-
2025-11-12$535,000 Active 486-char remark
Show marketing remark (486 chars)
If you are looking for an investment or a multi-generational living solution, come check this legal 2 family home- this property offers the best of both worlds. With two separate units, each offers 3 bedrooms and 1 bathroom. It is located in the town of Warwick - in the heart of Orange County. The average monthly rent for 3 bedrooms unit in this area is $2100 to $2500 depending on the size of the unit. It is a great investment. Please call now before this opportunity slips away!
-
2025-10-22price $2,100
-
2025-10-14price $2,350
-
2025-10-08$2,500
-
1998-03-30soldstatus $114,000
-
1982-10-25soldstatus $46,345
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $8,167 · $681/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $8,604 · $717/mo
- Expected delta
- +$437/yr (+$36/mo · 5.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 14% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $74,124
- − Mortgage interest
- −$29,968
- − Property taxes
- −$8,167
- − Insurance
- −$2,675
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$5,930
- − Management
- −$5,930
- − Depreciation
- −$15,564
- Taxable income
- $5,890
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,414
- After-tax cash flow
- $12,635/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Florida Union Free School District
- NCES district ID
- 3625320
- Math proficiency
- 63% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 66% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $78,934
- Composite
- 57.57/100
- National rank
- #1066
- State rank
- #162 of 590 in NY
Livability — Florida
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #304
- US rank
- #5003
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 4,358
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,358
Population outlook (Orange County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 379,830 people
- By 2030
- 378,955 · -0.2%
- By 2040
- 375,444 · -1.2%
- By 2050
- 369,311 · -2.8%
- By 2075
- 354,233 · -6.7%
- By 2100
- 318,150 · -16.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Hispanic / Latino 22% Two or more races 9% Native American 5% Black 5% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 5% Dominican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Iranian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 73% English-only · Spanish 15% Other Indo-European 5% Chinese 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Orange
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+8.4) · D 45.8% · R 54.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.5pp toward R · 2008: 4.1pp · 2024: -8.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+8.4 2020: R+0.2 2016: R+6.5 2012: D+5.2 2008: D+4.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -15.22%
- Current HPI
- 297.5238
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+13.3% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Relisted — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-12 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-10 Relisted — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-13 Sold (Public Records) $52,500 Public Records
- 2025-11-13 Rental Removed $2,100 ONEKEY
- 2025-11-12 Listed $535,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-22 Price Changed $2,100 ONEKEY
- 2025-10-14 Price Changed $2,350 ONEKEY
- 2025-10-08 Listed for Rent $2,500 ONEKEY
- 1998-03-30 Sold (Public Records) $114,000 Public Records
- 1982-10-25 Sold (Public Records) $46,345 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.7%/yrLatest (2025): $8,167 · +0.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…